(anonymous) 0x344af4…94fb5e Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$7
Unrealized P&L
+$91
Hit rate
8.3%
Resolved
18
Trades
2,108
lifetime
Volume
$20.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$2.14K
30 positions
First seen
2026-11-04
last 11-11 02:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
73% 25% -$5
Politics
11% 0% -$1
Tech
10% 0% $0
Sports
4% 0% -$1
Crypto
2% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 991 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $30 in 2026? No +120 $117 99¢ $118 +$2 11-10 22:18
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? No +120 $101 87¢ $104 +$3 11-10 17:26
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +120 $100 76¢ $92 -$8 11-10 22:19
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +100 $86 90¢ $90 +$3 11-09 19:03
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +140 $87 60¢ $83 -$3 11-11 01:59
Will "Young Forever" be played at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? No +100 $74 83¢ $83 +$9 11-10 09:35
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30? Yes +120 $76 67¢ $80 +$4 11-11 03:01
Will Anthropic sell between 4% and 5% of its shares in its IPO? No +80 $67 97¢ $78 +$11 11-10 15:03
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +80 $75 97¢ $77 +$2 11-10 14:14
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027? No +80 $70 95¢ $76 +$6 11-11 03:36
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +80 $72 94¢ $75 +$4 11-09 20:04
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22? Yes +120 $67 62¢ $74 +$7 11-10 18:19
Democratic 2028 presidential odds dip to 50% by March 31? No +80 $71 91¢ $73 +$2 11-10 22:43
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +80 $72 90¢ $72 $0 11-10 17:59
Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by June 30, 2027? No +80 $65 85¢ $68 +$3 11-11 00:46
Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by March 31? No +80 $65 84¢ $67 +$2 11-10 17:23
EU adopts Chinese telecom gear phase-out law by December 31, 2027? No +80 $65 83¢ $66 +$1 11-10 23:44
Will Cuffem lose the most weight in Nozempic 2? No +80 $30 83¢ $66 +$37 11-10 03:15
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $397,000 on December 31? Yes +80 $69 82¢ $66 -$3 11-11 02:41
Will no next Israeli Minister of Interior be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +100 $67 65¢ $65 -$2 11-10 10:20
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31? Yes +80 $66 80¢ $64 -$1 11-09 14:24
Will OpenRouter process between 200T and 210T tokens the week of November 9? No +80 $64 74¢ $60 -$4 11-11 00:56
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +76 $62 77¢ $58 -$4 11-11 00:56
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in October? No +80 $52 71¢ $57 +$4 11-10 05:03
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? Yes +140 $55 40¢ $57 +$2 11-11 01:59
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? No +60 $55 93¢ $56 +$1 11-11 01:43
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? Yes +80 $47 68¢ $54 +$7 11-10 18:59
Will “Dandelion” by Ella Langley win Album of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? Yes +60 $54 90¢ $54 $0 11-10 10:32
Will Mike Malott fight Jack Della Maddalena next? No +62 $53 85¢ $53 $0 11-10 14:53
Will 210 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 9-November 15? No +60 $47 87¢ $52 +$5 11-09 20:12