(anonymous) 0x5bcd01…07fa31 Create alert
whale cold
3Unusual bets: 1 position →
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4.74K
Unrealized P&L
+$25.8K
Hit rate
44.5%
Resolved
328
Trades
17,738
lifetime
Volume
$1.26M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$71
Open exposure
$175.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 11-10 16:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
52% 53% -$1,337
Other
47% 38% -$3,286
Sports
0% 33% -$93
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 6778 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +17,762 $13,559 99¢ $17.5K +$3,964 11-04 19:40
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +13,151 $11,291 99¢ $13.0K +$1,709 11-05 17:25
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +17,616 $11,591 65¢ $11.4K -$184 11-10 15:33
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +11,965 $8,166 84¢ $10.1K +$1,944 11-10 13:12
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +10,110 $9,183 99¢ $10.0K +$816 11-04 23:00
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +9,840 $8,450 99¢ $9.7K +$1,262 11-05 07:27
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +11,318 $8,420 76¢ $8.6K +$221 11-10 17:14
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +8,345 $5,134 98¢ $8.2K +$3,077 11-05 19:20
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +11,533 $6,962 64¢ $7.4K +$407 11-10 14:09
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +6,692 $3,661 99¢ $6.6K +$2,971 11-07 16:58
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +6,636 $4,179 99¢ $6.6K +$2,377 11-05 00:47
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +6,371 $3,610 98¢ $6.3K +$2,666 11-04 17:19
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +6,930 $5,089 83¢ $5.8K +$663 11-10 14:16
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +5,434 $3,983 89¢ $4.8K +$829 11-05 17:35
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +7,646 $4,599 62¢ $4.7K +$138 11-10 13:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +5,335 $4,498 84¢ $4.5K +$10 11-10 11:07
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +11,533 $4,538 36¢ $4.2K -$375 11-10 17:02
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +5,484 $3,189 74¢ $4.0K +$842 11-10 01:45
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +4,103 $3,818 95¢ $3.9K +$99 11-09 21:59
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? Yes +3,561 $2,327 95¢ $3.4K +$1,063 11-04 22:27
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? No +3,437 $2,782 86¢ $2.9K +$157 11-05 00:06
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +7,372 $3,096 38¢ $2.8K -$291 11-10 11:12
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%? No +2,882 $2,290 95¢ $2.7K +$440 11-06 19:24
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,817 $2,535 90¢ $2.5K -$7 11-09 13:23
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +2,801 $2,086 89¢ $2.5K +$403 11-06 05:42
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +10,331 $2,408 24¢ $2.4K +$35 11-10 16:24
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +2,769 $2,337 87¢ $2.4K +$81 11-08 18:00
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10? No +2,626 $2,402 91¢ $2.4K -$22 11-10 17:10
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes -3,596 -$2,403 66¢ $-2355 +$48 11-09 22:26
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +2,082 $1,624 99¢ $2.1K +$444 11-04 08:31