Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.19K

Unrealized P&L

-$13

Hit rate

19.6%

Resolved

654

Trades

3,638

lifetime

Volume

$22.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 10-29 05:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Other

63% 29% -$763

Politics

27% 15% -$405

Sports

4% 35% -$7

Tech

4% 11% -$17

Crypto

2% 20% -$2

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 281 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	Yes	+20	$14	30¢	$6	-$9	10-25 19:31
saudi arabia military action against yemen on october 8	No	+20	$6	22¢	$4	-$2	10-15 07:25
will farsi hengam hormuz or kharg island no longer be under iranian control by october 31 2026	Yes	+20	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	10-01 02:15
will an ai lab announce another millennium prize solution by december 31 2027	Yes	+0	$1	64¢	$0	-$1	09-08 21:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 12?	11	$136	138	138	+0	No	-$5	08-12 07:25
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 12?	12	$124	125	125	+0	Yes	-$4	08-12 07:25
houthi military action against saudi arabia on october 2	12	$121	160	140	+20	open	—	10-29 05:54
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 12?	10	$106	106	106	+0	No	-$1	08-12 07:25
Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?	3	$85	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	10-11 07:00
Will Amanda Green be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?	2	$82	50	50	+0	Yes	-$1	08-17 11:24
Will the lowest temperature in London be 22°C on August 14?	6	$82	80	40	+40	Yes	-$2	08-14 09:47
will anthropic announce a millennium prize solution by december 31 2026	2	$77	50	50	+0	open	—	09-10 01:31
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 9?	10	$74	113	20	+93	No	-$3	08-09 15:20
Will Haniff Hoosen be the next mayor of eThekwini?	5	$74	80	80	+0	open	—	10-19 00:56
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.65 and $0.70 on November 30, 2026?	2	$72	180	180	+0	open	—	10-08 09:44
ctas quarterly earnings gaap eps 09 23 2026 1pt37	2	$72	50	50	+0	No	-$10	09-10 17:29
Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?	2	$71	140	140	+0	open	—	10-13 06:21
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by 7-10%?	6	$69	70	70	+0	Yes	-$5	09-10 20:16
Will Zenaide Maia win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?	7	$68	60	60	+0	No	-$9	09-08 15:44
Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Jalisco Congress election?	2	$63	100	100	+0	open	—	10-13 14:24
Will Kristina Loewen win the next Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	2	$62	80	80	+0	open	—	10-12 11:06
will xagusd reach 67 by september 7 2026 from september 8	4	$60	40	40	+0	Yes	$0	09-08 20:52
Closer Senate Race: Alaska or Texas?	6	$57	80	60	+20	open	—	10-27 02:42
will canza launch a token by december 31 2026	8	$57	60	60	+0	open	—	10-27 06:40
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 35%-40%?	6	$56	45	45	+0	open	—	10-10 10:40
will runner score at least 66 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	3	$55	50	50	+0	Yes	-$2	09-09 23:30
Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government?	4	$54	59	59	+0	open	—	10-08 14:48
Will Cid Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?	4	$53	40	40	+0	Yes	-$3	09-04 21:12
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 20?	4	$52	40	40	+0	No	-$2	08-19 22:35
will a hurricane make landfall in hawaii before 2027 20260721182828397	4	$52	40	40	+0	open	—	09-03 22:52
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	6	$51	59	58	+0	Yes	-$4	09-22 19:00
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-06 House election by 60%-65%?	2	$50	80	80	+0	open	—	10-11 19:05
Will Seattle have more than 6 inches of precipitation in October?	2	$50	160	160	+0	open	—	10-03 16:00
Will Marseille reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League quarterfinal?	2	$48	50	50	+0	open	—	09-10 04:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 07:34:13	Will the Chicago Bears win more than 9.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?	U 9.5	SELL	14	25¢	$3	0x16056c…
10-29 07:15:20	Next Kimi K model (3.2+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xd88191…
10-29 07:12:19	Will Ladd McConkey have 3.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	13	49¢	$6	0x656cb0…
10-29 05:54:08	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 2?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x487342…
10-29 02:25:34	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	14	33¢	$5	0xba22d0…
10-29 02:25:32	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x43388f…
10-28 23:23:59	Will Marved play for Sentinels in 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xb1ee08…
10-28 23:23:13	Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x657db7…
10-28 23:02:40	Will Bo Nix have 2,999.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x55a0be…
10-28 22:35:01	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?	No	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x2237d5…
10-28 21:54:47	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xd719ff…
10-28 21:43:55	Will Marved play for LOUD in 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xd506ff…
10-28 20:13:22	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x419a7a…
10-28 19:01:01	Will Alexander Volkanovski fight Jean Silva next?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x32bfd8…
10-28 18:43:59	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x7e3f5f…
10-28 16:45:43	Will Canza launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x68119a…
10-28 16:39:14	Will PP win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xc61597…
10-28 14:35:11	Will KLA Corp (KLAC) Q1 total revenues be above $3.95B?	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x79dbb3…
10-28 13:51:52	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x787f66…
10-28 13:44:53	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x342372…
10-28 13:27:47	Will Lyngby be relegated from the 2026-27 Denmark Superliga?	Yes	BUY	11	49¢	$6	0xddd90f…
10-28 13:15:49	Will Ladd McConkey have 3.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	7	48¢	$4	0xdb4128…
10-28 13:15:49	Will Ladd McConkey have 3.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0x05e73b…
10-28 12:55:07	Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 8.30 ft MLLW or more?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x9364b1…
10-28 11:31:34	Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xa6d9f9…
10-28 11:17:52	Will Puka Nacua have 1,124.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x56ba1a…
10-28 09:13:13	Will Quinshon Judkins have 899.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	31	21¢	$7	0xc65986…
10-28 08:35:22	James Comey charges dropped by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x2f19b3…
10-28 08:32:01	Will Faber announce it will resume sales of Sally Rooney's books in the UK by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xabe9f4…
10-28 08:10:01	Will Cardinals D/ST finish as a top-12 D/ST in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x6913b0…
10-28 08:01:19	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	SELL	13	24¢	$3	0xb633d3…
10-28 07:51:16	Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x0a224c…
10-28 07:51:01	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xac5195…
10-28 07:24:19	Will Joe Burrow have 3,999.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x7be49b…
10-28 06:58:16	Will AP call US Senate control by November 18, 11:59 PM?	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xc964e3…
10-28 06:28:31	Will FC Cajamarca be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xef2776…
10-28 06:04:11	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	17	25¢	$4	0x2674f1…
10-28 05:58:55	Will Justin Herbert have 3,599.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x2e8513…
10-28 05:07:10	Will FC Cajamarca be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xa67b27…
10-28 03:33:09	Will Drake London have 7.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x8752ed…
10-28 03:20:28	Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $30 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	24¢	$5	0xcf0382…
10-28 03:10:36	Next Kimi K model (3.2+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x07746c…
10-28 03:08:56	GitHub.com critical incident by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x434a84…
10-28 02:57:32	Will Linde (LIN) Q3 sales be above $9.05B?	No	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0xce4014…
10-28 01:46:33	Will Puka Nacua have 1,124.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xa28e3f…
10-28 00:59:30	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-14 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x77b5f3…
10-28 00:33:14	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-07 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xd8c0df…
10-28 00:26:30	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0x0b00a9…
10-28 00:06:24	Will Colston Loveland have 599.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5cf4f7…
10-27 23:55:00	Will Payton Pritchard win the 2026-27 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0xfb3c28…
10-27 23:17:09	GitHub.com critical incident by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xbcf394…
10-27 23:01:33	Closer Senate Race: Florida or South Carolina?	Florida	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xdd9d89…
10-27 22:58:56	Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2028?	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xef61f0…
10-27 22:32:36	Will the Houston Texans have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0x1e67ff…
10-27 22:28:54	Will Josh Allen have 21.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x420216…
10-27 22:05:38	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$1	0xb4409b…
10-27 22:05:36	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0xd93851…
10-27 21:38:48	Will Payton Pritchard win the 2026-27 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xe2758b…
10-27 20:28:30	Will insani leave MIBR before 2027?	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x1c7dca…
10-27 20:12:33	Will PP win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x335a45…
10-27 20:10:56	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xc7425e…
10-27 19:33:33	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x1dee0c…
10-27 19:16:23	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-14 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x3b4056…
10-27 19:03:05	Will Puka Nacua have 7.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xe784ac…
10-27 18:38:00	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 29?	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x5588c8…
10-27 18:34:03	Will Alexander Volkanovski fight Jean Silva next?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x864b15…
10-27 16:49:38	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x492802…
10-27 16:24:56	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 22?	Yes	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0xa0a5c4…
10-27 16:16:12	Will Nico Collins have 8.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0x3b1cce…
10-27 16:02:35	Will Quinshon Judkins have 899.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x8e7fd2…
10-27 16:02:35	Will Quinshon Judkins have 899.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	11	23¢	$3	0x134787…
10-27 16:02:26	Will Justin Herbert have 3,099.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	19	34¢	$7	0x42addf…
10-27 15:29:00	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x64a92d…
10-27 14:57:27	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x9bba26…
10-27 14:47:09	Will AP call US Senate control by November 18, 11:59 PM?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x47dcca…
10-27 14:43:48	Will Justin Herbert have 3,099.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0x171c7f…
10-27 13:09:14	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xeb18df…
10-27 13:09:05	Will Bo Nix have 2,999.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x757abe…
10-27 12:19:47	Will Canza launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x285678…
10-27 11:34:47	Will Garrett Wilson have 6.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x127963…
10-27 11:30:50	Will the Houston Texans have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	12	21¢	$2	0x2ccf17…
10-27 11:16:30	Will Nico Collins have 8.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8fb798…
10-27 11:07:38	James Comey charges dropped by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x38aa3a…
10-27 11:06:03	Will Kyle Pitts Sr. finish as a top-12 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x9232fc…
10-27 11:01:09	Will Corning (GLW) Q3 Optical Communications sales be above $2.3B?	Yes	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x08acce…
10-27 10:44:35	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 29?	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xc1528d…
10-27 10:35:26	Will Matthew Golden have 849.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xc0e7ad…
10-27 09:32:08	Will Trevor Lawrence have 3,524.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x67ac16…
10-27 09:19:08	Will Drake London have 7.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xf7b22a…
10-27 09:10:14	Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xf554bf…
10-27 09:10:08	Will Justin Herbert have 3,099.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x8ce278…
10-27 08:40:57	Will Travis Kelce have 6.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x21bf0f…
10-27 08:00:23	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027?	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x602ec0…
10-27 07:57:47	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x0f3b5b…
10-27 07:23:41	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.30% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xda3596…
10-27 07:04:41	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.30% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xcd7a9e…
10-27 06:40:27	Will Canza launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x0d8b15…
10-27 06:34:03	Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xd9c211…
10-27 06:28:35	Will Cardinals D/ST finish as a top-12 D/ST in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xf0fa06…
10-27 06:15:23	Will ADT be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x9484cb…