Realized P&L
+$109
Unrealized P&L
+$169
Hit rate
97.5%
Resolved
8
Trades
15,373
lifetime
Volume
$665.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$683
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 07-01 06:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
75% 88% +$109
Other
20%
Sports
3%
Tech
1%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 258 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +250 $188 74¢ $186 $-2 06-28 07:14
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +200 $120 60¢ $119 $-1 06-27 02:40
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +160 $74 58¢ $94 +$20 06-30 10:14
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -130 $-80 60¢ $-78 +$2 06-08 13:58
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +250 $17 24¢ $59 +$42 06-28 07:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +49 $33 99¢ $49 +$15 06-30 00:45
Discord IPO before 2027? No +50 $22 47¢ $24 +$2 06-30 10:46
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes -20 $-21 96¢ $-19 +$2 06-03 07:57
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -45 $-7 42¢ $-19 $-11 06-20 17:12
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +18 $-19 100¢ $18 +$37 06-21 05:32
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +46 $-60 40¢ $18 +$78 06-30 10:11
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -200 $-8 $-0 +$8 06-08 12:37
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +18 $22 $0 $-22 06-17 13:19