Mundane-Comradeship 0x300c5e…5b6a92 Create alert
whale hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$23.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.71K
Hit rate
72.6%
Resolved
1,340
Trades
34,394
lifetime
Volume
$1.14M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$15.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 11-05 15:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 229 days
Categories
Politics
56% 65% +$14,245
Other
34% 54% +$7,452
Tech
5% 60% +$995
Sports
4% 60% +$208
Crypto
0% 53% +$69
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 517 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? Yes +2,645 $1,316 65¢ $1.7K +$415 11-01 01:49
Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards? No +2,178 $1,517 78¢ $1.7K +$182 10-25 16:04
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? Yes — +1,596 $822 74¢ $1.2K +$351 11-04 10:17
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? No +2,645 $716 35¢ $914 +$197 10-20 02:54
Will "Let Me Sell You a Dream" from Musk be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards? No +1,271 $899 67¢ $852 -$48 10-24 11:15
Will "Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? No — +950 $696 88¢ $840 +$144 10-24 07:14
Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards? No +563 $299 97¢ $548 +$249 10-29 00:52
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2027? No +700 $511 77¢ $539 +$28 11-05 15:02
Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +2,178 $493 22¢ $479 -$13 10-25 17:16
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? No +530 $318 80¢ $426 +$108 11-04 03:28
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? No — +1,596 $571 26¢ $423 -$148 11-01 23:05
Will "Let Me Sell You a Dream" from Musk be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +1,271 $253 33¢ $420 +$166 10-29 09:41
Will Zendaya be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No — +413 $366 97¢ $400 +$34 10-24 23:56
Will "The Tuners" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? No — +615 $355 64¢ $390 +$36 10-28 12:20
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +655 $163 58¢ $380 +$217 10-26 22:36
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? No — +440 $98 82¢ $363 +$265 10-27 23:49
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +390 -$572 89¢ $347 +$920 09-22 10:27
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? No +645 $492 52¢ $335 -$157 11-05 08:29
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +795 $343 42¢ $334 -$10 11-05 22:45
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -300 -$267 99¢ $-298 -$31 04-30 16:24
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027? Yes +457 $193 64¢ $294 +$101 10-28 03:17
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? No +369 $130 74¢ $272 +$142 10-24 09:43
Will "Magan's Fare" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? No +299 $220 90¢ $270 +$50 10-21 10:41
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? Yes +752 $194 32¢ $244 +$51 11-05 08:28
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? No +357 $217 68¢ $241 +$24 11-05 08:28
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No -270 -$233 89¢ $-240 -$6 06-15 20:27
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +270 $74 88¢ $238 +$164 08-17 03:12
Will "The Tuners" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes — +615 $111 36¢ $224 +$113 10-28 12:21
rahul gandhi arrested by december 31 2026 No — +283 $176 78¢ $221 +$45 10-20 03:24
Will "Tangles" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes — +435 $99 50¢ $217 +$118 10-23 08:11