Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$45
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
6
lifetime
Volume
$290
lifetime
Avg / trade
$48
Open exposure
$336
5 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-05 13:11
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
84%
Politics
16%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? Yes -400 $-121 44¢ $-174 $-53 05-05 13:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No +100 $85 84¢ $84 $-2 05-05 08:20
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? Yes -140 $-37 28¢ $-39 $-2 05-05 13:10
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026? No -312 $-32 $-22 +$10 05-05 01:10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes +26 $15 66¢ $17 +$2 05-05 00:44