Mundane-Comradeship — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$109

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.5%

Resolved

Trades

16,832

lifetime

Volume

$721.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 08-11 17:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

74% 88% +$109

Other

21% — —

Sports

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 115 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	859	$33.9K	24,529	23,078	+1,451	open	—	02-01 07:14
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	258	$30.8K	23,102	21,889	+1,213	open	—	04-07 21:57
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	147	$23.3K	13,878	13,878	+0	open	—	03-29 01:29
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	151	$18.8K	12,293	12,143	+150	open	—	04-07 23:12
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	182	$13.7K	8,794	13,494	-4,700	open	—	02-04 06:30
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	429	$13.6K	19,778	20,180	-402	open	—	01-31 14:00
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	244	$13.5K	12,285	16,237	-3,952	open	—	02-09 15:25
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	145	$13.3K	8,936	8,936	+0	open	—	04-21 23:13
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	175	$10.8K	9,572	9,077	+495	open	—	04-21 23:49
will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	228	$10.3K	7,790	7,514	+277	open	—	02-28 07:08
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	236	$10.1K	13,155	11,565	+1,590	open	—	04-20 23:53
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	210	$9.9K	18,558	18,565	-7	open	—	04-07 22:39
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	57	$9.7K	5,877	5,877	+0	open	—	03-08 12:22
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	61	$9.4K	4,645	6,985	-2,340	open	—	06-22 01:55
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	126	$9.3K	8,364	8,364	+0	open	—	03-31 00:14
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	147	$8.6K	8,888	8,896	-8	open	—	03-31 00:14
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more	82	$8.0K	6,747	6,667	+80	open	—	02-13 19:03
another us government shutdown by february 14	91	$7.5K	5,911	5,610	+300	open	—	02-13 18:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	89	$7.1K	7,017	7,017	+0	open	—	05-24 14:14
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	127	$7.0K	7,107	7,107	+0	open	—	02-19 09:52
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	68	$6.8K	3,973	3,973	+0	open	—	03-07 17:51
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	146	$6.3K	5,522	5,262	+260	open	—	03-08 11:35
will shafiqur rahman be the next prime minister of bangladesh after the parliamentary election	45	$6.3K	3,440	3,440	+0	open	—	02-13 06:08
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	61	$6.2K	3,693	3,663	+30	open	—	04-24 01:35
will the us next strike iran during the week of march 29 april 4 2026 et	27	$5.6K	2,900	2,861	+39	open	—	02-28 08:47
will the gatorade shower at super bowl lx be orange	480	$5.5K	12,170	11,316	+854	open	—	02-09 03:11
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	69	$5.4K	3,781	3,781	+0	open	—	04-19 02:38
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	88	$5.3K	4,132	3,932	+200	open	—	03-31 23:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	62	$5.0K	3,330	3,260	+70	open	—	05-31 17:06
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	136	$5.0K	14,109	14,109	+0	open	—	03-29 01:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 17:28:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	70	24¢	$17	0x6de4ea…
08-11 17:27:33	will abbas araghchi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044260	No	BUY	70	77¢	$54	0x8f95b2…
08-11 16:25:10	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044261	No	SELL	150	83¢	$124	0x6a3460…
08-11 16:25:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	150	23¢	$34	0xaf802e…
08-11 16:20:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x635cee…
08-11 16:06:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by november 30 20260810151158765	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x5d2c8f…
08-11 15:44:52	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0x22da14…
08-11 15:33:10	trump meets with putin by december 31	Yes	BUY	67	35¢	$23	0x5282dd…
08-11 15:31:58	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	BUY	67	62¢	$41	0x4894ab…
08-11 15:20:48	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	SELL	237	25¢	$60	0x06e723…
08-11 15:11:24	will the highest score achieved by a spacexai grok model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723191456652	No	SELL	40	62¢	$25	0x4153c2…
08-11 15:11:15	will the highest score achieved by a spacexai grok model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 50 or higher 20260723191456651	Yes	SELL	40	61¢	$24	0xe9080e…
08-11 15:10:00	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 90 or higher 20260723190142929	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xa09d06…
08-11 15:09:40	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 90 or higher 20260723190142929	No	SELL	80	94¢	$75	0x7daa39…
08-11 14:30:18	ssi public model released by september 30 2026 20260810094604190	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x0fe5c5…
08-11 14:21:54	ssi public model released by october 31 2026 20260810094604191	No	SELL	100	64¢	$64	0xca9091…
08-11 14:10:49	will the highest score achieved by a moonshot kimi model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723191206823	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x823a41…
08-11 14:10:37	will the highest score achieved by a moonshot kimi model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723191206824	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xc31584…
08-11 11:58:34	iran successfully targets shipping on august 8 2026 20260729163314528	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x3c63db…
08-11 10:49:52	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 90 or higher 20260723190142929	No	BUY	302	90¢	$272	0x1c947b…
08-11 10:32:07	will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190836287	No	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0x80f04f…
08-11 10:32:01	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190142923	Yes	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x9f2702…
08-11 10:04:25	will sheins closing ipo market cap be at least 250b hkd 20260727205430943	Yes	SELL	21	44¢	$9	0xea127a…
08-11 10:04:16	will sheins closing ipo market cap be at least 300b hkd 20260727205430942	No	SELL	21	84¢	$18	0x25ec97…
08-11 09:52:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0xc28d80…
08-11 09:51:22	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044261	No	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0xc749bb…
08-11 07:57:28	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044261	No	BUY	235	83¢	$195	0xaed09b…
08-11 07:57:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	235	17¢	$40	0x3506f2…
08-11 04:41:19	will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190836287	No	BUY	80	43¢	$35	0xf5accd…
08-11 04:40:57	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190142923	Yes	BUY	80	51¢	$41	0xbcc279…
08-11 04:05:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	SELL	115	48¢	$55	0xb5205b…
08-11 02:38:57	will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190836287	No	BUY	80	44¢	$35	0xc6d43d…
08-11 02:38:51	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190142923	Yes	BUY	80	58¢	$46	0x1bd6a4…
08-11 02:23:36	will the highest score achieved by a spacexai grok model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723191456652	No	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x61feab…
08-11 02:23:01	will the highest score achieved by a spacexai grok model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 50 or higher 20260723191456651	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xb55499…
08-11 01:32:13	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190142923	Yes	BUY	190	61¢	$116	0x886223…
08-11 01:32:07	will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190836287	No	BUY	190	43¢	$81	0x744c2c…
08-11 01:28:21	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	BUY	78	63¢	$49	0x207e87…
08-11 01:18:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x350766…
08-11 01:17:55	will kazem gharibabadi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044265	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xd10f6d…
08-10 18:16:01	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044261	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x92e7f4…
08-10 18:15:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x5ea2c6…
08-10 18:14:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	70	19¢	$13	0xfa3f53…
08-10 18:14:42	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044261	No	BUY	70	82¢	$57	0xe91dea…
08-10 18:12:55	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0xb47633…
08-10 18:10:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	65	19¢	$12	0xd7eafa…
08-10 18:10:19	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044261	No	BUY	65	82¢	$53	0xd55abb…
08-10 18:03:15	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	BUY	170	61¢	$103	0x2813d7…
08-10 14:35:19	Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?	No	SELL	70	77¢	$54	0xc4a734…
08-10 14:31:39	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	No	SELL	87	94¢	$81	0xfa0173…
08-10 11:28:03	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	SELL	31	61¢	$19	0x5885dd…
08-10 11:27:52	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 20 20260808192512604	No	SELL	31	52¢	$16	0xbe7b4c…
08-10 11:24:49	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	No	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0x49a986…
08-10 09:35:49	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0xb1c7ea…
08-10 09:35:28	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0xc816eb…
08-10 09:33:13	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	6¢	$1	0xc79f06…
08-10 09:26:30	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	SELL	40	60¢	$24	0x828e07…
08-10 09:26:21	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 20 20260808192512604	No	SELL	40	52¢	$21	0x95defa…
08-10 09:23:19	will the highest score achieved by a moonshot kimi model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 50 or higher 20260723191206822	Yes	SELL	37	41¢	$15	0x03fc3f…
08-10 09:23:15	will the highest score achieved by a moonshot kimi model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723191206823	No	SELL	37	80¢	$29	0xc41bff…
08-10 09:14:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0x2b955f…
08-10 09:14:12	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0x4f9770…
08-10 09:14:12	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	SELL	28	44¢	$12	0x089b3e…
08-10 09:14:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0xfbbf8e…
08-10 09:10:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	SELL	400	44¢	$176	0x78436e…
08-10 00:40:45	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x436237…
08-10 00:39:57	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0xd7ffa1…
08-10 00:39:57	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x256047…
08-09 22:07:04	Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?	No	BUY	60	90¢	$54	0xb1dc25…
08-09 18:18:28	iran successfully targets shipping on august 7 2026 20260729163314527	No	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0xf24f95…
08-09 16:13:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	33	72¢	$24	0xb97eaf…
08-09 16:12:45	will steve witkoff attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044258	Yes	SELL	33	22¢	$7	0xe656f9…
08-09 16:00:24	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	Yes	BUY	89	15¢	$13	0xd93781…
08-09 16:00:10	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	89	89¢	$79	0x4cc3bc…
08-09 14:41:46	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	BUY	138	33¢	$45	0x87d158…
08-09 10:09:25	will the highest score achieved by a moonshot kimi model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 50 or higher 20260723191206822	No	BUY	54	68¢	$37	0xc59bc0…
08-09 10:09:13	will the highest score achieved by a moonshot kimi model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723191206824	No	SELL	54	86¢	$46	0xd51f99…
08-09 09:25:43	will the highest score achieved by a moonshot kimi model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 50 or higher 20260723191206822	Yes	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x4f30a9…
08-09 09:17:16	will the highest score achieved by a moonshot kimi model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723191206824	No	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0xb21930…
08-09 09:15:01	will the highest score achieved by a moonshot kimi model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723191206824	No	BUY	46	75¢	$34	0x42c260…
08-09 09:05:00	will the highest score achieved by a moonshot kimi model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 50 or higher 20260723191206822	Yes	BUY	40	33¢	$13	0xf4ed49…
08-09 08:59:33	will the highest score achieved by a moonshot kimi model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723191206824	No	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x6286aa…
08-09 08:46:21	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	SELL	110	66¢	$73	0x3cdb4a…
08-09 08:25:16	will the highest score achieved by a moonshot kimi model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 50 or higher 20260723191206822	No	SELL	43	65¢	$28	0xf579c9…
08-09 08:18:13	will the highest score achieved by a moonshot kimi model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723191206823	No	BUY	37	60¢	$22	0xf5ef9a…
08-09 08:17:28	will the highest score achieved by a moonshot kimi model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723191206824	No	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x7a93f0…
08-09 08:15:16	will the highest score achieved by a google gemini model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 65 or higher 20260723192605549	No	SELL	60	84¢	$50	0x28c627…
08-09 08:15:03	will the highest score achieved by a google gemini model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723192605548	No	BUY	60	80¢	$48	0x11a624…
08-09 08:10:45	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 80 or higher 20260723190142927	No	SELL	116	94¢	$110	0xbfbaee…
08-09 08:10:34	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 75 or higher 20260723190142926	No	BUY	116	88¢	$102	0xcf048a…
08-09 07:35:40	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 20 20260808192512604	No	BUY	71	41¢	$29	0xf16ab5…
08-09 07:35:31	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	71	67¢	$48	0x6f252c…
08-09 06:28:43	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	SELL	250	66¢	$165	0xc27b43…
08-09 06:27:18	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	No	SELL	25	81¢	$20	0xd96b8f…
08-09 06:27:12	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	SELL	25	30¢	$8	0xb200b6…
08-09 04:57:42	iran successfully targets shipping by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x409a6e…
08-09 04:02:19	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0xc2e08e…
08-09 04:00:09	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	BUY	70	42¢	$29	0xa559df…
08-09 03:10:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xafb41e…
08-09 03:10:01	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xd320a7…