| 11-04 13:28:34 |
Vance's Republican nomination odds dip to 30% by December 31?
|
Yes |
SELL |
260 |
100¢ |
$260 |
0x8a3578…
|
| 11-04 11:36:03 |
Vance's Republican nomination odds dip to 30% by December 31?
|
Yes |
BUY |
260 |
74¢ |
$193 |
0x72be0c…
|
| 11-04 10:17:49 |
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?
|
Yes |
SELL |
250 |
76¢ |
$190 |
0xa2a8a4…
|
| 11-04 07:05:27 |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
130 |
24¢ |
$31 |
0x9d3c74…
|
| 11-04 07:05:07 |
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
130 |
74¢ |
$96 |
0x4ef51a…
|
| 11-04 04:47:37 |
Vance's Republican nomination odds hit 40% by December 31?
|
Yes |
BUY |
228 |
25¢ |
$56 |
0x51d061…
|
| 11-04 04:47:24 |
Vance's Republican nomination odds hit 45% by December 31?
|
No |
BUY |
228 |
81¢ |
$185 |
0xbfdde8…
|
| 11-04 03:29:12 |
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
25¢ |
$1 |
0x945c79…
|
| 11-04 03:29:12 |
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
|
Yes |
SELL |
118 |
24¢ |
$28 |
0x70d970…
|
| 11-04 03:28:36 |
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
|
No |
BUY |
5 |
70¢ |
$3 |
0x29db46…
|
| 11-04 03:28:34 |
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
|
No |
SELL |
127 |
81¢ |
$103 |
0x2ce9d2…
|
| 11-04 01:03:33 |
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?
|
Yes |
BUY |
250 |
70¢ |
$175 |
0x27e321…
|
| 11-04 00:57:49 |
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?
|
Yes |
SELL |
11 |
36¢ |
$4 |
0x0734cb…
|
| 11-04 00:57:45 |
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
|
No |
SELL |
10 |
76¢ |
$8 |
0xf6f090…
|
| 11-04 00:20:39 |
Will "Dollhouse Elephant" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
|
Yes |
SELL |
9 |
22¢ |
$2 |
0x3580c1…
|
| 11-04 00:19:18 |
Will "Dollhouse Elephant" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
25¢ |
$1 |
0x737b4b…
|
| 11-04 00:15:31 |
Will "El Cuerpo de Cristo" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
|
Yes |
SELL |
12 |
23¢ |
$3 |
0xb60156…
|
| 11-04 00:01:16 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
|
No |
SELL |
15 |
8¢ |
$1 |
0xf42c6f…
|
| 11-03 23:37:51 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 3 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
5 |
17¢ |
$1 |
0x840531…
|
| 11-03 23:04:19 |
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk by November 30?
|
Yes |
SELL |
40 |
61¢ |
$24 |
0xb93bdc…
|
| 11-03 22:14:04 |
anthropic reports another ai sandbox escape by november 30 20261103
|
Yes |
BUY |
60 |
20¢ |
$12 |
0x5ec500…
|
| 11-03 22:05:46 |
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
|
Yes |
BUY |
100 |
24¢ |
$24 |
0xe61cb4…
|
| 11-03 22:05:10 |
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
300 |
62¢ |
$186 |
0xaba242…
|
| 11-03 21:07:52 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 3 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
5 |
17¢ |
$1 |
0x37b2c8…
|
| 11-03 18:40:49 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on November 27, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
92 |
88¢ |
$81 |
0x953e99…
|
| 11-03 15:17:01 |
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
|
Yes |
SELL |
36 |
27¢ |
$10 |
0xaef7e1…
|
| 11-03 15:17:01 |
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
26¢ |
$1 |
0xa8374e…
|
| 11-03 15:16:28 |
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
|
Yes |
SELL |
40 |
29¢ |
$11 |
0x4cbda4…
|
| 11-03 14:46:24 |
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
|
Yes |
BUY |
76 |
22¢ |
$17 |
0x7da65c…
|
| 11-03 13:13:21 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on November 27, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
1 |
89¢ |
$1 |
0x943524…
|
| 11-03 10:59:52 |
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
25¢ |
$1 |
0xf07a4e…
|
| 11-03 09:57:12 |
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
|
No |
SELL |
142 |
78¢ |
$111 |
0xc24127…
|
| 11-03 09:54:45 |
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
|
No |
BUY |
146 |
74¢ |
$108 |
0x284346…
|
| 11-03 09:13:49 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
15 |
10¢ |
$2 |
0xba7ee7…
|
| 11-03 09:13:19 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
|
Yes |
SELL |
5 |
90¢ |
$5 |
0x0c2625…
|
| 11-03 09:12:48 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
|
Yes |
SELL |
858 |
93¢ |
$796 |
0xa0690a…
|
| 11-03 09:12:46 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
94¢ |
$5 |
0xf59da6…
|
| 11-03 09:10:54 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 3 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
6 |
16¢ |
$1 |
0xa25d79…
|
| 11-03 09:10:51 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 3 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
50 |
17¢ |
$8 |
0xaee237…
|
| 11-03 09:10:51 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 3 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
13 |
17¢ |
$2 |
0x1b8e95…
|
| 11-03 09:10:49 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 3 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
73 |
17¢ |
$12 |
0xff6577…
|
| 11-03 09:10:49 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 3 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
11 |
17¢ |
$2 |
0x566686…
|
| 11-03 09:10:49 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 3 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
63 |
17¢ |
$11 |
0x50d98c…
|
| 11-03 09:10:49 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 3 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
10 |
18¢ |
$2 |
0x41d4ce…
|
| 11-03 09:10:49 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 3 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
|
No |
SELL |
713 |
18¢ |
$130 |
0x3010c7…
|
| 11-03 08:22:33 |
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
27¢ |
$1 |
0x5bbde4…
|
| 11-03 06:44:52 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on November 5, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
5 |
85¢ |
$4 |
0x71d4e8…
|
| 11-03 06:38:03 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on November 27, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
7 |
89¢ |
$6 |
0x6858b2…
|
| 11-03 02:30:36 |
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1430 by June 30, 2027?
|
Yes |
SELL |
135 |
89¢ |
$120 |
0x79bd6f…
|
| 11-03 02:30:30 |
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?
|
No |
SELL |
135 |
42¢ |
$57 |
0x815018…
|
| 11-03 02:21:58 |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?
|
No |
SELL |
112 |
29¢ |
$33 |
0xe728a0…
|
| 11-03 02:21:45 |
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2027?
|
No |
SELL |
112 |
81¢ |
$90 |
0xc41358…
|
| 11-03 02:14:12 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
|
Yes |
BUY |
858 |
90¢ |
$774 |
0xa6a662…
|
| 11-03 01:19:10 |
will donald trump publicly insult someone on november 27 2026
|
Yes |
BUY |
100 |
81¢ |
$81 |
0x0ff01e…
|
| 11-03 01:06:45 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
|
Yes |
SELL |
760 |
93¢ |
$708 |
0xcf1214…
|
| 11-03 01:00:40 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 3 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
5 |
18¢ |
$1 |
0xa7d092…
|
| 11-03 00:56:27 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on November 5, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
3 |
85¢ |
$3 |
0xf81694…
|
| 11-03 00:55:42 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on November 5, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
2 |
85¢ |
$1 |
0xfc1f3b…
|
| 11-03 00:54:42 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on November 5, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
62 |
90¢ |
$55 |
0x32834d…
|
| 11-03 00:28:48 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on November 5, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
30 |
8¢ |
$2 |
0xb97f57…
|
| 11-03 00:28:48 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on November 5, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
10 |
8¢ |
$1 |
0x623b91…
|
| 11-03 00:10:42 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on November 5, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
8¢ |
$2 |
0xe2d76f…
|
| 11-02 23:28:00 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on November 5, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
122 |
79¢ |
$96 |
0xc9758c…
|
| 11-02 22:45:52 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 3 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
5 |
18¢ |
$1 |
0x0bc3ef…
|
| 11-02 22:39:39 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 3 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
68 |
26¢ |
$17 |
0x550c3c…
|
| 11-02 22:38:37 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 3 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
5 |
20¢ |
$1 |
0x44cc0f…
|
| 11-02 22:38:31 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 3 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
5 |
20¢ |
$1 |
0x7591b2…
|
| 11-02 22:38:16 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 3 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
20¢ |
$4 |
0x777424…
|
| 11-02 22:38:03 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 3 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
10 |
20¢ |
$2 |
0x0e96c1…
|
| 11-02 22:33:33 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 3 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
595 |
14¢ |
$82 |
0x6371a3…
|
| 11-02 22:31:22 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
|
Yes |
BUY |
760 |
87¢ |
$659 |
0xec2f5a…
|
| 11-02 17:07:09 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
|
Yes |
SELL |
10 |
91¢ |
$9 |
0x6e7950…
|
| 11-02 17:06:48 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
|
Yes |
SELL |
500 |
93¢ |
$467 |
0x25379c…
|
| 11-02 17:06:46 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
94¢ |
$5 |
0xfe2e4c…
|
| 11-02 16:08:06 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?
|
No |
BUY |
5 |
55¢ |
$3 |
0x78eb6d…
|
| 11-02 16:06:43 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
53¢ |
$11 |
0x639097…
|
| 11-02 16:03:58 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
48¢ |
$2 |
0xba4788…
|
| 11-02 16:03:34 |
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
|
Yes |
BUY |
20 |
39¢ |
$8 |
0xf38ba1…
|
| 11-02 13:26:49 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
|
Yes |
BUY |
500 |
89¢ |
$445 |
0x9a1764…
|
| 11-02 13:23:06 |
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?
|
No |
SELL |
200 |
55¢ |
$110 |
0xb179e0…
|
| 11-02 13:22:52 |
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?
|
Yes |
SELL |
200 |
74¢ |
$148 |
0x187c1e…
|
| 11-02 03:00:57 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher?
|
No |
SELL |
5 |
76¢ |
$4 |
0x71eb73…
|
| 11-02 03:00:57 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher?
|
No |
SELL |
310 |
76¢ |
$237 |
0x20b234…
|
| 11-02 02:47:04 |
Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
5 |
62¢ |
$3 |
0x7dfeff…
|
| 11-02 01:31:49 |
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
36 |
31¢ |
$11 |
0x6a0eb7…
|
| 11-02 01:01:21 |
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
36 |
31¢ |
$11 |
0x5a9514…
|
| 11-02 00:55:48 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher?
|
No |
BUY |
5 |
80¢ |
$4 |
0x7df034…
|
| 11-02 00:51:21 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher?
|
No |
BUY |
5 |
80¢ |
$4 |
0xe3ef97…
|
| 11-02 00:50:31 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher?
|
No |
BUY |
322 |
73¢ |
$236 |
0xeb8fdb…
|
| 11-02 00:50:31 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher?
|
No |
BUY |
11 |
79¢ |
$9 |
0x45014f…
|
| 11-02 00:37:22 |
Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
65¢ |
$3 |
0xae9dac…
|
| 11-02 00:00:13 |
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1430 by June 30, 2027?
|
Yes |
SELL |
200 |
89¢ |
$177 |
0x0fc3a2…
|
| 11-01 23:59:49 |
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?
|
Yes |
BUY |
200 |
70¢ |
$140 |
0xad7b77…
|
| 11-01 23:32:28 |
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
|
Yes |
SELL |
181 |
34¢ |
$61 |
0x109509…
|
| 11-01 23:31:30 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?
|
No |
BUY |
1 |
56¢ |
$0 |
0xbddb89…
|
| 11-01 23:31:28 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?
|
No |
SELL |
20 |
57¢ |
$11 |
0x6093b4…
|
| 11-01 23:30:36 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?
|
No |
BUY |
1 |
56¢ |
$0 |
0xb3b73c…
|
| 11-01 23:30:34 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?
|
No |
SELL |
20 |
57¢ |
$11 |
0xfe8f94…
|
| 11-01 23:30:19 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?
|
No |
BUY |
1 |
56¢ |
$0 |
0xa9088e…
|
| 11-01 23:30:18 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?
|
No |
SELL |
20 |
57¢ |
$11 |
0x849fe6…
|