Realized P&L
+$109
Unrealized P&L
+$234
Hit rate
97.5%
Resolved
8
Trades
15,989
lifetime
Volume
$686.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$1.14K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 07-21 16:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
75% 88% +$109
Other
20%
Sports
4%
Tech
1%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +520 $324 70¢ $361 +$38 07-19 03:21
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +495 $323 68¢ $334 +$11 07-20 15:46
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +381 $16 30¢ $116 +$100 07-20 15:45
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -130 $-80 70¢ $-90 $-10 06-08 13:58
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -100 $-78 80¢ $-80 $-3 07-05 00:06
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes +171 $45 32¢ $55 +$10 07-19 12:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +100 $11 46¢ $46 +$36 07-19 08:50
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +18 $-19 100¢ $18 +$37 06-21 05:32
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -100 $-63 18¢ $-18 +$45 07-05 00:06
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -45 $-7 32¢ $-15 $-7 06-20 17:12
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? Yes +160 $5 $4 $-1 07-10 02:07
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +18 $22 $0 $-22 06-17 13:19