Realized P&L (30d)
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
Resolved (30d)
0
Trades (30d)
7
7 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$301
$301 lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$292
6 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-05 23:30
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
81%
Politics
19%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? Yes -400 $-121 33¢ $-132 $-11 05-05 13:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No +100 $85 84¢ $84 $-2 05-05 08:20
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? Yes -140 $-37 20¢ $-27 +$10 05-05 13:10
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026? No -312 $-32 $-22 +$10 05-05 01:10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes +26 $15 62¢ $16 +$1 05-05 00:44
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? Yes -30 $-11 36¢ $-11 +$0 05-05 23:30