Plastic-Larder 0x355e5a…72a038
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$312
Unrealized P&L
+$994
Hit rate
69.0%
Resolved
35
Trades
18,681
lifetime
Volume
$513.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$12.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 12:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
44% 50% +$27
Politics
41% 73% $-377
Tech
7% 100% +$37
Crypto
4% — —
Sports
4% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 537 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +1,400 $1,053 86¢ $1.2K +$144 06-25 21:45
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +967 $882 93¢ $900 +$18 06-17 15:09
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No -876 $-747 91¢ $-801 $-54 06-20 06:08
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? No +746 $692 92¢ $690 $-2 06-22 07:27
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -700 $-642 92¢ $-640 +$2 06-22 19:35
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? No +604 $32 99¢ $598 +$566 06-25 06:53
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No +587 $426 87¢ $512 +$86 06-18 13:15
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No -513 $-331 99¢ $-507 $-175 06-02 05:15
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +895 $390 56¢ $501 +$111 06-28 20:39
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30? No -476 $-460 100¢ $-475 $-15 06-29 20:24
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -742 $-320 55¢ $-404 $-85 06-10 17:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -400 $-403 100¢ $-400 +$3 06-22 12:39
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? No +400 $374 96¢ $383 +$9 06-03 15:56
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No -382 $-376 99¢ $-379 $-2 06-11 04:04
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No -367 $-399 100¢ $-366 +$33 06-13 18:46
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No -348 $-176 99¢ $-346 $-170 06-24 18:17
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? No -336 $-299 88¢ $-294 +$5 06-03 01:04
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? No -300 $-581 95¢ $-284 +$297 06-24 12:30
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +300 $272 92¢ $274 +$2 06-24 19:41
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +382 $250 66¢ $254 +$4 06-30 04:32
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +262 $243 93¢ $245 +$2 06-28 19:30
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +338 $166 71¢ $240 +$74 06-25 15:16
Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026? No +310 $181 76¢ $235 +$55 06-21 08:30
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -292 $-191 75¢ $-219 $-28 06-07 05:27
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? No -210 $-188 90¢ $-189 $-2 06-16 15:57
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No -200 $-226 92¢ $-185 +$41 06-10 18:03
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +322 $145 56¢ $180 +$34 06-29 12:12
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No -193 $-171 92¢ $-177 $-6 06-02 17:24
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? No -138 $-128 95¢ $-131 $-2 05-30 04:50
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -153 $-162 74¢ $-113 +$49 06-23 14:43