Plastic-Larder 0x355e5a…72a038
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$312
Unrealized P&L
-$107
Hit rate
69.0%
Resolved
35
Trades
16,120
lifetime
Volume
$424.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$7.37K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 01:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
48% 50% +$27
Politics
41% 73% $-377
Tech
5% 100% +$37
Crypto
5% — —
Sports
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 537 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? No +1,634 $1,049 68¢ $1.1K +$54 06-08 21:29
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +1,400 $1,069 78¢ $1.1K +$30 06-09 04:31
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No +690 $594 92¢ $638 +$45 06-10 01:59
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No -513 $-331 89¢ $-457 $-125 06-02 05:15
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -842 $-358 45¢ $-383 $-25 06-06 05:07
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? No +400 $374 93¢ $373 $-1 06-03 15:56
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No -367 $-398 89¢ $-326 +$73 06-09 19:53
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +498 $309 64¢ $321 +$12 06-09 21:03
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? No -336 $-299 87¢ $-292 +$7 06-03 01:04
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -292 $-191 67¢ $-196 $-4 06-07 05:27
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No +431 $204 44¢ $188 $-17 06-09 17:50
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No -193 $-171 94¢ $-181 $-10 06-02 17:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +200 $168 86¢ $173 +$5 06-02 18:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +200 $150 84¢ $167 +$17 06-05 12:58
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? No -180 $-160 88¢ $-159 +$1 06-05 14:36
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +200 $136 68¢ $137 +$1 06-07 05:16
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? No -138 $-128 95¢ $-131 $-3 05-30 04:50
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30? No -139 $-126 89¢ $-124 +$3 06-01 14:08
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No -147 $-208 80¢ $-118 +$91 06-08 19:01
Will BP be acquired before 2027? No +120 $102 86¢ $103 +$1 06-08 08:40
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -219 $-112 47¢ $-102 +$10 06-06 12:18
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -100 $126 100¢ $-100 $-226 06-07 19:53
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +138 $60 68¢ $95 +$34 06-10 01:54
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? Yes -100 $-87 93¢ $-93 $-6 05-31 11:00
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No -66 $40 96¢ $-63 $-103 05-31 17:34
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? No +68 $61 92¢ $62 +$0 06-08 06:21
Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026? No +91 $2 68¢ $61 +$60 06-08 18:49
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No -64 $-45 74¢ $-48 $-3 06-07 19:09
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026? No +60 $40 68¢ $41 +$2 06-01 05:26
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? No +429 $67 10¢ $41 $-26 06-02 16:14