Plastic-Larder 0x355e5a…72a038
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$312
Unrealized P&L
+$1.07K
Hit rate
69.0%
Resolved
35
Trades
20,359
lifetime
Volume
$579.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$12.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 22:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
43% 50% +$27
Politics
39% 73% $-377
Sports
7% — —
Tech
6% 100% +$37
Crypto
3% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 537 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? No +1,625 $1,509 96¢ $1.6K +$47 07-20 18:39
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No +1,306 $1,162 93¢ $1.2K +$46 07-06 22:33
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +1,300 $946 84¢ $1.1K +$146 07-18 10:13
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No +1,209 $770 79¢ $953 +$183 07-20 22:37
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +967 $882 95¢ $916 +$34 06-17 15:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -700 $-642 94¢ $-662 $-20 06-22 19:35
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? No +722 $549 80¢ $581 +$32 07-20 18:44
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +676 $468 78¢ $527 +$59 07-12 19:16
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +539 $479 90¢ $485 +$6 07-16 19:58
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? No -575 $-521 84¢ $-480 +$41 07-19 07:55
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -742 $-320 64¢ $-475 $-155 06-10 17:24
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No -356 $-337 94¢ $-336 +$1 07-20 11:09
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +477 $117 67¢ $319 +$203 07-14 18:42
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +392 $156 77¢ $303 +$148 07-20 18:42
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -363 $-249 76¢ $-278 $-29 07-09 23:59
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +300 $272 92¢ $274 +$2 06-24 19:41
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +338 $160 78¢ $262 +$102 07-16 03:14
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? No +284 $213 82¢ $233 +$20 07-20 20:27
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? No -210 $-188 94¢ $-197 $-9 06-16 15:57
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No +200 $188 96¢ $191 +$3 07-07 11:34
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No -200 $-226 94¢ $-189 +$37 06-10 18:03
Trump out as President before 2027? No +200 $184 92¢ $185 +$1 07-04 11:07
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No -193 $-171 96¢ $-185 $-14 06-02 17:24
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? No +184 $168 94¢ $174 +$6 07-20 18:38
Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026? No +194 $74 88¢ $172 +$98 07-17 05:14
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +225 $116 61¢ $137 +$21 07-20 12:05
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? No -138 $-128 96¢ $-132 $-4 05-30 04:50
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +129 $112 97¢ $126 +$14 07-12 18:48
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +139 $119 90¢ $125 +$7 07-20 18:40
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -153 $-162 80¢ $-122 +$40 06-23 14:43