Plastic-Larder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$312

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.0%

Resolved

Trades

22,886

lifetime

Volume

$669.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 12:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

44% 50% +$27

Politics

38% 73% $-377

Tech

8% 100% +$37

Sports

6% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 537 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	439	$19.8K	45,131	2,840	+42,291	open	—	06-30 20:16
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	763	$18.3K	21,730	12,341	+9,389	open	—	06-29 16:23
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	199	$9.6K	12,456	9,956	+2,500	open	—	07-20 15:58
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	146	$8.7K	5,893	5,175	+718	open	—	08-06 10:21
will mrbeasts next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 5	23	$5.8K	3,103	3,103	+0	open	—	02-12 15:49
will polymarket mindshare hit 85 278	51	$5.8K	3,822	4,373	-551	open	—	03-29 20:36
will mrbeasts next video get between 35pt5 and 36pt0 million views on day 4	82	$5.7K	4,850	4,860	-10	open	—	02-25 16:07
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 682	94	$5.3K	4,870	5,117	-247	open	—	01-25 12:18
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 867	122	$5.1K	8,084	7,869	+215	open	—	01-30 18:24
will the announcers say powerade during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403325	66	$4.8K	6,033	4,506	+1,527	open	—	07-19 16:40
btc updown 15m 1770809400	65	$4.8K	2,899	3,075	-176	open	—	02-11 11:45
will mrbeasts latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1	45	$4.7K	3,834	3,300	+535	open	—	02-27 21:38
will trump praise delcy rodriguez by june 30	180	$4.4K	4,911	4,831	+80	open	—	06-29 14:50
will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190836287	59	$4.2K	5,422	3,252	+2,170	open	—	08-09 16:14
will mrbeasts next video get between 35pt0 and 35pt5 million views on day 4	80	$4.2K	3,175	3,094	+81	open	—	02-25 16:12
next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	65	$4.2K	2,834	2,589	+245	open	—	07-29 18:44
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	88	$4.1K	2,404	2,282	+122	open	—	01-31 17:46
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	33	$4.0K	2,594	2,594	+0	open	—	02-01 18:48
Kash Patel out by April 30?	80	$4.0K	2,894	2,754	+140	open	—	04-20 20:32
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	22	$4.0K	2,490	2,090	+400	open	—	07-26 19:42
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	27	$4.0K	2,330	2,492	-162	open	—	08-08 01:16
will trump speak to maria corina machado in june	38	$3.9K	2,181	2,180	+0	open	—	07-02 23:37
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	17	$3.8K	2,118	2,118	+0	open	—	08-05 19:24
will mrbeasts next video get 59 million or more views on day 4	16	$3.7K	2,191	2,191	+0	open	—	03-10 21:33
will mrbeasts next video get between 50pt5 and 51pt0 million views on day 6	34	$3.6K	2,642	2,642	+0	open	—	02-13 14:28
will mrbeasts next video get between 50pt0 and 50pt5 million views on day 6	57	$3.6K	2,031	2,131	-100	open	—	02-13 14:01
will polymarket mindshare hit 90	10	$3.5K	2,065	2,308	-244	open	—	02-25 15:33
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	30	$3.4K	4,070	1,000	+3,070	open	—	06-19 14:33
will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 65 or higher 20260723190836288	49	$3.2K	2,724	1,673	+1,052	open	—	08-09 10:03
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	74	$3.1K	2,538	2,538	+0	open	—	08-09 19:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 13:02:27	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	No	BUY	290	79¢	$228	0xeb2f71…
08-10 12:29:58	will openais astra model be released by september 30 2026 20260801214557732	No	SELL	24	34¢	$8	0xae40fc…
08-10 10:47:43	will openais astra model be released by september 30 2026 20260801214557732	No	SELL	79	34¢	$27	0xc2a8bf…
08-10 10:12:16	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xb49bf8…
08-10 09:33:45	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	No	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xbc6ace…
08-10 09:06:34	will openais astra model be released by september 30 2026 20260801214557732	No	SELL	112	34¢	$38	0x0e70f8…
08-10 09:05:25	will openais astra model be released by september 30 2026 20260801214557732	No	SELL	133	28¢	$37	0x8379c5…
08-10 08:55:40	will openais astra model be released by september 30 2026 20260801214557732	No	SELL	24	28¢	$7	0xe529fb…
08-10 08:31:07	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	97	84¢	$82	0x74086f…
08-10 08:22:55	will the highest score achieved by a moonshot kimi model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 45 or higher 20260723191206821	No	BUY	24	6¢	$1	0xbabce2…
08-10 08:22:46	will the highest score achieved by a moonshot kimi model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 45 or higher 20260723191206821	No	BUY	42	6¢	$3	0x884a62…
08-10 05:44:18	will markwayne mullin leave the trump administration before 2027 20260715195455798	No	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0xf23e44…
08-10 05:30:36	will trump speak to vladimir putin in august 20260731154203518	No	SELL	122	46¢	$56	0x8a3c01…
08-10 05:30:36	will trump speak to vladimir putin in august 20260731154203518	No	SELL	18	46¢	$8	0x0d039a…
08-10 05:29:43	will trump speak to vladimir putin in august 20260731154203518	No	SELL	30	51¢	$15	0xf19d94…
08-10 05:29:19	will trump speak to vladimir putin in august 20260731154203518	No	SELL	11	54¢	$6	0xa45737…
08-10 05:29:10	will trump speak to vladimir putin in august 20260731154203518	No	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x2e258d…
08-10 05:27:57	will trump speak to vladimir putin in august 20260731154203518	No	BUY	60	56¢	$34	0xafce29…
08-10 05:27:34	will trump speak to vladimir putin in august 20260731154203518	No	BUY	60	54¢	$32	0x24d6cf…
08-10 05:26:55	will trump speak to vladimir putin in august 20260731154203518	No	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0x9f6a3b…
08-10 05:25:33	trump announces lisa cook termination by september 30 20260807185637360	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x03cc02…
08-10 05:20:36	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723225144064	No	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0xcb9e62…
08-10 05:20:12	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723225144064	No	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0xb3ee73…
08-10 05:19:24	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723225144064	No	SELL	319	49¢	$158	0xbc9c24…
08-10 05:19:24	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723225144064	No	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0x24cefb…
08-10 05:14:45	trump announces lisa cook termination by september 30 20260807185637360	No	BUY	49	64¢	$31	0x91fd08…
08-10 05:11:45	will openais astra model be released by september 15 2026	No	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x838412…
08-10 05:11:40	will openais astra model be released by september 15 2026	No	SELL	154	55¢	$85	0xf94b66…
08-10 05:11:13	will openais astra model be released by september 15 2026	No	SELL	30	59¢	$18	0x48cd48…
08-10 05:10:37	will openais astra model be released by september 15 2026	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x96b603…
08-10 05:10:36	will openais astra model be released by september 15 2026	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x8186cb…
08-10 05:09:34	will openais astra model be released by september 15 2026	No	BUY	231	52¢	$120	0xcb8a58…
08-10 04:35:24	next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xbbe4fa…
08-10 02:55:30	trump announces lisa cook termination by september 30 20260807185637360	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0xeaa36b…
08-10 02:23:10	will the highest score achieved by a meta model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723191934219	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xba60fc…
08-09 21:59:10	Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x9b704a…
08-09 21:59:10	Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	30	75¢	$23	0x5c0bb4…
08-09 21:58:00	Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0x01f1ef…
08-09 21:57:03	Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	30	83¢	$25	0x07ab9a…
08-09 21:55:12	Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	30	83¢	$25	0xb75eed…
08-09 21:55:06	Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	30	84¢	$25	0x07ba94…
08-09 21:51:42	will markwayne mullin leave the trump administration before 2027 20260715195455798	No	BUY	31	56¢	$17	0xb7ead9…
08-09 21:51:37	will markwayne mullin leave the trump administration before 2027 20260715195455798	No	BUY	57	56¢	$32	0x7299a6…
08-09 21:51:34	will markwayne mullin leave the trump administration before 2027 20260715195455798	No	BUY	57	54¢	$31	0xa4ee24…
08-09 21:50:48	will markwayne mullin leave the trump administration before 2027 20260715195455798	No	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x237a03…
08-09 21:49:36	will markwayne mullin leave the trump administration before 2027 20260715195455798	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x357114…
08-09 21:42:13	Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?	No	SELL	30	86¢	$26	0xa2208c…
08-09 21:40:36	Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?	No	SELL	30	89¢	$27	0x694e63…
08-09 21:36:07	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 90 or higher 20260723190142929	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x0fdee8…
08-09 21:35:40	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 90 or higher 20260723190142929	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xe3c0ce…
08-09 21:30:43	will the highest score achieved by a spacexai grok model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723191456652	No	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0xb8afc0…
08-09 21:29:43	will the highest score achieved by a spacexai grok model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723191456652	No	SELL	319	61¢	$194	0xf44a2a…
08-09 21:22:10	will donald trump publicly insult candace owens by august 31 2026 20260730161742245	No	SELL	36	56¢	$20	0xf9f05c…
08-09 21:20:10	will donald trump publicly insult candace owens by august 31 2026 20260730161742245	No	SELL	63	57¢	$36	0x52de4b…
08-09 21:05:01	Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?	No	BUY	26	83¢	$22	0x95ba12…
08-09 20:22:18	Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xe7b6bd…
08-09 20:07:16	Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xb2fe1d…
08-09 20:06:54	Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x499248…
08-09 20:06:51	Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x411f37…
08-09 20:06:45	Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	99	92¢	$91	0xbc632e…
08-09 20:06:43	Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	38	92¢	$35	0x12493c…
08-09 20:04:04	will markwayne mullin leave the trump administration before 2027 20260715195455798	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xfd8f9a…
08-09 20:03:43	will markwayne mullin leave the trump administration before 2027 20260715195455798	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x051bcb…
08-09 19:59:10	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	No	BUY	271	74¢	$201	0x6f795f…
08-09 19:58:40	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	95	86¢	$82	0x1ad54f…
08-09 19:57:28	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xa67051…
08-09 19:57:28	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	350	88¢	$308	0x990f3c…
08-09 19:57:28	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x5f4ea6…
08-09 19:56:40	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0xfab01b…
08-09 19:55:34	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	No	BUY	405	71¢	$288	0x105254…
08-09 19:54:54	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	SELL	696	50¢	$349	0x6fd82c…
08-09 19:54:36	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	SELL	112	78¢	$88	0xd2ea25…
08-09 19:54:24	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xbf766f…
08-09 19:54:06	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	SELL	163	81¢	$132	0x0bfb8c…
08-09 19:41:52	trump announces lisa cook termination by september 30 20260807185637360	No	BUY	120	81¢	$97	0x62dd47…
08-09 19:35:46	will paulo dybala attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630266	Yes	SELL	44	7¢	$3	0x8a5b79…
08-09 19:35:43	will luka modric attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630269	Yes	SELL	279	6¢	$17	0x8ee759…
08-09 19:35:39	will giorgio chiellini attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630268	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x4395d7…
08-09 19:35:34	will gareth bale attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630271	Yes	SELL	117	5¢	$6	0x80b021…
08-09 19:35:30	will jose mourinho attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630261	Yes	SELL	225	4¢	$10	0x0b2205…
08-09 19:35:25	will leonardo bonucci attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630267	Yes	SELL	300	4¢	$13	0xb04ed1…
08-09 19:35:18	will dana white attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630258	Yes	SELL	91	3¢	$3	0xa0f784…
08-09 19:29:31	will donald trump publicly insult candace owens by august 31 2026 20260730161742245	No	SELL	12	57¢	$7	0xa8bd69…
08-09 19:28:25	will donald trump publicly insult candace owens by august 31 2026 20260730161742245	No	SELL	34	58¢	$20	0x26cada…
08-09 19:22:16	will donald trump publicly insult candace owens by august 31 2026 20260730161742245	No	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0xfcfe2c…
08-09 19:19:07	will donald trump publicly insult elon musk by august 31 2026 20260730161742259	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x702de9…
08-09 19:16:13	will donald trump publicly insult candace owens by august 31 2026 20260730161742245	No	SELL	134	58¢	$78	0x2d61fe…
08-09 19:14:37	will donald trump publicly insult candace owens by august 31 2026 20260730161742245	No	BUY	286	55¢	$158	0x967d82…
08-09 19:11:09	will a tropical cyclone form in either the pacific or central pacific basins by august 14	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xa6acfa…
08-09 18:23:30	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xc1dfcd…
08-09 17:38:45	will openais astra model be released by september 30 2026 20260801214557732	No	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x0c7a6a…
08-09 16:51:58	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	SELL	200	53¢	$106	0x9d7ddf…
08-09 16:31:30	will the highest score achieved by a spacexai grok model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723191456652	No	BUY	26	51¢	$13	0x9ece5c…
08-09 16:29:40	will the highest score achieved by a spacexai grok model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723191456652	No	SELL	80	60¢	$48	0x364328…
08-09 16:26:45	will the highest score achieved by a spacexai grok model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723191456652	No	SELL	30	67¢	$20	0xc90086…
08-09 16:20:55	will the highest score achieved by a spacexai grok model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723191456652	No	SELL	24	67¢	$16	0x359db3…
08-09 16:20:04	will the highest score achieved by a spacexai grok model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723191456652	No	SELL	161	71¢	$114	0x0fe817…
08-09 16:18:34	will the highest score achieved by a spacexai grok model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723191456652	No	BUY	70	60¢	$42	0xb025de…
08-09 16:18:33	will the highest score achieved by a spacexai grok model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723191456652	No	SELL	31	78¢	$24	0xe07a98…
08-09 16:18:31	will the highest score achieved by a spacexai grok model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723191456652	No	BUY	499	58¢	$288	0x0dfba8…