Realized P&L
-$2.45K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.16K
Hit rate
4.0%
Resolved
1,293
Trades
9,931
lifetime
Volume
$286.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$43.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-19
last 10-27 06:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Other
67% 10% -$1,988
Politics
26% 0% -$345
Tech
6% 4% -$47
Sports
1% 14% -$3
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$44
Crypto
0% 6% -$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 645 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2,893 $2,430 94¢ $2.7K +$275 10-21 18:56
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +2,650 $2,431 94¢ $2.5K +$72 10-19 10:45
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,527 $2,202 94¢ $2.4K +$186 10-18 17:42
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +2,399 $765 98¢ $2.4K +$1,585 10-21 13:37
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,777 $2,242 66¢ $1.8K -$395 10-19 10:26
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +2,320 $1,227 78¢ $1.8K +$595 10-21 14:53
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +2,722 $1,951 66¢ $1.8K -$154 10-21 19:35
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +1,804 $1,745 98¢ $1.8K +$21 10-21 16:42
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1,758 $1,375 94¢ $1.7K +$287 10-21 19:06
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,711 $1,268 94¢ $1.6K +$332 10-19 03:41
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +1,968 $1,586 75¢ $1.5K -$103 10-19 08:08
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-04 House seat? No +1,492 $1,447 96¢ $1.4K -$8 10-17 18:48
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +1,958 $1,194 72¢ $1.4K +$216 10-18 17:43
Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat? Yes +1,420 $1,370 97¢ $1.4K +$8 10-16 17:07
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +1,360 $1,298 98¢ $1.3K +$35 10-21 18:08
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +2,140 $1,200 61¢ $1.3K +$111 10-19 08:33
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,582 $1,261 80¢ $1.3K -$3 10-22 15:12
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +1,434 $1,054 86¢ $1.2K +$186 10-19 11:57
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +1,543 $1,204 77¢ $1.2K -$15 10-19 10:39
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? No +1,210 $1,145 96¢ $1.2K +$14 10-15 10:15
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? No +1,120 $1,050 97¢ $1.1K +$39 10-19 11:09
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +1,160 $968 94¢ $1.1K +$118 10-18 19:19
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +1,636 $695 66¢ $1.1K +$377 10-19 10:25
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +1,213 $1,164 87¢ $1.1K -$104 10-17 23:25
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +1,785 $1,196 56¢ $1.0K -$187 10-21 12:10
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-06 House seat? No +1,035 $1,004 97¢ $999 -$5 10-14 14:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +1,447 $989 68¢ $991 +$2 10-19 17:34
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +1,038 $738 92¢ $950 +$212 10-19 03:40
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? No +2,777 $563 34¢ $930 +$367 10-19 10:26
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +2,722 $827 34¢ $925 +$99 10-21 19:35