Austere-Vernacular 0x482bf5…8a3266 Create alert
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$11.1K
Unrealized P&L
-$39
Hit rate
72.2%
Resolved
372
Trades
45,927
lifetime
Volume
$3.25M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$71
Open exposure
$903
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 10-24 00:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 82 days
Categories
Sports
92% 64% -$2,294
Other
4% 48% -$8,153
Crypto
3% 60% -$456
Politics
1% 50% -$6
Tech
0% 0% -$160
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -460 -$409 94¢ $-435 -$25 10-04 09:40
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +200 $164 96¢ $192 +$28 05-20 08:41
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -365 -$135 28¢ $-102 +$33 10-04 09:39
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +100 $80 88¢ $88 +$8 07-02 18:22
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -166 -$89 36¢ $-60 +$30 05-14 11:52
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -142 -$27 12¢ $-16 +$11 10-04 09:39
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +200 $30 4¢ $8 -$22 05-20 03:26
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes -12 -$2 10¢ $-1 +$1 10-04 09:40
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +8 $52 12¢ $1 -$51 07-12 20:19
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +0 $0 72¢ $0 +$0 05-20 13:25
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +0 -$1 7¢ $0 +$1 06-08 11:27
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes +0 $53 1¢ $0 -$53 07-03 18:29