Realized P&L
+$27.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.02K
Hit rate
99.6%
Resolved
593
Trades
7,791
lifetime
Volume
$9.09M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.17K
Open exposure
$316.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-22
last 10-09 17:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 52 days
Categories
Other
52% 97% +$21,810
Sports
25% 98% -$469
Politics
20% 89% +$5,778
Tech
2% 95% +$342
Crypto
1% 100% +$25
Pop-Culture
0% 67% +$193
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +49,672 $47,913 98¢ $48.9K +$940 08-04 02:50
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +29,583 $29,001 98¢ $29.1K +$138 07-28 07:31
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +28,652 $28,076 99¢ $28.3K +$203 08-11 01:47
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +25,035 $22,467 96¢ $24.0K +$1,554 07-29 13:47
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +20,567 $19,289 97¢ $19.9K +$630 08-02 04:47
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No +19,637 $19,046 97¢ $19.1K +$79 07-31 22:21
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +17,022 $16,290 98¢ $16.6K +$306 07-19 02:23
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +15,566 $14,971 98¢ $15.2K +$230 08-05 17:27
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +14,007 $13,673 99¢ $13.9K +$222 08-11 21:32
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +14,321 $13,493 95¢ $13.6K +$148 07-23 01:18
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +8,033 $7,881 99¢ $8.0K +$84 07-31 11:55
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +7,962 $7,704 97¢ $7.7K +$43 08-12 05:36
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? No +6,323 $6,162 99¢ $6.3K +$92 08-07 08:04
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No +6,036 $5,902 99¢ $6.0K +$82 08-09 22:22
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? No +5,133 $5,000 99¢ $5.1K +$80 07-29 09:05
jd vance out as vp by december 31 No +5,109 $4,753 96¢ $4.9K +$145 08-12 02:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4,780 $4,612 99¢ $4.7K +$122 07-29 03:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4,738 $4,569 99¢ $4.7K +$138 07-31 15:10
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? No +4,375 $4,212 95¢ $4.2K -$38 07-27 09:49
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +4,079 $3,941 99¢ $4.0K +$87 08-10 09:47
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +3,926 $3,634 97¢ $3.8K +$165 07-29 18:09
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +3,877 $3,727 98¢ $3.8K +$67 08-05 20:07
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +3,941 $3,547 94¢ $3.7K +$138 07-29 03:29
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? No +3,780 $3,515 97¢ $3.7K +$142 07-21 02:46
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? No +3,642 $3,526 99¢ $3.6K +$67 08-07 09:18
Human moon landing in 2026? No +3,588 $3,489 99¢ $3.5K +$54 07-28 20:12
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No +3,230 $3,159 98¢ $3.2K +$10 07-30 18:01
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2,374 $2,317 99¢ $2.4K +$36 08-01 19:56
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +2,132 $2,072 97¢ $2.1K +$4 07-27 05:59
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No +2,070 $2,000 99¢ $2.1K +$51 08-04 11:21