Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$719
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
791
lifetime
Volume
$637.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$806
Open exposure
$259.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-22
last 06-29 06:06
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
55%
—
—
Politics
44%
—
—
Tech
1%
—
—
Sports
0%
—
—
Crypto
0%
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—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk
• peak 170 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026? | Yes | +34,144 | $34,030 | 100¢ | $34.1K | +$79 | 06-28 12:51 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | +25,000 | $24,950 | 100¢ | $25.0K | +$25 | 06-26 10:32 | |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | No | +21,536 | $21,472 | 100¢ | $21.5K | +$32 | 06-27 04:40 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | No | +15,000 | $14,970 | 100¢ | $15.0K | +$15 | 06-25 17:16 | |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | No | +15,000 | $14,955 | 100¢ | $15.0K | +$22 | 06-26 10:46 | |
| Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? | Yes | +12,631 | $12,203 | 97¢ | $12.3K | +$81 | 06-29 08:13 | |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? | No | +10,846 | $10,800 | 100¢ | $10.8K | +$35 | 06-26 15:14 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | No | +10,000 | $9,970 | 100¢ | $10.0K | +$20 | 06-25 14:11 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | No | +10,000 | $9,980 | 100¢ | $10.0K | +$10 | 06-24 17:57 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30? | No | +9,371 | $9,353 | 100¢ | $9.4K | +$9 | 06-25 08:25 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? | No | +7,176 | $7,162 | 100¢ | $7.2K | +$7 | 06-24 17:08 | |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | No | +7,561 | $6,715 | 93¢ | $7.0K | +$305 | 06-28 03:41 | |
| Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | No | +6,897 | $6,882 | 100¢ | $6.9K | +$0 | 06-25 17:29 | |
| Jimmy Lai released by June 30? | No | +6,181 | $6,175 | 100¢ | $6.2K | $-3 | 06-26 17:52 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | No | +6,111 | $6,077 | 100¢ | $6.1K | +$28 | 06-25 19:37 | |
| Anthropic CEO arrested? | No | +5,740 | $5,728 | 100¢ | $5.7K | +$1 | 06-28 22:10 | |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | No | +5,682 | $5,671 | 100¢ | $5.7K | +$6 | 06-27 15:42 | |
| Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30? | No | +5,364 | $5,343 | 100¢ | $5.4K | +$10 | 06-27 14:12 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June? | No | +5,342 | $5,331 | 100¢ | $5.3K | +$6 | 06-26 01:41 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? | No | +5,017 | $5,007 | 100¢ | $5.0K | +$5 | 06-25 04:18 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | No | +5,000 | $4,985 | 100¢ | $5.0K | +$5 | 06-25 13:49 | |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | No | +5,000 | $4,990 | 100¢ | $5.0K | +$0 | 06-25 11:56 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? | No | +5,000 | $4,985 | 100¢ | $5.0K | +$0 | 06-25 22:54 | |
| Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? | No | +4,026 | $4,015 | 100¢ | $4.0K | +$3 | 06-25 17:51 | |
| Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | No | +4,000 | $3,988 | 100¢ | $4.0K | +$4 | 06-26 14:22 | |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | No | +3,295 | $3,285 | 100¢ | $3.3K | +$5 | 06-28 00:17 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June? | No | +2,952 | $2,942 | 100¢ | $2.9K | +$4 | 06-25 17:53 | |
| Will Jared Kushner enter Iran by June 30? | No | +2,527 | $2,519 | 100¢ | $2.5K | +$3 | 06-27 14:13 | |
| Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30? | No | +2,347 | $2,340 | 100¢ | $2.3K | +$3 | 06-26 15:00 | |
| Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30? | No | +2,300 | $2,295 | 100¢ | $2.3K | $-2 | 06-26 15:38 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026 | 14 | $199.8K | 200,000 | 0 | +200,000 | open | — | 06-25 02:48 |
| starmer out by june 22 2026 | 53 | $52.1K | 52,159 | 0 | +52,159 | open | — | 06-22 10:34 |
| US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026? | 37 | $34.9K | 35,000 | 0 | +35,000 | open | — | 06-28 12:51 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | 1 | $24.9K | 25,000 | 0 | +25,000 | open | — | 06-26 10:32 |
| starmer out by july 31 2026 | 7 | $24.5K | 24,527 | 0 | +24,527 | open | — | 06-22 10:41 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | 40 | $21.5K | 21,536 | 0 | +21,536 | open | — | 06-27 04:40 |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | 32 | $21.1K | 23,561 | 0 | +23,561 | open | — | 06-28 03:41 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | 2 | $15.0K | 15,000 | 0 | +15,000 | open | — | 06-25 17:16 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | 1 | $15.0K | 15,000 | 0 | +15,000 | open | — | 06-26 10:46 |
| Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? | 19 | $12.6K | 13,018 | 0 | +13,018 | open | — | 06-29 08:13 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? | 14 | $11.3K | 11,353 | 0 | +11,353 | open | — | 06-26 15:14 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30? | 12 | $10.0K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | open | — | 06-25 08:25 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | 1 | $10.0K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | open | — | 06-24 17:57 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | 10 | $10.0K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | open | — | 06-25 14:11 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | 84 | $8.1K | 8,090 | 0 | +8,090 | open | — | 06-27 15:42 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? | 1 | $7.2K | 7,176 | 0 | +7,176 | open | — | 06-24 17:08 |
| starmer out by june 23 2026 | 7 | $6.9K | 6,897 | 0 | +6,897 | open | — | 06-22 09:42 |
| Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | 3 | $6.9K | 6,897 | 0 | +6,897 | open | — | 06-25 17:29 |
| Jimmy Lai released by June 30? | 1 | $6.2K | 6,181 | 0 | +6,181 | open | — | 06-26 17:52 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | 2 | $6.1K | 6,111 | 0 | +6,111 | open | — | 06-25 19:37 |
| will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30 | 13 | $6.0K | 6,013 | 0 | +6,013 | open | — | 06-26 12:59 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | 12 | $5.8K | 5,763 | 0 | +5,763 | open | — | 06-22 10:41 |
| Anthropic CEO arrested? | 5 | $5.7K | 5,740 | 0 | +5,740 | open | — | 06-28 22:10 |
| Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30? | 8 | $5.3K | 5,364 | 0 | +5,364 | open | — | 06-27 14:12 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June? | 3 | $5.3K | 5,342 | 0 | +5,342 | open | — | 06-26 01:41 |
| will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june | 7 | $5.1K | 5,095 | 0 | +5,095 | open | — | 06-26 16:29 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? | 17 | $5.0K | 5,017 | 0 | +5,017 | open | — | 06-25 04:18 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | 1 | $5.0K | 5,000 | 0 | +5,000 | open | — | 06-25 11:56 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | 7 | $5.0K | 5,000 | 0 | +5,000 | open | — | 06-25 13:49 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? | 3 | $5.0K | 5,000 | 0 | +5,000 | open | — | 06-25 22:54 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||