Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$968
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
3,799
lifetime
Volume
$3.20M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$841
Open exposure
$73.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-22
last 07-20 12:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Sports
40%
—
—
Other
39%
—
—
Politics
19%
—
—
Tech
2%
—
—
Crypto
1%
100%
+$3
Pop-Culture
0%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk
• peak 659 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | +15,010 | $14,368 | 96¢ | $14.3K | $-26 | 07-19 02:23 | |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state? | No | +13,241 | $12,845 | 97¢ | $12.9K | +$45 | 07-17 11:21 | |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | +8,045 | $7,548 | 94¢ | $7.6K | +$50 | 07-18 03:44 | |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | No | +7,591 | $6,744 | 97¢ | $7.4K | +$634 | 07-19 17:26 | |
| Human moon landing in 2026? | No | +3,552 | $3,454 | 98¢ | $3.5K | +$11 | 07-19 00:42 | |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | +2,860 | $2,788 | 98¢ | $2.8K | +$9 | 07-18 19:36 | |
| Will Ventuals launch a token by September 30 2026? | No | +2,338 | $2,277 | 99¢ | $2.3K | +$31 | 07-18 02:11 | |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | +2,100 | $2,057 | 98¢ | $2.1K | +$2 | 07-12 16:17 | |
| Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? | No | +1,900 | $1,824 | 97¢ | $1.8K | +$19 | 07-12 17:03 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | +2,000 | $1,800 | 90¢ | $1.8K | +$10 | 07-19 02:47 | |
| Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | +1,816 | $1,744 | 98¢ | $1.8K | +$32 | 07-18 04:51 | |
| Ventuals FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | +1,727 | $1,683 | 98¢ | $1.7K | +$12 | 07-18 02:03 | |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | +1,770 | $1,648 | 94¢ | $1.7K | +$24 | 07-19 14:48 | |
| Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027? | No | +1,617 | $1,557 | 98¢ | $1.6K | +$30 | 07-18 04:41 | |
| Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | +1,367 | $1,334 | 98¢ | $1.3K | +$5 | 07-18 02:03 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? | No | +1,304 | $1,264 | 97¢ | $1.3K | +$2 | 07-19 19:27 | |
| Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | +1,027 | $975 | 98¢ | $1.0K | +$27 | 06-26 17:46 | |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? | No | +1,013 | $967 | 96¢ | $972 | +$4 | 07-18 04:49 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | +1,000 | $880 | 92¢ | $915 | +$35 | 06-27 10:00 | |
| Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | +748 | $719 | 97¢ | $724 | +$5 | 07-18 02:04 | |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | +748 | $704 | 95¢ | $707 | +$4 | 07-19 07:32 | |
| Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | +697 | $557 | 88¢ | $617 | +$59 | 06-26 17:54 | |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | No | +1,219 | $645 | 48¢ | $581 | $-63 | 07-19 02:17 | |
| EU dissolves before 2027? | No | +513 | $501 | 98¢ | $503 | +$2 | 07-18 03:58 | |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | +427 | $416 | 98¢ | $417 | +$1 | 07-19 05:21 | |
| Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? | No | +377 | $363 | 96¢ | $363 | $-0 | 07-18 09:45 | |
| Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | +353 | $339 | 96¢ | $339 | +$0 | 07-18 02:04 | |
| Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | No | +219 | $214 | 98¢ | $215 | +$0 | 07-18 02:20 | |
| Obama federally charged before 2027? | No | +209 | $199 | 96¢ | $201 | +$2 | 07-11 05:39 | |
| Jerome Powell in jail before 2027? | No | +165 | $159 | 98¢ | $162 | +$3 | 06-27 15:48 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610 | 752 | $886.3K | 886,863 | 4,723 | +882,141 | open | — | 07-07 20:07 |
| 2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? | 49 | $210.9K | 211,252 | 0 | +211,252 | open | — | 07-19 18:15 |
| will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026 | 14 | $199.8K | 200,000 | 0 | +200,000 | open | — | 06-25 02:48 |
| over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652 | 88 | $167.2K | 173,075 | 0 | +173,075 | open | — | 07-17 15:43 |
| will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021 | 108 | $134.4K | 135,649 | 240 | +135,409 | open | — | 07-20 15:52 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 61 | $103.6K | 103,961 | 0 | +103,961 | open | — | 07-03 19:04 |
| fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 btts | 122 | $83.0K | 83,131 | 0 | +83,131 | open | — | 07-05 22:16 |
| president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044 | 86 | $80.8K | 81,258 | 0 | +81,258 | open | — | 07-19 19:03 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | 69 | $79.9K | 81,968 | 3,900 | +78,068 | open | — | 07-04 17:19 |
| over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164 | 89 | $76.8K | 79,844 | 0 | +79,844 | open | — | 07-04 18:36 |
| Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? | 123 | $65.0K | 65,536 | 0 | +65,536 | open | — | 06-30 11:31 |
| starmer out by june 22 2026 | 53 | $52.1K | 52,159 | 0 | +52,159 | open | — | 06-22 10:34 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | 115 | $43.0K | 40,530 | 4,367 | +36,162 | open | — | 07-20 16:05 |
| will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562 | 64 | $37.9K | 38,116 | 0 | +38,116 | open | — | 07-02 22:05 |
| US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026? | 37 | $34.9K | 35,000 | 0 | +35,000 | open | — | 06-28 12:51 |
| dota2 zedies gl 2026 07 07 game2 | 21 | $30.0K | 30,000 | 0 | +30,000 | open | — | 07-09 09:57 |
| us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359 | 46 | $30.0K | 30,000 | 0 | +30,000 | open | — | 07-04 17:06 |
| over 20m committed to the laso finance public sale 697 196 698 668 | 15 | $29.7K | 29,897 | 0 | +29,897 | open | — | 07-03 13:45 |
| will there be 10 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750574 | 3 | $29.5K | 29,552 | 0 | +29,552 | open | — | 07-19 04:40 |
| over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale | 27 | $28.4K | 29,843 | 0 | +29,843 | open | — | 07-17 16:39 |
| will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 | 7 | $26.3K | 30,200 | 0 | +30,200 | open | — | 07-03 06:50 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | 1 | $24.9K | 25,000 | 0 | +25,000 | open | — | 06-26 10:32 |
| starmer out by july 31 2026 | 7 | $24.5K | 24,527 | 0 | +24,527 | open | — | 06-22 10:41 |
| will there be 15 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750575 | 8 | $22.7K | 22,709 | 0 | +22,709 | open | — | 07-19 19:02 |
| israeli parliament dissolved by july 31 | 28 | $22.0K | 11,139 | 11,139 | +0 | open | — | 07-17 04:11 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | 40 | $21.5K | 21,536 | 0 | +21,536 | open | — | 06-27 04:40 |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | 33 | $21.1K | 23,591 | 0 | +23,591 | open | — | 07-19 17:26 |
| new stranger things episode released by july 31 | 3 | $19.8K | 20,000 | 0 | +20,000 | open | — | 07-03 16:06 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | 420 | $16.3K | 17,022 | 0 | +17,022 | open | — | 07-19 02:23 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | 2 | $15.0K | 15,000 | 0 | +15,000 | open | — | 06-25 17:16 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||