Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027?
open
Total volume
$1,643
Trades
133
Unique wallets
46
Liquidity
$10,662
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-02
last 08-01 19:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $24 | $740 | $717 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $12 | $89 | $77 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $6 | $102 | $95 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $7 | $65 | $58 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $8 | $7 | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $1 | $117 | $116 |
| Median | 11 | — | $795 | $795 |
| Below median | 8 | $5 | $28 | $23 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $3 | $9 | $6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $3 | $17 | $13 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $16 | $9 | +$6 |
| unranked | 12 | $13 | $14 | $1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +744 | $705 | $705 | 3 | 07-27 17:16 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +297 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 07-27 08:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +132 | $7 | $9 | 9 | 07-27 08:40 |
| Huge-Crook 0xebdc…bf08 | No | +40 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 06-15 15:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | +32 | $2 | $4 | 2 | 08-01 15:20 |
| Ill-Informed-Pecan 0xf2bb…91ec | Yes | +31 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-06 02:43 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +21 | $1 | $5 | 17 | 08-01 15:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x3da6…bd77 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-27 18:54 |
| Slippery-Doll 0x1d7c…51b6 | No | +18 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 07-26 20:37 |
| 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-09 12:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 19:05:33 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x276730… |
| 08-01 19:05:33 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x276730… |
| 08-01 15:20:27 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x648f5b… |
| 08-01 15:20:27 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | SELL | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x648f5b… |
| 07-28 15:50:34 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xe81215… |
| 07-28 15:50:34 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 51 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xe81215… |
| 07-27 18:54:45 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xfabc5e… |
| 07-27 18:54:45 | (anonymous) 0x3da6…bd77 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xfabc5e… |
| 07-27 17:16:57 | (anonymous) 0x585b…69ce | No | SELL | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0xd7cfac… |
| 07-27 17:16:57 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0xd7cfac… |
| 07-27 13:51:45 | Bouncy-Particle 0x0046…8a76 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x0aa7fa… |
| 07-27 13:51:45 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x0aa7fa… |
| 07-27 13:39:27 | (anonymous) 0xd80a…3efd | No | SELL | 7 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xe7bddb… |
| 07-27 13:39:27 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xe7bddb… |
| 07-27 10:47:42 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x4a0cd5… |
| 07-27 10:47:42 | (anonymous) 0x75dd…af23 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x4a0cd5… |
| 07-27 09:34:28 | (anonymous) 0xd80a…3efd | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xa83498… |
| 07-27 09:34:28 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa83498… |
| 07-27 09:13:48 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5f6f92… |
| 07-27 09:13:48 | (anonymous) 0x585b…69ce | No | BUY | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x5f6f92… |
| 07-27 08:40:36 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 40 | 95¢ | $38 | 0x910350… |
| 07-27 08:40:36 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | Yes | SELL | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x910350… |
| 07-27 08:40:25 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x9b4450… |
| 07-27 08:40:25 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 17 | 95¢ | $16 | 0x9b4450… |
| 07-27 08:40:25 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 23 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x9b4450… |
| 07-27 08:40:13 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xad9d21… |
| 07-27 08:40:13 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xad9d21… |
| 07-27 08:40:07 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x381b4f… |
| 07-27 08:40:07 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x381b4f… |
| 07-27 08:30:10 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 734 | 95¢ | $696 | 0xce352f… |
| 07-27 08:30:10 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xce352f… |
| 07-27 08:30:10 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xce352f… |
| 07-27 08:30:10 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | SELL | 108 | 95¢ | $102 | 0xce352f… |
| 07-27 08:30:10 | (anonymous) 0xd5a7…6fe2 | No | SELL | 53 | 95¢ | $50 | 0xce352f… |
| 07-27 08:30:10 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xce352f… |
| 07-27 08:30:10 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xce352f… |
| 07-27 08:30:10 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xce352f… |
| 07-27 08:30:10 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 35 | 95¢ | $33 | 0xce352f… |
| 07-27 08:30:10 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 297 | 5¢ | $16 | 0xce352f… |
| 07-27 08:30:10 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xce352f… |
| 07-27 06:21:31 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x5a4be0… |
| 07-27 06:21:31 | (anonymous) 0xf6a6…d5f7 | No | SELL | 6 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x5a4be0… |
| 07-27 05:50:42 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x25b588… |
| 07-27 05:50:42 | Bouncy-Particle 0x0046…8a76 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x25b588… |
| 07-27 05:47:03 | (anonymous) 0x75dd…af23 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xb6fd00… |
| 07-27 05:47:03 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xb6fd00… |
| 07-27 02:13:48 | (anonymous) 0xf6a6…d5f7 | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xa5c555… |
| 07-27 02:13:48 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xa5c555… |
| 07-27 02:05:10 | (anonymous) 0x6c83…47ab | No | SELL | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x433ee0… |
| 07-27 02:05:10 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x433ee0… |
| 07-26 21:59:09 | (anonymous) 0x6c83…47ab | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x9312b4… |
| 07-26 21:59:09 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | SELL | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x9312b4… |
| 07-26 20:37:06 | (anonymous) 0x67bd…7a53 | No | SELL | 3 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x61c25d… |
| 07-26 20:37:06 | Slippery-Doll 0x1d7c…51b6 | No | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x61c25d… |
| 07-26 16:53:18 | (anonymous) 0x3551…3771 | No | SELL | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x9b6354… |
| 07-26 16:53:18 | Slippery-Doll 0x1d7c…51b6 | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x9b6354… |
| 07-26 16:08:25 | Deafening-Policy 0x10a9…c8a4 | No | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0xeaa010… |
| 07-26 16:08:25 | Slippery-Doll 0x1d7c…51b6 | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0xeaa010… |
| 07-26 15:32:21 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | SELL | 3 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x5b0365… |
| 07-26 15:32:21 | (anonymous) 0x67bd…7a53 | No | BUY | 3 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x5b0365… |
| 07-26 10:18:21 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x34d267… |
| 07-26 10:18:21 | (anonymous) 0x93da…4289 | No | SELL | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x34d267… |
| 07-26 08:44:34 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | SELL | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0xf04759… |
| 07-26 08:44:34 | (anonymous) 0x3551…3771 | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0xf04759… |
| 07-26 08:06:52 | Deafening-Policy 0x10a9…c8a4 | No | BUY | 8 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x02ab94… |
| 07-26 08:06:52 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | SELL | 8 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x02ab94… |
| 07-26 05:57:03 | (anonymous) 0xdbc2…f04b | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x57f1fc… |
| 07-26 05:57:03 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x57f1fc… |
| 07-26 05:40:22 | (anonymous) 0x2419…20f7 | No | SELL | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x98d32b… |
| 07-26 05:40:22 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x98d32b… |
| 07-26 04:14:48 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x9fcc66… |
| 07-26 04:14:48 | (anonymous) 0x93da…4289 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x9fcc66… |
| 07-25 23:52:40 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x1d3b5b… |
| 07-25 23:52:40 | (anonymous) 0xdbc2…f04b | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x1d3b5b… |
| 07-25 23:30:12 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xec6e68… |
| 07-25 23:30:12 | (anonymous) 0x2419…20f7 | No | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0xec6e68… |
| 07-25 15:55:51 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xf92ba6… |
| 07-25 15:55:51 | (anonymous) 0x81d5…ad3f | No | SELL | 7 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xf92ba6… |
| 07-25 14:24:54 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x3f5958… |
| 07-25 14:24:54 | (anonymous) 0x6aca…fdef | No | SELL | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x3f5958… |
| 07-25 12:25:28 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x2714d8… |
| 07-25 12:25:28 | (anonymous) 0xb945…ff36 | No | SELL | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x2714d8… |
| 07-25 11:49:52 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xccc388… |
| 07-25 11:49:52 | (anonymous) 0x81d5…ad3f | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xccc388… |
| 07-25 08:17:30 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 4 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x020573… |
| 07-25 08:17:30 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x020573… |
| 07-25 08:17:30 | (anonymous) 0x6aca…fdef | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x020573… |
| 07-25 06:24:10 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x968c41… |
| 07-25 06:24:10 | (anonymous) 0xb945…ff36 | No | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x968c41… |
| 07-09 12:42:59 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x2ee168… |
| 07-09 12:42:59 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x2ee168… |
| 07-09 05:53:32 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x8a3a93… |
| 07-09 05:53:32 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x8a3a93… |
| 07-08 02:53:29 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 8 | 93¢ | $7 | 0x4934fc… |
| 07-08 02:53:29 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x4934fc… |
| 07-06 06:33:07 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x385a3c… |
| 07-06 06:33:07 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 7 | 93¢ | $7 | 0x385a3c… |
| 07-06 06:33:07 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x385a3c… |
| 07-06 02:43:38 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x866b9b… |
| 07-06 02:43:38 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x866b9b… |