Ill-Informed-Pecan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$32

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

63.9%

Resolved

247

Trades

519

lifetime

Volume

$1.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-28 08:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 147 days

Categories

Other

75% 56% +$9

Crypto

19% 46% -$24

Politics

2% 50% +$1

Sports

2% 20% -$18

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	+10	$8	90¢	$9	+$1	10-28 08:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	+10	$2	20¢	$2	+$0	10-21 09:28
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$2	8¢	$2	-$1	10-25 09:57
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	Yes	+20	$1	4¢	$1	-$1	10-07 01:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 21?	3	$21	20	20	+0	Yes	+$5	09-21 02:11
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 25?	3	$20	15	15	+0	Yes	+$9	09-25 07:12
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 20?	7	$20	19	19	+0	No	+$6	09-20 07:31
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 24?	6	$19	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	09-23 13:42
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	4	$19	143	143	+0	No	-$1	01-16 21:34
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 20?	7	$18	20	20	+0	No	+$0	09-20 00:55
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 8?	2	$17	12	12	+0	Yes	+$6	09-08 07:51
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?	2	$15	9	9	+0	Yes	+$1	10-02 01:47
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$15	10	10	+0	No	+$2	10-05 00:36
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 22?	6	$14	17	17	+0	No	+$1	09-22 02:04
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 18?	2	$14	10	10	+0	Yes	+$4	09-18 05:59
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 9?	4	$13	15	15	+0	Yes	+$4	10-08 15:06
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 23?	5	$13	19	19	+0	No	-$5	09-23 03:17
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 16?	2	$13	8	8	+0	No	+$1	09-16 03:14
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 6?	3	$13	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	10-05 16:46
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 16?	4	$12	12	12	+0	No	+$2	09-14 23:30
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 11?	4	$12	15	15	+0	No	+$2	10-09 16:07
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 13?	2	$11	10	10	+0	Yes	+$3	09-12 14:23
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 23?	2	$11	16	16	+0	No	+$0	09-22 03:34
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$11	2,700	0	+2,700	No	-$11	06-09 05:09
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 14?	3	$11	12	12	+0	No	+$1	09-14 04:44
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 9?	5	$10	8	8	+0	Yes	+$1	10-09 00:26
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on September 22?	5	$10	24	24	+0	No	+$2	09-22 03:32
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 18?	4	$10	12	12	+0	No	$0	09-17 08:37
highest temperature in singapore on october 18 2026 33c	2	$10	10	10	+0	Yes	+$2	10-17 04:10
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 5?	2	$10	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	10-05 03:14
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 8?	2	$10	7	7	+0	No	+$1	10-08 05:37
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 13?	2	$10	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	10-12 14:00
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 12?	3	$10	8	8	+0	Yes	+$0	10-12 02:33
bitcoin above 70k on february 8	2	$9	11	11	+0	Yes	+$7	02-08 04:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 08:34:44	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xe13068…
10-26 05:14:32	Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3b2350…
10-26 03:41:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xf7b94e…
10-26 01:58:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0xddf866…
10-26 01:42:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x3598ef…
10-26 00:20:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x09e75d…
10-25 18:45:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x190129…
10-25 09:57:27	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x4b46bb…
10-25 00:34:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0x308cf6…
10-24 19:41:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x8bc3a8…
10-24 19:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x081ed5…
10-23 09:55:33	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?	Yes	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0x3d8eb3…
10-21 09:28:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xea24cd…
10-20 06:44:02	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x20127e…
10-19 23:58:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x7e78aa…
10-19 06:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xdb18a1…
10-19 05:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	13	34¢	$4	0x3f929b…
10-18 23:27:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xdd9456…
10-18 17:38:11	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0x2b86c6…
10-18 05:22:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x0fff4b…
10-18 05:15:47	highest temperature in singapore on october 20 2026 33c	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x55771a…
10-17 16:36:02	Will Solana dip to $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xdb15ad…
10-17 15:41:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 18?	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x6a70fa…
10-17 04:10:18	highest temperature in singapore on october 18 2026 33c	Yes	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xaf6f77…
10-16 18:53:07	highest temperature in kuala lumpur on october 18 2026 33c	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x07e0f1…
10-16 18:50:46	highest temperature in kuala lumpur on october 18 2026 33c	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x72d9c9…
10-16 18:37:15	highest temperature in singapore on october 18 2026 33c	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x5bb672…
10-15 22:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0xa376e1…
10-15 19:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xb7cd40…
10-15 05:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0xb40597…
10-15 03:38:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xf860da…
10-14 01:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x2c7431…
10-13 16:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x36b83f…
10-13 07:40:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x29b6f7…
10-13 05:09:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 17?	No	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0xf85ef3…
10-13 03:36:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 17?	No	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0xb856f4…
10-13 03:35:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x353543…
10-12 19:27:08	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x0ddbbe…
10-12 14:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	12	46¢	$6	0x740100…
10-12 03:34:15	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x1a5537…
10-12 02:33:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x292e2b…
10-12 01:57:35	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x512e64…
10-11 16:38:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0xfa10e2…
10-11 15:57:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x3441cb…
10-10 16:43:15	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xe8ee6a…
10-10 16:30:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x350206…
10-09 19:09:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x0ef959…
10-09 16:07:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0xf5725c…
10-09 14:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0x2e89e3…
10-09 06:39:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x7e3b39…
10-09 05:49:32	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x3d78da…
10-09 00:26:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x1c4035…
10-08 23:38:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xfcc7cf…
10-08 22:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xda7ff7…
10-08 15:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	13	56¢	$7	0xae7228…
10-08 15:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x6e4a1e…
10-08 05:37:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xd9ed9d…
10-07 18:00:27	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x93d297…
10-07 15:49:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xfab17c…
10-07 09:09:24	US plague travel ban on Russia in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x1d63db…
10-07 05:28:51	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xbbb4ff…
10-07 05:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xfc32a6…
10-07 05:04:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb9202d…
10-07 05:03:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x5ef130…
10-07 02:25:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x6b05d2…
10-07 01:13:21	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x8005a7…
10-06 19:32:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x15fdad…
10-06 19:24:05	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	7	35¢	$2	0x1a4c52…
10-06 11:28:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xdfb4e8…
10-06 11:28:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x53c312…
10-06 05:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x235b29…
10-05 22:42:59	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0xb0c115…
10-05 16:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3446d7…
10-05 16:52:22	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8739aa…
10-05 16:46:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x7e7ef9…
10-05 05:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x97e63b…
10-05 04:28:56	Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0xda9a0c…
10-05 04:28:14	Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x6878dd…
10-05 03:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x116278…
10-05 03:14:02	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x0c34ed…
10-05 00:36:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x60bcc2…
10-04 13:39:23	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd798e2…
10-04 13:33:38	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 4?	No	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x7ad810…
10-04 01:56:47	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2a1c73…
10-03 19:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 4?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xe4f242…
10-03 17:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 4?	Yes	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0xb3eb58…
10-03 04:53:44	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x37015b…
10-02 16:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 4?	Yes	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0xfa178f…
10-02 05:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x02fe39…
10-02 01:47:00	Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x5a3dce…
10-01 15:47:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xa06d0b…
10-01 07:37:35	will bitcoin dip to 78k september 28 october 4 2026	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x82a203…
09-30 15:07:21	Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x2b3756…
09-29 23:47:05	Will Solana dip to $110 in September?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0xd40082…
09-29 18:49:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd3c0aa…
09-27 20:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 27?	No	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x452265…
09-27 19:29:59	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 27?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xc22111…
09-27 15:18:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x663b64…
09-27 15:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 27?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x22a7a7…
09-27 00:16:18	will bitcoin dip to 82k september 21 27 2026	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x935bd6…