Deafening-Policy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

160

lifetime

Volume

$14.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$92

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 07-28 06:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

38% 0% $-1

Sports

35% 0% $-4

Crypto

15% — —

Tech

7% — —

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	7	$1.3K	669	669	+0	open	—	03-20 05:01
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	9	$963	509	509	+0	Yes	$-1	03-30 17:12
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	11	$902	473	473	+0	open	—	03-15 21:16
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$868	451	451	+0	No	$-4	03-19 20:24
will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$836	436	436	+0	open	—	03-26 19:10
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	9	$592	310	310	+0	open	—	04-15 07:21
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	9	$535	280	280	+0	open	—	04-07 13:33
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	7	$452	239	239	+0	open	—	03-11 06:14
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$439	224	224	+0	open	—	03-12 20:09
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$436	234	234	+0	open	—	04-27 11:08
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$433	224	224	-0	open	—	03-16 11:15
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$430	219	219	+0	open	—	03-21 11:51
will jordan spieth win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$428	218	218	+0	open	—	03-22 14:40
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	6	$427	224	224	+0	open	—	03-30 07:11
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$422	217	217	+0	open	—	03-17 12:03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$421	222	222	+0	open	—	03-25 20:13
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$421	220	220	+0	open	—	03-16 21:06
will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$420	215	215	+0	open	—	03-27 00:58
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	2	$419	228	228	+0	open	—	03-23 10:57
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$418	219	219	+0	open	—	03-29 06:39
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$412	212	212	+0	open	—	03-21 20:49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	6	$325	171	171	+0	open	—	06-15 16:13
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	4	$211	113	113	+0	open	—	06-14 05:12
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$125	64	64	+0	open	—	06-22 02:07
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$116	60	60	+0	open	—	06-17 01:31
will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	2	$114	59	59	+0	open	—	06-09 21:31
will turkiye reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149724	2	$112	60	60	+0	open	—	06-17 21:30
will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	2	$112	60	60	+0	open	—	06-09 14:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	2	$112	58	58	+0	open	—	05-19 18:34
Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$109	56	56	+0	open	—	06-07 04:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 06:28:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xca0293…
07-28 00:26:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xa361e5…
07-27 03:12:57	Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xc90c1e…
07-26 22:11:30	Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xa34dc6…
07-26 16:08:25	Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0xeaa010…
07-26 08:06:52	Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0x02ab94…
07-25 16:26:16	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	8	93¢	$8	0xb32224…
07-25 12:22:30	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x7b1e6e…
06-22 02:07:49	Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	64	97¢	$62	0x65fcf4…
06-21 19:05:50	Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	64	98¢	$63	0x564913…
06-19 05:29:53	will croatia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149754	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0xfee6a5…
06-18 22:21:35	will croatia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149754	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xd09b6f…
06-17 21:30:35	will turkiye reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149724	No	SELL	60	92¢	$55	0x55fc15…
06-17 15:21:26	will turkiye reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149724	No	BUY	60	96¢	$57	0xde44d1…
06-17 01:31:26	Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0x0d7cb6…
06-16 21:26:47	Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x09315e…
06-16 20:48:41	Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0xf1f0d1…
06-16 14:42:19	Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x57da3b…
06-15 23:57:55	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	37	96¢	$36	0xdd300b…
06-15 16:13:39	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	49	95¢	$46	0x87ca91…
06-15 10:08:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0x32369a…
06-14 05:12:52	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	56	93¢	$52	0x224b2a…
06-13 21:07:48	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	56	92¢	$51	0xbfaab1…
06-11 23:19:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	54	95¢	$51	0x7bf2a3…
06-11 16:12:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	54	95¢	$51	0xadf05d…
06-10 17:35:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	68	94¢	$64	0x2a8bae…
06-10 11:35:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	68	95¢	$65	0x9cd000…
06-10 11:01:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	SELL	58	92¢	$53	0xed39dc…
06-10 06:51:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	58	92¢	$54	0xee7a7e…
06-09 21:31:22	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	59	97¢	$57	0xf6f5a1…
06-09 15:25:19	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	59	97¢	$57	0x2abb64…
06-09 14:35:19	will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	No	SELL	60	92¢	$56	0x03192c…
06-09 10:31:42	will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	No	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0xa4b7f6…
06-07 04:22:16	Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	56	97¢	$54	0x11239d…
06-06 23:20:10	Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0x36ea16…
06-06 22:48:24	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	SELL	55	96¢	$52	0x35fe53…
06-06 18:47:43	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0x41c33b…
06-06 18:15:18	Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0xdf4b2d…
06-06 12:11:16	Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x863351…
06-06 06:56:34	Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	54	91¢	$49	0x55e876…
06-06 01:11:55	Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x44730f…
06-06 00:54:21	Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xc98056…
06-05 15:38:46	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	57	93¢	$53	0x6df469…
06-05 10:34:03	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	57	94¢	$54	0x60ce55…
06-05 10:00:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	50	98¢	$48	0xe0d155…
06-05 02:57:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	50	98¢	$48	0x631fac…
06-04 21:43:43	will canada reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149713	No	SELL	35	93¢	$33	0xcb2389…
06-04 15:07:45	will canada reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149713	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xab5b3c…
06-04 14:39:34	will canada reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149713	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x24cdfa…
06-04 06:19:51	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	57	93¢	$53	0x278227…
06-04 00:19:22	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	57	96¢	$55	0xdbf729…
06-02 21:16:46	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	91¢	$42	0x6936ab…
06-02 16:15:06	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	92¢	$42	0x7fd5b7…
05-20 18:51:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	45	93¢	$42	0x2d1634…
05-20 12:43:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	45	92¢	$42	0x870866…
05-20 12:07:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	46	93¢	$43	0x881da4…
05-20 06:59:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	46	94¢	$43	0x9436a8…
05-19 18:34:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	58	97¢	$56	0x4a10c8…
05-19 14:30:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	58	97¢	$56	0xfdebde…
05-18 04:34:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	52	94¢	$49	0xadd4e1…
05-16 08:50:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	52	95¢	$50	0x459ebc…
04-27 22:43:22	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	53	97¢	$51	0x41ffb4…
04-27 18:36:34	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	53	97¢	$51	0x01b2a2…
04-27 11:08:42	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	234	94¢	$221	0xadd2ab…
04-27 03:04:10	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	234	92¢	$215	0xd6fa3d…
04-15 07:21:42	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x4dd86f…
04-15 03:17:24	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$39	0x580217…
04-14 04:33:37	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0x12d947…
04-13 21:01:09	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0xa9ea55…
04-07 13:33:53	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	51	94¢	$48	0x779b6c…
04-01 02:45:11	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x7b7d39…
03-31 00:24:55	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	52	93¢	$48	0x675369…
03-30 18:04:27	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	52	93¢	$48	0x412d55…
03-30 17:12:19	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0xa8d2a6…
03-30 08:30:12	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	38	96¢	$37	0x2bf1c0…
03-30 07:11:40	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	224	98¢	$219	0x37e378…
03-29 22:31:56	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	42	93¢	$39	0x1cef03…
03-29 22:27:20	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x4fb383…
03-29 22:24:06	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	132	93¢	$122	0x58aa9f…
03-29 22:21:38	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x8d3116…
03-29 22:21:06	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x7a65b0…
03-29 06:39:00	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	219	95¢	$209	0x916ed6…
03-29 00:33:26	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	219	96¢	$209	0xcb5b34…
03-28 10:08:35	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	216	95¢	$206	0x01bd34…
03-28 05:00:33	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xb6d9dc…
03-28 04:40:09	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x4f3f2a…
03-28 04:20:13	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	184	95¢	$176	0x7ea081…
03-28 04:00:35	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x96d3cd…
03-27 00:58:01	will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	215	98¢	$210	0x2a3020…
03-26 20:25:55	will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	215	98¢	$210	0x86dae2…
03-26 19:10:51	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	224	96¢	$215	0xee392a…
03-26 16:53:29	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	84	96¢	$81	0x583664…
03-26 13:57:45	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0xdccc0d…
03-26 13:46:27	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	134	96¢	$129	0xddbca2…
03-25 20:13:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	222	95¢	$211	0x274144…
03-25 11:43:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	222	95¢	$210	0x2bf90f…
03-25 10:40:09	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	212	96¢	$205	0x1c4463…
03-25 03:25:13	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	212	95¢	$202	0x12affc…
03-23 10:57:41	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	228	92¢	$211	0xb80150…
03-22 23:31:09	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	228	92¢	$209	0x77e8d1…