Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
open
Total volume
$14,758
Trades
580
Unique wallets
165
Liquidity
$3,564
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-07-20
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-19 17:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.4¢
(top1%: 2% YES on $531
vs crowd: 3% YES on $9.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 11 | $59 | $4.6K | $4.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 21 | $112 | $868 | $756 |
| 🐟 Fish | 96 | $72 | $3.4K | $3.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 37 | $51 | $472 | $421 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $9 | $522 | $514 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $11 | $979 | $968 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $52 | $144 | $92 |
| Median | 14 | $12 | $366 | $354 |
| Below median | 98 | $24 | $3.4K | $3.4K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $14 | $11 | +$3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $106 | $33 | +$73 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $4 | $3.7K | $3.7K |
| unranked | 15 | $62 | $78 | $16 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | No | +2,084 | $2,004 | $2,004 | 27 | 06-15 23:36 |
| Angelic-Auto 0xee00…cea1 | No | +1,530 | $1,483 | $1,483 | 2 | 06-17 14:55 |
| Loud-Receiver 0xa40d…ea7a | Yes | +673 | $15 | $49 | 25 | 06-19 17:27 |
| Shiny-Twist 0x9a31…b2c2 | Yes | +509 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 06-04 01:22 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +505 | $6 | $90 | 52 | 06-17 21:21 |
| Tinted-Consciousness 0xfea3…d227 | No | +380 | $364 | $364 | 2 | 06-13 18:18 |
| Tragic-Frown 0xf99d…f867 | Yes | +300 | $8 | $8 | 5 | 06-17 14:56 |
| Dramatic-Amendment 0x57ee…7b80 | Yes | +250 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-29 22:05 |
| Hasty-Institute 0x97df…3088 | Yes | +250 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-09 15:35 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | +192 | $8 | $12 | 8 | 06-18 11:23 |
| Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | Yes | +147 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 06-18 03:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x0177…01d6 | Yes | +135 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-15 11:17 |
| Sunny-Bug 0x21dd…e4f5 | Yes | +129 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-15 14:33 |
| Tough-Placode 0xcf92…4bfd | Yes | +128 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 06-06 10:49 |
| Forthright-Kingfish 0x6db9…4ab5 | No | +126 | $121 | $121 | 5 | 06-11 16:03 |
| Arctic-Vanadyl 0xc33d…0d40 | Yes | +123 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 06-13 18:19 |
| Scaly-Spree 0xd35e…30a3 | Yes | +105 | $4 | $14 | 5 | 06-15 14:33 |
| Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | Yes | +103 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-17 14:56 |
| Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e | Yes | +95 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-12 21:04 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +80 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 06-19 05:48 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +75 | $72 | $72 | 5 | 06-18 07:37 |
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | +73 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-13 17:18 |
| Faraway-Wisdom 0x4006…b07f | No | +64 | $62 | $62 | 1 | 06-15 17:42 |
| Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | No | +59 | $54 | $911 | 24 | 06-07 15:39 |
| Speedy-Management 0x5a7f…21ee | No | +58 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 06-14 00:59 |
| Watchful-Blight 0x6a40…599e | Yes | +56 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-02 05:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x5afc…2995 | Yes | +53 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-17 14:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-05 20:39 |
| Shiny-Mansard 0xefd6…e56d | Yes | +50 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-17 13:14 |
| Square-Baby 0x465f…7bcb | No | +49 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 06-15 11:03 |
| Unknown-Sculpting 0xcbef…9ab0 | Yes | +48 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-13 03:07 |
| Pastel-Manufacturer 0xdb4d…aaad | No | +47 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 06-13 18:06 |
| Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | +45 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-12 21:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x74e1…e515 | Yes | +44 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-11 17:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe09…b1ee | Yes | +43 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 16:39 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +42 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-17 14:56 |
| Cuddly-Folder 0x74f1…16a8 | No | +39 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 06-07 16:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xb7ad…8d9a | No | +37 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 06-12 10:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x63f6…f5b3 | Yes | +33 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-11 18:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xd449…450f | No | +33 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 06-11 18:36 |
| Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | +32 | $2 | $8 | 3 | 06-14 09:04 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +30 | $-3 | $33 | 38 | 06-18 19:59 |
| Pointed-Date 0x2ed3…a20c | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 06-03 04:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xe901…3139 | Yes | +26 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 17:52 |
| Harsh-Daybed 0x40af…8426 | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-15 16:42 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | +23 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 06-11 21:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xba7f…87b2 | No | +22 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-07 10:30 |
| Notable-Praise 0xfdcf…2ccd | No | +22 | $21 | $55 | 3 | 06-12 17:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a1b…aef4 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-13 18:18 |
| Kosher-Jaguar 0xf4d5…66e1 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-15 14:33 |
| All-Architecture 0x588d…099a | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-06 18:52 |
| Insidious-Ottoman 0xe1d4…a31e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-17 14:55 |
| Ideal-Cholesterol 0x48ef…26ad | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-10 07:33 |
| Embarrassed-Examiner 0x5c9a…c65d | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-17 14:55 |
| Feisty-Rabbi 0x4ad0…d8e4 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-17 14:55 |
| Homely-Windchime 0x2f53…2d83 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-17 14:55 |
| Delightful-Spike 0x8b59…0ea3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-17 15:08 |
| Sweet-Pineapple 0xb221…4604 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-19 06:50 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 17:27:08 | Loud-Receiver 0xa40d…ea7a | Yes | SELL | 49 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xf8905d… |
| 06-19 17:27:08 | Novel-Kiosk 0x5106…40fb | No | SELL | 49 | 97¢ | $47 | 0xf8905d… |
| 06-19 16:48:01 | Upright-Livestock 0x4936…83ca | No | SELL | 22 | 97¢ | $21 | 0x979d92… |
| 06-19 16:48:01 | Loud-Receiver 0xa40d…ea7a | Yes | SELL | 22 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x979d92… |
| 06-19 14:47:25 | Famous-Cribbage 0x2291…dadd | No | SELL | 51 | 97¢ | $49 | 0x00a0a1… |
| 06-19 14:47:25 | Loud-Receiver 0xa40d…ea7a | Yes | SELL | 51 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x00a0a1… |
| 06-19 10:49:25 | Shady-Suppression 0x00ac…588a | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xbb5d30… |
| 06-19 10:49:25 | Loud-Receiver 0xa40d…ea7a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xbb5d30… |
| 06-19 10:42:47 | Loud-Receiver 0xa40d…ea7a | Yes | BUY | 22 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x57dbd8… |
| 06-19 10:42:47 | Upright-Livestock 0x4936…83ca | No | BUY | 22 | 98¢ | $22 | 0x57dbd8… |
| 06-19 09:24:32 | Loud-Receiver 0xa40d…ea7a | Yes | BUY | 49 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x60bef2… |
| 06-19 09:24:32 | Novel-Kiosk 0x5106…40fb | No | BUY | 49 | 98¢ | $48 | 0x60bef2… |
| 06-19 09:15:59 | Profitable-Feng 0x7ab3…cbbd | No | SELL | 51 | 97¢ | $50 | 0xc00183… |
| 06-19 09:15:59 | Loud-Receiver 0xa40d…ea7a | Yes | SELL | 51 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xc00183… |
| 06-19 09:15:34 | Loud-Receiver 0xa40d…ea7a | Yes | SELL | 52 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x323f61… |
| 06-19 09:15:34 | Impressive-Villa 0x5f4a…9d33 | No | SELL | 52 | 97¢ | $50 | 0x323f61… |
| 06-19 07:40:52 | Loud-Receiver 0xa40d…ea7a | Yes | BUY | 51 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb9dfa5… |
| 06-19 07:40:52 | Famous-Cribbage 0x2291…dadd | No | BUY | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0xb9dfa5… |
| 06-19 07:28:17 | Loud-Receiver 0xa40d…ea7a | Yes | SELL | 45 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x8fcf42… |
| 06-19 07:28:17 | Yummy-Gateway 0x80f2…b0be | No | SELL | 45 | 97¢ | $44 | 0x8fcf42… |
| 06-19 07:17:10 | Mountainous-External 0x950b…0190 | No | SELL | 60 | 97¢ | $58 | 0xf6d470… |
| 06-19 07:17:10 | Loud-Receiver 0xa40d…ea7a | Yes | SELL | 60 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xf6d470… |
| 06-19 06:50:41 | Loud-Receiver 0xa40d…ea7a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2d8bef… |
| 06-19 06:50:41 | Sweet-Pineapple 0xb221…4604 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x2d8bef… |
| 06-19 05:48:13 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0b07ca… |
| 06-19 05:48:13 | Shady-Suppression 0x00ac…588a | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x0b07ca… |
| 06-19 05:45:28 | Loud-Receiver 0xa40d…ea7a | Yes | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xda3865… |
| 06-19 05:45:28 | Unusual-Solidarity 0x591c…fc21 | No | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $49 | 0xda3865… |
| 06-19 05:37:19 | Unequaled-Jeep 0x2755…25ae | No | SELL | 70 | 97¢ | $68 | 0x61275b… |
| 06-19 05:37:19 | Loud-Receiver 0xa40d…ea7a | Yes | SELL | 70 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x61275b… |
| 06-19 05:14:55 | Loud-Receiver 0xa40d…ea7a | Yes | BUY | 52 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x26c2e1… |
| 06-19 05:14:55 | Impressive-Villa 0x5f4a…9d33 | No | BUY | 52 | 98¢ | $51 | 0x26c2e1… |
| 06-19 03:14:41 | Loud-Receiver 0xa40d…ea7a | Yes | BUY | 51 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xdbe8ae… |
| 06-19 03:14:41 | Profitable-Feng 0x7ab3…cbbd | No | BUY | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0xdbe8ae… |
| 06-19 03:13:34 | Rusty-Buggy 0x8de2…195a | No | SELL | 61 | 97¢ | $59 | 0x8ada7f… |
| 06-19 03:13:34 | Loud-Receiver 0xa40d…ea7a | Yes | SELL | 61 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x8ada7f… |
| 06-19 01:59:16 | Gummy-Love 0xe6ff…e0ff | No | SELL | 56 | 97¢ | $54 | 0x3ee976… |
| 06-19 01:59:16 | Loud-Receiver 0xa40d…ea7a | Yes | SELL | 38 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x3ee976… |
| 06-19 01:59:16 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3ee976… |
| 06-19 01:46:23 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x2ded6b… |
| 06-19 01:46:23 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2ded6b… |
| 06-19 01:46:23 | Visible-Option 0x3147…5b41 | No | SELL | 47 | 97¢ | $46 | 0x2ded6b… |
| 06-19 01:27:31 | Loud-Receiver 0xa40d…ea7a | Yes | BUY | 45 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd08ea4… |
| 06-19 01:27:31 | Yummy-Gateway 0x80f2…b0be | No | BUY | 45 | 98¢ | $44 | 0xd08ea4… |
| 06-19 01:24:25 | (anonymous) 0x252a…bdd0 | No | SELL | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0x6155bc… |
| 06-19 01:24:25 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x6155bc… |
| 06-19 00:12:11 | Loud-Receiver 0xa40d…ea7a | Yes | BUY | 60 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xfff752… |
| 06-19 00:12:11 | Mountainous-External 0x950b…0190 | No | BUY | 60 | 98¢ | $58 | 0xfff752… |
| 06-18 22:34:16 | Unequaled-Jeep 0x2755…25ae | No | BUY | 70 | 98¢ | $68 | 0xa3c01d… |
| 06-18 22:34:16 | Loud-Receiver 0xa40d…ea7a | Yes | BUY | 70 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xa3c01d… |
| 06-18 21:41:31 | Unusual-Solidarity 0x591c…fc21 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x982a51… |
| 06-18 21:41:31 | Loud-Receiver 0xa40d…ea7a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x982a51… |
| 06-18 20:08:04 | Rusty-Buggy 0x8de2…195a | No | BUY | 61 | 98¢ | $59 | 0x627006… |
| 06-18 20:08:04 | Loud-Receiver 0xa40d…ea7a | Yes | BUY | 61 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x627006… |
| 06-18 19:59:26 | (anonymous) 0x238f…3015 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x980f18… |
| 06-18 19:59:26 | Apprehensive-Counsellor 0xc69f…b2ee | No | SELL | 52 | 97¢ | $50 | 0x980f18… |
| 06-18 19:59:26 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x980f18… |
| 06-18 19:19:29 | (anonymous) 0x252a…bdd0 | No | BUY | 40 | 98¢ | $39 | 0xb12c97… |
| 06-18 19:19:29 | Loud-Receiver 0xa40d…ea7a | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb12c97… |
| 06-18 18:56:26 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 49 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x36ece5… |
| 06-18 18:56:26 | Gummy-Love 0xe6ff…e0ff | No | BUY | 56 | 98¢ | $54 | 0x36ece5… |
| 06-18 18:56:26 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x36ece5… |
| 06-18 18:41:37 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x80d121… |
| 06-18 18:41:37 | Visible-Option 0x3147…5b41 | No | BUY | 47 | 98¢ | $46 | 0x80d121… |
| 06-18 12:02:29 | (anonymous) 0x238f…3015 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf15c65… |
| 06-18 12:02:29 | Apprehensive-Counsellor 0xc69f…b2ee | No | BUY | 22 | 98¢ | $21 | 0xf15c65… |
| 06-18 11:58:58 | Apprehensive-Counsellor 0xc69f…b2ee | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x94f8a4… |
| 06-18 11:58:58 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x94f8a4… |
| 06-18 11:23:53 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x3f6d44… |
| 06-18 11:23:53 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | SELL | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3f6d44… |
| 06-18 11:23:53 | Reflecting-Nasal 0x2e2e…5618 | No | SELL | 49 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x3f6d44… |
| 06-18 07:37:07 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x5ea15d… |
| 06-18 07:37:07 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 16 | 97¢ | $16 | 0x5ea15d… |
| 06-18 07:37:07 | Precious-Haven 0xb8db…d130 | No | SELL | 48 | 97¢ | $47 | 0x5ea15d… |
| 06-18 07:32:23 | Discrete-Effacement 0x2d0c…8e50 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xea26a0… |
| 06-18 07:32:23 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xea26a0… |
| 06-18 03:34:28 | Tough-Bush 0x6f3c…d863 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x9163b8… |
| 06-18 03:34:28 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x9163b8… |
| 06-18 03:17:14 | Reflecting-Nasal 0x2e2e…5618 | No | BUY | 49 | 98¢ | $48 | 0xbd2a6b… |
| 06-18 03:17:14 | Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | Yes | BUY | 49 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xbd2a6b… |
| 06-18 02:35:46 | Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | Yes | BUY | 48 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb210ab… |
| 06-18 02:35:46 | Precious-Haven 0xb8db…d130 | No | BUY | 48 | 98¢ | $47 | 0xb210ab… |
| 06-18 02:26:08 | Discrete-Effacement 0x2d0c…8e50 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x0e2355… |
| 06-18 02:26:08 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0e2355… |
| 06-17 23:08:17 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 72 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x65a8e9… |
| 06-17 23:08:17 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 86 | 97¢ | $83 | 0x65a8e9… |
| 06-17 23:08:17 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 14 | 97¢ | $13 | 0x65a8e9… |
| 06-17 23:02:38 | (anonymous) 0x7ace…f3da | Yes | SELL | 49 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xe289f1… |
| 06-17 23:02:38 | Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | Yes | BUY | 49 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xe289f1… |
| 06-17 22:30:01 | Tough-Bush 0x6f3c…d863 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xe29cda… |
| 06-17 22:30:01 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe29cda… |
| 06-17 21:21:37 | (anonymous) 0x7ace…f3da | Yes | SELL | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x12ebdd… |
| 06-17 21:21:37 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x12ebdd… |
| 06-17 21:21:37 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x944bdb… |
| 06-17 21:21:37 | Each-Adviser 0x8f5a…cf07 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x944bdb… |
| 06-17 19:49:26 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x64cb31… |
| 06-17 19:49:26 | Creepy-Grasp 0xbc66…eb09 | No | SELL | 35 | 97¢ | $34 | 0x64cb31… |
| 06-17 19:17:19 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 54 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xf66bce… |
| 06-17 19:17:19 | Famous-Dependency 0xec00…1ae3 | No | SELL | 58 | 97¢ | $56 | 0xf66bce… |
| 06-17 19:17:19 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf66bce… |