Rundown-Regard 0x39aaed…64583c Create alert
whale hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$80.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.07K
Hit rate
78.4%
Resolved
14,915
Trades
203,794
lifetime
Volume
$12.2M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$60
Open exposure
$123.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-08 04:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 300 days
Categories
Politics
40% 45% +$21,941
Sports
24% 60% +$21,096
Crypto
21% 60% +$14,595
Other
15% 40% +$20,611
Tech
0% 47% +$1,960
Pop-Culture
0% 46% +$70
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 5504 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +13,615 $10,647 86¢ $11.7K +$1,075 11-08 05:02
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +11,847 $9,798 84¢ $9.9K +$94 11-08 00:42
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +11,847 $8,697 80¢ $9.4K +$722 11-08 00:42
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +9,624 $7,357 80¢ $7.7K +$343 11-08 01:03
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +8,076 $6,603 88¢ $7.1K +$504 11-06 21:03
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +9,035 $6,476 74¢ $6.7K +$210 11-06 19:35
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,954 $5,256 99¢ $5.9K +$612 11-04 05:30
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? No +6,716 $5,538 86¢ $5.8K +$261 11-06 21:27
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +5,659 $4,548 90¢ $5.1K +$516 11-02 23:07
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +6,602 $4,614 76¢ $5.1K +$437 11-05 19:08
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +4,453 $4,274 100¢ $4.4K +$159 11-08 00:20
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +11,847 $5,266 34¢ $4.1K -$1,178 11-08 00:42
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +5,770 $4,123 66¢ $3.8K -$294 11-05 14:58
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +4,510 $3,611 80¢ $3.6K -$14 11-08 00:44
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +4,756 $3,213 76¢ $3.6K +$378 11-05 16:45
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +5,239 $3,668 68¢ $3.5K -$132 11-04 09:55
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +10,571 $2,761 24¢ $2.5K -$277 11-05 16:45
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +2,460 $2,149 97¢ $2.4K +$244 09-08 17:29
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +9,392 $2,382 24¢ $2.2K -$175 11-07 21:09
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,709 $1,766 78¢ $2.1K +$361 11-05 17:11
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +2,612 $1,634 76¢ $2.0K +$347 11-07 03:17
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? Yes +2,824 $1,400 70¢ $2.0K +$581 10-03 06:50
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +9,624 $1,790 20¢ $1.9K +$159 11-08 01:03
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +5,668 $1,644 34¢ $1.9K +$263 11-04 09:55
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? No +7,885 $2,893 24¢ $1.9K -$989 11-06 21:27
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +5,342 $1,493 32¢ $1.7K +$243 11-05 14:58
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1,627 $1,593 98¢ $1.6K -$1 11-05 15:53
Next James Bond announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,685 $1,164 90¢ $1.5K +$352 11-07 08:09
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +1,697 $1,253 76¢ $1.3K +$28 11-05 15:52
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +9,642 $1,915 12¢ $1.2K -$758 11-08 05:02