Realized P&L
+$67.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$21
Hit rate
65.0%
Resolved
7,987
Trades
10,313
lifetime
Volume
$14.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$116
28 positions
First seen
2026-02-07
last 10-27 02:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 172 days
Categories
Other
78% 0% +$8,573
Crypto
13% 0% +$10
Sports
9% 1% +$58,780
Politics
1% 0% -$9
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Tech
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -96 -$37 39¢ $-37 $0 04-29 04:45
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -112 -$30 17¢ $-19 +$12 04-29 04:45
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -92 -$17 19¢ $-18 $0 04-29 04:45
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -96 -$21 18¢ $-18 +$3 04-29 04:45
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -92 -$10 10¢ $-9 +$1 04-29 04:45
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -101 -$10 8¢ $-8 +$3 04-29 04:45
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -24 -$4 16¢ $-4 +$0 09-20 23:03
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -22 -$3 12¢ $-3 +$1 06-06 14:44
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -26 -$3 6¢ $-2 +$1 09-20 23:03
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +6 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 09-10 23:10
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +7 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 09-21 14:02
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? Yes +8 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 08-12 19:03
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher? Yes +15 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 06-02 12:48
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +8 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-05 00:58
Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +7 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-21 19:40
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +8 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-26 16:45
Will D.C. United win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +8 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-20 02:48
Will Aaron Kahng win The Bachelorette Season 22? Yes +7 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-07 22:14
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? Yes +7 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-05 17:34
Will Toronto FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +7 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-20 02:48
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +7 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-15 09:00
Will Freddy Peralta win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? Yes +7 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 06-08 19:36
Will Matt Olson win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 07-24 07:20
Will Cal Raleigh win the 2026 American League MVP Award? Yes — +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 07-07 17:09
Will San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-12 02:15
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-21 08:40
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-10 23:45
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-22 17:17