Realized P&L (7d)
+$4
Unrealized P&L
+$42
Hit rate
0.6%
Resolved (7d)
269
Trades (7d)
160
10,531 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1
$14.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$96
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-07
last 11-09 10:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 184 days
Categories
Other
78% 0% +$8,577
Crypto
13% 0% +$10
Sports
9% 1% +$58,780
Politics
1% 0% -$9
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Tech
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -96 -$37 32¢ $-31 +$6 04-29 04:45
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -96 -$21 20¢ $-19 +$2 04-29 04:45
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -92 -$17 18¢ $-16 +$1 04-29 04:45
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -112 -$30 8¢ $-9 +$21 04-29 04:45
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -92 -$10 9¢ $-9 +$2 04-29 04:45
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -24 -$4 16¢ $-4 +$0 09-20 23:03
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -101 -$10 4¢ $-4 +$6 04-29 04:45
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -26 -$3 6¢ $-2 +$1 09-20 23:03
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -22 -$3 8¢ $-2 +$2 06-06 14:44
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT? Yes +7 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 11-07 18:11
Will there be between 100m and 105m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? Yes +8 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 11-06 14:29
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%? Yes +19 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 07-15 01:48
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +7 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-15 09:00
Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +7 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 09-21 19:40
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +7 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 09-21 14:02
Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election? No +6 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 11-04 06:28
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +6 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 09-10 23:10
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher? Yes +15 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 06-02 12:48
Will Matt Carroll win The Bachelorette Season 22? Yes +6 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 08-26 22:33
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +8 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-26 16:45
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more? Yes +7 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-05 19:06
Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-09 10:16
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori + NZF? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-05 04:19
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +8 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-05 00:58
Will Michael Baba win The Bachelorette Season 22? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 08-26 22:33
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + Labour? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-05 04:19
Will Ronn Perez win The Bachelorette Season 22? Yes +7 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 08-21 21:37
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + NZF + Maori? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-25 22:44
Will there be between 90m and 95m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? Yes +7 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-03 22:11
Will National Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +7 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-04 23:38