Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
open
Total volume
$3,279
$26 in 24h
Trades
725
Unique wallets
192
Liquidity
$10,371
Latest YES mid
96¢
Latest NO mid
4¢
End date
2026-11-03
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-03 01:32
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-96.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $8
vs crowd: 96% YES on $1.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $45 | $24 | +$20 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $520 | $38 | +$482 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $37 | $7 | +$30 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 164 | $1.2K | $5 | +$1.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | — | $15 | $15 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $57 | $5 | +$53 |
| Median | 42 | $41 | — | +$41 |
| Below median | 6 | $2 | $2 | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $528 | $32 | +$497 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $10 | $0 | +$10 |
| unranked | 119 | $1.2K | $6 | +$1.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Functional-Heartthrob 0x1c14…0869 | Yes | +534 | $504 | $524 | 2 | 07-02 01:20 |
| Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | No | +500 | $8 | $8 | 47 | 07-03 01:23 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | +495 | $7 | $7 | 5 | 07-02 20:27 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +60 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-28 19:40 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | No | +60 | $1 | $1 | 11 | 06-29 01:11 |
| Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | +59 | $2 | $7 | 19 | 07-02 21:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc29…b3b6 | Yes | +39 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 06-28 19:39 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +31 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 06-28 19:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | No | +31 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-11 06:40 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +15 | $14 | $14 | 7 | 07-02 21:48 |
| Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | No | +14 | $1 | $6 | 14 | 07-02 22:05 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +11 | $10 | $30 | 4 | 07-03 01:32 |
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | +6 | $6 | $6 | 6 | 06-29 01:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | No | +5 | $-0 | $1 | 4 | 07-02 21:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | No | +3 | $-0 | $1 | 28 | 06-12 09:05 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +2 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-05 00:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x74d6…02a1 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-28 19:39 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | No | +1 | $-0 | $2 | 7 | 07-02 21:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 01:32:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0x02830c… |
| 07-03 01:32:26 | (anonymous) 0xcdad…bf9b | Yes | SELL | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x02830c… |
| 07-03 01:31:50 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4cc506… |
| 07-03 01:31:50 | (anonymous) 0xcdad…bf9b | Yes | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x4cc506… |
| 07-03 01:31:50 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x4cc506… |
| 07-03 01:23:43 | (anonymous) 0x0dd3…6f2d | Yes | SELL | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x9ea3f1… |
| 07-03 01:23:43 | Stable-Patch 0x3a30…99ec | No | SELL | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9ea3f1… |
| 07-03 01:23:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x9ea3f1… |
| 07-03 01:23:14 | (anonymous) 0x0dd3…6f2d | Yes | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xa1c62a… |
| 07-03 01:23:14 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | No | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa1c62a… |
| 07-03 01:17:19 | (anonymous) 0xa905…703b | Yes | SELL | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xcf857f… |
| 07-03 01:17:19 | Stable-Patch 0x3a30…99ec | No | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xcf857f… |
| 07-03 01:16:55 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | No | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfab1a0… |
| 07-03 01:16:55 | (anonymous) 0xa905…703b | Yes | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xfab1a0… |
| 07-03 00:10:49 | Stable-Patch 0x3a30…99ec | No | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x14db5e… |
| 07-03 00:10:49 | (anonymous) 0x382c…273e | Yes | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x14db5e… |
| 07-03 00:10:49 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x14db5e… |
| 07-03 00:10:23 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | No | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xed4aee… |
| 07-03 00:10:23 | (anonymous) 0x382c…273e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xed4aee… |
| 07-02 22:39:26 | (anonymous) 0x0c3c…91c3 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x1cff50… |
| 07-02 22:39:26 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1cff50… |
| 07-02 22:38:58 | (anonymous) 0x0c3c…91c3 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xbb0558… |
| 07-02 22:38:58 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | No | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbb0558… |
| 07-02 22:05:13 | (anonymous) 0x764e…10cf | Yes | SELL | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xa92dbf… |
| 07-02 22:05:13 | Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | No | SELL | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa92dbf… |
| 07-02 22:04:49 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7df192… |
| 07-02 22:04:49 | (anonymous) 0x764e…10cf | Yes | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x7df192… |
| 07-02 22:00:49 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | No | SELL | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x70bb5e… |
| 07-02 22:00:49 | (anonymous) 0x60e1…fba1 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x70bb5e… |
| 07-02 22:00:23 | (anonymous) 0x60e1…fba1 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x1d18bb… |
| 07-02 22:00:23 | Stable-Patch 0x3a30…99ec | No | BUY | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1d18bb… |
| 07-02 21:56:32 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | No | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xab1664… |
| 07-02 21:56:32 | (anonymous) 0xd7ce…0db6 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xab1664… |
| 07-02 21:56:32 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | No | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xab1664… |
| 07-02 21:56:05 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | No | BUY | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x457f2d… |
| 07-02 21:56:05 | (anonymous) 0xd7ce…0db6 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x457f2d… |
| 07-02 21:54:08 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1338c0… |
| 07-02 21:54:08 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | No | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1338c0… |
| 07-02 21:52:23 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x02d203… |
| 07-02 21:52:23 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x02d203… |
| 07-02 21:52:23 | (anonymous) 0x8650…1b28 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x02d203… |
| 07-02 21:52:01 | (anonymous) 0x8650…1b28 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xc38864… |
| 07-02 21:52:01 | Stable-Patch 0x3a30…99ec | No | BUY | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc38864… |
| 07-02 21:48:19 | (anonymous) 0xbf7a…ffed | Yes | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x5de537… |
| 07-02 21:48:19 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x5de537… |
| 07-02 21:48:19 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5de537… |
| 07-02 21:48:01 | (anonymous) 0xbf7a…ffed | Yes | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xeb5b50… |
| 07-02 21:48:01 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xeb5b50… |
| 07-02 21:44:16 | (anonymous) 0xa66e…d06f | Yes | SELL | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x650b57… |
| 07-02 21:44:16 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | No | SELL | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x650b57… |
| 07-02 21:43:53 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | No | BUY | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb63c9c… |
| 07-02 21:43:53 | (anonymous) 0xa66e…d06f | Yes | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xb63c9c… |
| 07-02 21:38:43 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | No | SELL | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x44ce20… |
| 07-02 21:38:43 | (anonymous) 0x3621…291c | Yes | SELL | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x44ce20… |
| 07-02 21:38:19 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | No | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6b08b5… |
| 07-02 21:38:19 | (anonymous) 0x3621…291c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x6b08b5… |
| 07-02 21:25:32 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xae2e39… |
| 07-02 21:25:32 | (anonymous) 0xa553…b5ad | Yes | SELL | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xae2e39… |
| 07-02 21:25:08 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | No | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0e257c… |
| 07-02 21:25:08 | (anonymous) 0xa553…b5ad | Yes | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x0e257c… |
| 07-02 21:20:40 | (anonymous) 0x8727…caa5 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x5e2b19… |
| 07-02 21:20:40 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5e2b19… |
| 07-02 21:20:17 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4dd069… |
| 07-02 21:20:17 | (anonymous) 0x8727…caa5 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x4dd069… |
| 07-02 21:15:40 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xc0b212… |
| 07-02 21:15:40 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc0b212… |
| 07-02 21:15:40 | (anonymous) 0x8b63…2d06 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xc0b212… |
| 07-02 21:15:14 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | No | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6ce27c… |
| 07-02 21:15:14 | (anonymous) 0x8b63…2d06 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x6ce27c… |
| 07-02 21:11:11 | (anonymous) 0x87a7…b464 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xd5f80b… |
| 07-02 21:11:11 | Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | No | SELL | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd5f80b… |
| 07-02 21:10:47 | (anonymous) 0x87a7…b464 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xf3c4db… |
| 07-02 21:10:47 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | No | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf3c4db… |
| 07-02 21:06:20 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf1de06… |
| 07-02 21:06:20 | (anonymous) 0x81e3…f3e1 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xf1de06… |
| 07-02 21:05:58 | (anonymous) 0x81e3…f3e1 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xa683b5… |
| 07-02 21:05:58 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa683b5… |
| 07-02 21:01:49 | (anonymous) 0xe4f4…3908 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x4a5b59… |
| 07-02 21:01:49 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4a5b59… |
| 07-02 21:01:25 | (anonymous) 0xe4f4…3908 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x9c79ef… |
| 07-02 21:01:25 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9c79ef… |
| 07-02 20:57:19 | (anonymous) 0x5829…502f | Yes | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x71b49a… |
| 07-02 20:57:19 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | No | SELL | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x71b49a… |
| 07-02 20:56:32 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | No | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x26a953… |
| 07-02 20:56:32 | (anonymous) 0x5829…502f | Yes | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x26a953… |
| 07-02 20:53:04 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x511620… |
| 07-02 20:53:04 | (anonymous) 0x6612…d773 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x511620… |
| 07-02 20:52:41 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | No | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1fbe21… |
| 07-02 20:52:41 | (anonymous) 0x6612…d773 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x1fbe21… |
| 07-02 20:48:35 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbc2c2d… |
| 07-02 20:48:35 | (anonymous) 0x86ac…c463 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xbc2c2d… |
| 07-02 20:48:16 | (anonymous) 0x86ac…c463 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xb80604… |
| 07-02 20:48:16 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb80604… |
| 07-02 20:42:50 | (anonymous) 0xcc5f…7b4e | Yes | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x887d14… |
| 07-02 20:42:50 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | No | SELL | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x887d14… |
| 07-02 20:42:25 | (anonymous) 0xcc5f…7b4e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xa32142… |
| 07-02 20:42:25 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa32142… |
| 07-02 20:37:44 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | No | SELL | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa4c2cd… |
| 07-02 20:37:44 | (anonymous) 0x97c4…42ef | Yes | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xa4c2cd… |
| 07-02 20:37:23 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3f3705… |