Smug-Technology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.6%

Resolved

Trades

293

lifetime

Volume

$292

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 07-23 09:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

53% 100% +$0

Politics

22% 0% $-0

Crypto

11% 0% $-0

Tech

6% — —

Sports

5% 0% $-0

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	19	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	03-24 01:16
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	18	$18	9	9	-0	open	—	03-01 02:31
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	07-11 04:37
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	07-17 02:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-18 08:36
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-23 09:04
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	03-26 08:52
will annual inflation increase by 2pt0 in march	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-09 06:50
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-31 09:09
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-11 04:38
Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-09 08:51
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$-0	04-27 06:23
will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-05 09:17
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-28 06:41
another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 03:59
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-27 06:24
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-15 03:37
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-09 08:52
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-17 08:00
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-02 09:30
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-28 08:04
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-02 08:20
Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-20 04:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-11 02:39
bitcoin above 60k on march 26	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-23 07:35
Netanyahu out by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-23 09:52
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 01:59
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-06 08:17
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-01 09:26
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-20 08:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 09:04:19	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf62c95…
07-23 08:46:57	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x701e2d…
07-22 09:13:52	will total crypto market cap hit 4t in 2026 20260721192934663	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf69a13…
07-22 09:08:00	will total crypto market cap hit 4t in 2026 20260721192934663	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x01e984…
07-21 06:33:57	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xeb1616…
07-21 06:29:33	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb2fdf6…
07-20 08:26:55	Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc1bf21…
07-20 08:09:07	Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x89d748…
07-18 09:09:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3ecccf…
07-18 08:53:33	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x033e0f…
07-17 02:10:27	will trump accuse china of election interference by july 16 20260714013930794	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe87927…
07-17 02:09:46	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfbbdfe…
07-17 01:49:15	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb0fa2e…
07-17 01:40:18	will trump accuse china of election interference by july 16 20260714013930794	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x42f589…
07-16 09:03:55	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 15 20260708001726331	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5c02a3…
07-16 09:02:58	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa5eda5…
07-16 08:36:22	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x239d95…
07-16 08:29:55	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 15 20260708001726331	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3eb7f5…
07-13 08:44:16	will bitcoin reach 76k july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xedfc49…
07-13 08:23:22	will bitcoin reach 76k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf37aad…
07-11 04:38:26	UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd2b6dd…
07-11 04:37:47	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1ae422…
07-11 03:51:47	UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x126a85…
07-11 03:40:58	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x19e693…
07-10 08:54:02	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x326d4c…
07-10 08:34:32	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x46f9c2…
07-09 03:58:10	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9978ad…
07-09 03:32:58	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x327849…
07-08 09:02:16	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x527d0e…
07-08 08:41:46	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x89a50e…
07-07 02:02:40	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x79791d…
07-07 01:48:10	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0bca98…
07-06 08:27:44	UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4e77c3…
07-06 08:26:38	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x00c0f5…
07-06 08:14:17	UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb279c1…
07-06 08:00:01	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0fe8d4…
07-03 08:03:13	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3489ec…
07-03 07:49:01	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9e2e72…
07-02 08:20:37	will hamad bin isa al khalifa attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204732	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6974a8…
07-02 08:20:01	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc4c105…
07-02 08:10:17	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x81acd7…
07-02 08:00:25	will hamad bin isa al khalifa attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204732	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x891dd4…
07-01 09:26:32	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9b9a28…
07-01 09:17:16	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x070a61…
06-30 03:29:34	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x76ebe8…
06-30 03:28:46	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x150758…
06-30 03:12:13	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc3ee2d…
06-30 02:57:53	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x357438…
06-27 09:00:58	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xcfb7a2…
06-27 08:17:53	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x973c10…
06-26 04:12:28	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2b3780…
06-26 03:39:40	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf601fc…
06-25 09:21:01	will 1 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228786	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1bf101…
06-25 09:02:43	will 1 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228786	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe47858…
06-24 09:16:20	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfe11cf…
06-24 08:59:14	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x58d246…
06-23 09:25:35	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0b4b23…
06-23 08:57:19	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x193cc8…
06-22 04:43:17	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5337d0…
06-22 04:42:05	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd9ede0…
06-22 04:24:11	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x847397…
06-22 04:19:16	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2cb341…
06-21 09:47:11	will spacex have fewer than 11 launches in june 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc8471c…
06-21 09:29:37	will spacex have fewer than 11 launches in june 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9989bf…
06-18 08:36:53	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdc173b…
06-18 08:23:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xffaf0f…
06-17 01:51:16	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xaf4550…
06-17 01:33:28	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc3bcb3…
06-16 08:51:19	Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xcd25db…
06-16 08:35:36	Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x49dbdc…
06-15 08:27:27	will decibel launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x243ec9…
06-12 09:05:48	Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xfb6856…
06-12 08:44:10	Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5a516e…
06-11 08:23:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2ea1db…
06-11 08:09:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8973f4…
06-10 09:20:19	U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x64e958…
06-10 09:19:31	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8c3ae5…
06-10 08:59:36	U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8c5281…
06-10 08:53:39	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5a16c4…
06-09 08:51:07	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3e8d3e…
06-09 08:42:25	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x082425…
06-08 08:22:48	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc1a0d6…
06-08 08:09:03	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4715ce…
06-06 08:17:27	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x013dd8…
06-06 08:00:12	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x65e5a0…
06-05 09:17:46	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x119060…
06-05 08:55:55	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4071e8…
06-04 09:40:18	nvda above 185 on june 5 2026	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb6f14c…
06-04 09:38:54	will trump be photographed every day this week 61 67	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8cac93…
06-04 09:33:43	will trump be photographed every day this week 61 67	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc96894…
06-04 09:26:57	nvda above 185 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcce0a6…
06-03 01:49:18	Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf0d480…
06-03 01:48:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5f48e3…
06-03 01:23:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x538ebf…
06-03 01:18:00	Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xce28c6…
06-02 09:30:46	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x91a8dc…
06-02 09:23:56	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc71359…
06-01 09:16:59	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3f0007…
06-01 09:00:26	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xab580f…
05-28 08:04:15	Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6d5769…