Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
open
Total volume
$5,464
Trades
275
Unique wallets
55
Liquidity
$616
Latest YES mid
49¢
Latest NO mid
51¢
End date
2026-07-30
First seen
2026-05-31
last 06-19 20:30
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-53.6¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $190
vs crowd: 54% YES on $5.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 11 | $969 | $584 | +$384 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 13 | $800 | $243 | +$558 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $21 | $31 | $11 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $914 | $1.5K | $570 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $190 | $190 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $306 | $58 | +$248 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $43 | $89 | $46 |
| Median | 4 | $19 | $17 | +$1 |
| Below median | 5 | $21 | $16 | +$5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $42 | $42 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $22 | $399 | $377 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $891 | $51 | +$840 |
| unranked | 25 | $1.4K | $1.5K | $77 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xd87d…ae50 | No | +2,265 | $1,097 | $1,097 | 15 | 06-19 11:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | +1,000 | $505 | $505 | 2 | 06-19 11:25 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | +997 | $531 | $706 | 34 | 06-17 14:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x73bc…e60d | Yes | +984 | $574 | $574 | 7 | 06-17 03:01 |
| Serious-Authority 0xe1f1…3a05 | No | +535 | $249 | $249 | 4 | 06-17 14:11 |
| Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | +500 | $239 | $239 | 5 | 06-17 11:20 |
| Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | Yes | +441 | $259 | $259 | 12 | 06-12 04:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x96f0…e3b9 | Yes | +355 | $218 | $218 | 7 | 06-17 04:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xb973…2812 | No | +352 | $144 | $144 | 4 | 06-13 13:52 |
| Puny-Prevalence 0xb835…2e51 | No | +316 | $165 | $216 | 7 | 06-19 11:25 |
| Gummy-Theater 0x562b…dc09 | No | +292 | $116 | $116 | 2 | 06-15 19:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x9135…ad35 | No | +177 | $63 | $63 | 3 | 06-15 12:05 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +155 | $55 | $55 | 10 | 06-15 12:05 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +124 | $62 | $62 | 4 | 06-13 19:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x9768…0731 | No | +90 | $33 | $33 | 5 | 06-12 12:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x3057…bf7b | No | +82 | $40 | $40 | 6 | 06-17 07:36 |
| Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | No | +82 | $51 | $51 | 3 | 06-04 10:18 |
| Disguised-Pajamas 0x4262…abaa | No | +80 | $38 | $38 | 2 | 06-18 09:05 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +70 | $32 | $32 | 3 | 06-17 14:19 |
| Elderly-Cupola 0x0d5e…5c24 | No | +36 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 06-18 09:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x34d2…ea58 | Yes | +35 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 06-15 14:54 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +30 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-16 14:20 |
| Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | Yes | +29 | $16 | $16 | 3 | 06-17 11:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x827e…d97c | Yes | +26 | $18 | $22 | 5 | 06-15 10:51 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +21 | $6 | $74 | 5 | 06-17 12:56 |
| Guilty-Spring 0x04dc…2387 | Yes | +16 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-01 11:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x4d99…c988 | Yes | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-15 10:57 |
| Measly-Gelatin 0x28ca…5d19 | Yes | +13 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-31 21:40 |
| Unrealistic-Ingredient 0xb50c…5463 | Yes | +11 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-17 14:49 |
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | +9 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-17 11:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +8 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 06-12 12:42 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | +8 | $4 | $32 | 8 | 06-18 06:43 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | +8 | $4 | $12 | 3 | 06-17 11:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-12 05:05 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-19 20:30 |
| Fearful-Softdrink-Fishbone 0xce80…c5ef | No | +7 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-18 09:05 |
| Super-Arena 0x28ab…2048 | No | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-13 01:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x7847…2223 | Yes | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-10 15:36 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-15 15:13 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-15 14:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x870f…b9d7 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-10 13:21 |
| Flickering-Gesture-Retreat 0x4459…4117 | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-04 09:54 |
| Adept-Horseradish 0xdf95…0b47 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 22:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x8217…c7c1 | No | +1 | $1 | $15 | 5 | 06-15 11:12 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 20:30:35 | Physical-Taxpayer 0x091a…db09 | No | SELL | 8 | 49¢ | $4 | 0x912907… |
| 06-19 20:30:35 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 8 | 49¢ | $4 | 0x912907… |
| 06-19 11:25:53 | (anonymous) 0xd87d…ae50 | No | BUY | 550 | 52¢ | $286 | 0x89a54c… |
| 06-19 11:25:53 | Puny-Prevalence 0xb835…2e51 | No | SELL | 45 | 51¢ | $23 | 0x89a54c… |
| 06-19 11:25:53 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | BUY | 500 | 48¢ | $240 | 0x89a54c… |
| 06-19 11:25:53 | Bare-Patch-Airbag 0xc9af…91e5 | No | SELL | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x89a54c… |
| 06-18 09:09:31 | (anonymous) 0x95a7…0ed3 | No | SELL | 22 | 47¢ | $11 | 0x47458c… |
| 06-18 09:09:31 | Elderly-Cupola 0x0d5e…5c24 | No | BUY | 22 | 47¢ | $11 | 0x47458c… |
| 06-18 09:05:49 | Fearful-Softdrink-Fishbone 0xce80…c5ef | No | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $2 | 0x97d0a2… |
| 06-18 09:05:49 | Puny-Prevalence 0xb835…2e51 | No | SELL | 5 | 51¢ | $2 | 0x97d0a2… |
| 06-18 09:05:22 | (anonymous) 0x95a7…0ed3 | No | SELL | 82 | 47¢ | $38 | 0x57458d… |
| 06-18 09:05:22 | Disguised-Pajamas 0x4262…abaa | No | BUY | 50 | 47¢ | $24 | 0x57458d… |
| 06-18 09:05:22 | (anonymous) 0xd87d…ae50 | No | BUY | 32 | 47¢ | $15 | 0x57458d… |
| 06-18 06:43:31 | (anonymous) 0x95a7…0ed3 | No | SELL | 76 | 47¢ | $36 | 0x761e50… |
| 06-18 06:43:31 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 53¢ | $4 | 0x761e50… |
| 06-18 06:43:31 | (anonymous) 0xd87d…ae50 | No | BUY | 68 | 47¢ | $32 | 0x761e50… |
| 06-18 02:33:34 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x351c70… |
| 06-18 02:33:34 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x351c70… |
| 06-17 16:32:59 | (anonymous) 0xd87d…ae50 | No | BUY | 506 | 47¢ | $238 | 0xb4bdda… |
| 06-17 16:32:59 | Yummy-Heartache 0xbff7…554f | No | SELL | 6 | 46¢ | $3 | 0xb4bdda… |
| 06-17 16:32:59 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | BUY | 500 | 53¢ | $265 | 0xb4bdda… |
| 06-17 14:49:13 | Unrealistic-Ingredient 0xb50c…5463 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 56¢ | $6 | 0xd8c9ff… |
| 06-17 14:49:13 | (anonymous) 0xd87d…ae50 | No | BUY | 11 | 44¢ | $5 | 0xd8c9ff… |
| 06-17 14:19:11 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 55¢ | $16 | 0x2bbe4f… |
| 06-17 14:19:11 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 30 | 45¢ | $13 | 0x2bbe4f… |
| 06-17 14:19:11 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 0 | 55¢ | $0 | 0x2bbe4f… |
| 06-17 14:18:52 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0xa76ac3… |
| 06-17 14:18:52 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0xa76ac3… |
| 06-17 14:16:49 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0xc08c24… |
| 06-17 14:16:49 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0xc08c24… |
| 06-17 14:12:13 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 55¢ | $6 | 0xd42864… |
| 06-17 14:12:13 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 10 | 55¢ | $6 | 0xd42864… |
| 06-17 14:11:07 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 55¢ | $38 | 0x140fba… |
| 06-17 14:11:07 | Serious-Authority 0xe1f1…3a05 | No | BUY | 70 | 45¢ | $32 | 0x140fba… |
| 06-17 13:55:59 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 91 | 55¢ | $50 | 0xc09817… |
| 06-17 13:55:59 | Serious-Authority 0xe1f1…3a05 | No | BUY | 91 | 45¢ | $41 | 0xc09817… |
| 06-17 13:44:47 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 20 | 55¢ | $11 | 0x4df2b9… |
| 06-17 13:44:47 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 269 | 55¢ | $148 | 0x4df2b9… |
| 06-17 13:44:47 | Bare-Patch-Airbag 0xc9af…91e5 | No | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x4df2b9… |
| 06-17 13:44:47 | Serious-Authority 0xe1f1…3a05 | No | BUY | 244 | 45¢ | $110 | 0x4df2b9… |
| 06-17 13:10:46 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x01d85a… |
| 06-17 13:10:46 | (anonymous) 0x95a7…0ed3 | No | SELL | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x01d85a… |
| 06-17 13:10:19 | Elderly-Cupola 0x0d5e…5c24 | No | BUY | 14 | 50¢ | $7 | 0x29b7b3… |
| 06-17 13:10:19 | (anonymous) 0x95a7…0ed3 | No | SELL | 14 | 50¢ | $7 | 0x29b7b3… |
| 06-17 13:09:55 | Yummy-Heartache 0xbff7…554f | No | SELL | 3 | 54¢ | $1 | 0xbcdc81… |
| 06-17 13:09:55 | Fearful-Softdrink-Fishbone 0xce80…c5ef | No | BUY | 3 | 54¢ | $1 | 0xbcdc81… |
| 06-17 13:09:44 | (anonymous) 0x95a7…0ed3 | No | SELL | 30 | 50¢ | $15 | 0xfaa952… |
| 06-17 13:09:44 | Disguised-Pajamas 0x4262…abaa | No | BUY | 30 | 50¢ | $15 | 0xfaa952… |
| 06-17 12:56:08 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 48¢ | $22 | 0xd34d40… |
| 06-17 12:56:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 45 | 52¢ | $23 | 0xd34d40… |
| 06-17 12:55:58 | Serious-Authority 0xe1f1…3a05 | No | BUY | 130 | 51¢ | $66 | 0x63472c… |
| 06-17 12:55:58 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 130 | 49¢ | $64 | 0x63472c… |
| 06-17 11:51:58 | (anonymous) 0x95a7…0ed3 | No | SELL | 41 | 50¢ | $21 | 0xf58094… |
| 06-17 11:51:58 | Puny-Prevalence 0xb835…2e51 | No | BUY | 41 | 50¢ | $21 | 0xf58094… |
| 06-17 11:35:14 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 49¢ | $0 | 0x32aba4… |
| 06-17 11:35:14 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 49¢ | $15 | 0x32aba4… |
| 06-17 11:35:14 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 29 | 51¢ | $15 | 0x32aba4… |
| 06-17 11:32:07 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 49¢ | $4 | 0xcc939d… |
| 06-17 11:32:07 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 49¢ | $4 | 0xcc939d… |
| 06-17 11:26:32 | Yummy-Heartache 0xbff7…554f | No | BUY | 9 | 51¢ | $5 | 0xdc5daf… |
| 06-17 11:26:32 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 49¢ | $4 | 0xdc5daf… |
| 06-17 11:26:22 | Puny-Prevalence 0xb835…2e51 | No | BUY | 9 | 50¢ | $4 | 0x681b31… |
| 06-17 11:26:22 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 50¢ | $4 | 0x681b31… |
| 06-17 11:24:23 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 8 | 49¢ | $4 | 0x20f344… |
| 06-17 11:24:23 | Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 51¢ | $4 | 0x20f344… |
| 06-17 11:24:22 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x491fb3… |
| 06-17 11:24:22 | (anonymous) 0xd87d…ae50 | No | BUY | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0x491fb3… |
| 06-17 11:20:25 | Puny-Prevalence 0xb835…2e51 | No | BUY | 100 | 53¢ | $53 | 0x6acd81… |
| 06-17 11:20:25 | Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 47¢ | $47 | 0x6acd81… |
| 06-17 11:19:49 | Puny-Prevalence 0xb835…2e51 | No | BUY | 116 | 52¢ | $60 | 0x3d0911… |
| 06-17 11:19:49 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 48¢ | $3 | 0x3d0911… |
| 06-17 11:19:49 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 48¢ | $5 | 0x3d0911… |
| 06-17 11:19:49 | Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 48¢ | $48 | 0x3d0911… |
| 06-17 11:18:13 | Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 48¢ | $48 | 0xd4bbcb… |
| 06-17 11:18:13 | Puny-Prevalence 0xb835…2e51 | No | BUY | 100 | 52¢ | $52 | 0xd4bbcb… |
| 06-17 11:17:10 | (anonymous) 0xd87d…ae50 | No | BUY | 16 | 49¢ | $8 | 0x595e16… |
| 06-17 11:17:10 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 51¢ | $4 | 0x595e16… |
| 06-17 11:15:35 | (anonymous) 0xd87d…ae50 | No | BUY | 100 | 52¢ | $52 | 0x991deb… |
| 06-17 11:15:35 | Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 48¢ | $48 | 0x991deb… |
| 06-17 11:15:28 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | SELL | 8 | 51¢ | $4 | 0x1b429a… |
| 06-17 11:15:28 | (anonymous) 0xd87d…ae50 | No | BUY | 53 | 51¢ | $27 | 0x1b429a… |
| 06-17 11:15:28 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x1b429a… |
| 06-17 11:15:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 35 | 51¢ | $18 | 0x1b429a… |
| 06-17 07:36:44 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 1 | 50¢ | $0 | 0xf89516… |
| 06-17 07:36:44 | (anonymous) 0x3057…bf7b | No | BUY | 1 | 50¢ | $0 | 0xf89516… |
| 06-17 07:10:07 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0xd87e44… |
| 06-17 07:10:07 | (anonymous) 0x3057…bf7b | No | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0xd87e44… |
| 06-17 07:10:05 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 50¢ | $5 | 0xb7c904… |
| 06-17 07:10:05 | (anonymous) 0x3057…bf7b | No | BUY | 9 | 50¢ | $5 | 0xb7c904… |
| 06-17 05:47:20 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 36 | 46¢ | $17 | 0x1955df… |
| 06-17 05:47:20 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 54¢ | $19 | 0x1955df… |
| 06-17 04:52:38 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x1da97e… |
| 06-17 04:52:38 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x1da97e… |
| 06-17 04:31:50 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 53¢ | $5 | 0x4f7aee… |
| 06-17 04:31:50 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 8 | 47¢ | $4 | 0x4f7aee… |
| 06-17 04:31:50 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x4f7aee… |
| 06-17 04:21:44 | (anonymous) 0xd87d…ae50 | No | BUY | 100 | 52¢ | $52 | 0x9dc2ab… |
| 06-17 04:21:44 | Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 48¢ | $48 | 0x9dc2ab… |
| 06-17 04:21:32 | (anonymous) 0x96f0…e3b9 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 50¢ | $50 | 0x5292b7… |
| 06-17 04:21:32 | (anonymous) 0xd87d…ae50 | No | BUY | 100 | 50¢ | $50 | 0x5292b7… |