Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
open
Total volume
$16,665
Trades
825
Unique wallets
127
Liquidity
$616
Latest YES mid
80¢
Latest NO mid
20¢
End date
2026-07-30
First seen
2026-05-31
last 07-12 04:36
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-54.6¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $222
vs crowd: 55% YES on $14.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 17 | $3.2K | $1.2K | +$2.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 25 | $1.4K | $578 | +$801 |
| 🐟 Fish | 22 | $427 | $250 | +$177 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 63 | $2.7K | $4.4K | $1.6K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $0 | $221 | $221 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $535 | $148 | +$387 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $322 | $479 | $157 |
| Median | 7 | $67 | $83 | $16 |
| Below median | 11 | $81 | $81 | $0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $109 | $60 | +$49 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 14 | $171 | $765 | $594 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $2.2K | $82 | +$2.1K |
| unranked | 67 | $4.3K | $4.5K | $234 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Another-Thermostat-Alloy 0xe32b…626e | No | +2,616 | $517 | $517 | 1 | 07-12 02:16 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | +2,311 | $1,249 | $1,720 | 94 | 07-12 03:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | +2,170 | $1,123 | $1,123 | 9 | 07-10 02:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x51a9…57bb | No | +1,654 | $839 | $839 | 14 | 06-25 16:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x5951…db15 | No | +1,460 | $488 | $488 | 35 | 07-12 02:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x73bc…e60d | Yes | +1,227 | $700 | $700 | 11 | 07-01 04:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x141a…c649 | Yes | +832 | $496 | $496 | 13 | 07-11 06:05 |
| Gummy-Theater 0x562b…dc09 | No | +829 | $300 | $300 | 5 | 07-11 06:05 |
| Reliable-Min 0xc646…e394 | Yes | +600 | $402 | $402 | 6 | 07-11 10:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xe55f…040a | Yes | +591 | $395 | $395 | 1 | 07-09 13:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xb973…2812 | No | +575 | $225 | $225 | 6 | 07-08 07:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x714d…c177 | No | +560 | $185 | $185 | 2 | 07-10 01:18 |
| Flaky-Ballot-Heavy 0x9158…ad24 | Yes | +482 | $281 | $281 | 2 | 07-02 21:15 |
| Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | Yes | +441 | $259 | $259 | 12 | 06-12 04:44 |
| Puny-Prevalence 0xb835…2e51 | No | +405 | $194 | $245 | 8 | 07-11 10:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | No | +375 | $80 | $80 | 6 | 07-12 01:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x6641…5285 | Yes | +339 | $225 | $225 | 2 | 07-01 05:36 |
| ProfessionalPunter 0x22e4…ef1c | No | +291 | $145 | $145 | 2 | 07-01 12:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x9135…ad35 | No | +277 | $93 | $93 | 6 | 07-05 23:18 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +275 | $148 | $205 | 18 | 07-10 07:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x9768…0731 | No | +272 | $73 | $73 | 6 | 07-12 03:25 |
| Crisp-Roar 0x5b75…433b | Yes | +250 | $160 | $160 | 1 | 07-09 09:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xa530…d2ee | No | +236 | $110 | $110 | 2 | 07-03 17:51 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +236 | $79 | $91 | 22 | 07-11 15:55 |
| Tempting-Civilisation 0x3814…138a | Yes | +213 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 07-11 21:12 |
| Brisk-Oval 0x9c16…a981 | Yes | +211 | $133 | $133 | 2 | 07-08 07:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x819f…f3e7 | Yes | +210 | $156 | $156 | 16 | 07-12 02:42 |
| Disguised-Pajamas 0x4262…abaa | Yes | +193 | $151 | $151 | 2 | 07-12 04:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x819f…f3e7 | No | +177 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 07-11 15:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x96f0…e3b9 | Yes | +166 | $63 | $372 | 11 | 07-11 21:12 |
| Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | No | +127 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 07-01 14:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | Yes | +126 | $81 | $81 | 5 | 07-09 05:24 |
| Serious-Authority 0xe1f1…3a05 | No | +110 | $-2 | $696 | 14 | 07-12 04:36 |
| Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | +108 | $-82 | $776 | 10 | 07-11 15:55 |
| Elderly-Cupola 0x0d5e…5c24 | No | +83 | $29 | $115 | 11 | 07-10 05:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x3057…bf7b | No | +82 | $40 | $40 | 6 | 06-17 07:36 |
| Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | No | +82 | $51 | $51 | 3 | 06-04 10:18 |
| Satisfied-Poll 0x7b53…ab9d | Yes | +78 | $41 | $41 | 6 | 06-25 05:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x2e8e…5b53 | No | +77 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 07-01 12:41 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | +74 | $50 | $96 | 23 | 07-12 04:36 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +70 | $32 | $32 | 3 | 06-17 14:19 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | +67 | $19 | $55 | 19 | 07-12 02:55 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +62 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 07-10 02:48 |
| Triangular-Medal 0x7964…b661 | Yes | +61 | $47 | $47 | 2 | 07-11 10:50 |
| Edible-Conspiracy 0xe5ac…560e | No | +52 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-11 23:29 |
| Pertinent-Vengeance 0x0275…b936 | No | +51 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-11 16:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | Yes | +40 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 07-10 03:00 |
| Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | Yes | +39 | $21 | $21 | 4 | 06-22 22:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x34d2…ea58 | Yes | +39 | $27 | $27 | 3 | 06-24 20:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x6600…a84e | No | +38 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-11 12:04 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +35 | $12 | $125 | 9 | 07-02 21:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xd87d…ae50 | No | +32 | $812 | $1,833 | 34 | 07-12 02:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d62…e937 | No | +31 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-26 16:34 |
| Roasted-Freon 0xab27…ab66 | No | +31 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 06-28 05:26 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +30 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-16 14:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x827e…d97c | Yes | +27 | $19 | $23 | 6 | 07-01 01:56 |
| Primary-Agent 0x4d1d…01ac | Yes | +22 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 07-10 05:09 |
| Exhausted-Patina-Disability 0x1206…1362 | Yes | +21 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-01 12:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +17 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 07-01 12:41 |
| Guilty-Spring 0x04dc…2387 | Yes | +16 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-01 11:36 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 04:36:58 | (anonymous) 0x0fb4…c6d7 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0xf00f18… |
| 07-12 04:36:58 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0xf00f18… |
| 07-12 04:36:55 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | SELL | 19 | 78¢ | $15 | 0xccb71c… |
| 07-12 04:36:55 | Disguised-Pajamas 0x4262…abaa | Yes | BUY | 19 | 78¢ | $15 | 0xccb71c… |
| 07-12 04:36:55 | Serious-Authority 0xe1f1…3a05 | No | BUY | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xcbd783… |
| 07-12 04:36:55 | Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 81¢ | $10 | 0xcbd783… |
| 07-12 04:36:55 | (anonymous) 0x8917…a49f | No | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xcbd783… |
| 07-12 04:23:02 | Serious-Authority 0xe1f1…3a05 | No | BUY | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x0f1cd4… |
| 07-12 04:23:02 | Tight-Attacker 0xdcab…e9b8 | No | SELL | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x0f1cd4… |
| 07-12 03:30:56 | Tight-Attacker 0xdcab…e9b8 | No | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x6b959a… |
| 07-12 03:30:56 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x6b959a… |
| 07-12 03:30:46 | Tight-Attacker 0xdcab…e9b8 | No | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x7c27c8… |
| 07-12 03:30:46 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x7c27c8… |
| 07-12 03:25:31 | Disguised-Pajamas 0x4262…abaa | Yes | BUY | 174 | 78¢ | $136 | 0x93bee3… |
| 07-12 03:25:31 | (anonymous) 0x9768…0731 | No | BUY | 182 | 22¢ | $40 | 0x93bee3… |
| 07-12 03:25:31 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 79¢ | $6 | 0x93bee3… |
| 07-12 02:55:25 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xf003da… |
| 07-12 02:55:25 | (anonymous) 0x0462…ec2d | No | SELL | 100 | 15¢ | $15 | 0xf003da… |
| 07-12 02:55:25 | Serious-Authority 0xe1f1…3a05 | No | BUY | 92 | 15¢ | $14 | 0xf003da… |
| 07-12 02:42:22 | (anonymous) 0x5951…db15 | No | BUY | 43 | 16¢ | $7 | 0xa4a9e2… |
| 07-12 02:42:22 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 83¢ | $7 | 0xa4a9e2… |
| 07-12 02:42:22 | (anonymous) 0x819f…f3e7 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 84¢ | $29 | 0xa4a9e2… |
| 07-12 02:41:55 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | BUY | 19 | 84¢ | $16 | 0x434a68… |
| 07-12 02:41:55 | (anonymous) 0x5951…db15 | No | BUY | 27 | 16¢ | $4 | 0x434a68… |
| 07-12 02:41:55 | (anonymous) 0x819f…f3e7 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 84¢ | $7 | 0x434a68… |
| 07-12 02:16:29 | Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | SELL | 9 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xe268b2… |
| 07-12 02:16:29 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xe268b2… |
| 07-12 02:16:29 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 8 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xe268b2… |
| 07-12 02:16:28 | (anonymous) 0xd87d…ae50 | No | SELL | 500 | 23¢ | $115 | 0x55c68b… |
| 07-12 02:16:28 | (anonymous) 0x0462…ec2d | No | SELL | 47 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x55c68b… |
| 07-12 02:16:28 | Disguised-Pajamas 0x4262…abaa | No | SELL | 340 | 19¢ | $65 | 0x55c68b… |
| 07-12 02:16:28 | Another-Thermostat-Alloy 0xe32b…626e | No | BUY | 2,616 | 20¢ | $517 | 0x55c68b… |
| 07-12 02:16:28 | (anonymous) 0x3d05…acde | No | SELL | 16 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x55c68b… |
| 07-12 02:16:28 | (anonymous) 0x1e98…e04e | No | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x55c68b… |
| 07-12 02:16:28 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0x55c68b… |
| 07-12 01:43:29 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 26 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xcda49c… |
| 07-12 01:43:29 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | No | BUY | 39 | 11¢ | $4 | 0xcda49c… |
| 07-12 01:43:29 | Emotional-Trigonometry 0xc53d…4346 | No | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xcda49c… |
| 07-12 01:43:29 | (anonymous) 0x0462…ec2d | No | SELL | 3 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xcda49c… |
| 07-11 23:29:17 | (anonymous) 0x0462…ec2d | No | SELL | 33 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x51bdc1… |
| 07-11 23:29:17 | Frilly-Behold 0x68cc…78e0 | No | SELL | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x51bdc1… |
| 07-11 23:29:17 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0x51bdc1… |
| 07-11 23:29:17 | Edible-Conspiracy 0xe5ac…560e | No | BUY | 52 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x51bdc1… |
| 07-11 21:24:43 | (anonymous) 0xf768…4ed7 | No | SELL | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x333edb… |
| 07-11 21:24:43 | Frilly-Behold 0x68cc…78e0 | No | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x333edb… |
| 07-11 21:14:56 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | SELL | 123 | 89¢ | $110 | 0x376dc7… |
| 07-11 21:14:56 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x376dc7… |
| 07-11 21:14:56 | (anonymous) 0x8917…a49f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x376dc7… |
| 07-11 21:14:56 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x376dc7… |
| 07-11 21:14:56 | Frilly-Behold 0x68cc…78e0 | No | SELL | 108 | 11¢ | $12 | 0x376dc7… |
| 07-11 21:12:34 | (anonymous) 0x96f0…e3b9 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 92¢ | $26 | 0xb1aee5… |
| 07-11 21:12:34 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xb1aee5… |
| 07-11 21:12:34 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb1aee5… |
| 07-11 21:12:34 | Tempting-Civilisation 0x3814…138a | Yes | BUY | 213 | 94¢ | $200 | 0xb1aee5… |
| 07-11 21:12:34 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | No | BUY | 78 | 5¢ | $4 | 0xb1aee5… |
| 07-11 21:10:52 | (anonymous) 0x0462…ec2d | No | SELL | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x9a6e6f… |
| 07-11 21:10:52 | Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | BUY | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x9a6e6f… |
| 07-11 21:09:29 | Frilly-Behold 0x68cc…78e0 | No | BUY | 108 | 9¢ | $10 | 0x6ee7ee… |
| 07-11 21:09:29 | (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | No | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x6ee7ee… |
| 07-11 21:09:29 | (anonymous) 0x0462…ec2d | No | SELL | 200 | 9¢ | $17 | 0x6ee7ee… |
| 07-11 21:09:29 | (anonymous) 0x96f0…e3b9 | Yes | SELL | 72 | 92¢ | $66 | 0x6ee7ee… |
| 07-11 20:23:59 | (anonymous) 0x7b2c…c9a8 | No | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x68b176… |
| 07-11 20:23:59 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x68b176… |
| 07-11 20:23:59 | (anonymous) 0xf768…4ed7 | No | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x68b176… |
| 07-11 16:16:34 | Pertinent-Vengeance 0x0275…b936 | No | BUY | 51 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xe4eeee… |
| 07-11 16:16:34 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xe4eeee… |
| 07-11 16:16:34 | (anonymous) 0x7b2c…c9a8 | No | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xe4eeee… |
| 07-11 16:16:34 | (anonymous) 0x4ffa…d273 | No | SELL | 140 | 8¢ | $11 | 0xe4eeee… |
| 07-11 16:16:34 | (anonymous) 0x3d05…acde | No | BUY | 16 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xe4eeee… |
| 07-11 16:16:34 | Near-Tell 0x651a…22e9 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 90¢ | $13 | 0xe4eeee… |
| 07-11 16:16:34 | Emotional-Trigonometry 0xc53d…4346 | No | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xe4eeee… |
| 07-11 16:16:34 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xe4eeee… |
| 07-11 16:00:46 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x9e504e… |
| 07-11 16:00:46 | (anonymous) 0xd87d…ae50 | No | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x9e504e… |
| 07-11 15:55:53 | (anonymous) 0x819f…f3e7 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 89¢ | $13 | 0xb3f987… |
| 07-11 15:55:53 | (anonymous) 0x819f…f3e7 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x90b643… |
| 07-11 15:55:53 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 15 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xb3f987… |
| 07-11 15:55:53 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | SELL | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x90b643… |
| 07-11 15:55:52 | (anonymous) 0xd87d…ae50 | No | SELL | 15 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xb82bb7… |
| 07-11 15:55:52 | (anonymous) 0xd87d…ae50 | No | SELL | 300 | 13¢ | $39 | 0x4e204e… |
| 07-11 15:55:52 | Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | SELL | 300 | 87¢ | $261 | 0x4e204e… |
| 07-11 15:55:52 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 88¢ | $13 | 0xb82bb7… |
| 07-11 15:54:53 | (anonymous) 0xd87d…ae50 | No | SELL | 166 | 16¢ | $27 | 0x22330a… |
| 07-11 15:54:53 | (anonymous) 0x819f…f3e7 | No | BUY | 166 | 16¢ | $27 | 0x22330a… |
| 07-11 15:52:59 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0x4d1ba1… |
| 07-11 15:52:59 | Supportive-Hearth 0xef71…4d85 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 80¢ | $6 | 0x4d1ba1… |
| 07-11 15:52:59 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x4d1ba1… |
| 07-11 15:52:56 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x2430f8… |
| 07-11 15:52:56 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 4 | 80¢ | $3 | 0x1d6cc7… |
| 07-11 15:52:56 | (anonymous) 0x1e98…e04e | No | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x1d6cc7… |
| 07-11 15:52:56 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x2430f8… |
| 07-11 15:52:56 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | BUY | 9 | 80¢ | $7 | 0x1d6cc7… |
| 07-11 15:19:28 | (anonymous) 0x1e98…e04e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x3c8eb1… |
| 07-11 15:19:28 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x3c8eb1… |
| 07-11 15:19:28 | (anonymous) 0xa253…ea11 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x3c8eb1… |
| 07-11 15:19:28 | (anonymous) 0x1d7c…1623 | No | SELL | 16 | 21¢ | $3 | 0x3c8eb1… |
| 07-11 12:04:44 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 69¢ | $6 | 0x3f60c8… |
| 07-11 12:04:44 | (anonymous) 0x1e98…e04e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x3f60c8… |
| 07-11 12:04:44 | (anonymous) 0x6600…a84e | No | BUY | 38 | 31¢ | $12 | 0x3f60c8… |
| 07-11 12:04:44 | (anonymous) 0x819f…f3e7 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 68¢ | $17 | 0x3f60c8… |