| 10-26 16:21:53 |
Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
7 |
100¢ |
$7 |
0x01217b…
|
| 10-25 16:25:33 |
Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?
|
Yes |
SELL |
9 |
99¢ |
$9 |
0x9213a0…
|
| 10-22 18:05:35 |
Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?
|
Yes |
BUY |
9 |
66¢ |
$6 |
0x2779c5…
|
| 10-19 18:08:50 |
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
6 |
92¢ |
$6 |
0xb8e6ba…
|
| 10-17 15:45:14 |
Will there be at least 4700 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
6 |
99¢ |
$6 |
0x13ada3…
|
| 10-16 18:06:02 |
Will there be at least 4700 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
6 |
94¢ |
$6 |
0xa2ae38…
|
| 10-16 18:05:42 |
Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
7 |
78¢ |
$6 |
0xf2a72c…
|
| 10-13 05:38:22 |
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
|
No |
SELL |
9 |
100¢ |
$9 |
0x97c63b…
|
| 10-11 18:06:52 |
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
9 |
64¢ |
$5 |
0xabcc16…
|
| 10-07 18:05:58 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
8 |
67¢ |
$5 |
0x85c007…
|
| 09-28 18:06:21 |
Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
6 |
89¢ |
$5 |
0xa2eb9e…
|
| 09-27 06:07:42 |
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
6 |
90¢ |
$5 |
0x6897e3…
|
| 09-21 11:18:14 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
7 |
99¢ |
$7 |
0x532ba7…
|
| 09-16 21:47:28 |
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
|
Yes |
SELL |
16 |
99¢ |
$16 |
0xf3caa4…
|
| 09-13 06:05:12 |
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
|
Yes |
BUY |
9 |
67¢ |
$6 |
0x939e84…
|
| 09-11 06:05:00 |
Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
9 |
74¢ |
$7 |
0x59f2c8…
|
| 09-04 06:06:57 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
7 |
84¢ |
$6 |
0x726466…
|
| 09-04 06:06:03 |
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
7 |
86¢ |
$6 |
0x9e819e…
|
| 09-04 03:32:45 |
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?
|
Yes |
SELL |
17 |
100¢ |
$17 |
0x3fde17…
|
| 09-03 06:30:07 |
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
|
Yes |
SELL |
9 |
99¢ |
$9 |
0xb4aa7e…
|
| 08-20 12:06:40 |
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
|
Yes |
BUY |
13 |
50¢ |
$7 |
0xc61978…
|
| 08-20 00:07:48 |
next white house press secretary announced by september 4 2026
|
Yes |
BUY |
19 |
36¢ |
$7 |
0xbe4643…
|
| 08-19 00:06:55 |
Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
17 |
44¢ |
$7 |
0xd7f6e5…
|
| 08-18 08:18:09 |
will there be at least 2600 measles cases in the us by august 31 2026
|
Yes |
SELL |
8 |
99¢ |
$8 |
0x1aabde…
|
| 08-17 16:55:19 |
Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
12 |
100¢ |
$12 |
0xa78f58…
|
| 08-11 18:05:10 |
will there be at least 2600 measles cases in the us by august 31 2026
|
Yes |
BUY |
8 |
91¢ |
$7 |
0x3bafbe…
|
| 08-08 00:04:43 |
Will SpaceX have fewer than 13 launches in August 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
15 |
32¢ |
$5 |
0x5ed1f6…
|
| 08-07 15:26:55 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
13 |
99¢ |
$13 |
0x4ceeb2…
|
| 08-06 06:04:06 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
13 |
58¢ |
$7 |
0x767ad4…
|
| 08-06 00:05:36 |
Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
13 |
58¢ |
$7 |
0x7ba374…
|
| 08-05 14:11:18 |
Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
|
Yes |
SELL |
13 |
99¢ |
$13 |
0x1cc58b…
|
| 08-04 12:07:38 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
12 |
66¢ |
$8 |
0x9e6b1c…
|
| 08-04 00:05:27 |
Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
12 |
69¢ |
$8 |
0x969db0…
|
| 08-01 00:04:42 |
Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
|
Yes |
BUY |
13 |
62¢ |
$8 |
0x46a0fc…
|
| 07-31 16:37:57 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
11 |
100¢ |
$11 |
0xba36ce…
|
| 07-31 12:05:45 |
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
|
Yes |
BUY |
13 |
63¢ |
$8 |
0x4be868…
|
| 07-31 00:08:50 |
situational awareness raises new capital by august 31 20260730182353379
|
Yes |
BUY |
28 |
28¢ |
$8 |
0xb5419a…
|
| 07-30 20:02:48 |
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
10 |
99¢ |
$9 |
0xf8e68b…
|
| 07-29 18:10:29 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
|
Yes |
SELL |
9 |
100¢ |
$9 |
0xca6b1f…
|
| 07-29 12:06:50 |
Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
12 |
59¢ |
$7 |
0xaed888…
|
| 07-29 09:38:51 |
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of July 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
8 |
99¢ |
$8 |
0xb41e11…
|
| 07-28 12:05:34 |
Will the Republican Party win the AL-05 House seat?
|
Yes |
BUY |
9 |
92¢ |
$8 |
0x930cd2…
|
| 07-28 12:05:29 |
Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?
|
Yes |
BUY |
9 |
93¢ |
$8 |
0x5bddf8…
|
| 07-27 19:18:24 |
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
24 |
100¢ |
$24 |
0xdbb01e…
|
| 07-26 18:04:03 |
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
12 |
68¢ |
$8 |
0xf7c272…
|
| 07-26 12:06:54 |
Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?
|
Yes |
BUY |
22 |
35¢ |
$8 |
0xa14b24…
|
| 07-26 02:00:58 |
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
10 |
99¢ |
$10 |
0x0dd7f3…
|
| 07-25 12:06:10 |
Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
19 |
41¢ |
$8 |
0x60e1a3…
|
| 07-24 22:59:28 |
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31
|
Yes |
SELL |
13 |
100¢ |
$13 |
0xda0f96…
|
| 07-24 12:09:34 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
12 |
62¢ |
$8 |
0x3014c8…
|
| 07-24 08:35:06 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
10 |
99¢ |
$10 |
0x154e02…
|
| 07-24 00:08:24 |
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of July 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
8 |
91¢ |
$8 |
0x4e1a0b…
|
| 07-23 13:51:33 |
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
|
Yes |
SELL |
9 |
100¢ |
$9 |
0xa22758…
|
| 07-22 12:04:16 |
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
14 |
58¢ |
$8 |
0x365f87…
|
| 07-22 00:04:19 |
will there be at least 2000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153972
|
Yes |
SELL |
9 |
100¢ |
$9 |
0xd8fcfc…
|
| 07-21 12:04:45 |
Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat?
|
Yes |
BUY |
9 |
93¢ |
$8 |
0x2d114f…
|
| 07-19 16:27:27 |
will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875
|
Yes |
SELL |
10 |
79¢ |
$8 |
0x164fd0…
|
| 07-19 12:04:16 |
will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875
|
Yes |
BUY |
11 |
79¢ |
$8 |
0x6e7db3…
|
| 07-19 06:05:27 |
will there be at least 2000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153972
|
Yes |
BUY |
9 |
96¢ |
$8 |
0x306bf3…
|
| 07-19 00:05:09 |
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?
|
Yes |
BUY |
17 |
49¢ |
$8 |
0x354545…
|
| 07-18 21:20:37 |
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
|
Yes |
BUY |
9 |
96¢ |
$9 |
0x3fe08c…
|
| 07-18 16:29:46 |
tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352
|
Yes |
SELL |
10 |
99¢ |
$10 |
0x562b17…
|
| 07-18 12:06:24 |
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203
|
Yes |
BUY |
11 |
75¢ |
$8 |
0x22809e…
|
| 07-18 12:06:21 |
tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352
|
Yes |
BUY |
10 |
87¢ |
$8 |
0x16c73c…
|
| 07-16 12:07:49 |
will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 30 2026
|
Yes |
BUY |
20 |
30¢ |
$6 |
0xed3520…
|
| 07-16 12:07:49 |
will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 30 2026
|
Yes |
BUY |
10 |
29¢ |
$3 |
0xdfa392…
|
| 07-16 00:05:01 |
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
|
Yes |
BUY |
16 |
54¢ |
$9 |
0xf098df…
|
| 07-16 00:04:56 |
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-05 House seat?
|
Yes |
BUY |
10 |
88¢ |
$9 |
0xaf921a…
|
| 07-11 23:26:13 |
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
|
Yes |
SELL |
375 |
1¢ |
$4 |
0x088464…
|
| 07-11 21:41:44 |
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
|
Yes |
SELL |
375 |
8¢ |
$31 |
0x66dae6…
|
| 07-11 12:09:52 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
|
Yes |
BUY |
12 |
71¢ |
$9 |
0x1443e9…
|
| 07-10 13:54:50 |
fda approves sanofi subcutaneous sarclisa 07 23 2026
|
Yes |
SELL |
10 |
100¢ |
$10 |
0x2f4f9a…
|
| 07-10 12:07:44 |
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
10 |
92¢ |
$9 |
0xa18b63…
|
| 07-10 00:30:43 |
will openai release a new frontier model on or before july 31 2026
|
Yes |
SELL |
10 |
99¢ |
$10 |
0xbca087…
|
| 07-08 12:11:05 |
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
10 |
90¢ |
$9 |
0x752c0a…
|
| 07-08 12:10:40 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
10 |
86¢ |
$9 |
0xbab97d…
|
| 07-07 22:42:44 |
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?
|
Yes |
BUY |
77 |
12¢ |
$9 |
0xbc97bc…
|
| 07-07 17:46:46 |
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
|
Yes |
SELL |
250 |
9¢ |
$22 |
0xdc5c53…
|
| 07-07 12:09:19 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
11 |
83¢ |
$9 |
0x319c0f…
|
| 07-04 14:47:01 |
fda approves sanofi subcutaneous sarclisa 07 23 2026
|
Yes |
BUY |
10 |
86¢ |
$8 |
0xd6f185…
|
| 07-04 14:13:07 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
7 |
99¢ |
$7 |
0xa69cc7…
|
| 07-04 14:12:25 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
1 |
99¢ |
$1 |
0xdc0d91…
|
| 07-02 12:07:20 |
will openai release a new frontier model on or before july 31 2026
|
Yes |
BUY |
10 |
82¢ |
$8 |
0x697140…
|
| 07-02 12:07:01 |
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
24 |
34¢ |
$8 |
0xe2f334…
|
| 07-01 15:03:22 |
will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562
|
Yes |
SELL |
30 |
99¢ |
$29 |
0x9fd693…
|
| 07-01 12:06:52 |
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
|
Yes |
BUY |
9 |
95¢ |
$8 |
0x202988…
|
| 07-01 12:05:47 |
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?
|
Yes |
BUY |
16 |
52¢ |
$8 |
0xe0a0f8…
|
| 06-30 12:08:22 |
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?
|
Yes |
BUY |
15 |
48¢ |
$7 |
0xfb167d…
|
| 06-29 14:33:41 |
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
8 |
99¢ |
$8 |
0xd4b9c4…
|
| 06-29 12:29:37 |
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
8 |
99¢ |
$8 |
0x394bb2…
|
| 06-29 12:05:43 |
will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562
|
Yes |
BUY |
30 |
25¢ |
$7 |
0xea3578…
|
| 06-28 21:21:52 |
fda approves viridian therapeutics veligrotug 06 30 2026
|
Yes |
SELL |
8 |
100¢ |
$8 |
0x47aa4b…
|
| 06-28 18:27:29 |
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
|
Yes |
SELL |
9 |
99¢ |
$9 |
0x491341…
|
| 06-28 12:08:47 |
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31
|
Yes |
BUY |
13 |
57¢ |
$7 |
0x5844eb…
|
| 06-28 12:08:25 |
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?
|
Yes |
BUY |
14 |
54¢ |
$7 |
0x17210f…
|
| 06-28 12:07:59 |
fda approves viridian therapeutics veligrotug 06 30 2026
|
Yes |
BUY |
8 |
92¢ |
$7 |
0x1cc299…
|
| 06-28 05:30:16 |
Will Trump attend NATO Summit?
|
Yes |
SELL |
8 |
99¢ |
$8 |
0x395507…
|
| 06-27 12:07:20 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
|
Yes |
BUY |
9 |
81¢ |
$7 |
0x36d92d…
|
| 06-25 15:29:40 |
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?
|
Yes |
SELL |
8 |
99¢ |
$8 |
0x908a07…
|
| 06-24 12:13:25 |
Will Trump attend NATO Summit?
|
Yes |
BUY |
8 |
92¢ |
$7 |
0x182eae…
|