Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
405
lifetime
Volume
$2.36K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$57
7 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 07-22 00:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
48% 100% +$2
Sports
22%
Politics
14%
Tech
11%
Crypto
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes -20 $-14 78¢ $-15 $-1 06-12 13:58
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes +24 $8 38¢ $9 +$1 07-02 12:07
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +9 $9 97¢ $9 +$0 07-18 21:20
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +10 $8 86¢ $9 +$1 06-11 13:56
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 06-13 13:59
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +10 $7 65¢ $6 $-1 05-31 07:57
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +6 $6 18¢ $1 $-5 06-13 07:59