Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$2,366
Trades
55
Unique wallets
33
Liquidity
$4,296
Latest YES mid
35¢
Latest NO mid
65¢
End date
2026-09-30
First seen
2026-06-01
last 06-30 03:43
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-60.0¢
(top1%: 5% YES on $503
vs crowd: 65% YES on $1.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $471 | $502 | $31 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $151 | $26 | +$125 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $430 | $20 | +$410 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 11 | $17 | $25 | $8 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $26 | $477 | $452 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $43 | $5 | +$37 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $455 | $26 | +$429 |
| Median | 3 | $2 | $3 | $1 |
| Below median | 5 | $8 | $27 | $19 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $3 | $3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $371 | $19 | +$352 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 9 | $164 | $12 | +$153 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | +1,016 | $477 | $477 | 3 | 06-23 16:40 |
| Excited-Pancreas 0xf1fd…b42c | Yes | +800 | $424 | $424 | 1 | 06-20 01:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x765f…1508 | Yes | +332 | $249 | $249 | 1 | 06-16 08:23 |
| Boiling-Feel 0x28b2…eb4f | Yes | +203 | $151 | $151 | 3 | 06-23 16:40 |
| Beneficial-Angstrom 0x68d1…3c4d | Yes | +195 | $105 | $105 | 2 | 06-20 01:58 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +76 | $43 | $43 | 2 | 06-20 01:58 |
| Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | Yes | +71 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 06-23 20:37 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | +31 | $17 | $35 | 5 | 06-25 15:06 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +30 | $14 | $48 | 3 | 06-19 05:48 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +30 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-23 20:37 |
| Thunderous-Casserole 0x3860…7877 | No | +27 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-20 01:58 |
| Well-Documented-Peek 0x94bb…c320 | Yes | +19 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-23 20:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +19 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-23 20:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +16 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-20 07:48 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +11 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-23 21:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-25 14:36 |
| Reflecting-Pantology 0x4c4e…297b | Yes | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-01 08:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x87ba…9fd1 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-30 03:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xfec5…d221 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-23 16:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xedc4…be57 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-30 03:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x4dc3…4702 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-23 16:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x53a9…d43e | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-20 07:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 03:43:58 | (anonymous) 0x87ba…9fd1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x60b61c… |
| 06-30 03:43:58 | (anonymous) 0xedc4…be57 | No | BUY | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0x60b61c… |
| 06-25 15:06:08 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 3 | 64¢ | $2 | 0xd1a9c7… |
| 06-25 15:06:08 | (anonymous) 0x1ccd…510d | Yes | SELL | 3 | 36¢ | $1 | 0xd1a9c7… |
| 06-25 14:36:59 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 36¢ | $3 | 0x686ad0… |
| 06-25 14:36:59 | (anonymous) 0x1ccd…510d | Yes | SELL | 8 | 36¢ | $3 | 0x686ad0… |
| 06-23 21:28:13 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 11 | 46¢ | $5 | 0x7d98e5… |
| 06-23 21:28:13 | (anonymous) 0x1ccd…510d | Yes | BUY | 11 | 54¢ | $6 | 0x7d98e5… |
| 06-23 20:38:08 | Well-Documented-Peek 0x94bb…c320 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 36¢ | $7 | 0xf4c902… |
| 06-23 20:38:08 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 19 | 64¢ | $12 | 0xf4c902… |
| 06-23 20:37:38 | Bossy-Grandma 0x163b…08de | Yes | SELL | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x2ac9f6… |
| 06-23 20:37:38 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 30 | 64¢ | $19 | 0x2ac9f6… |
| 06-23 20:37:38 | Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 36¢ | $13 | 0x2ac9f6… |
| 06-23 20:37:28 | Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 36¢ | $13 | 0x9b2252… |
| 06-23 20:37:28 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 30 | 64¢ | $19 | 0x9b2252… |
| 06-23 20:37:28 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x9b2252… |
| 06-23 16:40:07 | (anonymous) 0xfec5…d221 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x700d5a… |
| 06-23 16:40:07 | (anonymous) 0x4dc3…4702 | No | BUY | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0x700d5a… |
| 06-23 16:40:02 | Boiling-Feel 0x28b2…eb4f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xe03617… |
| 06-23 16:40:02 | Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0xe03617… |
| 06-20 16:42:23 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x574b68… |
| 06-20 16:42:23 | (anonymous) 0x01d8…375b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x574b68… |
| 06-20 13:39:22 | Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x2a1d13… |
| 06-20 13:39:22 | Bossy-Grandma 0x163b…08de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x2a1d13… |
| 06-20 07:48:38 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 4 | 46¢ | $2 | 0xa218bf… |
| 06-20 07:48:38 | (anonymous) 0x53a9…d43e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 54¢ | $2 | 0xa218bf… |
| 06-20 07:48:32 | Boiling-Feel 0x28b2…eb4f | Yes | BUY | 43 | 48¢ | $21 | 0x010e4d… |
| 06-20 07:48:32 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 48¢ | $13 | 0x010e4d… |
| 06-20 07:48:32 | (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | BUY | 16 | 51¢ | $8 | 0x010e4d… |
| 06-20 01:58:56 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 30¢ | $8 | 0xab0822… |
| 06-20 01:58:56 | Thunderous-Casserole 0x3860…7877 | No | BUY | 27 | 70¢ | $19 | 0xab0822… |
| 06-20 01:58:29 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 55¢ | $7 | 0xb2624e… |
| 06-20 01:58:29 | Beneficial-Angstrom 0x68d1…3c4d | Yes | BUY | 193 | 54¢ | $104 | 0xb2624e… |
| 06-20 01:58:29 | Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | BUY | 1,006 | 47¢ | $471 | 0xb2624e… |
| 06-20 01:58:29 | Excited-Pancreas 0xf1fd…b42c | Yes | BUY | 800 | 53¢ | $424 | 0xb2624e… |
| 06-19 05:48:29 | Beneficial-Angstrom 0x68d1…3c4d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x1eb4b0… |
| 06-19 05:48:29 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 63 | 56¢ | $35 | 0x1eb4b0… |
| 06-19 05:48:29 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 57¢ | $17 | 0x1eb4b0… |
| 06-19 05:48:29 | Sore-Pitching 0x564f…7026 | Yes | SELL | 115 | 56¢ | $65 | 0x1eb4b0… |
| 06-19 05:48:29 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 20 | 43¢ | $9 | 0x1eb4b0… |
| 06-16 08:23:48 | (anonymous) 0x82c5…3071 | Yes | SELL | 412 | 75¢ | $309 | 0x7998bc… |
| 06-16 08:23:48 | (anonymous) 0x765f…1508 | Yes | BUY | 332 | 75¢ | $249 | 0x7998bc… |
| 06-16 08:23:48 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 30 | 24¢ | $7 | 0x7998bc… |
| 06-16 08:23:48 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 50 | 25¢ | $12 | 0x7998bc… |
| 06-09 01:57:30 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | SELL | 95 | 83¢ | $79 | 0x6adbf4… |
| 06-09 01:57:30 | Hard-Public 0xe562…4fa9 | Yes | SELL | 59 | 84¢ | $50 | 0x6adbf4… |
| 06-09 01:57:30 | Boiling-Feel 0x28b2…eb4f | Yes | BUY | 155 | 83¢ | $129 | 0x6adbf4… |
| 06-04 13:19:04 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0x7bcb15… |
| 06-04 13:19:04 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0x7bcb15… |
| 06-04 13:19:04 | Incomparable-Surprise 0x0482…6b0a | No | SELL | 172 | 16¢ | $28 | 0x7bcb15… |
| 06-04 13:19:04 | Hard-Public 0xe562…4fa9 | Yes | SELL | 122 | 84¢ | $103 | 0x7bcb15… |
| 06-01 08:32:02 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0x637933… |
| 06-01 08:32:02 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0x637933… |
| 06-01 08:01:49 | (anonymous) 0x7cc8…49da | Yes | SELL | 8 | 78¢ | $6 | 0xf38aa9… |
| 06-01 08:01:49 | Reflecting-Pantology 0x4c4e…297b | Yes | BUY | 8 | 78¢ | $6 | 0xf38aa9… |