Altruistic-Shaw 0xfe4956…197a4c
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$17.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$713
Hit rate
62.1%
Resolved
4,613
Trades
58,536
lifetime
Volume
$1.60M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$10.1K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 21:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 192 days
Categories
Politics
61% 59% +$11,839
Other
21% 46% +$3,864
Crypto
13% 47% +$762
Sports
4% 53% +$323
Tech
1% 49% +$720
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 6338 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -3,979 -$3,183 82¢ $-3250 -$68 07-08 01:54
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +2,000 $1,640 97¢ $1.9K +$293 06-11 20:03
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? No +2,000 $1,800 93¢ $1.9K +$69 06-17 23:32
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -4,431 -$882 18¢ $-811 +$71 07-08 01:54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -3,337 -$755 18¢ $-584 +$171 06-11 20:55
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? Yes +3,437 $206 12¢ $395 +$189 10-23 14:51
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +350 $334 99¢ $345 +$12 06-19 11:14
Plague pandemic in 2026? Yes +14,495 $29 2¢ $312 +$283 10-18 05:40
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? No +250 $98 84¢ $210 +$112 10-29 17:33
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? Yes +692 $55 26¢ $176 +$121 10-25 19:56
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +2,000 $421 3¢ $67 -$354 06-11 20:17
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +1,132 $11 4¢ $42 +$31 10-15 06:15
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? Yes +42 $9 57¢ $24 +$15 10-28 23:30
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +500 $61 4¢ $18 -$43 06-08 18:41
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +921 $9 1¢ $12 +$3 10-15 06:16
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +34 $3 16¢ $6 +$3 10-27 08:22
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +0 $190 4¢ $0 -$190 06-11 22:53
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +0 $5 8¢ $0 -$5 07-08 01:54