Altruistic-Shaw 0xfe4956…197a4c
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$256
Unrealized P&L
-$126
Hit rate
43.6%
Resolved
10
Trades
11,324
lifetime
Volume
$1.32M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$117
Open exposure
$8.43K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-24 19:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
70% 40% +$103
Other
20% 100% +$29
Crypto
6% 100% +$98
Sports
2% 67% +$26
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 504 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -2,323 $-2,073 100¢ $-2317 $-244 06-18 05:09
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +2,000 $1,640 88¢ $1.8K +$110 06-11 20:03
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1,500 $1,290 92¢ $1.4K +$82 06-10 23:12
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? No +1,126 $1,005 94¢ $1.1K +$54 06-17 23:32
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +1,868 $696 41¢ $766 +$69 06-24 19:58
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +350 $334 97¢ $339 +$5 06-19 11:14
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +333 $220 99¢ $330 +$110 06-10 22:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -250 $-210 82¢ $-206 +$4 06-04 00:16
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +1,000 $190 12¢ $125 $-65 06-11 20:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -184 $-92 66¢ $-121 $-29 06-03 15:08
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +500 $61 8¢ $42 $-18 06-08 18:41
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes +35 $168 1¢ $0 $-168 06-21 19:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +0 $25 15¢ $0 $-25 06-11 20:55
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -0 $-10 10¢ $-0 +$10 06-11 22:53
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -0 $21 0¢ $-0 $-21 06-08 02:45