Realized P&L
+$256
Unrealized P&L
+$178
Hit rate
43.6%
Resolved
10
Trades
11,770
lifetime
Volume
$1.34M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$114
Open exposure
$5.47K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 13:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
70% 40% +$103
Other
20% 100% +$29
Crypto
7% 100% +$98
Sports
2% 67% +$26
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 439 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +2,000 $1,640 86¢ $1.7K +$90 06-11 20:03
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1,500 $1,290 94¢ $1.4K +$128 06-10 23:12
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? No +1,126 $1,005 95¢ $1.1K +$59 06-17 23:32
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +350 $334 98¢ $343 +$9 06-19 11:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -243 $-148 99¢ $-240 $-92 07-08 01:54
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +568 $255 34¢ $190 $-64 07-08 01:54
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +1,000 $190 14¢ $135 $-55 06-11 20:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -250 $-210 54¢ $-134 +$76 06-04 00:16
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +154 $74 69¢ $106 +$32 07-13 17:41
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026? No +82 $7 50¢ $41 +$35 07-13 00:58
SHEIN IPO before 2027? No +300 $30 12¢ $36 +$6 07-14 04:09
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +500 $61 $25 $-36 06-08 18:41
Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? No +13 $4 72¢ $9 +$5 07-13 22:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +0 $25 29¢ $0 $-25 06-11 20:55
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -0 $-10 11¢ $-0 +$10 06-11 22:53