(anonymous) 0xf2f2df…d2d1f0
whale bot cold 24L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$7.52K
Unrealized P&L
+$462
Hit rate
11.8%
Resolved
5,385
Trades
23,193
lifetime
Volume
$177.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$2.02K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-10
last 10-27 17:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 138 days
Categories
Other
85% 16% -$6,450
Politics
7% 10% -$549
Tech
4% 11% -$236
Crypto
2% 8% -$79
Sports
2% 10% -$149
Pop-Culture
1% 4% -$58
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 531 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +222 $95 100¢ $221 +$127 09-05 16:06
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? Yes +199 $148 86¢ $172 +$24 10-14 07:26
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +225 $96 67¢ $151 +$55 10-13 12:07
russia military action against eu country by december 31 2026 No +100 $86 92¢ $92 +$6 09-19 13:50
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +100 $79 88¢ $88 +$9 09-27 15:27
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? No +80 $19 100¢ $80 +$61 08-23 22:56
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +100 $80 78¢ $78 -$1 09-16 21:23
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +100 $15 74¢ $74 +$59 09-16 23:48
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +225 $144 33¢ $74 -$70 10-13 12:06
iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885 No +108 $47 62¢ $68 +$21 08-01 23:31
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? No +67 $44 99¢ $66 +$22 08-29 21:50
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? Yes +70 $39 86¢ $60 +$21 08-27 14:29
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? No +70 $36 82¢ $58 +$22 09-21 20:35
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $82 57¢ $57 -$24 09-10 18:18
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +63 $41 86¢ $54 +$13 09-08 10:12
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +50 $41 92¢ $46 +$4 07-21 05:40
will missouri enact a data center moratorium by june 30 2027 No +50 $34 88¢ $44 +$10 09-30 05:33
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +50 $44 88¢ $44 +$0 07-31 17:45
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +60 $21 73¢ $44 +$23 09-13 21:07
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? No +44 $12 98¢ $43 +$31 08-26 16:22
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +100 $18 42¢ $42 +$24 09-10 17:44
will indiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027 No +50 $26 84¢ $42 +$15 09-30 05:34
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? Yes +44 $43 95¢ $42 -$1 09-19 22:01
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +50 $38 82¢ $41 +$3 10-15 13:48
iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885 Yes +108 $63 38¢ $41 -$23 08-01 23:53
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M? Yes — +50 $42 80¢ $40 -$2 10-27 16:11
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +50 $29 80¢ $40 +$11 09-24 11:06
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583 No +40 $30 100¢ $40 +$10 08-11 15:59
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +40 $24 93¢ $37 +$14 06-23 22:23
Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +40 $39 92¢ $37 -$2 09-16 12:27