(anonymous) 0xf2f2df…d2d1f0
whale bot cold 26L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$2.90K
Unrealized P&L
+$450
Hit rate
9.2%
Resolved (30d)
1,730
Trades (30d)
6,380
24,119 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$49.3K
$185.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$2.02K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-10
last 11-01 03:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 143 days
Categories
Other
85% 16% -$6,865
Politics
7% 10% -$603
Tech
4% 10% -$332
Crypto
2% 9% -$109
Sports
2% 10% -$151
Pop-Culture
1% 3% -$62
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 531 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +222 $95 100¢ $222 +$127 09-05 16:06
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +225 $96 72¢ $163 +$67 10-13 12:07
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +142 $114 99¢ $141 +$27 10-30 14:12
russia military action against eu country by december 31 2026 No +100 $86 92¢ $92 +$6 09-19 13:50
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +100 $79 92¢ $92 +$13 09-27 15:27
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? No +80 $19 100¢ $80 +$61 08-23 22:56
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +100 $80 72¢ $72 -$7 09-16 21:23
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +100 $15 71¢ $71 +$56 09-16 23:48
iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885 No +108 $47 63¢ $68 +$21 08-01 23:31
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? No +67 $44 99¢ $66 +$22 08-29 21:50
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $82 64¢ $64 -$18 09-10 18:18
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +225 $144 28¢ $62 -$83 10-13 12:06
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? Yes +70 $39 84¢ $59 +$20 08-27 14:29
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? No +70 $54 82¢ $57 +$3 08-27 18:52
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? No +70 $36 80¢ $56 +$19 09-21 20:35
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +63 $41 86¢ $54 +$13 09-08 10:12
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +50 $42 100¢ $50 +$8 10-28 15:23
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +50 $41 95¢ $47 +$6 10-30 16:04
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +50 $41 94¢ $47 +$6 07-21 05:40
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +50 $44 88¢ $44 +$0 07-31 17:45
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? No +44 $12 99¢ $43 +$32 08-26 16:22
will missouri enact a data center moratorium by june 30 2027 No +50 $34 86¢ $43 +$9 09-30 05:33
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No — +47 $40 91¢ $43 +$3 10-31 16:37
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? No +50 $30 85¢ $42 +$12 07-21 11:35
will indiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027 No +50 $26 84¢ $42 +$15 09-30 05:34
iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885 Yes +108 $63 37¢ $40 -$23 08-01 23:53
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583 No +40 $30 100¢ $40 +$10 08-11 15:59
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $39 66¢ $40 +$1 08-30 21:05
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +50 $29 77¢ $38 +$9 09-24 11:06
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +40 $24 94¢ $38 +$14 06-23 22:23