(anonymous) 0xf2f2df…d2d1f0
whale bot cold 24L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$6.94K
Unrealized P&L
+$465
Hit rate
11.6%
Resolved (90d)
4,952
Trades (90d)
20,866
23,707 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$157.2K
$181.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$2.14K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-10
last 10-30 10:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 141 days
Categories
Other
85% 16% -$6,648
Politics
7% 9% -$597
Tech
4% 11% -$236
Crypto
2% 9% -$79
Sports
2% 10% -$151
Pop-Culture
1% 4% -$58
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 531 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +222 $95 100¢ $222 +$127 09-05 16:06
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? Yes +199 $148 99¢ $197 +$49 10-14 07:26
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +225 $96 60¢ $135 +$39 10-13 12:07
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M? Yes +100 $83 100¢ $100 +$16 10-27 18:52
russia military action against eu country by december 31 2026 No +100 $86 92¢ $92 +$6 09-19 13:50
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +100 $79 90¢ $91 +$12 09-27 15:27
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +225 $144 40¢ $90 -$54 10-13 12:06
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? No +120 $91 72¢ $86 -$5 10-29 22:13
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? No +80 $19 99¢ $79 +$60 08-23 22:56
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +100 $80 74¢ $74 -$6 09-16 21:23
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +100 $15 74¢ $74 +$58 09-16 23:48
iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885 No +108 $47 65¢ $70 +$23 08-01 23:31
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? No +67 $44 99¢ $66 +$22 08-29 21:50
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $82 64¢ $64 -$18 09-10 18:18
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? Yes +70 $39 82¢ $57 +$19 08-27 14:29
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? No +70 $36 82¢ $57 +$21 09-21 20:35
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +63 $41 86¢ $54 +$13 09-08 10:12
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +50 $41 93¢ $46 +$5 07-21 05:40
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +50 $44 89¢ $44 +$1 07-31 17:45
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? No +50 $30 86¢ $43 +$13 07-21 11:35
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? No +44 $12 98¢ $43 +$31 08-26 16:22
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? Yes +44 $43 97¢ $43 $0 09-19 22:01
will missouri enact a data center moratorium by june 30 2027 No +50 $34 84¢ $42 +$8 09-30 05:33
will indiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027 No +50 $26 84¢ $42 +$15 09-30 05:34
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $39 70¢ $42 +$3 08-30 21:05
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583 No +40 $30 100¢ $40 +$10 08-11 15:59
iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885 Yes +108 $63 35¢ $38 -$25 08-01 23:53
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +40 $24 94¢ $38 +$14 06-23 22:23
Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +40 $39 94¢ $37 -$1 09-16 12:27
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +50 $29 74¢ $37 +$8 09-24 11:06