(anonymous) 0xf2f2df…d2d1f0
whale bot cold 27L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$8.28K
Unrealized P&L
+$262
Hit rate
12.0%
Resolved
5,781
Trades
24,290
lifetime
Volume
$186.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$1.87K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-10
last 11-02 05:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 144 days
Categories
Other
85% 16% -$6,979
Politics
7% 9% -$606
Tech
4% 10% -$361
Crypto
2% 10% -$125
Sports
2% 10% -$151
Pop-Culture
1% 3% -$62
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 531 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +225 $96 66¢ $147 +$51 10-13 12:07
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +142 $114 100¢ $142 +$28 10-30 14:12
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +160 $141 85¢ $136 -$6 10-31 21:46
russia military action against eu country by december 31 2026 No +100 $86 94¢ $94 +$8 09-19 13:50
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +100 $79 92¢ $93 +$14 09-27 15:27
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +225 $144 34¢ $78 -$67 10-13 12:06
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +100 $80 72¢ $72 -$7 09-16 21:23
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +100 $15 71¢ $71 +$56 09-16 23:48
iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885 No +108 $47 62¢ $67 +$20 08-01 23:31
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? No +67 $44 99¢ $66 +$22 08-29 21:50
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $82 64¢ $64 -$18 09-10 18:18
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? No +70 $36 84¢ $59 +$23 09-21 20:35
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? Yes +70 $39 81¢ $57 +$18 08-27 14:29
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? No +70 $54 76¢ $53 -$1 08-27 18:52
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +63 $41 84¢ $53 +$12 09-08 10:12
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +50 $41 96¢ $48 +$7 10-30 16:04
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +50 $41 94¢ $47 +$6 07-21 05:40
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +50 $44 94¢ $47 +$3 07-31 17:45
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? No +50 $30 86¢ $43 +$13 07-21 11:35
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? No +44 $12 98¢ $43 +$31 08-26 16:22
will missouri enact a data center moratorium by june 30 2027 No +50 $34 86¢ $43 +$9 09-30 05:33
iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885 Yes +108 $63 38¢ $41 -$22 08-01 23:53
will indiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027 No +50 $26 82¢ $41 +$14 09-30 05:34
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +47 $40 86¢ $41 +$1 10-31 16:37
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583 No +40 $30 100¢ $40 +$10 08-11 15:59
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +50 $29 77¢ $38 +$9 09-24 11:06
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No — +50 $44 76¢ $38 -$5 10-30 19:28
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +40 $24 95¢ $38 +$14 06-23 22:23
Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +40 $39 93¢ $37 -$2 09-16 12:27
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +100 $18 36¢ $36 +$18 09-10 17:44