Realized P&L
-$16.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.81K
Hit rate
48.6%
Resolved
298
Trades
4,810
lifetime
Volume
$713.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$148
Open exposure
$12.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 07:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Other
58% 61% -$14,510
Politics
36% 59% +$678
Tech
2% 33% -$2,540
Crypto
2% 54% +$739
Sports
1% 83% +$101
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$490
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? No +4,323 $1,591 96¢ $4.2K +$2,565 09-17 15:35
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No +3,301 $2,508 98¢ $3.2K +$720 05-04 13:49
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -165,079 -$3,697 1¢ $-1403 +$2,294 07-07 11:09
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -21,897 -$848 5¢ $-1051 -$203 05-04 08:48
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -68,079 -$885 1¢ $-477 +$408 05-02 15:24
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -14,911 -$179 2¢ $-350 -$171 05-21 22:03
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -63,736 -$1,211 0¢ $-319 +$892 08-17 15:29
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? No +356 $283 88¢ $315 +$32 08-29 21:03
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -1,745 -$361 18¢ $-313 +$48 04-30 19:49
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -612 -$309 48¢ $-294 +$15 05-14 06:51
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -463 -$15 26¢ $-122 -$106 08-21 22:12
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512 Yes +2,959 $900 4¢ $114 -$786 08-18 15:50
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? Yes +3,301 $478 2¢ $73 -$405 05-03 11:44
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +5,291 $249 1¢ $48 -$201 09-17 15:06
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -10,000 -$10 0¢ $-45 -$35 08-17 15:30
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -10,000 -$10 0¢ $-40 -$30 08-17 15:30
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No -40 -$33 97¢ $-39 -$6 05-01 04:05
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -10,000 -$10 0¢ $-35 -$25 08-17 15:30
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -327 -$44 9¢ $-31 +$14 05-23 20:49
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +31 $27 95¢ $29 +$2 08-28 13:48
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -10,000 -$10 0¢ $-25 -$15 08-17 15:30
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -10,000 -$20 0¢ $-15 +$5 07-31 10:16
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -10,000 -$10 0¢ $-15 -$5 08-17 15:30
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +130 $57 8¢ $11 -$46 05-02 13:13
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +200 $44 5¢ $11 -$33 06-04 20:07
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? Yes +354 $123 2¢ $6 -$118 04-28 15:13
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No +5 -$46 95¢ $5 +$50 05-09 21:37
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -2,524 -$3 0¢ $-4 -$1 09-06 20:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +107 $49 3¢ $3 -$46 05-20 16:22
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? Yes +46 $6 6¢ $3 -$3 05-20 10:52