Realized P&L
+$313
Unrealized P&L
+$87
Hit rate
59.4%
Resolved
5
Trades
2,659
lifetime
Volume
$418.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$157
Open exposure
$1.57K
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-09 11:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
45% 40% +$313
Other
45%
Tech
4%
Crypto
3%
Sports
2%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,214 $-1,201 99¢ $-1203 $-2 06-03 22:19
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +270 $102 62¢ $167 +$65 07-07 11:08
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes +265 $74 38¢ $101 +$27 07-06 13:22
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? No -82 $-66 90¢ $-74 $-8 06-06 03:29
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? No +25 $17 63¢ $16 $-1 06-22 21:27
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -114 $-11 $-5 +$6 06-07 20:33
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes +24 $4 13¢ $3 $-1 07-06 13:22
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No -16 $-2 11¢ $-2 +$0 06-01 12:26