Bare-Stag 0x2fa801…7d4359
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$27
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
60.7%
Resolved
33
Trades
10,335
lifetime
Volume
$44.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$809
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-04
last 06-30 00:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
65% 17% $-26
Other
33% 14% $-2
Tech
2% — —
Sports
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 925 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -147 $-138 94¢ $-139 $-1 06-29 16:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +78 $67 99¢ $77 +$11 06-29 20:37
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +71 $71 100¢ $71 $-0 06-30 03:08
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +51 $51 100¢ $51 +$0 06-29 23:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -49 $-43 92¢ $-45 $-2 06-28 08:46
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +42 $40 100¢ $42 +$2 06-28 04:52
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +39 $38 100¢ $39 +$1 06-30 00:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -39 $-33 86¢ $-34 $-1 06-30 02:01
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +27 $25 90¢ $25 $-0 06-21 21:19
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -26 $-24 96¢ $-25 $-1 06-23 13:15
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +24 $24 100¢ $24 +$0 06-23 16:11
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +24 $23 100¢ $24 +$1 06-27 12:07
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +23 $21 100¢ $23 +$2 06-29 12:58
Trump out as President by June 30? No -22 $-22 100¢ $-22 $-0 06-29 07:53
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No -18 $-18 100¢ $-18 $-0 06-29 17:57
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No +16 $16 100¢ $16 +$0 06-30 02:26
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 +$0 06-26 16:06
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 +$0 06-26 18:21
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No +12 $12 100¢ $12 +$0 06-28 06:09
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No -11 $-11 100¢ $-11 $-0 06-27 15:52
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +13 $11 88¢ $11 +$0 06-29 04:56
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes +11 $11 100¢ $11 +$0 06-28 07:00
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 06-27 21:20
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -8 $-7 100¢ $-8 $-1 06-26 12:39
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +7 $7 99¢ $7 +$1 06-29 09:00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +7 $10 99¢ $7 $-3 06-29 04:17
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +7 $7 96¢ $7 +$0 06-29 14:04
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +7 $7 100¢ $7 $-0 06-29 14:25
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No +7 $7 100¢ $7 +$0 06-29 08:25
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +39 $9 16¢ $6 $-3 06-26 03:52