Bare-Stag 0x2fa801…7d4359
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$27
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
60.7%
Resolved
33
Trades
12,599
lifetime
Volume
$58.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$1.94K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-04
last 07-20 18:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
62% 17% $-26
Other
36% 14% $-2
Tech
1% — —
Sports
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 401 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +407 $346 74¢ $299 $-47 07-20 20:07
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +324 $297 90¢ $290 $-6 07-20 18:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +180 $167 99¢ $177 +$10 07-20 15:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +243 $69 46¢ $110 +$41 07-20 08:02
Trump out as President before 2027? No +109 $100 94¢ $101 +$1 07-19 17:43
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +133 $102 68¢ $91 $-11 07-17 13:50
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +95 $90 96¢ $91 +$0 07-20 11:10
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +77 $67 86¢ $66 $-1 07-19 23:22
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +58 $55 95¢ $55 +$0 07-13 18:08
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -58 $-52 96¢ $-55 $-4 07-19 01:45
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +66 $55 76¢ $51 $-4 07-19 11:24
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +53 $49 93¢ $49 +$1 07-19 22:50
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +51 $48 94¢ $48 $-0 07-20 02:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +44 $42 98¢ $43 +$1 07-20 17:48
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +43 $40 94¢ $40 $-0 07-17 22:21
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +42 $37 88¢ $37 $-1 07-19 14:17
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +44 $32 82¢ $36 +$4 07-17 03:52
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +38 $36 90¢ $34 $-2 07-19 08:46
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +35 $30 92¢ $32 +$2 07-17 04:02
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +36 $28 88¢ $31 +$4 07-15 01:36
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +31 $29 86¢ $27 $-2 07-17 21:41
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +27 $25 96¢ $25 $-0 07-12 10:30
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +24 $23 94¢ $23 $-0 07-15 05:16
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +32 $21 68¢ $22 +$1 07-17 08:48
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +23 $21 90¢ $21 $-0 07-14 11:26
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +21 $20 97¢ $20 +$0 07-15 08:21
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +21 $17 82¢ $18 +$1 07-14 16:24
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +23 $18 70¢ $16 $-2 07-15 20:04
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +19 $15 84¢ $16 +$0 07-11 16:12
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +16 $15 98¢ $16 +$0 07-11 05:24