Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$662

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

13.7%

Resolved

172

Trades

618

lifetime

Volume

$8.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$21

8 positions

First seen

2026-06-08

last 08-15 16:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Other

60% 14% -$449

Politics

21% 14% -$146

Tech

11% 13% -$58

Sports

5% 12% -$8

Crypto

3% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-15).

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?	No	+20	$15	90¢	$18	+$3	08-15 16:14
Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?	Yes	+20	$4	10¢	$2	-$2	08-14 15:03
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	Yes	+0	$1	44¢	$0	$0	06-29 08:08
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+1	$2	11¢	$0	-$2	06-29 01:49
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+0	$1	12¢	$0	-$1	06-22 11:53
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Yes	+0	$0	4¢	$0	$0	08-02 14:24
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?	No	+0	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	08-10 01:30
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	+0	$0	4¢	$0	$0	06-24 01:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next?	4	$227	219	219	+0	open	—	07-21 03:15
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	11	$215	153	153	+0	No	-$3	06-17 08:25
ostium fdv above 100m one day after launch	6	$185	169	169	+0	open	—	06-17 01:51
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	7	$185	153	153	+0	No	-$3	07-26 03:07
will gleans valuation hit high 7pt5b by december 31 20260701011238542	2	$176	156	156	+0	open	—	07-20 10:49
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	2	$148	102	102	+0	No	-$1	06-17 08:03
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	2	$143	102	102	+0	No	-$6	06-18 12:45
will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026 20260715004553750	4	$122	102	102	+0	Yes	-$5	07-23 04:11
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	4	$116	102	102	+0	Yes	-$4	06-18 12:45
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	5	$115	92	92	+0	No	-$11	06-27 16:57
will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	2	$114	104	104	+0	No	-$4	06-16 09:56
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	2	$110	75	75	+0	Yes	+$1	06-28 04:31
will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	2	$106	102	102	+0	Yes	+$2	06-16 07:35
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?	7	$106	102	102	+0	Yes	-$9	07-27 18:06
will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	4	$104	102	102	+0	No	+$0	06-14 10:21
will city protocol launch a token by june 30 2027	2	$104	80	80	+0	open	—	06-16 10:19
Will Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?	9	$103	135	135	+0	No	-$17	07-25 06:25
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	6	$101	102	102	+0	Yes	-$8	08-07 08:59
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	5	$101	72	71	+1	open	—	06-29 01:49
Will Alex Bores win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?	2	$100	72	72	+0	No	-$5	06-17 09:08
powl quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 03 2026 1pt47	4	$99	81	81	+0	No	-$3	07-24 08:27
will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950079	4	$98	102	102	+0	No	+$0	06-22 11:32
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	4	$98	112	112	+0	No	-$12	07-23 04:41
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	4	$81	51	51	+0	Yes	+$1	08-06 07:30
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	3	$79	51	51	+0	open	—	06-23 21:25
us saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026 20260722230956508	2	$78	51	51	+0	open	—	07-27 15:07
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 25?	2	$77	68	68	+0	No	-$9	07-23 08:46
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in June 2026?	3	$73	51	51	+0	Yes	-$1	06-25 06:09
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	3	$72	51	51	+0	Yes	-$4	06-30 00:55
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?	4	$71	51	51	+0	No	-$4	07-28 17:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-15 16:14:18	Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x5296e2…
08-14 23:58:49	Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0xaf443a…
08-14 22:37:12	Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xb53e55…
08-14 15:03:12	Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xa74e5d…
08-14 04:20:19	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x7c1766…
08-13 23:50:58	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xa4051a…
08-13 23:50:58	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x1e59b1…
08-13 17:20:04	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	68	70¢	$47	0xefeb03…
08-13 04:01:21	Will Rob Reiner – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	40	13¢	$5	0x1d8719…
08-13 03:22:39	Will Rob Reiner – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x6336ae…
08-13 03:18:49	Will Rob Reiner – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xbfb6d9…
08-13 03:18:49	Will Rob Reiner – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x7c2a80…
08-13 00:12:49	will spy reach 790 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xc14342…
08-13 00:07:27	will spy reach 790 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$9	0x313f30…
08-12 15:20:06	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x738b98…
08-12 15:17:43	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$6	0xfb1da6…
08-12 04:14:37	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in July?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xc779df…
08-12 04:09:06	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in July?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x165885…
08-12 01:07:58	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	No	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x9bb402…
08-12 01:02:45	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x8531ae…
08-11 04:56:58	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?	No	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xf1b87d…
08-11 03:43:10	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x1b2f6c…
08-11 03:42:39	Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	68	42¢	$28	0xa6c487…
08-11 03:38:36	Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	68	58¢	$39	0x74af55…
08-11 03:37:37	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?	No	SELL	17	60¢	$10	0x001841…
08-11 03:36:54	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xcdb6f6…
08-11 02:00:58	Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x61706f…
08-11 01:57:30	Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x53a50f…
08-10 17:14:34	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x69905a…
08-10 17:12:12	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xb91c14…
08-10 01:30:19	Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?	No	SELL	8	19¢	$2	0xd4fef5…
08-10 01:30:19	Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?	No	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0x8953d2…
08-10 01:28:49	Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xc52e13…
08-09 05:20:36	Will Lucas Ribeiro win the Governor of Paraíba election?	No	SELL	67	26¢	$18	0x7b904c…
08-09 05:17:21	Will Lucas Ribeiro win the Governor of Paraíba election?	No	BUY	68	35¢	$24	0x11874b…
08-09 04:15:46	Will The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xf4927d…
08-09 04:11:49	Will The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$10	0xb119e2…
08-08 09:23:55	will the 1 global netflix show have at least 12 million views this week 20260805171354223	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x5bee5a…
08-08 09:23:40	will the 1 global netflix show have at least 12 million views this week 20260805171354223	Yes	SELL	16	8¢	$1	0x9690cc…
08-08 09:23:22	will the 1 global netflix show have at least 12 million views this week 20260805171354223	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x1516ca…
08-08 09:22:51	will the 1 global netflix show have at least 12 million views this week 20260805171354223	Yes	SELL	22	9¢	$2	0xa4623f…
08-08 09:21:04	will the 1 global netflix show have at least 12 million views this week 20260805171354223	Yes	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x1aba05…
08-08 09:20:51	will the 1 global netflix show have at least 12 million views this week 20260805171354223	Yes	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0x050eca…
08-08 07:31:33	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x4a1053…
08-08 07:28:22	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xd122a4…
08-07 08:59:22	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	Yes	SELL	62	44¢	$27	0x475ad8…
08-07 08:58:51	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	Yes	SELL	21	48¢	$10	0x7a0e47…
08-07 08:58:48	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	Yes	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x7d57d8…
08-07 08:58:46	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	Yes	SELL	13	48¢	$6	0x7a4e36…
08-07 08:57:34	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	Yes	BUY	51	53¢	$27	0x9012a7…
08-07 08:57:34	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	Yes	BUY	51	54¢	$28	0x3ff512…
08-07 06:07:58	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	No	SELL	51	61¢	$31	0xdcf717…
08-07 06:04:39	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	No	BUY	51	68¢	$35	0xd4adfe…
08-06 22:05:54	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?	Yes	SELL	25	28¢	$7	0x300adc…
08-06 22:04:18	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?	Yes	SELL	18	29¢	$5	0x9af30c…
08-06 22:04:18	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?	Yes	SELL	18	29¢	$5	0x6aa85d…
08-06 22:04:15	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?	Yes	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0xa4de7e…
08-06 22:01:53	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	68	30¢	$20	0x7b3d91…
08-06 08:05:39	Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	33¢	$13	0x522246…
08-06 08:04:21	Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	38¢	$16	0xe6ff9f…
08-06 07:30:24	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	18	79¢	$14	0xb29613…
08-06 07:30:23	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0x9e5430…
08-06 07:30:03	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	25	82¢	$20	0xf4abaa…
08-03 07:56:29	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0x957f86…
08-03 05:28:44	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xda3414…
08-02 14:24:33	Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x21c975…
08-02 14:19:18	Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xce0690…
08-01 11:26:15	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x74e9df…
08-01 11:24:32	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x5ae275…
08-01 11:22:21	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	26	26¢	$7	0xf49133…
08-01 02:33:29	Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	No	SELL	51	54¢	$28	0x975430…
08-01 02:31:38	Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	No	BUY	51	56¢	$29	0x22d247…
08-01 00:47:35	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	49	39¢	$19	0xc3501f…
08-01 00:44:48	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xf32051…
08-01 00:43:56	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	51	48¢	$24	0xc524e8…
07-31 22:48:50	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x10e0f4…
07-31 22:46:53	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xc2d79a…
07-31 17:57:51	will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190836287	No	SELL	40	53¢	$21	0x1c1eeb…
07-31 17:54:38	will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190836287	No	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0xf80949…
07-31 16:53:50	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	43¢	$13	0x6793bf…
07-31 16:53:17	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0x807b52…
07-31 16:53:15	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	44¢	$7	0x79ba7e…
07-31 16:52:54	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	46¢	$23	0x9f2866…
07-31 13:44:08	Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x3d67ff…
07-31 13:42:08	Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x36656e…
07-31 11:58:33	will antonio costa visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126048	No	SELL	30	49¢	$15	0x64e2c8…
07-31 11:57:03	will antonio costa visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126048	No	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0xec78b2…
07-30 09:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xa8d702…
07-30 09:08:53	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x5816dd…
07-29 19:29:57	will trump say transparent during cabinet meeting 20260727172357442	No	SELL	51	53¢	$27	0x6d8aa9…
07-29 19:26:36	will trump say transparent during cabinet meeting 20260727172357442	No	BUY	51	56¢	$29	0x5eebcf…
07-29 18:10:32	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	No	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xb074ce…
07-29 18:10:18	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	No	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x073ba1…
07-29 18:09:51	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	No	SELL	40	17¢	$7	0xfee6f9…
07-29 18:07:38	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	No	BUY	51	43¢	$22	0x17fd67…
07-29 07:37:20	Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	20	37¢	$8	0x0d0069…
07-29 07:36:53	Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$16	0xf2ac32…
07-29 06:39:45	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	Yes	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xccd44e…
07-29 06:39:23	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x5f34fd…
07-29 06:26:56	Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	No	SELL	31	50¢	$16	0xd13e9c…