Indelible-Try — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.36K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.3%

Resolved

Trades

8,779

lifetime

Volume

$3.20M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$364

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 03:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Politics

44% 50% +$3,616

Other

40% 50% +$462

Tech

12% 100% +$358

Crypto

3% 100% +$4

Sports

1% 0% $-76

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 443 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	68	$129.9K	172,134	117,701	+54,433	open	—	04-08 11:52
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	13	$67.0K	37,640	30,840	+6,800	open	—	03-04 18:27
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	125	$57.6K	49,706	17,127	+32,579	open	—	03-24 22:02
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	43	$51.0K	58,029	8,608	+49,422	open	—	06-16 07:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	61	$49.6K	55,644	24,314	+31,331	open	—	06-15 18:11
will iran strike israel on march 10	127	$45.7K	42,755	33,281	+9,474	open	—	03-16 17:45
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	4	$36.2K	18,262	18,262	+0	open	—	04-07 22:21
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	6	$34.3K	33,504	1,077	+32,427	open	—	07-21 02:06
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	22	$33.8K	27,314	12,271	+15,043	open	—	04-23 18:05
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	13	$33.3K	34,762	2,601	+32,162	open	—	05-05 23:07
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	36	$31.4K	23,379	10,864	+12,515	open	—	03-03 23:09
will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	29	$31.2K	32,974	2,523	+30,451	open	—	08-03 15:00
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	47	$29.7K	18,468	18,468	+0	open	—	04-06 06:01
will zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on march 15	20	$29.2K	17,749	13,762	+3,987	open	—	03-17 02:27
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	7	$28.4K	28,240	300	+27,940	open	—	05-01 00:27
will iran strike israel on march 3	32	$27.4K	15,613	12,177	+3,436	open	—	03-05 14:28
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	5	$27.4K	14,003	14,003	+0	open	—	03-23 23:21
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$25.2K	25,509	0	+25,509	open	—	06-01 12:01
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	36	$23.9K	25,702	3,524	+22,178	open	—	04-08 01:26
netanyahu out by march 31 854	7	$23.8K	12,171	12,171	-0	open	—	03-20 04:57
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	27	$22.8K	19,286	4,000	+15,286	open	—	02-03 23:51
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	82	$22.8K	15,174	15,171	+3	open	—	01-29 00:43
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	67	$22.7K	20,424	16,971	+3,453	open	—	03-12 23:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	7	$22.5K	31,886	10,206	+21,680	Yes	+$3,915	05-09 18:44
Will Scream 7 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	1	$22.4K	22,455	0	+22,455	open	—	03-31 21:58
gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	4	$20.8K	20,891	0	+20,891	open	—	07-09 03:09
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	9	$20.1K	23,159	5,559	+17,600	open	—	06-02 22:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	1	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	05-29 19:08
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	20	$19.7K	10,079	10,079	+0	open	—	03-01 00:56
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	12	$18.4K	16,052	16,052	+0	open	—	04-25 04:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 14:32:31	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0xbf46a1…
08-11 03:44:31	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x930549…
08-11 02:17:28	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x05496c…
08-10 18:10:52	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x86fc7d…
08-10 13:21:07	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x4b7296…
08-10 07:34:25	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x90d07a…
08-10 04:55:07	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xa2ee5e…
08-10 00:39:21	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xf9ee1e…
08-10 00:11:01	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x985d28…
08-10 00:11:00	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xcf1f63…
08-10 00:10:52	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x5d5f8b…
08-10 00:10:51	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xcab02b…
08-10 00:10:51	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xbd965c…
08-10 00:10:51	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xb93e20…
08-10 00:10:51	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x92ccd0…
08-10 00:10:51	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x82f40e…
08-10 00:10:51	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x5b492f…
08-10 00:10:51	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x42aab8…
08-10 00:10:51	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x37fbbd…
08-10 00:10:49	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x34b999…
08-10 00:05:15	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x3405e4…
08-09 23:23:39	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xaa4914…
08-09 23:23:27	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x064bc8…
08-09 23:23:18	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xf2d8da…
08-09 23:23:18	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0xdc5af6…
08-09 23:23:18	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xd9503f…
08-09 23:23:18	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xc57890…
08-09 23:23:18	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xbdd22a…
08-09 23:23:18	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xbbc692…
08-09 23:23:18	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xb1ec4b…
08-09 23:23:18	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x6c0b80…
08-09 23:23:18	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x17c4aa…
08-09 23:23:18	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x011baf…
08-09 23:23:07	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xf81347…
08-09 23:23:07	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x9c268f…
08-09 23:22:58	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xfd8103…
08-09 23:22:58	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xdb47fd…
08-09 23:22:58	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xb7195a…
08-09 23:22:58	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x0653c5…
08-09 23:22:57	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xca6308…
08-09 23:22:57	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xa5b56f…
08-09 23:22:57	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x719dc3…
08-09 23:22:57	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x4b2866…
08-09 23:22:57	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x4a9605…
08-09 23:22:57	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x0d7c31…
08-09 14:07:36	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 5 2026 20260722225036929	No	BUY	305	86¢	$264	0x5c90c6…
08-09 08:15:03	will the highest score achieved by a google gemini model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723192605548	No	SELL	60	80¢	$48	0x11a624…
08-09 00:00:12	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0x1a5a59…
08-08 23:59:54	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x3c767a…
08-08 23:59:49	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x366f7c…
08-08 23:59:49	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x343a5d…
08-08 23:59:48	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xef78fc…
08-08 23:59:48	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x9aa4ba…
08-08 23:59:48	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x05e3e9…
08-08 23:59:42	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0xe39bd1…
08-08 23:59:31	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	218	95¢	$207	0x5ca83f…
08-08 21:20:15	val kru1 sen 2026 08 08	KRÜ Esports	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0x2f38d0…
08-08 21:20:03	val kru1 sen 2026 08 08	KRÜ Esports	BUY	290	18¢	$52	0x4ace7f…
08-08 21:19:43	val kru1 sen 2026 08 08	KRÜ Esports	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xcd55e4…
08-08 21:19:03	val kru1 sen 2026 08 08	KRÜ Esports	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xee3825…
08-08 21:18:54	val kru1 sen 2026 08 08	KRÜ Esports	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xf4351d…
08-08 21:18:04	val kru1 sen 2026 08 08	KRÜ Esports	BUY	510	18¢	$92	0xd30135…
08-08 21:18:04	val kru1 sen 2026 08 08	KRÜ Esports	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xaaa0a4…
08-08 21:18:04	val kru1 sen 2026 08 08	KRÜ Esports	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x8cfd60…
08-08 21:18:04	val kru1 sen 2026 08 08	KRÜ Esports	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x423c37…
08-08 13:13:43	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	No	SELL	303	63¢	$191	0xff40de…
08-08 08:20:31	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	No	SELL	29	63¢	$18	0xa33fc5…
08-08 07:58:46	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	No	SELL	29	63¢	$18	0xfb8c16…
08-08 06:34:24	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	No	SELL	46	63¢	$29	0x53dec0…
08-08 03:12:45	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	3,029	81¢	$2,443	0x01140b…
08-08 03:12:37	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x7869a3…
08-08 03:11:22	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xc86efe…
08-08 03:11:19	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	569	94¢	$538	0x5e9e09…
08-08 03:11:09	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd91e02…
08-08 03:11:06	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	No	BUY	1,299	92¢	$1,194	0xe4c101…
08-08 01:22:48	val g21 loud 2026 08 07	G2 Esports	SELL	329	1¢	$3	0x3278e0…
08-08 01:22:40	val g21 loud 2026 08 07	G2 Esports	SELL	229	1¢	$2	0xedf2fc…
08-08 01:22:40	val g21 loud 2026 08 07	G2 Esports	SELL	42	1¢	$0	0x72e0c7…
08-08 00:58:40	val g21 loud 2026 08 07	G2 Esports	BUY	594	46¢	$273	0x7f1b5d…
08-08 00:58:39	val g21 loud 2026 08 07	G2 Esports	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xd887da…
08-07 23:52:04	will a hurricane make landfall in the us in august 20260728182410863	No	BUY	178	82¢	$146	0xbc5993…
08-07 23:09:51	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	No	SELL	294	63¢	$185	0x5e8ddb…
08-07 22:48:55	val 100t1 c9 2026 08 07	100 Thieves	BUY	447	68¢	$304	0xab3432…
08-07 21:17:03	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xc38db9…
08-07 20:21:43	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	No	BUY	319	99¢	$315	0x297d8b…
08-07 20:18:19	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	1,311	43¢	$563	0x4e6611…
08-07 20:18:07	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	806	70¢	$563	0x840b37…
08-07 20:18:06	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x720848…
08-07 19:33:16	val fnc1 ep1 2026 08 07	Fnatic	BUY	19	60¢	$11	0xa02c81…
08-07 19:33:16	val fnc1 ep1 2026 08 07	Fnatic	BUY	273	60¢	$164	0x79a41e…
08-07 19:05:58	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0x7ba57b…
08-07 18:42:37	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	2,979	98¢	$2,908	0x50674d…
08-07 18:03:51	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	No	BUY	2,100	98¢	$2,068	0x7dc99b…
08-07 14:30:49	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723225144064	No	SELL	106	44¢	$47	0x61871d…
08-07 14:30:42	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723225144065	No	SELL	174	78¢	$135	0xa6b6d6…
08-07 13:45:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	603	11¢	$66	0xf3bfd0…
08-07 13:45:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	1,580	11¢	$174	0x30138d…
08-07 13:44:46	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	339	65¢	$220	0x7098ce…
08-07 13:33:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	4,765	11¢	$528	0x109030…
08-07 13:21:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	44	12¢	$5	0x72ce7b…