Realized P&L
+$90.1K
Unrealized P&L
-$9.47K
Hit rate
76.6%
Resolved
1,862
Trades
12,694
lifetime
Volume
$2.92M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$230
Open exposure
$36.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 10-26 13:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 264 days
Categories
Other
59% 72% +$36,703
Politics
30% 75% +$45,158
Tech
7% 70% -$1,647
Sports
3% 57% +$7,261
Crypto
1% 80% +$2,581
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 246 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 No +6,666 $3,999 85¢ $5.7K +$1,667 09-10 18:53
russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by june 30 2027 Yes +9,231 $5,013 52¢ $4.8K -$167 09-04 12:44
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +10,000 $6,500 36¢ $3.6K -$2,870 09-23 05:25
Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026? No +3,333 $3,163 100¢ $3.3K +$160 10-16 23:03
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +2,832 $2,406 97¢ $2.7K +$339 10-22 03:02
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +3,000 $2,430 91¢ $2.7K +$300 10-17 15:38
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +2,530 $2,149 85¢ $2.2K +$2 09-16 16:34
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +3,333 $2,200 64¢ $2.1K -$83 09-05 15:19
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? Yes +12,785 $1,918 16¢ $2.0K +$64 10-25 20:30
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +1,408 $1,372 99¢ $1.4K +$20 10-26 13:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +3,054 $1,115 34¢ $1.1K -$61 09-04 12:43
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? No +1,000 $300 99¢ $994 +$694 08-21 01:15
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +8,974 $1,324 10¢ $897 -$426 09-18 13:38
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No +492 $462 98¢ $483 +$20 09-12 12:20
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +666 $467 66¢ $440 -$27 06-07 05:16
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +486 $34 88¢ $426 +$392 08-21 01:57
us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223 No +427 $372 84¢ $361 -$12 07-20 17:17
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +4,475 $1,660 8¢ $358 -$1,302 08-17 14:51
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 Yes +6,131 $4,777 4¢ $276 -$4,501 08-25 20:11
iran coup attempt by december 31 Yes +3,382 $397 8¢ $271 -$126 09-06 09:38
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +1,850 $341 14¢ $267 -$74 07-11 23:35
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +563 $260 25¢ $141 -$120 06-30 15:44
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? Yes +1,892 $1,134 4¢ $85 -$1,049 09-13 07:36
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +2,332 $1,712 3¢ $80 -$1,632 06-09 09:43
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026? Yes +6,983 $268 1¢ $59 -$209 10-20 21:13
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? No +130 $82 46¢ $59 -$23 08-13 13:13
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +1,148 $286 4¢ $52 -$234 07-23 11:53
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? No +80 $47 40¢ $32 -$16 07-26 09:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,150 $167 2¢ $21 -$145 09-24 09:17
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +556 $61 2¢ $9 -$52 09-30 13:26