Realized P&L
+$8.75K
Unrealized P&L
-$309
Hit rate
75.1%
Resolved
62
Trades
7,346
lifetime
Volume
$1.32M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$179
Open exposure
$9.29K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 06-30 11:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
56% 71% +$5,708
Politics
38% 71% +$3,045
Tech
5%
Crypto
1%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 231 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +2,506 $2,033 94¢ $2.4K +$325 06-30 00:22
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No +10,508 $1,139 10¢ $998 $-141 06-25 22:29
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO? Yes +979 $920 100¢ $977 +$58 06-29 21:05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +569 $533 100¢ $568 +$35 06-12 08:12
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +2,332 $1,712 24¢ $560 $-1,152 06-09 09:43
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Exam? Yes +564 $547 94¢ $527 $-19 06-24 10:05
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +700 $442 73¢ $511 +$69 06-08 18:04
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +666 $467 68¢ $449 $-17 06-07 05:16
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +1,021 $582 42¢ $434 $-148 06-22 19:07
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +1,388 $289 26¢ $354 +$65 06-14 14:31
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +563 $260 58¢ $329 +$69 06-30 15:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +2,261 $294 14¢ $305 +$11 06-21 16:38
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +245 $215 100¢ $244 +$29 06-14 23:50
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam? No +207 $191 100¢ $207 +$16 06-24 10:06
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +213 $207 86¢ $184 $-22 06-30 13:27
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes -2,117 $-614 $-125 +$489 06-27 23:22
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No +83 $70 90¢ $74 +$4 06-08 04:18
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +35 $14 99¢ $35 +$21 06-14 23:50
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes +35 $35 99¢ $35 $-0 06-30 13:27
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 06-28 14:01
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 06-15 01:30