Unlined-Caftan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18.1K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.7%

Resolved

109

Trades

790

lifetime

Volume

$108.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$137

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 09-24 02:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

52% 87% +$9,366

Tech

48% 91% +$8,697

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	70	$10.5K	12,546	5,028	+7,517	Yes	+$5,068	05-28 03:07
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	29	$8.8K	8,871	8,871	+0	No	-$262	04-27 16:44
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	56	$8.0K	11,588	11,057	+531	No	-$3,050	07-21 13:55
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	10	$7.4K	5,156	5,156	+0	Yes	+$981	09-15 08:48
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	33	$6.4K	7,977	3,200	+4,777	Yes	+$642	07-13 05:42
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	61	$6.1K	5,255	4,010	+1,245	Yes	+$1,667	04-28 07:28
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	1	$6.0K	6,952	0	+6,952	Yes	+$988	07-27 18:14
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	28	$4.2K	4,606	1,200	+3,405	Yes	+$1,249	02-20 16:19
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?	17	$3.4K	1,995	1,496	+499	No	+$8	07-12 09:17
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	29	$3.3K	3,759	3,328	+431	Yes	-$137	04-29 16:58
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	23	$2.4K	2,290	1,145	+1,145	No	+$814	02-20 13:50
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	45	$2.3K	1,620	1,598	+22	No	+$171	04-24 03:50
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	27	$2.2K	2,774	555	+2,219	No	+$983	05-28 01:05
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	4	$2.1K	1,095	1,095	+0	No	+$85	09-15 07:10
Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?	2	$2.0K	2,185	0	+2,185	Yes	+$227	09-02 23:25
will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 654	1	$1.9K	2,235	0	+2,235	No	+$356	07-10 18:58
will google have the third best ai model at the end of february 2026	23	$1.8K	2,326	0	+2,326	Yes	+$509	02-20 16:19
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?	14	$1.8K	1,263	1,263	+0	Yes	-$414	06-15 19:36
Will the next Mythos-Class model debut as #1? (Text Arena)	4	$1.7K	1,907	0	+1,907	Yes	+$182	09-02 23:31
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	5	$1.6K	906	906	+0	Yes	+$0	04-13 02:49
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	2	$1.3K	1,709	0	+1,709	No	+$409	07-10 18:58
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	7	$1.3K	696	696	+0	open	—	09-14 06:15
Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)	1	$1.2K	1,331	0	+1,331	No	+$110	09-11 21:18
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	3	$1.2K	612	612	+0	No	+$4	07-14 09:42
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	6	$1.1K	1,008	968	+40	Yes	-$276	09-24 02:27
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?	11	$809	1,244	1,244	+0	Yes	+$47	06-06 14:14
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	8	$750	600	585	+15	No	+$319	04-27 17:58
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	6	$693	419	419	+0	No	-$106	06-02 10:29
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?	17	$686	1,015	1,015	+0	No	-$77	06-06 18:33
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	9	$685	990	0	+990	Yes	+$305	06-16 17:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-24 02:27:56	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0x1c61fc…
09-23 16:00:05	Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	223	57¢	$127	0xd461cf…
09-22 17:07:34	Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	60¢	$18	0x5102a6…
09-22 17:07:33	Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	240	60¢	$144	0x13181c…
09-22 16:41:52	Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x1b80d2…
09-17 19:57:46	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	183	98¢	$179	0x30ae54…
09-17 17:29:07	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x435be9…
09-17 17:18:45	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x21e347…
09-17 14:43:06	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x7e0806…
09-17 07:12:48	Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	29¢	$16	0x520267…
09-16 15:18:20	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x8b65d7…
09-15 15:53:27	Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	30¢	$23	0x480c7b…
09-15 08:48:34	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	672	4¢	$28	0xe89345…
09-15 07:10:39	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	580	99¢	$575	0x8dc727…
09-15 05:47:03	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	470	99¢	$465	0x1059b9…
09-14 17:47:00	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	46	99¢	$45	0x10a199…
09-14 14:44:33	Will any other model be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x11d795…
09-14 10:48:06	Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	57¢	$34	0xddec81…
09-14 06:15:03	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	380	94¢	$356	0xc68183…
09-14 03:35:30	Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xfcb21c…
09-14 03:28:28	Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	156	29¢	$45	0x2dfcc1…
09-14 02:12:58	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	118	94¢	$111	0xb61554…
09-13 21:10:42	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xa76579…
09-13 21:10:39	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	144	94¢	$135	0xb43d48…
09-13 21:10:39	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	31	94¢	$29	0x8c2cf1…
09-13 21:10:39	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x6a32d2…
09-13 12:55:21	Will any other model be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xf664b0…
09-13 12:55:21	Will any other model be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?	No	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0xc5ee2c…
09-13 12:55:19	Will any other model be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?	No	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0x151519…
09-13 06:44:06	Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	241	55¢	$133	0xa8327d…
09-11 21:18:10	Will any other model be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	629	92¢	$581	0xe7ecea…
09-11 21:18:10	Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	241	34¢	$81	0xc9db27…
09-11 21:18:10	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	1,095	91¢	$1,000	0xb82baf…
09-11 21:18:10	Will any other model be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	445	82¢	$364	0x9f2c53…
09-11 21:18:10	Will any other model be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	223	85¢	$191	0x9b5bd8…
09-11 21:18:10	Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	21¢	$16	0x8d7dbc…
09-11 21:18:10	Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	37¢	$15	0x764577…
09-11 21:18:10	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?	No	BUY	271	95¢	$257	0x73271a…
09-11 21:18:10	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?	No	BUY	158	92¢	$146	0x631e03…
09-11 21:18:10	Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)	No	BUY	1,331	92¢	$1,221	0x4cdfeb…
09-11 21:18:10	Will any other model be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0x364aef…
09-11 21:18:10	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	696	86¢	$600	0x26a09a…
09-11 21:18:10	Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	215	16¢	$35	0x1da032…
09-11 21:18:10	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	189	89¢	$169	0x10865f…
09-06 03:23:30	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	12¢	$5	0x1eb1d7…
09-06 02:04:15	Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x0fcb2e…
09-05 19:18:58	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0x665fdf…
09-05 19:16:46	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	18¢	$14	0x7a655f…
09-05 19:15:24	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	12¢	$9	0xf38c75…
09-05 17:39:28	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	194	25¢	$49	0xa29b7d…
09-05 17:29:01	Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xf16025…
09-05 17:04:40	Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	270	51¢	$138	0xc6203b…
09-05 17:04:40	Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	44¢	$26	0x9df691…
09-05 17:04:40	Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	198	47¢	$93	0x1df455…
09-05 17:04:39	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	765	45¢	$345	0xcb971a…
09-05 17:04:39	Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x80ef80…
09-04 07:18:22	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	380	8¢	$30	0xb66fbd…
09-03 08:51:06	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	292	7¢	$20	0xe8ddab…
09-03 02:58:52	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,063	94¢	$2,879	0xc65e24…
09-03 02:40:09	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	99¢	$297	0x315b54…
09-03 02:09:48	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,121	90¢	$1,009	0x33c553…
09-02 23:34:09	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	186	98¢	$182	0x2eb696…
09-02 23:31:16	Will the next Mythos-Class model debut as #1? (Text Arena)	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x0b77cd…
09-02 23:25:01	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,073	93¢	$1,000	0x831493…
09-02 23:25:00	Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x337c66…
09-02 23:24:48	Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,165	90¢	$1,939	0xfc6bc3…
09-02 23:24:48	Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xfb0f22…
09-02 23:24:48	Will the next Mythos-Class model debut as #1? (Text Arena)	Yes	BUY	1,659	90¢	$1,488	0xe7887c…
09-02 23:24:48	Will the next Mythos-Class model debut as #1? (Text Arena)	Yes	BUY	12	95¢	$12	0xc7adeb…
09-02 23:24:48	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,890	53¢	$1,000	0x65bd86…
09-02 23:24:48	Will the next Mythos-Class model debut as #1? (Text Arena)	Yes	BUY	186	95¢	$176	0x5df6f1…
09-02 23:24:48	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,336	75¢	$1,000	0x59d4f3…
09-02 20:48:42	Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	426	56¢	$240	0xeedb9f…
09-02 16:50:51	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	958	70¢	$672	0x44a55e…
09-02 16:50:51	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x2eea6e…
09-02 14:58:37	Will the next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xfc0cfb…
09-02 14:58:21	Will the next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	95¢	$26	0xba178d…
09-01 22:28:22	Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xf830a0…
08-27 18:08:16	Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	223	20¢	$45	0xf92b58…
08-27 18:08:15	Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	152	24¢	$37	0x267a4b…
08-24 21:02:28	Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	179	36¢	$64	0x92cbc2…
08-24 21:02:28	Will Moonshot be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	19	44¢	$8	0x57dea4…
08-24 21:02:28	Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0x3c4cfa…
08-24 21:02:28	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	34¢	$14	0x2da2d7…
08-22 21:47:39	Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	223	25¢	$56	0x523407…
08-22 01:40:36	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	211	31¢	$66	0x3c5600…
08-22 01:22:06	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	46¢	$6	0xd34d75…
08-22 01:22:06	Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	153	18¢	$27	0xce85fa…
08-22 01:22:06	Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	404	11¢	$42	0x8ac88a…
08-22 01:22:06	Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	14¢	$6	0x4eb4a2…
08-19 21:57:31	Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xc61349…
08-19 21:55:00	Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	289	45¢	$131	0x96e1b9…
08-19 21:54:48	Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	588	45¢	$268	0x5d96d4…
08-19 20:02:15	Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	132	27¢	$36	0x246d65…
08-19 20:02:07	Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	882	24¢	$208	0xcbf9ec…
08-19 20:02:07	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	268	84¢	$224	0x938c7f…
08-19 20:02:07	Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	754	26¢	$196	0x672f35…
08-19 20:02:07	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0x0f6463…
08-19 20:02:06	Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	45¢	$36	0xd7c8ff…
08-19 20:02:06	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	123	12¢	$15	0x49b512…