Arid-Cinema 0x73d225…34f9b7
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.50K
Unrealized P&L
-$342
Hit rate
64.8%
Resolved
48
Trades
11,627
lifetime
Volume
$2.93M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$252
Open exposure
$10.8K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 06:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Politics
54% 65% $-1,535
Other
43% 48% $-967
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Sports
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 389 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -2,000 $-1,800 90¢ $-1790 +$10 06-07 19:20
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +1,500 $1,392 93¢ $1.4K +$1 06-09 17:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,000 $818 82¢ $825 +$7 06-06 13:45
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +800 $782 76¢ $608 $-174 06-09 13:45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No -600 $-558 98¢ $-591 $-33 05-28 17:21
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? No -600 $-516 96¢ $-573 $-57 05-28 17:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -600 $-564 94¢ $-567 $-3 06-09 05:15
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No -600 $-522 94¢ $-562 $-40 05-31 14:50
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No -600 $-510 86¢ $-515 $-5 06-08 21:24
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -561 $-460 79¢ $-443 +$17 06-09 23:16
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +600 $444 72¢ $429 $-15 06-07 19:19
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +426 $379 88¢ $377 $-2 06-08 04:00
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +500 $370 72¢ $358 $-12 06-07 10:25
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -337 $-306 92¢ $-308 $-2 06-08 04:03
MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season? No -345 $-289 88¢ $-303 $-14 05-29 03:40
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -400 $-280 75¢ $-300 $-20 05-28 16:29
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -400 $-212 60¢ $-238 $-26 06-06 17:15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +300 $207 78¢ $232 +$25 06-07 13:25
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +300 $173 62¢ $184 +$12 06-09 22:08
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,000 $-80 8¢ $-85 $-5 06-05 09:47
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI -270 $-65 29¢ $-77 $-12 06-05 21:38
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -0 $-0 97¢ $-0 $-0 06-09 19:02
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +0 $-6 75¢ $0 +$6 06-08 06:57