Arid-Cinema 0x73d225…34f9b7
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.50K
Unrealized P&L
-$447
Hit rate
64.8%
Resolved
48
Trades
12,917
lifetime
Volume
$3.06M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$237
Open exposure
$10.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 02:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Politics
54% 65% $-1,535
Other
43% 48% $-967
Tech
2% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Sports
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 158 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -2,397 $-1,774 86¢ $-2073 $-300 06-18 03:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1,200 $-1,044 94¢ $-1134 $-90 06-10 19:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,500 $1,213 74¢ $1.1K $-111 07-08 08:54
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -800 $-680 88¢ $-700 $-20 07-02 13:33
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -600 $-564 98¢ $-586 $-22 06-09 05:15
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No -600 $-522 96¢ $-575 $-53 05-31 14:50
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No -600 $-510 89¢ $-533 $-23 06-08 21:24
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -600 $-492 86¢ $-519 $-27 06-12 13:09
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +451 $399 86¢ $385 $-14 07-03 10:57
MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season? No -345 $-289 86¢ $-298 $-9 05-29 03:40
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -400 $-212 70¢ $-278 $-66 06-06 17:15
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +400 $308 67¢ $268 $-40 06-24 23:35
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +300 $189 80¢ $240 +$51 06-23 04:23
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +200 $149 94¢ $187 +$38 07-13 14:20
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +200 $162 87¢ $174 +$12 07-05 10:16
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +200 $173 85¢ $171 $-2 07-09 23:53
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +200 $166 73¢ $146 $-20 06-24 05:19
Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +200 $164 68¢ $135 $-29 06-25 22:55
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +320 $102 42¢ $134 +$33 07-14 11:49
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine? Yes +160 $133 84¢ $134 +$1 07-10 08:19
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +160 $91 80¢ $129 +$38 06-21 09:03
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk? Yes +160 $88 62¢ $100 +$12 07-10 04:34
Noble FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +114 $86 78¢ $89 +$3 06-26 04:46
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,000 $-80 8¢ $-85 $-5 06-05 09:47
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -400 $-280 18¢ $-74 +$206 05-28 16:29
Will BMO fail by end of 2026? No +67 $65 98¢ $65 +$1 07-08 20:46
Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026? No +62 $60 99¢ $61 +$2 06-30 23:15
Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop? Yes +77 $46 73¢ $56 +$10 07-12 05:16
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +100 $60 42¢ $42 $-18 06-19 05:54
Tuyo FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +55 $43 71¢ $39 $-4 06-24 11:52