Arid-Cinema 0x73d225…34f9b7
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.50K
Unrealized P&L
-$254
Hit rate
64.8%
Resolved
48
Trades
12,671
lifetime
Volume
$3.03M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$239
Open exposure
$11.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 15:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Politics
54% 65% $-1,535
Other
43% 48% $-967
Tech
2% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Sports
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 291 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -2,000 $-1,800 100¢ $-1995 $-195 06-07 19:20
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -2,397 $-1,774 80¢ $-1929 $-156 06-18 03:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1,200 $-1,044 92¢ $-1098 $-54 06-10 19:09
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +721 $710 100¢ $720 +$10 06-13 06:14
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No -600 $-558 100¢ $-599 $-41 05-28 17:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -600 $-564 96¢ $-575 $-11 06-09 05:15
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No -600 $-522 92¢ $-550 $-28 05-31 14:50
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No -600 $-510 89¢ $-536 $-26 06-08 21:24
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -600 $-492 86¢ $-513 $-21 06-12 13:09
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -337 $-306 100¢ $-336 $-29 06-08 04:03
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +500 $325 64¢ $318 $-8 06-29 03:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +300 $217 100¢ $299 +$82 06-13 11:59
MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season? No -345 $-289 84¢ $-288 +$2 05-29 03:40
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +400 $308 66¢ $266 $-42 06-24 23:35
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -400 $-212 58¢ $-234 $-22 06-06 17:15
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +300 $189 70¢ $209 +$20 06-23 04:23
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +300 $152 59¢ $177 +$25 06-28 11:54
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +200 $166 77¢ $154 $-12 06-24 05:19
Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +200 $164 77¢ $154 $-10 06-25 22:55
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,000 $-80 14¢ $-135 $-55 06-05 09:47
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -400 $-280 24¢ $-94 +$186 05-28 16:29
Noble FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +114 $86 79¢ $90 +$5 06-26 04:46
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +160 $91 50¢ $81 $-10 06-21 09:03
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No +69 $-19 100¢ $69 +$88 06-30 19:34
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30? No -61 $-61 100¢ $-61 +$0 06-30 20:45
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +100 $60 57¢ $57 $-3 06-19 05:54
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +50 $-10 100¢ $50 +$60 06-12 22:42
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +51 $47 90¢ $45 $-2 06-30 12:28
Tuyo FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +55 $43 74¢ $41 $-2 06-24 11:52
Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +71 $36 45¢ $32 $-4 06-24 11:27