Fickle-Version 0x776188…75f504
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$172
Unrealized P&L
+$68
Hit rate
32.4%
Resolved
96
Trades
9,696
lifetime
Volume
$24.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$335
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-08
last 06-30 18:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
42% 47% +$3
Sports
26% 25% $-169
Crypto
22% — —
Politics
10% 50% $-5
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 640 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +53 $21 100¢ $53 +$32 06-19 17:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +30 $24 100¢ $30 +$6 06-22 00:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +42 $23 66¢ $28 +$5 06-28 10:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +80 $37 34¢ $28 $-9 06-29 01:34
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +40 $18 46¢ $18 +$0 06-30 19:56
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +16 $4 99¢ $16 +$12 06-28 16:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +103 $17 15¢ $15 $-2 06-21 16:44
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +87 $10 14¢ $12 +$2 06-29 03:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +12 $10 86¢ $10 +$0 06-25 16:33
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +24 $7 40¢ $10 +$2 06-30 03:57
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +10 $9 91¢ $9 $-0 06-30 02:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +51 $8 18¢ $9 +$1 06-28 04:33
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +20 $8 44¢ $9 +$1 06-30 04:52
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026? No +9 $2 97¢ $9 +$7 06-18 22:50
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +8 $3 100¢ $8 +$5 06-19 01:05
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +13 $7 56¢ $7 $-0 06-30 04:16
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +8 $4 82¢ $7 +$3 06-28 05:57
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +12 $6 55¢ $7 +$0 06-30 17:52
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +6 $4 100¢ $6 +$2 06-22 05:28
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 $-0 06-26 13:32
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +8 $5 64¢ $5 +$0 06-29 16:36
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +6 $2 80¢ $5 +$3 06-19 05:33
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +54 $6 8¢ $5 $-1 06-15 00:31
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +40 $4 11¢ $4 +$0 06-30 03:01
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +7 $5 56¢ $4 $-1 06-27 00:28
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 +$0 06-26 05:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +4 $4 92¢ $4 +$0 06-27 07:14
Trump out as President before 2027? No +4 $4 92¢ $4 +$0 06-29 00:23
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 72¢ $4 +$1 06-30 15:34
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +4 $4 90¢ $4 +$0 06-30 00:00