Fickle-Version 0x776188…75f504
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Realized P&L
-$172
Unrealized P&L
+$43
Hit rate
32.4%
Resolved
96
Trades
14,411
lifetime
Volume
$36.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$493
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-08
last 07-21 00:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
49% 47% +$3
Sports
26% 25% $-169
Crypto
15% — —
Politics
9% 50% $-5
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 640 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +72 $46 99¢ $71 +$25 07-11 15:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +209 $43 26¢ $55 +$13 07-20 00:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +84 $23 44¢ $37 +$14 07-20 04:22
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +58 $27 42¢ $24 $-3 07-21 00:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +32 $26 74¢ $24 $-2 07-20 15:33
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +25 $22 92¢ $23 +$1 07-05 09:04
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +40 $26 56¢ $22 $-4 07-21 00:07
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +33 $18 52¢ $17 $-1 07-21 00:07
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +25 $15 65¢ $16 +$1 07-18 06:38
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +26 $16 60¢ $16 $-0 07-18 05:50
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +17 $12 88¢ $15 +$3 07-14 00:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +15 $14 98¢ $15 +$0 07-03 02:17
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +23 $13 58¢ $13 +$1 07-14 00:17
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +14 $12 86¢ $12 +$1 07-04 03:49
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +28 $12 40¢ $11 $-1 07-21 02:24
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +16 $8 68¢ $11 +$2 07-20 10:20
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +36 $10 30¢ $11 +$1 07-20 14:22
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +117 $14 8¢ $10 $-4 07-02 16:39
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$1 07-14 12:40
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +20 $11 46¢ $9 $-2 07-19 11:58
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $9 87¢ $9 +$0 07-15 00:57
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +15 $11 54¢ $8 $-3 07-18 20:37
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +8 $3 100¢ $8 +$5 06-19 01:05
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +9 $6 80¢ $7 +$1 07-02 00:14
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +10 $9 70¢ $7 $-2 07-15 00:57
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +8 $7 88¢ $7 $-0 07-02 12:59
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +79 $8 8¢ $7 $-1 07-04 03:49
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +8 $6 82¢ $7 +$1 07-02 12:40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +6 $6 94¢ $6 +$0 07-04 01:07
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +7 $6 76¢ $5 $-1 07-04 01:07