Fickle-Version — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$172

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

32.4%

Resolved

Trades

15,778

lifetime

Volume

$40.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 08-05 01:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

49% 47% +$3

Sports

26% 25% $-169

Crypto

14% — —

Politics

10% 50% $-5

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 640 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$852	653	653	+0	open	—	03-03 12:26
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	7	$356	861	0	+861	open	—	07-19 11:13
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	6	$127	327	0	+327	open	—	07-06 18:09
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?	9	$119	222	0	+222	open	—	04-26 16:24
bitcoin up or down february 13 12pm et	89	$116	5,334	0	+5,334	open	—	02-13 18:01
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	6	$114	179	0	+179	open	—	07-09 19:26
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	3	$105	293	0	+293	open	—	07-11 09:17
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	2	$102	219	0	+219	open	—	07-15 15:41
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	2	$101	369	0	+369	open	—	07-10 18:23
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$100	1,250	0	+1,250	open	—	02-15 14:07
btc updown 5m 1772713800	1	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	03-05 12:29
btc updown 5m 1773508200	1	$100	210	0	+210	open	—	03-14 17:10
btc updown 5m 1773508500	1	$100	220	0	+220	open	—	03-14 17:17
btc updown 5m 1772714100	1	$100	230	0	+230	open	—	03-05 12:36
btc updown 5m 1772714700	1	$100	192	0	+192	open	—	03-05 12:43
aws service disrupted by march 31 623	1	$100	303	0	+303	open	—	03-09 11:09
btc updown 5m 1772713500	1	$100	194	0	+194	open	—	03-05 12:23
btc updown 5m 1772716200	1	$100	191	0	+191	open	—	03-05 13:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	41	$92	308	0	+308	open	—	08-02 03:07
bitcoin up or down february 13 1pm et	71	$92	3,969	0	+3,969	open	—	02-13 19:07
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	13	$88	113	2	+111	open	—	04-21 08:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	43	$87	165	0	+165	open	—	07-11 15:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	45	$84	486	0	+486	open	—	06-26 17:53
ethereum up or down february 13 1pm et	68	$84	15,144	0	+15,144	open	—	02-13 19:12
btc updown 5m 1772658600	1	$83	163	0	+163	open	—	03-04 21:08
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	28	$80	128	0	+128	open	—	07-29 22:21
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	40	$74	186	0	+186	open	—	07-03 00:24
ethereum up or down february 13 12pm et	59	$74	4,824	0	+4,824	open	—	02-13 18:01
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	30	$73	136	0	+136	open	—	07-27 19:00
Fed rate hike in 2026?	37	$69	129	0	+129	open	—	08-02 10:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 09:26:22	will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xbaba94…
08-05 01:02:15	dogecoin up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xee7c4b…
08-02 20:50:15	2026 rocket classic top10 chris kirk	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7a7e43…
08-02 17:49:39	mlb cws tb 2026 08 02 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x8111ec…
08-02 15:26:53	wnba ind min 2026 08 02	Minnesota Lynx	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x749399…
08-02 15:26:51	wnba ind min 2026 08 02	Indiana Fever	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x420bbe…
08-02 15:15:05	wnba ind min 2026 08 02	Minnesota Lynx	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x924976…
08-02 15:11:21	wnba ind min 2026 08 02	Indiana Fever	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x121378…
08-02 14:03:51	crichundredw mi man 2026 08 02	MI London	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x17a518…
08-02 13:59:06	mlb tex hou 2026 08 02	Houston Astros	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x80ad0d…
08-02 13:42:33	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x97412f…
08-02 13:39:20	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x230c41…
08-02 13:39:17	lol kt hle1 2026 08 02	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xe46ad7…
08-02 11:26:29	mlb stl tor 2026 08 02 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x079724…
08-02 10:52:23	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x875a03…
08-02 06:52:27	mlb ari cle 2026 08 02 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xc25aeb…
08-02 06:34:56	lol lng ig1 2026 08 02	Invictus Gaming	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xd27b79…
08-02 06:04:24	lol tt we 2026 08 02	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x09c066…
08-02 05:59:26	lol tt we 2026 08 02	Team WE	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xe45324…
08-02 05:59:26	lol tt we 2026 08 02	Team WE	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x754b9d…
08-02 05:59:24	lol tt we 2026 08 02	Team WE	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x85a440…
08-02 05:57:33	mlb min sea 2026 08 02 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x0c34a5…
08-02 05:57:32	mlb bos lad 2026 08 02	Boston Red Sox	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xec1683…
08-02 05:57:32	mlb mil laa 2026 08 02 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xbfc3cb…
08-02 05:57:32	mlb kc col 2026 08 02	Kansas City Royals	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbce290…
08-02 05:57:32	mlb cws tb 2026 08 02 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x9e0184…
08-02 05:57:32	mlb nyy chc 2026 08 02 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x99a537…
08-02 05:57:32	mlb stl tor 2026 08 02	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7fa66a…
08-02 05:49:24	mlb ari cle 2026 08 02	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x64cee7…
08-02 05:27:33	will wti reach 105 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x785a6c…
08-02 05:27:33	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x4e13ee…
08-02 05:27:32	will neuralinks valuation hit high 50b by august 31 20260731173840960	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xa8053a…
08-02 05:27:32	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x7f952b…
08-02 05:27:30	mlb det oak 2026 08 02	Detroit Tigers	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xea7511…
08-02 03:57:32	mlb sf sd 2026 08 02	San Francisco Giants	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xdca9e7…
08-02 03:57:32	mlb kc col 2026 08 02 total 12pt5	Over	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x1c28b1…
08-02 03:57:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x03fca7…
08-02 03:53:24	mlb mil laa 2026 08 01	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x205194…
08-02 03:37:56	atp gea shapova 2026 08 01	Denis Shapovalov	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x73d74a…
08-02 03:27:32	mlb pit cin 2026 08 02	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x9cf0a9…
08-02 03:27:32	mlb kc col 2026 08 02	Colorado Rockies	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x7ab5a4…
08-02 03:27:32	mlb ari cle 2026 08 02	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x580dbc…
08-02 03:27:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x27d000…
08-02 03:17:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x565805…
08-02 03:17:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x556f2f…
08-02 03:17:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x39daee…
08-02 03:07:54	mlb bos lad 2026 08 01	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0x87be6c…
08-02 03:07:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x54689c…
08-02 03:07:08	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x2bddfa…
08-02 02:47:08	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x9f40b6…
08-02 02:42:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb580da…
08-02 02:32:24	mlb bos lad 2026 08 01	Boston Red Sox	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x5851f6…
08-02 02:27:11	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x697caa…
08-02 02:27:11	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x1f5d9d…
08-02 02:17:26	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x8748b0…
08-02 02:07:33	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xfbf758…
08-02 01:01:24	mlb kc col 2026 08 01	Kansas City Royals	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0x76aa2c…
08-02 00:57:08	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x0b8a0a…
08-02 00:56:24	mlb phi bal 2026 08 01	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x0b7cc9…
08-02 00:54:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x91045a…
08-02 00:51:06	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x5dff7e…
08-02 00:51:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x232a8a…
08-02 00:47:08	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xf8d322…
08-02 00:41:26	mlb nyy chc 2026 08 01	Chicago Cubs	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x2eabc4…
08-02 00:41:24	mlb nyy chc 2026 08 01	New York Yankees	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc8b1d1…
08-02 00:41:24	mlb nyy chc 2026 08 01	Chicago Cubs	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x3f5a88…
08-02 00:39:06	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xa998ff…
08-02 00:39:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x619ab8…
08-02 00:39:06	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x606834…
08-02 00:36:26	mlb sf sd 2026 08 01	San Francisco Giants	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xac6038…
08-02 00:36:26	mlb sf sd 2026 08 01	San Francisco Giants	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x5369d5…
08-02 00:36:26	mlb sf sd 2026 08 01	San Francisco Giants	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x189ebd…
08-02 00:27:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xbd0545…
08-02 00:27:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xdea79b…
08-02 00:27:38	will wti reach 110 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x4c8d0b…
08-02 00:27:38	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x2f0f46…
08-02 00:27:36	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xdf963d…
08-02 00:27:36	will bitcoin dip to 50k in august 2026	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5e06fc…
08-02 00:27:36	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x58219e…
08-02 00:27:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x1f0366…
08-02 00:27:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1b08ef…
08-02 00:27:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x122793…
08-02 00:27:35	val zeta2 ns1 2026 08 02	Nongshim RedForce	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x417f14…
08-02 00:27:33	mlb bos lad 2026 08 01 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xfcd38e…
08-02 00:27:33	mlb det oak 2026 08 01 total 10pt5	Under	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xa76580…
08-02 00:27:26	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0xa2638f…
08-02 00:21:53	mlb kc col 2026 08 01	Colorado Rockies	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x706a8e…
08-02 00:21:53	mlb sf tex 2026 08 03	Texas Rangers	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x459993…
08-02 00:21:51	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xb6f877…
08-02 00:21:50	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xfbbead…
08-02 00:21:50	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x59fae6…
08-02 00:21:48	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x9a149d…
08-02 00:21:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5fa3b3…
08-02 00:21:47	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xe2a594…
08-02 00:21:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xab53fb…
08-02 00:21:47	mlb stl tor 2026 08 02 nrfi	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x5aa822…
08-02 00:21:45	will bitcoin dip to 62k july 27 august 2 2026	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xff99d4…
08-02 00:21:45	mlb kc col 2026 08 02 nrfi	Yes	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0xd4c1e0…
08-02 00:21:45	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xc799cd…
08-02 00:21:45	iran leadership change by august 31 669	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x612f67…