Fickle-Version 0x776188…75f504 Create alert
bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.51K
Unrealized P&L
+$120
Hit rate
48.4%
Resolved
9,435
Trades
22,848
lifetime
Volume
$62.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$327
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-08
last 10-24 17:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 240 days
Categories
Other
59% 52% -$1,420
Sports
20% 49% -$299
Politics
10% 59% +$283
Crypto
9% 40% -$1,046
Tech
2% 57% -$17
Pop-Culture
0% 80% -$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 447 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +51 $32 98¢ $50 +$18 08-02 00:39
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +48 $38 92¢ $44 +$6 08-02 03:07
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +25 $22 98¢ $25 +$2 07-05 09:04
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +22 $18 92¢ $20 +$3 08-01 05:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +18 -$26 92¢ $17 +$42 09-05 09:24
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +17 $12 96¢ $16 +$4 07-14 00:37
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +17 $3 82¢ $14 +$11 07-29 06:53
Trump out as President before 2027? No -13 -$12 98¢ $-13 $0 09-05 09:25
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +15 $8 70¢ $11 +$3 09-05 09:39
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191 No +10 $7 86¢ $9 +$2 08-19 06:14
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +10 $8 84¢ $8 $0 09-05 09:38
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +8 $7 92¢ $7 +$1 09-05 09:49
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +7 $6 97¢ $7 +$1 07-27 03:02
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31 No +7 $5 96¢ $7 +$1 07-03 18:49
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +10 $5 64¢ $6 +$1 07-17 00:22
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +6 $5 99¢ $6 +$1 06-29 02:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +6 $6 98¢ $6 +$0 07-04 01:07
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +6 $5 97¢ $6 +$0 07-03 04:30
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$1 07-30 07:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $3 88¢ $5 +$2 07-21 00:21
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes +5 -$3 99¢ $5 +$8 09-05 09:37
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$1 07-31 21:52
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632 No +5 $2 94¢ $5 +$2 07-31 21:52
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$0 07-03 00:10
foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775 No +5 $2 93¢ $5 +$2 07-31 21:52
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +5 $3 92¢ $5 +$1 07-21 00:17
will a 1 year enrichment moratorium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201635 No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$1 07-13 02:29
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +15 $11 30¢ $4 -$7 07-18 20:37
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +4 -$8 97¢ $4 +$12 09-05 09:24
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +4 $3 94¢ $4 +$0 06-26 21:13