Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$81

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.1%

Resolved

120

Trades

345

lifetime

Volume

$2.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-04

last 09-14 19:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

58% 28% -$192

Politics

23% 19% -$32

Tech

18% 63% +$136

Sports

1% 100% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	28	$202	196	196	+0	Yes	+$54	07-30 21:50
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?	5	$124	107	107	+0	Yes	+$56	07-31 22:24
cs2 eye faze 2026 07 05 map handicap home 1pt5	8	$73	67	57	+11	EYEBALLERS	+$9	07-05 14:58
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	4	$64	188	39	+149	Yes	$0	07-14 00:36
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?	5	$50	168	137	+31	Yes	+$23	07-24 16:46
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	5	$47	71	71	+0	No	+$4	07-19 14:48
will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	10	$46	53	53	+0	Yes	+$8	07-17 19:34
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	4	$46	144	0	+144	Yes	+$98	07-12 20:54
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	19	$45	93	64	+29	No	+$10	07-24 21:16
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	3	$45	29	29	+0	No	+$4	09-14 19:45
cs2 eye faze 2026 07 05	5	$45	45	45	+0	FaZe	+$5	07-05 15:35
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	7	$43	43	43	+0	No	$0	07-23 18:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	9	$41	95	95	+0	open	—	07-18 23:04
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	4	$41	115	16	+99	No	+$0	07-14 22:44
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	4	$38	123	99	+24	No	-$7	08-17 18:56
israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	9	$38	48	48	+0	Yes	+$5	07-16 22:06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$35	115	115	+0	Yes	+$12	07-23 18:03
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	2	$31	20	20	+0	Yes	+$8	08-07 15:58
1win to win 2-0?	4	$30	51	0	+51	Yes	-$30	07-08 17:50
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	3	$30	157	72	+85	Yes	-$15	07-25 01:34
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	3	$29	48	0	+48	No	-$29	07-10 01:52
lol g2 t1 2026 07 08	2	$29	21	21	+0	G2 Esports	+$14	07-08 11:28
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	4	$28	42	42	+0	No	+$5	07-14 21:29
val gm ns1 2026 07 05	4	$27	20	20	+0	Gentle Mates	+$7	07-05 17:11
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$27	81	81	+0	Yes	+$7	07-13 16:38
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	3	$25	60	60	+0	No	-$18	07-25 16:24
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	2	$24	31	31	+0	open	—	07-31 19:58
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	3	$24	115	115	+0	open	—	07-23 18:08
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	4	$21	57	57	+0	open	—	07-17 02:58
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	6	$20	29	10	+19	No	-$8	08-17 17:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-14 19:45:49	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	87¢	$3	0xd3c25b…
09-14 19:45:46	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	29	84¢	$24	0x0ab462…
08-18 20:37:07	Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	47¢	$11	0x55ad43…
08-18 20:13:28	will iran target a arab country on august 18 2026 20260801004719135	Yes	SELL	18	8¢	$1	0xf15437…
08-18 18:16:36	will iran target a arab country on august 18 2026 20260801004719135	Yes	BUY	18	65¢	$11	0x334970…
08-18 17:19:48	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x1a8f5c…
08-17 18:56:09	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	99	3¢	$3	0x6dde8c…
08-17 17:52:03	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x1df7c1…
08-17 11:08:34	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$11	0x6fa50c…
08-17 11:08:34	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$11	0x584de0…
08-16 22:34:49	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xa23b0e…
08-15 21:49:45	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x97a8c5…
08-15 14:04:58	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x89c856…
08-14 12:43:54	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xe02f91…
08-14 12:20:45	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0x68911f…
08-14 12:20:43	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xc90e5d…
08-14 12:20:43	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	SELL	4	63¢	$2	0xa3f04f…
08-12 15:43:49	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x23873b…
08-09 13:27:34	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	No	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x2232bb…
08-09 02:04:16	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	23	49¢	$11	0xb55b19…
08-07 19:09:40	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	No	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0x54e701…
08-07 15:58:36	Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x5fbf2c…
08-05 19:28:24	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x29e8ae…
08-05 19:04:23	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	104	11¢	$11	0x56aeee…
08-02 15:54:57	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$7	0x2faf2e…
08-02 10:02:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	26	44¢	$11	0xdc7f82…
08-02 08:46:56	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$11	0xf49dbf…
08-01 18:37:24	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	36	32¢	$12	0x299b9f…
08-01 11:29:29	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	49	23¢	$11	0xb66762…
07-31 23:49:32	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$11	0xbe9300…
07-31 23:44:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0xe11e71…
07-31 22:24:12	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?	Yes	SELL	77	98¢	$76	0x418c62…
07-31 21:34:17	Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$11	0x03d475…
07-31 19:58:44	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	31	40¢	$12	0xed5a8a…
07-31 19:48:39	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	31	37¢	$11	0x8c9297…
07-31 19:33:35	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0xd9d7d0…
07-31 15:31:54	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?	Yes	BUY	14	84¢	$11	0x8d17ef…
07-31 09:54:17	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?	Yes	BUY	63	17¢	$11	0x04d4a7…
07-30 22:05:45	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	38	31¢	$11	0x54b1e0…
07-30 21:50:39	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	76¢	$7	0xfc0680…
07-30 21:45:36	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	37	72¢	$27	0x0704c4…
07-30 21:30:32	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	16	74¢	$11	0xefcf3d…
07-30 21:30:32	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	16	74¢	$11	0x63588e…
07-30 21:30:30	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	16	73¢	$11	0x1a2b51…
07-30 21:00:24	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	25	67¢	$17	0xe82732…
07-30 21:00:24	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	55	65¢	$35	0x49185b…
07-30 21:00:23	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0xef734b…
07-30 20:55:29	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	19	60¢	$11	0xdf0e05…
07-30 20:55:29	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x05b27d…
07-30 20:55:27	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0xbcedd5…
07-30 20:55:27	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0xa1696a…
07-30 20:55:27	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x991ad2…
07-30 20:55:27	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0x881e6e…
07-30 20:55:27	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x3e5a02…
07-30 20:55:26	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	57¢	$0	0xf2a78c…
07-30 20:55:26	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0xab8b34…
07-30 20:55:26	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0x9ccfc5…
07-30 20:55:26	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x84b8d3…
07-30 20:55:26	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x7c022b…
07-30 20:55:26	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x0e1a93…
07-30 20:55:24	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	57¢	$0	0xbe8230…
07-30 20:55:24	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xbc47b1…
07-30 20:55:24	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x88126f…
07-30 20:55:24	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x51df44…
07-30 20:55:24	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x4e373c…
07-30 20:55:24	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x00fef3…
07-30 20:55:23	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x8aed46…
07-30 20:55:23	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x76c157…
07-30 20:55:23	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	58¢	$1	0x70f770…
07-30 20:55:23	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x342b5a…
07-30 20:55:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	29	58¢	$17	0xf08b66…
07-30 20:45:17	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x19a41a…
07-30 20:40:12	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	35	33¢	$11	0x2593ee…
07-30 20:35:12	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xa38a0f…
07-30 20:15:05	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	85	13¢	$11	0x9f6bb1…
07-30 14:42:38	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	24	48¢	$11	0x2b046f…
07-29 19:55:21	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?	Yes	SELL	30	47¢	$14	0xe804e3…
07-29 13:53:06	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?	Yes	BUY	30	39¢	$11	0x3239d6…
07-28 13:59:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0xdba71f…
07-28 13:59:37	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x882052…
07-28 13:54:35	Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?	No	BUY	221	5¢	$11	0x45528b…
07-27 18:18:10	Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	61	19¢	$11	0xbb3154…
07-27 14:41:37	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	Yes	BUY	47	19¢	$9	0xf44485…
07-25 20:42:09	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026 20260715004553750	Yes	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x473e90…
07-25 20:42:09	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026 20260715004553750	Yes	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x2e30b3…
07-25 16:32:18	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	SELL	48	1¢	$0	0x3ca356…
07-25 16:32:03	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on July 31?	Yes	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0x271a15…
07-25 16:31:55	Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0xa3b78c…
07-25 16:31:45	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	0¢	$0	0x356f5e…
07-25 16:24:16	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0x8ca050…
07-25 16:24:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	SELL	60	6¢	$4	0xd02511…
07-25 15:25:06	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	62¢	$11	0xd7d6b2…
07-25 01:34:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	85	13¢	$11	0xea3189…
07-25 00:19:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	72	10¢	$7	0xe9deed…
07-24 21:16:27	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0xdedc2a…
07-24 21:14:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	72	16¢	$12	0xd941a4…
07-24 16:46:24	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	48	5¢	$2	0xf05b09…
07-24 16:46:24	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	SELL	130	2¢	$3	0x87f309…
07-24 16:31:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	Yes	SELL	42	1¢	$0	0x746230…
07-24 01:00:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	35	5¢	$2	0x30cce9…