Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 07-29 14:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

76% 100% +$1

Politics

16% 100% +$13

Tech

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$523	328	328	+0	open	—	05-27 05:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	4	$508	300	342	-42	open	—	07-13 04:43
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$487	275	275	+0	open	—	04-27 05:50
will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	3	$349	884	442	+442	open	—	07-15 04:53
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$289	184	184	+0	open	—	04-25 09:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$283	168	168	+0	open	—	04-23 05:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$250	341	0	+341	open	—	05-27 05:54
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$224	125	125	+0	open	—	07-10 03:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$212	25	194	-169	open	—	06-29 03:01
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	1	$200	227	0	+227	open	—	07-20 02:06
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	3	$153	185	0	+185	open	—	07-13 04:44
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	3	$124	21,670	0	+21,670	open	—	04-29 07:40
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	1	$121	0	132	-132	open	—	06-12 02:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	4	$113	68	68	+0	No	+$13	05-05 02:06
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	2	$108	60	60	+0	open	—	06-22 00:52
will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	1	$102	150	0	+150	open	—	07-27 05:39
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	1	$100	202	0	+202	open	—	07-23 02:15
will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	1	$100	118	0	+118	open	—	07-13 04:53
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	1	$100	155	0	+155	open	—	07-13 04:53
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	3	$84	180	90	+90	open	—	07-24 18:01
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	3	$72	49	49	+0	open	—	07-27 19:29
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	1	$65	100	0	+100	open	—	07-21 02:16
will us crude oil reserves fall to 350m by may 1 20260714141931929	1	$61	100	0	+100	open	—	07-29 14:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	4	$55	60	60	+0	open	—	05-27 05:58
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	1	$50	71	0	+71	open	—	07-27 23:48
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	1	$50	218	0	+218	open	—	07-17 02:14
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	1	$50	116	0	+116	open	—	07-17 02:45
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	1	$50	71	0	+71	open	—	07-17 02:48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$50	88	0	+88	open	—	04-27 06:01
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	2	$50	79	0	+79	open	—	06-10 09:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 14:47:09	will us crude oil reserves fall to 350m by may 1 20260714141931929	Yes	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x3bd79f…
07-27 23:48:25	Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	71¢	$50	0x2ad2c7…
07-27 19:29:46	Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	94¢	$46	0x841b2d…
07-27 09:22:55	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0xfd6414…
07-27 05:43:37	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xfe608a…
07-27 05:39:52	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	BUY	60	44¢	$26	0x990e3f…
07-27 05:39:30	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	Yes	BUY	150	68¢	$102	0x3f9399…
07-27 05:32:54	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x593eac…
07-24 18:01:36	Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	33¢	$15	0xe00d0a…
07-24 18:01:28	Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	33¢	$15	0x1e6dbc…
07-23 02:15:07	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	BUY	202	50¢	$100	0x5ff17b…
07-21 02:18:07	Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	180	30¢	$54	0xc7fd8c…
07-21 02:16:48	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xaa7009…
07-21 02:14:40	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260708165455694	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x5883ea…
07-21 02:10:18	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x3a8bfb…
07-20 02:06:30	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	227	88¢	$200	0x476429…
07-17 02:48:45	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x163f73…
07-17 02:45:12	Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x811b58…
07-17 02:14:13	Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	218	23¢	$50	0x73cbd9…
07-15 04:53:58	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	442	70¢	$309	0xf68d94…
07-14 12:14:34	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x246fab…
07-13 04:54:11	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	484	4¢	$20	0xe87dad…
07-13 04:53:31	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	155	64¢	$100	0x8139f9…
07-13 04:53:05	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x4e1dc5…
07-13 04:44:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x1707a4…
07-13 04:43:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	342	97¢	$333	0x0c7776…
07-13 01:05:55	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xbbfe74…
07-13 00:56:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x83d1b4…
07-10 03:46:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0xcc0a7f…
07-10 03:39:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	125	99¢	$124	0xdcc7c4…
07-10 02:52:26	Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0xd69009…
07-10 02:51:59	Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xc478db…
07-08 05:14:46	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x17cc2e…
07-06 05:11:32	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x204471…
07-06 05:07:56	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x236b86…
06-29 03:02:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xe75165…
06-29 03:01:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	194	99¢	$192	0x71ce19…
06-22 00:55:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x146e1e…
06-22 00:52:47	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0x8de3e4…
06-12 02:25:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xd77d79…
06-12 02:25:19	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	132	92¢	$121	0x1f9807…
06-12 02:24:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xe84b40…
06-10 09:47:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x7ab2e3…
06-02 06:57:43	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x371061…
06-02 06:57:19	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xd483ab…
06-02 06:52:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x2d11f2…
05-27 05:58:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xdacc46…
05-27 05:58:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xd0e942…
05-27 05:58:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	60	3¢	$2	0xdd54ca…
05-27 05:54:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	270	74¢	$200	0x752f75…
05-27 05:51:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	328	98¢	$323	0x0b0134…
05-12 05:25:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x8ce230…
05-05 02:06:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xf17c4c…
05-05 00:50:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xe73246…
05-05 00:50:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x13c064…
04-30 20:10:42	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	1,700	1¢	$10	0xa44ec8…
04-30 07:06:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	25	91¢	$23	0x8639d1…
04-30 06:57:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0xf77635…
04-30 06:36:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x442c0f…
04-30 05:58:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x86b134…
04-29 07:40:42	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,400	0¢	$4	0xf54238…
04-29 07:00:56	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	3,400	0¢	$10	0xad7739…
04-29 04:14:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	18	82¢	$15	0x3acbc0…
04-27 06:01:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xd1920c…
04-27 06:01:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x70b814…
04-27 05:55:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x401707…
04-27 05:50:20	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	275	95¢	$261	0x968ccc…
04-27 03:30:28	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	68	1¢	$1	0x1905e7…
04-27 03:20:54	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	195	1¢	$2	0x36f46b…
04-27 03:10:10	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	230	1¢	$2	0x45fb6c…
04-27 02:59:34	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	224	1¢	$2	0xa0b391…
04-27 02:49:22	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	233	1¢	$2	0x404016…
04-27 02:33:28	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	249	1¢	$2	0xb8feb2…
04-25 10:33:34	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	338	8¢	$27	0xc385d6…
04-25 09:48:28	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0x8f7193…
04-25 09:44:02	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	184	89¢	$164	0xa41528…
04-23 06:57:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	184	68¢	$125	0xb93d60…
04-23 06:13:00	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	275	82¢	$225	0x0ab93c…
04-23 05:51:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	328	61¢	$200	0xcabec1…
04-23 05:35:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	168	95¢	$160	0x2ae9af…
04-23 05:28:30	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0xdc88cb…
04-17 03:11:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	168	73¢	$123	0x745208…