Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$445

Unrealized P&L

-$39

Hit rate

75.3%

Resolved

103

Trades

358

lifetime

Volume

$20.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$58

Open exposure

$1.16K

9 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 10-28 08:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

69% 67% +$816

Politics

27% 52% -$512

Tech

2% 100% +$140

Sports

2% 50% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	+244	$200	89¢	$217	+$17	10-09 02:19
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+484	$200	44¢	$211	+$11	10-09 02:20
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+312	$200	68¢	$211	+$11	10-12 01:02
will coreweave announce bankruptcy by december 31 2029	Yes	+673	$200	26¢	$178	-$22	10-15 03:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-184	-$155	96¢	$-177	-$22	05-18 03:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	-83	-$98	94¢	$-79	+$19	08-12 07:00
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+2,343	$60	2¢	$42	-$18	07-13 01:04
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+250	$72	16¢	$39	-$33	08-28 00:40
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+90	$12	10¢	$9	-$3	10-28 08:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	5	$758	884	884	+0	No	+$678	08-04 09:49
will coreweave announce bankruptcy by december 31 2029	3	$631	973	300	+673	open	—	10-15 03:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	6	$528	342	342	+0	No	+$138	07-13 04:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$523	328	328	+0	No	+$123	05-27 05:51
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$487	275	275	+0	No	+$36	04-27 05:50
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	9	$443	1,024	1,024	+0	No	-$86	10-25 23:32
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	3	$423	225	225	+0	Yes	+$23	10-23 04:47
US imports Russian diesel by December 31?	2	$414	253	253	+0	open	—	10-26 02:03
Will Alfredo Gaspar be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro?	2	$414	214	214	+0	Yes	+$14	08-15 15:00
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	2	$378	200	200	+0	Yes	+$14	10-02 01:39
Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	5	$359	200	200	+0	No	+$39	08-24 17:37
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	39	$349	2,194	2,706	-512	Yes	-$476	08-12 07:05
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	5	$344	201	201	+0	Yes	+$44	08-30 09:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	3	$338	190	190	+0	No	+$38	09-14 10:01
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	4	$336	185	185	+0	No	+$29	08-17 05:09
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	5	$316	249	249	+0	Yes	+$48	08-26 16:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$312	194	194	+0	No	+$72	06-29 03:01
Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?	1	$300	822	0	+822	Yes	-$300	10-14 08:11
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	2	$295	196	196	+0	Yes	+$95	07-20 04:46
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	2	$291	312	312	+0	open	—	10-15 06:07
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$289	184	184	+0	Yes	+$39	04-25 09:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$283	168	168	+0	No	+$37	04-23 05:35
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$280	899	899	+0	Yes	-$40	10-12 00:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	2	$279	150	150	+0	Yes	+$21	10-20 09:04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	4	$260	200	200	+0	open	—	10-02 01:40
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	2	$258	200	200	+0	open	—	10-04 23:49
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	2	$255	155	155	+0	No	+$55	08-03 01:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$250	341	0	+341	No	+$91	05-27 05:54
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?	13	$240	161	119	+41	Yes	+$16	08-30 23:55
Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	3	$236	150	150	+0	No	+$62	08-28 22:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 08:51:46	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	13¢	$12	0x390c9a…
10-28 08:38:07	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	70	30¢	$21	0x575dc9…
10-28 08:38:07	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	130	30¢	$39	0x307782…
10-28 08:35:04	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	233	25¢	$58	0x34168e…
10-28 08:34:46	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xff3e91…
10-28 08:34:46	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	67	25¢	$17	0x8f448f…
10-26 02:03:47	US imports Russian diesel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	253	85¢	$214	0x70f995…
10-25 23:32:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	140	6¢	$9	0x655f5d…
10-25 23:32:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	476	1¢	$5	0xf4a3ce…
10-23 19:33:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xee1028…
10-23 06:11:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	476	42¢	$200	0x0fc0ef…
10-23 04:47:39	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	SELL	57	99¢	$56	0xb93334…
10-23 04:47:39	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	SELL	168	99¢	$167	0x9d87f6…
10-22 03:51:03	US imports Russian diesel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0xe4e62f…
10-20 09:04:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x9524f4…
10-20 05:04:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	150	86¢	$129	0x2bc145…
10-16 03:21:09	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x706f89…
10-15 07:32:43	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x86e4e6…
10-15 07:23:53	Will Democrats win white women in the midterms?	Yes	BUY	323	62¢	$200	0xa190cf…
10-15 06:07:10	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	312	45¢	$141	0x345e99…
10-15 03:35:01	will coreweave announce bankruptcy by december 31 2029	Yes	BUY	673	30¢	$200	0x514574…
10-15 03:34:37	will coreweave announce bankruptcy by december 31 2029	No	SELL	300	71¢	$212	0x6d40b1…
10-15 03:33:34	will coreweave announce bankruptcy by december 31 2029	No	BUY	300	73¢	$219	0x16a474…
10-15 03:20:08	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	161	65¢	$105	0x99ea54…
10-15 02:24:14	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	139	65¢	$90	0xcdee2f…
10-15 02:14:01	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	185	24¢	$45	0x0c4d67…
10-14 08:11:56	Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?	No	BUY	822	36¢	$300	0xdcc6c6…
10-14 03:37:52	Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$7	0xdd7d12…
10-12 09:11:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	Yes	SELL	155	74¢	$114	0x8e1e66…
10-12 01:50:41	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x8fafb0…
10-12 01:03:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	Yes	BUY	155	65¢	$100	0xcaa8f4…
10-12 01:02:35	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0x4a63bc…
10-12 01:02:06	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	312	64¢	$200	0x746677…
10-12 00:54:54	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	882	12¢	$106	0x7b25c6…
10-12 00:50:53	Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	180	69¢	$124	0x6cd90f…
10-09 02:20:32	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	484	41¢	$200	0xf82b85…
10-09 02:19:41	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0x174afe…
10-06 06:56:09	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xb05f4c…
10-06 06:54:22	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	298	67¢	$200	0xc09d52…
10-05 01:09:26	Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$30	0x5378a5…
10-05 00:05:31	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?	No	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x56091a…
10-04 23:53:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	700	15¢	$105	0xa39804…
10-04 23:49:41	Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	No	SELL	200	70¢	$140	0x9d5cfe…
10-04 23:24:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	700	15¢	$105	0x580325…
10-04 22:47:44	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	882	17¢	$150	0xa83758…
10-04 22:34:11	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	17	85¢	$14	0xdfecf2…
10-02 01:54:09	Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	20,110	0¢	$20	0xf24753…
10-02 01:51:41	any of the cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime	No	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0xbd5d74…
10-02 01:45:00	Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	180	56¢	$100	0x71320e…
10-02 01:40:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	100	79¢	$79	0x8b8e44…
10-02 01:40:23	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	74¢	$148	0x8999f9…
10-02 01:39:53	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0xa47b63…
10-01 22:56:02	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	37	40¢	$15	0xf34ee9…
09-30 05:26:53	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	287	35¢	$100	0x33c16e…
09-30 05:24:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xacc189…
09-30 05:24:24	Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	77	95¢	$73	0x11fcf2…
09-30 05:24:02	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?	Yes	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0xd0fbec…
09-14 10:01:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	129	99¢	$127	0x19461b…
09-14 09:09:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	61	99¢	$61	0x51ed17…
09-01 07:28:04	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xb4eda9…
09-01 07:25:34	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x6c7ff7…
09-01 07:20:54	Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	355	2¢	$7	0x1e3c9a…
09-01 07:20:25	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0xf4130f…
09-01 07:19:06	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	312	29¢	$91	0xdd3d7a…
08-31 11:23:54	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	Yes	SELL	138	81¢	$111	0xa21da4…
08-30 23:55:43	Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?	Yes	BUY	89	85¢	$76	0x83e787…
08-30 23:55:07	Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?	Yes	BUY	65	78¢	$51	0x1aca8b…
08-30 23:51:49	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?	Yes	SELL	183	7¢	$12	0x375c55…
08-30 19:29:04	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	37	80¢	$29	0x888f59…
08-30 09:25:39	Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	97¢	$98	0x463d73…
08-29 09:23:33	Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	96¢	$76	0xc17025…
08-28 22:43:46	Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$149	0x184ab2…
08-28 00:40:36	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0xdc3e7c…
08-27 02:41:57	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	312	48¢	$150	0x4f84ef…
08-27 02:37:40	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	85¢	$33	0xe7c635…
08-27 02:35:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0xe54e82…
08-27 02:29:30	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x7dbddc…
08-27 02:28:18	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	220	92¢	$202	0xd39d92…
08-27 02:09:19	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	92	36¢	$33	0xdc33cc…
08-27 02:06:43	Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	47¢	$47	0x142df9…
08-26 22:32:12	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$51	0xed069c…
08-26 16:18:28	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	155	95¢	$147	0xb7bd53…
08-25 02:21:18	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	257	9¢	$23	0x56c763…
08-25 02:15:13	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	243	9¢	$22	0x85d0f1…
08-25 02:08:48	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xe7b0e9…
08-25 02:06:43	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	123	12¢	$15	0x376193…
08-25 02:06:04	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	35	12¢	$4	0x23d83b…
08-24 19:22:03	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	69	35¢	$24	0x85668b…
08-24 19:22:01	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	23	35¢	$8	0x356640…
08-24 17:37:49	Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	179	100¢	$178	0x58e2ad…
08-24 15:08:25	Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	74	50¢	$37	0xdcdf8f…
08-24 09:08:06	Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x1e6939…
08-23 00:52:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696	No	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0x229be4…
08-22 23:57:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696	No	BUY	33	56¢	$18	0x7fb80e…
08-22 23:31:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696	No	BUY	146	56¢	$82	0x12dca2…
08-22 15:22:09	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741055	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x3ff15d…
08-21 15:46:42	Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	50¢	$13	0x09eb13…
08-21 12:38:39	Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x052401…
08-21 08:39:42	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	Yes	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0x62f032…
08-20 04:40:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644 414 831	No	SELL	18	70¢	$13	0xc8e3e7…