Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

-$35

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.66K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

$316

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 06-12 02:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

60% 100% +$1

Politics

29% 100% +$13

Tech

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	-132	$-121	96¢	$-126	$-5	06-12 02:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+259	$150	44¢	$113	$-37	06-12 02:25
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	+79	$50	72¢	$58	+$8	06-10 09:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	+25	$20	82¢	$20	+$0	06-12 02:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$523	328	328	+0	open	—	05-27 05:51
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$487	275	275	+0	open	—	04-27 05:50
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$289	184	184	+0	open	—	04-25 09:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$283	168	168	+0	open	—	04-23 05:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$250	341	0	+341	open	—	05-27 05:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$150	259	0	+259	open	—	06-12 02:25
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	3	$124	21,670	0	+21,670	open	—	04-29 07:40
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	1	$121	0	132	-132	open	—	06-12 02:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	4	$113	68	68	+0	No	+$13	05-05 02:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	4	$55	60	60	+0	open	—	05-27 05:58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$50	88	0	+88	open	—	04-27 06:01
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	2	$50	79	0	+79	open	—	06-10 09:47
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	1	$50	60	0	+60	open	—	06-02 06:57
Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	7	$38	1,538	0	+1,538	open	—	04-27 03:30
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	2	$20	3,400	1,700	+1,700	open	—	04-30 20:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	06-12 02:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	2	$14	200	200	+0	open	—	05-27 05:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	1	$14	15	0	+15	Yes	+$1	05-12 05:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	2	$13	20	20	+0	open	—	05-27 05:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 02:25:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xd77d79…
06-12 02:25:19	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	132	92¢	$121	0x1f9807…
06-12 02:24:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xe84b40…
06-10 09:47:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x7ab2e3…
06-02 06:57:43	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x371061…
06-02 06:57:19	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xd483ab…
06-02 06:52:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x2d11f2…
05-27 05:58:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xdacc46…
05-27 05:58:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xd0e942…
05-27 05:58:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	60	3¢	$2	0xdd54ca…
05-27 05:54:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	270	74¢	$200	0x752f75…
05-27 05:51:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	328	98¢	$323	0x0b0134…
05-12 05:25:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x8ce230…
05-05 02:06:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xf17c4c…
05-05 00:50:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xe73246…
05-05 00:50:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x13c064…
04-30 20:10:42	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	1,700	1¢	$10	0xa44ec8…
04-30 07:06:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	25	91¢	$23	0x8639d1…
04-30 06:57:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0xf77635…
04-30 06:36:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x442c0f…
04-30 05:58:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x86b134…
04-29 07:40:42	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,400	0¢	$4	0xf54238…
04-29 07:00:56	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	3,400	0¢	$10	0xad7739…
04-29 04:14:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	18	82¢	$15	0x3acbc0…
04-27 06:01:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xd1920c…
04-27 06:01:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x70b814…
04-27 05:55:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x401707…
04-27 05:50:20	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	275	95¢	$261	0x968ccc…
04-27 03:30:28	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	68	1¢	$1	0x1905e7…
04-27 03:20:54	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	195	1¢	$2	0x36f46b…
04-27 03:10:10	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	230	1¢	$2	0x45fb6c…
04-27 02:59:34	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	224	1¢	$2	0xa0b391…
04-27 02:49:22	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	233	1¢	$2	0x404016…
04-27 02:33:28	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	249	1¢	$2	0xb8feb2…
04-25 10:33:34	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	338	8¢	$27	0xc385d6…
04-25 09:48:28	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0x8f7193…
04-25 09:44:02	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	184	89¢	$164	0xa41528…
04-23 06:57:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	184	68¢	$125	0xb93d60…
04-23 06:13:00	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	275	82¢	$225	0x0ab93c…
04-23 05:51:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	328	61¢	$200	0xcabec1…
04-23 05:35:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	168	95¢	$160	0x2ae9af…
04-23 05:28:30	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0xdc88cb…
04-17 03:11:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	168	73¢	$123	0x745208…