Realized P&L
-$7
Unrealized P&L
+$18
Hit rate
47.2%
Resolved
2,032
Trades
19,542
lifetime
Volume
$4.18K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$39
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 07-01 00:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Crypto
44% 1% $-6
Other
37% 65% +$3
Politics
13% 20% $-2
Sports
4% 50% $-1
Tech
3%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1046 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,000 $0 $2 +$2 06-28 14:32
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? No +1,000 $1 $2 +$1 06-30 19:43
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June? Yes +1,000 $1 $2 +$1 06-30 00:53
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? Yes +1,000 $1 $2 +$1 06-28 14:05
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30? Yes +990 $1 $2 +$1 06-30 21:37
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? Yes +919 $1 $2 +$1 06-29 22:37
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? Yes +892 $-0 $2 +$2 06-27 23:47
French election called by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,515 $1 $2 +$0 06-29 16:23
Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30? Yes +707 $1 $1 +$1 06-28 18:33
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30? Yes +703 $0 $1 +$1 06-29 15:55
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes +215 $0 $1 +$1 06-27 09:30
Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season? Yes -130 $-3 $-1 +$2 06-22 19:07
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026? Yes +762 $1 $1 +$1 06-29 12:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? Yes +1,000 $1 $1 +$0 06-29 02:43
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,000 $0 $1 +$1 06-26 23:06
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +1,000 $-1 $1 +$2 06-30 03:36
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June? Yes +1,000 $1 $1 +$0 06-30 00:52
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes +1,000 $1 $1 +$0 06-30 00:38
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,000 $1 $1 +$0 07-01 00:15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June? Yes +1,000 $1 $1 +$0 06-27 03:04
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Yes +1,000 $1 $1 +$0 06-26 22:09
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Yes +1,000 $1 $1 +$0 06-27 23:32
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June? Yes +1,000 $1 $1 +$0 06-30 07:27
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? Yes +1,000 $1 $1 +$0 06-26 02:48
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30? Yes +1,000 $1 $1 +$0 06-28 18:31
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? Yes +1,000 $1 $1 +$0 06-26 08:19
Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30? Yes +1,000 $1 $1 +$0 06-28 12:09
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June? Yes +1,000 $1 $1 +$0 06-25 14:58
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? Yes +1,000 $1 $1 +$0 06-27 09:01
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,000 $1 $1 +$0 06-27 09:05