Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.96K

Unrealized P&L

-$50

Hit rate

51.8%

Resolved

4,883

Trades

22,002

lifetime

Volume

$302.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$54

16 positions

First seen

2026-07-05

last 11-04 12:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Other

78% 47% -$6,822

Crypto

16% 64% +$1,227

Politics

5% 28% -$704

Tech

1% 20% -$78

Sports

0% 12% -$510

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$70

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 379 trades/day

Open positions (16) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	Yes	+28	$12	93¢	$26	+$13	07-22 01:01
Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?	No	+16	$13	100¢	$16	+$3	07-17 03:39
will hesai be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230557	No	+4	$3	82¢	$4	+$1	08-01 20:18
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?	Yes	+3	$0	82¢	$2	+$2	07-24 16:01
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	No	+31	$22	7¢	$2	-$20	07-20 09:18
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?	Yes	+2	$6	53¢	$1	-$5	07-28 16:39
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?	No	+5	$3	16¢	$1	-$3	07-23 08:41
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	+1	$3	72¢	$1	-$2	07-25 16:14
will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	Yes	+3	$0	13¢	$0	+$0	08-04 15:29
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+1	$5	33¢	$0	-$5	07-16 15:38
Will Cruz Azul win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	Yes	+1	$0	24¢	$0	+$0	07-22 15:00
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?	No	+1	$0	8¢	$0	+$0	07-18 14:30
Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?	Yes	+16	$13	0¢	$0	-$13	07-17 05:26
crypto market structure legislation becomes law in 2026 20260727223933088	Yes	+1	$4	3¢	$0	-$4	07-31 17:44
will the malaysian house of representatives be dissolved by december 31 2026 20260604155615146	No	+0	$5	93¢	$0	-$5	07-26 16:49
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	+0	$14	7¢	$0	-$14	07-27 12:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	61	$2.0K	1,913	1,911	+2	No	-$7	07-26 03:40
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	36	$1.8K	2,252	1,812	+440	No	-$22	07-11 14:52
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 16:00 UTC	98	$1.6K	1,300	1,152	+148	Down	+$9	08-11 19:19
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	12	$1.5K	830	830	+0	No	+$51	08-24 15:22
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	40	$1.4K	1,282	1,282	+0	Yes	-$41	08-22 15:33
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 00:00 UTC	43	$1.4K	1,458	1,349	+109	Up	-$15	08-11 01:48
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?	9	$1.3K	691	691	+0	Yes	-$10	08-19 11:32
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	75	$1.3K	2,082	2,078	+4	No	-$5	08-25 00:23
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	5	$1.2K	954	954	+0	open	—	11-04 12:03
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	43	$1.1K	1,577	1,527	+50	No	-$206	08-25 00:48
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	33	$1.1K	1,196	1,196	+0	No	-$46	08-24 13:32
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 20:00 UTC	65	$1.1K	814	714	+100	Up	+$2	08-11 23:31
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	23	$1.0K	872	822	+50	No	-$32	08-31 15:06
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	38	$1.0K	1,671	1,621	+50	No	+$12	09-04 11:40
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	53	$953	1,349	1,228	+121	No	+$9	07-09 21:51
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 20:00 UTC	31	$934	1,027	602	+424	Up	-$7	08-11 23:31
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	46	$871	862	862	+0	Yes	-$8	07-12 06:15
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	27	$852	1,313	1,313	+0	Yes	+$29	08-23 06:46
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	30	$843	677	577	+100	No	+$5	09-08 00:57
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	22	$834	1,338	1,336	+2	Yes	+$1	08-17 09:42
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	16	$828	592	555	+37	No	+$56	09-14 10:37
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	46	$827	927	918	+8	No	-$19	07-25 14:29
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	33	$806	616	611	+5	Yes	-$3	07-20 11:08
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	12	$800	569	569	+0	Yes	+$5	08-18 15:59
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	42	$787	1,092	1,092	+0	No	-$57	08-18 10:29
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	28	$754	756	756	+0	No	-$5	09-01 15:56
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in August 2026?	8	$735	403	403	+0	No	+$53	08-30 01:36
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	21	$729	671	671	+0	No	-$62	09-11 00:25
will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	29	$725	834	834	+0	Yes	-$15	07-25 03:03
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	22	$725	670	670	+0	No	+$5	08-25 07:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 12:03:24	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	954	83¢	$793	0x42ccb9…
11-04 00:24:49	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	454	43¢	$195	0xc500c2…
11-04 00:02:43	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	276	58¢	$160	0x5d5c8e…
11-03 13:52:36	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	137	34¢	$46	0xbbea50…
11-03 13:50:42	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xb95e9b…
11-03 13:49:37	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	75¢	$225	0xea84e5…
11-03 13:48:42	Will Democrats win the Michigan and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	125	76¢	$95	0x2e0bb1…
11-03 13:47:07	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x0e4d31…
11-03 13:17:03	Will Democrats win the Michigan and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x91e771…
11-03 13:15:25	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0x91553d…
11-03 13:15:04	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x045695…
10-21 20:14:08	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x48bd89…
10-20 12:15:11	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	SELL	66	12¢	$8	0x68d4de…
10-20 12:15:02	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x7f59f7…
10-20 11:12:38	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $48 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	55¢	$9	0x928aa2…
10-19 19:15:09	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $216 in October?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x5f6ca7…
10-19 13:52:30	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 in October?	Yes	SELL	212	35¢	$74	0xc42058…
10-19 13:40:39	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 in October?	Yes	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x5bd08b…
10-19 13:30:05	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $67.50 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	68¢	$17	0x2c0738…
10-19 12:37:53	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	15	86¢	$13	0xd6a867…
10-19 12:20:38	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	50¢	$10	0xc8ee9e…
10-19 09:55:11	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $216 in October?	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x20e533…
10-19 03:20:03	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x6a8814…
10-19 03:20:03	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x55bb97…
10-19 03:19:51	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x8ddcec…
10-18 22:58:15	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x06efdb…
10-18 22:58:14	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x99af1a…
10-18 22:58:14	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x10943e…
10-18 22:58:11	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xb9d59c…
10-18 22:58:11	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x4a1891…
10-18 22:58:08	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xc1fb93…
10-18 22:58:06	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x46a9c8…
10-18 22:58:05	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xb9e52a…
10-18 22:58:05	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x3715e0…
10-18 22:58:05	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x01cee8…
10-18 22:04:17	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x489306…
10-18 22:04:02	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $156 in October?	No	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xee16c1…
10-18 22:03:06	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $348 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	65¢	$16	0x348b14…
10-18 20:32:54	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $67.50 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0xea606c…
10-18 20:20:42	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in October?	No	SELL	43	48¢	$21	0x419d53…
10-18 19:45:42	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in October?	No	SELL	52	48¢	$25	0x0b4e68…
10-18 19:37:26	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in October?	No	SELL	25	48¢	$12	0x8b8d94…
10-18 19:32:59	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in October?	No	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x7ec411…
10-18 17:02:14	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 in October?	Yes	BUY	214	35¢	$75	0x353741…
10-18 11:47:06	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0x75550d…
10-18 11:42:47	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in October?	No	BUY	120	48¢	$58	0x6c6d19…
10-18 10:44:48	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	57¢	$15	0xe31239…
10-18 10:44:45	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	22¢	$6	0x07f47a…
10-18 10:44:38	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	35¢	$12	0xe52802…
10-18 10:44:32	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x9044eb…
10-18 09:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x82d760…
10-18 09:27:12	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in October?	Yes	BUY	98	15¢	$15	0xd8481a…
10-18 09:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0xd4df9b…
10-18 08:03:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	32	70¢	$22	0x51c67c…
10-18 02:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0x4194f4…
10-18 02:13:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x2e9898…
10-17 21:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x77350b…
10-17 19:03:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x3204bd…
10-17 17:46:26	will rklb dip to 48 by october 19 2026	Yes	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0x4b00d7…
10-17 16:33:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x6342ce…
10-17 15:28:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x849f1a…
10-17 13:43:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xdf6873…
10-17 11:03:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0xf341f7…
10-17 10:31:21	will aapl dip to 332 by october 19 2026	Yes	BUY	64	31¢	$20	0xd9875e…
10-17 09:35:11	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0xc5edcc…
10-17 09:35:11	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x2ef63d…
10-17 09:31:09	will aapl dip to 324 by october 19 2026	Yes	BUY	86	12¢	$10	0x411304…
10-17 07:41:14	will spy dip to 740 in october 2026	Yes	SELL	31	28¢	$9	0x2a3a0d…
10-17 07:11:53	will aapl reach 352 by october 19 2026	Yes	BUY	42	38¢	$16	0x3c2213…
10-17 07:06:11	will spy dip to 740 in october 2026	Yes	SELL	21	29¢	$6	0x6d133a…
10-17 06:53:30	will aapl reach 348 by october 19 2026	Yes	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0xacdef9…
10-17 06:49:53	will aapl dip to 328 by october 19 2026	Yes	BUY	47	20¢	$9	0xbd0358…
10-17 05:48:11	will spy dip to 740 in october 2026	Yes	SELL	9	29¢	$3	0xb6d7bb…
10-17 05:24:56	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0xdac1a1…
10-17 03:42:56	will ewy reach 156 in october 2026 from october 16	No	BUY	20	38¢	$7	0x9e3827…
10-17 02:33:03	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0xee1ba9…
10-17 01:51:32	will spy dip to 740 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xc7ae92…
10-17 01:51:32	will spy dip to 740 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	41	28¢	$12	0x171723…
10-16 23:47:09	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 in October?	Yes	SELL	40	46¢	$18	0x68f592…
10-16 20:54:32	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 in October?	Yes	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0x2ae7a5…
10-16 20:53:11	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $216 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xcfc245…
10-16 20:45:14	will spy dip to 740 in october 2026	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x138df4…
10-16 20:42:44	will spy dip to 740 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x320f4c…
10-16 12:46:01	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0x855b9a…
10-15 21:03:18	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	2	68¢	$2	0xdb6c72…
10-15 16:18:32	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4fb72f…
10-15 15:51:55	Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0xfb8d7c…
10-15 15:51:46	Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x988c45…
10-15 03:52:56	Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x27b7ea…
10-15 01:09:32	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xce6a16…
10-14 06:09:08	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	26	69¢	$18	0x14aa5b…
10-14 04:39:05	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x53e9b8…
10-14 04:15:50	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x7dc29f…
10-14 00:51:10	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xd706fe…
10-13 22:06:06	Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x1d4ca6…
10-13 21:59:22	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x904d55…
10-13 21:32:16	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	SELL	31	82¢	$25	0xe9c5c4…
10-13 21:32:16	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x310e15…
10-13 21:31:04	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0x047e92…
10-13 20:06:36	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xb93a3d…