Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$603

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

59.7%

Resolved

3,257

Trades

14,299

lifetime

Volume

$71.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-06-11

last 08-21 15:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Other

64% 39% +$247

Politics

25% 49% +$398

Tech

8% 44% -$96

Sports

1% 49% +$116

Pop-Culture

1% 24% -$50

Crypto

1% 33% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 362 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
andrew tate released from custody by december 31 2026 20260719025109264	No		+0	-$3	92¢	$0	+$3	07-30 21:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 Ecuador?	2	$440	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$436	07-01 03:03
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	28	$250	312	265	+47	Yes	+$45	07-29 23:59
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	28	$247	332	332	+0	Yes	+$35	06-20 10:44
iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	22	$224	2,260	260	+2,000	Yes	+$51	07-21 21:06
iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	31	$222	2,299	299	+2,000	No	+$26	07-28 09:35
svk1 sba pod 2026 08 01 corners first half total 4pt5	6	$202	200	200	+0	Under	+$198	08-03 03:12
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	24	$200	228	228	+0	Yes	+$6	08-04 20:50
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	33	$197	253	253	+0	Yes	-$3	08-05 09:48
will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	26	$193	346	321	+24	Yes	+$4	07-24 15:46
will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	23	$192	241	225	+15	Yes	+$0	07-28 07:51
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?	25	$184	207	207	+0	No	+$13	07-06 21:37
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	28	$182	305	260	+46	No	+$16	07-30 00:05
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	23	$180	2,220	220	+2,000	Yes	+$0	07-23 09:14
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	27	$153	146	146	+0	No	+$2	08-02 06:07
will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	22	$152	189	189	+0	Yes	+$8	07-26 21:03
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	16	$149	171	171	+0	Yes	+$5	07-25 09:25
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	22	$142	267	267	+0	Yes	+$1	07-21 12:08
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	21	$137	167	153	+13	Yes	-$3	07-30 20:30
iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	18	$136	210	153	+57	No	+$9	07-25 08:25
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?	17	$135	196	196	+0	No	+$9	07-25 21:56
nba lebron to sign with former team 20260701212006851	6	$135	148	148	+0	No	+$69	07-24 15:31
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	17	$133	165	165	+0	Yes	+$9	06-22 13:27
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	17	$133	132	132	+0	No	+$2	07-03 23:10
will wti reach 85 in july 2026 from july 27	16	$132	181	181	+0	Yes	+$12	07-29 12:07
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	19	$126	163	163	+0	No	+$4	08-02 02:20
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	21	$123	189	189	+0	Yes	-$1	07-24 16:09
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	23	$123	144	127	+17	Yes	-$6	06-20 17:41
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k?	16	$120	177	177	+0	Yes	+$2	08-06 02:39
will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	18	$120	194	194	+0	Yes	$0	07-13 19:09
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	16	$118	120	120	+0	No	-$4	07-14 16:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 15:01:49	Will Aileen Cannon be the next Supreme Court nominee?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xf82fab…
08-21 14:31:40	Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x588078…
08-21 14:31:30	Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xeddd57…
08-21 14:31:28	will the virginia 2026 senate race be within 5 20260727153827330	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xe3d48f…
08-21 14:31:28	Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x1195bd…
08-21 14:31:27	Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x2aced6…
08-21 14:31:25	Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	0¢	$0	0xfdbfa3…
08-21 14:31:25	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x0b3f65…
08-21 14:31:24	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	Yes	SELL	27	1¢	$0	0x6cc13d…
08-21 14:31:22	Will Boyko Borissov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	62	0¢	$0	0x151bf1…
08-21 14:31:21	Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0xf1524c…
08-21 14:31:21	Will Moonshot be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0x48d2ab…
08-21 14:31:19	israeli forces enter beirut by august 31	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x107526…
08-21 14:31:18	italy senate approves nuclear power bill by august 31	Yes	SELL	35	1¢	$0	0x7e0e41…
08-21 14:31:16	Will DeepSeek be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	0¢	$0	0x17783e…
08-21 14:31:15	Will Google have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	0¢	$0	0xcaa07e…
08-21 14:31:15	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x281de4…
08-21 14:31:13	will grald darmanin advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xb40580…
08-21 14:31:12	Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xa6161c…
08-21 14:31:10	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xbd527d…
08-21 14:31:10	Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x0dea2c…
08-21 14:31:09	FDA approves Retatrutide this year?	Yes	SELL	26	3¢	$1	0x003991…
08-21 14:31:07	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	0¢	$0	0x47bf11…
08-21 14:31:06	Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x8f6e7b…
08-21 14:31:06	Will Herman Mashaba be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	Yes	SELL	86	0¢	$0	0x47f38b…
08-21 14:31:04	Will the SELF DRIVE Act become law this year?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x98e262…
08-21 14:31:03	will wisconsin disenfranchise any voter for betting on elections before election day 20260723222724608	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xe4df7a…
08-21 14:31:03	Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	2¢	$0	0x15058e…
08-21 14:31:01	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0x300d08…
08-21 14:31:00	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x8a20f7…
08-21 14:30:58	Will MiniMax be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x0cb4a4…
08-21 14:30:57	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by october 31 986	No	SELL	33	2¢	$1	0x5fc8d6…
08-21 14:30:55	Will OpenAI raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x9ae53b…
08-21 14:30:55	Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	93	0¢	$0	0x6df853…
08-21 14:30:54	lecornu out as french pm by august 31 2026 20260728190223391	Yes	SELL	300	0¢	$1	0xcf73bf…
08-21 14:30:52	Will the median home value in the DC Metro be at least $542,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	58	2¢	$1	0x162547…
08-21 14:30:51	Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xe568f0…
08-21 14:30:51	Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	49	3¢	$2	0x2bfe06…
08-21 14:30:49	Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be less than 1.0%?	Yes	SELL	56	1¢	$0	0x9d1c6b…
08-21 14:30:48	Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	2¢	$0	0x460ae1…
08-21 14:30:46	Will Christopher McDonald – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	31	2¢	$1	0x0fb01e…
08-21 14:30:45	Will Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?	No	SELL	44	3¢	$1	0x44282a…
08-21 14:30:43	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	18	12¢	$2	0xfe3456…
08-21 14:30:43	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	24	9¢	$2	0x254bdb…
08-21 14:30:42	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?	Yes	SELL	61	3¢	$2	0xddb061…
08-21 14:30:40	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	SELL	80	2¢	$1	0xbc129a…
08-21 14:30:39	Will His & Hers be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	74	3¢	$2	0xf76ef0…
08-21 14:30:37	will futuro nazionale get more votes than lega in the next italian general elections 20260609154254296	No	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0x38c4c8…
08-21 14:30:37	next kimi k model released by december 31 2026 20260722183157726 589 689	No	SELL	175	1¢	$1	0x0b85c1…
08-21 14:30:36	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation on August 31?	No	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0xb79372…
08-21 14:30:34	Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?	Yes	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0xca7548…
08-21 14:30:33	graham platner charged by august 31 20260706214559481	Yes	SELL	53	2¢	$1	0x607338…
08-21 14:30:33	lecornu out as french pm by september 30 2026 20260728190335207	Yes	SELL	120	2¢	$3	0x19222e…
08-21 14:30:31	Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0xc6e9d9…
08-21 14:30:30	Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	13	23¢	$3	0x861971…
08-21 14:30:28	Will The Pitt be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	64	3¢	$2	0xa7ca5b…
08-21 14:30:28	will banksy create a new mural or street artwork by december 31	No	SELL	13	19¢	$2	0x849cfa…
08-21 14:30:25	Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	8¢	$4	0xd18d0a…
08-21 14:30:25	Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	10¢	$4	0x04c398…
08-21 14:30:24	will iran target a arab country on august 23 2026 20260801004719140	Yes	SELL	54	5¢	$3	0x043b43…
08-21 14:30:22	next kimi k model released by september 30 2026 20260722183157725 377 148	No	SELL	41	7¢	$3	0xc0a0b3…
08-21 14:30:21	will congress override any veto in 2026 20260624150337322	Yes	SELL	62	6¢	$4	0xd37980…
08-21 14:30:21	Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.?	No	SELL	23	15¢	$3	0x7e01d3…
08-21 14:30:19	Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?	Yes	SELL	75	5¢	$4	0xef2be4…
08-21 14:30:18	X banned in any European country by December 31?	Yes	SELL	32	15¢	$5	0x3ae3da…
08-21 14:30:18	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 21 2026 20260722225036945	Yes	SELL	69	3¢	$2	0x2662dd…
08-21 14:30:16	Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7%?	Yes	SELL	67	7¢	$5	0x8f0a55…
08-21 14:30:15	Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	26	22¢	$6	0xe3fe6e…
08-21 14:30:13	will california experience a 7pt0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026 20260723232901145	Yes	SELL	44	12¢	$5	0x9c02a4…
08-21 14:30:13	will waymo launch in tampa fl by december 31 2026 20260626203025664	No	SELL	54	3¢	$2	0x304c16…
08-21 14:30:12	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	15	43¢	$6	0x777930…
08-21 14:30:10	netanyahu drops out of israel election by september 30	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0xf774d1…
08-21 14:30:09	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	62	10¢	$7	0x231b19…
08-21 14:30:07	Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?	Yes	SELL	61	2¢	$1	0x80c04a…
08-21 14:30:06	Will Trump's approval rating hit 50% in 2026?	No	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0x79fd0b…
08-21 14:30:06	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0x3fdf82…
08-21 14:30:04	Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xd039c2…
08-21 14:30:01	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.00 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	13¢	$8	0x6b1019…
08-21 14:30:00	will iran target a arab country on august 25 2026 20260801004719142	Yes	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0xb83a8f…
08-21 14:30:00	Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x6f1caf…
08-21 14:29:58	Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0xc08e7f…
08-21 14:29:57	Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	10¢	$4	0xb9d867…
08-21 14:29:57	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	11	80¢	$9	0x7e3c04…
08-21 14:29:55	will the us senate pass at least 20 billion in supplemental war funding by september 30 20260626210022880	No	SELL	22	11¢	$2	0xfb155e…
08-21 14:29:54	will the next uk parliament by election be called by december 31 20260724165029953	No	SELL	24	30¢	$7	0x9b27f9…
08-21 14:29:52	california homebuying loan program proposition	Yes	SELL	17	35¢	$6	0xc971c7…
08-21 14:29:51	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?	Yes	SELL	39	22¢	$9	0x9899b3…
08-21 14:29:51	will steve witkoff visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126051	No	SELL	43	23¢	$10	0x74436b…
08-21 14:29:49	Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?	No	SELL	49	8¢	$4	0x86dc19…
08-21 14:29:49	Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0x7d41aa…
08-21 14:29:46	Will Đuro Macut be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0xa867af…
08-21 14:29:46	Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?	Yes	SELL	34	33¢	$11	0x9249bf…
08-21 14:29:45	will douard philippe advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	Yes	SELL	24	49¢	$12	0xc4cde1…
08-21 14:29:45	Will Stefan Krkobabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$3	0x676243…
08-21 14:29:42	Will Ted Cruz be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$5	0x57d741…
08-21 14:29:42	california higher local tax vote threshold proposition	No	SELL	22	49¢	$11	0x190918…
08-21 14:29:40	Will Branimir Jovanović be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$3	0x8ba953…
08-21 14:29:39	Will Jeff Hiller – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series?	Yes	SELL	250	3¢	$8	0x406238…
08-21 14:29:37	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?	Yes	SELL	70	29¢	$20	0x638d1e…
08-20 17:42:21	Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	18¢	$5	0x86dd8e…