Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
5,115
lifetime
Volume
$26.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$222
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-11
last 07-23 06:55
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
55%
Politics
33%
Tech
10%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 449 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? No +49 $8 29¢ $14 +$6 06-20 11:17
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No +15 $13 86¢ $13 +$0 07-20 21:31
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? Yes +74 $14 18¢ $13 $-1 07-01 06:46
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? Yes +70 $13 18¢ $12 $-1 07-20 18:51
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +16 $8 66¢ $11 +$3 06-19 12:50
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Yes +27 $8 34¢ $9 +$1 07-13 08:43
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +14 $11 68¢ $9 $-2 07-23 06:51
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +10 $8 90¢ $9 +$1 06-22 23:58
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No -10 $-9 91¢ $-9 $-0 06-15 13:53
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +9 $8 97¢ $9 +$1 06-23 00:00
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -22 $-14 36¢ $-8 +$6 06-19 18:05
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +8 $7 89¢ $8 +$1 07-04 02:46
Will Trump's approval rating hit 50% in 2026? No +8 $7 93¢ $7 +$0 07-13 18:43
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No +8 $7 90¢ $7 +$0 07-22 04:58
Canada's population Up or Down this year? Up +26 $7 28¢ $7 +$0 07-16 12:49
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No +13 $11 53¢ $7 $-4 07-23 06:13
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.? No +23 $7 30¢ $7 $-0 06-18 10:36
X banned in any European country by December 31? Yes +42 $8 15¢ $6 $-2 06-16 08:52
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +58 $3 11¢ $6 +$3 07-08 12:23
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? Yes +133 $4 $6 +$2 06-20 19:19
Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? Yes +67 $7 $6 $-1 07-14 20:05
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? Yes +57 $4 10¢ $5 +$1 07-22 04:33
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? Yes +10 $5 52¢ $5 +$1 07-22 06:20
Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? No +17 $6 26¢ $4 $-1 07-08 09:13
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No +11 $2 40¢ $4 +$2 06-29 17:31
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +39 $7 11¢ $4 $-3 06-21 15:28
Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027? Yes +17 $8 22¢ $4 $-4 07-22 03:31
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +36 $8 11¢ $4 $-4 07-03 02:53
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? Yes +50 $4 $4 +$0 07-03 18:20
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? Yes +26 $2 12¢ $3 +$1 07-03 03:10