(anonymous) 0x2d48c8…c1678c
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Realized P&L
-$180
Unrealized P&L
-$26
Hit rate
53.7%
Resolved
20
Trades
895
lifetime
Volume
$21.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$787
26 positions
First seen
2026-04-30
last 06-16 12:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
47% 46% $-95
Politics
31% 25% $-50
Sports
11% 33% $-35
Tech
7% — —
Crypto
5% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No +123 $100 84¢ $103 +$3 06-05 05:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +74 $55 82¢ $61 +$6 06-14 16:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -41 $-31 99¢ $-41 $-10 06-14 21:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -43 $-35 94¢ $-40 $-6 06-05 09:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes -36 $-30 100¢ $-36 $-6 06-14 17:34
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -42 $-34 76¢ $-32 +$2 06-01 00:51
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +35 $30 90¢ $32 +$2 06-02 18:48
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +35 $30 88¢ $31 +$1 06-05 14:26
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +34 $30 90¢ $31 +$1 06-01 15:31
Trump out as President before 2027? No +34 $30 90¢ $30 +$1 05-31 19:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +34 $30 88¢ $30 +$0 06-02 02:08
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No +39 $30 76¢ $30 +$0 06-02 02:03
Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +36 $30 84¢ $30 +$0 06-06 06:35
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +33 $30 92¢ $30 +$0 06-14 07:10
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +35 $30 84¢ $30 +$0 06-11 09:53
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +42 $30 70¢ $29 $-1 06-09 02:04
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes -39 $-27 72¢ $-28 $-2 06-15 16:49
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +34 $30 78¢ $26 $-4 06-08 00:36
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +46 $35 56¢ $26 $-9 06-16 12:48
Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +26 $22 86¢ $23 +$1 06-06 00:32
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? No +23 $18 72¢ $17 $-1 06-16 12:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +40 $29 40¢ $16 $-13 06-11 03:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +15 $10 82¢ $13 +$2 06-05 15:37
Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +15 $12 80¢ $12 +$0 06-11 11:14
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +6 $0 85¢ $5 +$5 06-14 23:45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +11 $5 44¢ $5 $-0 06-16 12:48