(anonymous) 0x2d48c8…c1678c
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$180
Unrealized P&L
-$28
Hit rate
53.7%
Resolved
20
Trades
1,713
lifetime
Volume
$32.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$565
17 positions
First seen
2026-04-30
last 07-06 17:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
48% 46% $-95
Politics
30% 25% $-50
Tech
9% — —
Sports
8% 33% $-35
Crypto
5% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 189 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +224 $166 65¢ $146 $-20 07-06 13:00
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +150 $57 52¢ $77 +$20 07-06 08:35
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes +155 $54 35¢ $54 +$0 07-06 12:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +58 $39 88¢ $51 +$12 06-23 21:41
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -42 $-34 85¢ $-36 $-2 06-01 00:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +35 $20 100¢ $35 +$14 06-20 10:16
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +38 $30 84¢ $32 +$2 06-23 10:16
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes -39 $-27 80¢ $-32 $-5 06-15 16:49
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $29 46¢ $23 $-6 07-06 11:07
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +42 $30 52¢ $22 $-8 06-17 13:27
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No +24 $17 84¢ $20 +$3 07-05 06:39
Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.? Yes +109 $46 13¢ $14 $-32 06-17 01:15
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +38 $10 16¢ $6 $-4 06-18 12:20
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes +400 $10 2¢ $6 $-4 06-18 12:18
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +10 $4 54¢ $5 +$1 07-06 09:25
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? Yes -7 $-5 64¢ $-4 +$1 06-24 00:18
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30? Yes +30 $3 6¢ $2 $-1 06-18 12:17