(anonymous) 0x0c9b3c…cde768
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
54.3%
Resolved
5
Trades
3,164
lifetime
Volume
$50.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$5.05K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-28
last 07-21 21:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
72% 0% $-2
Politics
22% 100% +$0
Tech
3% — —
Sports
2% 0% $-0
Crypto
2% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 431 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +712 $461 56¢ $402 $-59 07-14 22:57
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +435 $315 87¢ $378 +$63 07-20 04:48
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +457 $337 75¢ $341 +$4 07-17 12:07
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +712 $276 44¢ $310 +$34 07-14 12:41
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +586 $360 52¢ $302 $-59 07-14 12:20
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? No +408 $259 70¢ $285 +$26 07-16 23:06
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +585 $242 48¢ $284 +$42 07-14 12:30
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +399 $279 62¢ $246 $-33 07-13 02:56
Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp? No +252 $170 81¢ $204 +$33 07-16 18:03
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +240 $189 80¢ $193 +$4 07-11 02:19
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +200 $133 88¢ $177 +$43 07-14 04:26
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +400 $128 38¢ $154 +$26 07-13 02:56
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? No +166 $136 91¢ $152 +$16 07-08 15:48
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +198 $153 72¢ $144 $-9 07-18 12:47
Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts? Yes +234 $111 55¢ $130 +$19 07-14 21:21
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? Yes +408 $188 30¢ $123 $-66 07-16 22:56
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +458 $130 25¢ $116 $-14 07-17 12:06
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +174 $93 60¢ $105 +$13 07-19 23:55
Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts? No +232 $125 44¢ $103 $-22 07-13 02:36
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250? No +153 $102 66¢ $102 +$0 07-20 00:26
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange? Yes +159 $126 60¢ $95 $-31 07-13 02:23
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +161 $113 58¢ $94 $-19 07-19 08:10
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? Yes +159 $90 55¢ $86 $-4 07-18 10:37
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +152 $94 54¢ $81 $-13 07-18 01:34
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau? Yes +126 $91 64¢ $81 $-10 07-18 23:37
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +100 $71 74¢ $74 +$3 07-20 16:03
Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man? No +100 $74 74¢ $74 $-0 07-16 14:31
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? No +159 $76 46¢ $72 $-3 07-18 10:25
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan? No +100 $72 72¢ $72 $-0 07-17 05:10
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +151 $59 46¢ $70 +$12 07-18 01:44