Realized P&L
-$3.74K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.77K
Hit rate
7.7%
Resolved
966
Trades
9,563
lifetime
Volume
$121.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$9.18K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-28
last 09-04 19:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 154 days
Categories
Other
71% 21% -$2,976
Politics
22% 14% -$583
Sports
3% 25% -$88
Tech
2% 33% -$21
Crypto
1% 8% -$63
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31 No +782 $491 94¢ $735 +$244 07-20 12:40
will dilution of iranian uranium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201639 No +760 $556 92¢ $695 +$139 07-16 03:13
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? Yes +658 $308 90¢ $596 +$288 07-20 07:44
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes +442 $202 100¢ $440 +$238 07-27 01:01
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? No +520 $265 80¢ $415 +$151 07-26 13:19
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? No +408 $259 97¢ $397 +$138 07-16 23:06
will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638 No +426 $289 92¢ $389 +$100 07-12 19:59
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +399 $279 96¢ $384 +$105 07-13 02:56
will krakens valuation hit high 12pt5b by december 31 No +343 $156 96¢ $329 +$173 07-18 18:29
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +498 $279 66¢ $326 +$47 07-18 12:34
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +536 $242 57¢ $305 +$63 07-26 13:56
andrew tate released from custody by december 31 2026 20260719025109264 No +315 $222 95¢ $299 +$78 07-20 15:02
will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637 No +315 $224 90¢ $282 +$58 07-15 17:17
Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026? No +279 $193 100¢ $278 +$85 07-20 18:07
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +410 $130 63¢ $259 +$129 07-17 14:20
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +277 $83 89¢ $247 +$164 07-19 03:22
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +240 $189 98¢ $236 +$46 07-11 02:19
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? No +536 $309 43¢ $230 -$78 07-26 14:16
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? Yes +256 $113 87¢ $223 +$110 07-18 00:01
will neuralinks valuation hit high 75b by december 31 No +244 $158 90¢ $220 +$62 07-10 19:57
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +284 $204 76¢ $218 +$14 07-16 01:11
will openais valuation hit low 800b by december 31 852 948 No +228 $131 91¢ $207 +$76 07-10 20:55
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%? No +209 $128 94¢ $198 +$70 07-17 16:12
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +277 $178 68¢ $189 +$11 07-10 01:54
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026? No +205 $126 91¢ $186 +$59 07-17 23:07
Will Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +200 $148 92¢ $185 +$37 07-17 13:53
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 No +200 $146 90¢ $181 +$35 07-14 23:18
Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026? No +205 $158 87¢ $179 +$21 08-01 20:08
us government removes public access to another major ai model in 2026 20260703202936862 No +213 $170 84¢ $179 +$9 07-16 12:44
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes +231 $74 77¢ $178 +$104 07-25 15:34