Realized P&L
-$81
Unrealized P&L
+$34
Hit rate
68.8%
Resolved
279
Trades
751
lifetime
Volume
$2.75K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$82
12 positions
First seen
2026-07-06
last 11-11 08:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 47 days
Categories
Other
68% 58% -$60
Politics
13% 58% -$1
Tech
12% 61% -$53
Crypto
4% 72% +$29
Sports
3% 20% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +37 $19 94¢ $35 +$16 08-02 00:04
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 Yes +186 $11 6¢ $12 +$1 07-14 12:58
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +9 $7 98¢ $9 +$2 07-09 23:01
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 No +10 $6 92¢ $9 +$3 07-23 00:51
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 90¢ $4 +$1 07-30 08:24
will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260729192434647 No +5 $2 91¢ $4 +$2 07-31 04:07
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +44 $5 9¢ $4 -$1 07-26 20:25
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 -$5 98¢ $2 +$7 11-11 08:46
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169 Yes +14 $2 8¢ $1 -$1 07-13 20:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +8 $2 8¢ $1 -$1 07-17 02:38
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +19 $4 1¢ $0 -$4 07-08 16:00
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +0 -$9 97¢ $0 +$9 08-26 02:21