(anonymous) 0xabff56…cb6b73
cold 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.43K
Unrealized P&L
+$417
Hit rate
35.5%
Resolved
391
Trades
2,574
lifetime
Volume
$90.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$8.64K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-24
last 08-27 04:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 57 days
Categories
Other
72% 23% -$1,505
Politics
23% 15% -$834
Tech
4% 29% -$93
Sports
1% 0% $0
Crypto
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,328 $689 88¢ $1.2K +$487 08-20 16:08
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +1,183 $813 86¢ $1.0K +$211 07-29 22:55
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,000 $765 90¢ $905 +$140 08-19 00:57
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +800 $543 97¢ $774 +$232 07-29 09:00
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026 No +600 $366 100¢ $599 +$233 07-27 17:40
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31 No +400 $272 90¢ $360 +$88 07-28 17:10
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +400 $264 84¢ $334 +$70 07-28 09:32
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day? No +300 $267 100¢ $299 +$32 08-17 12:18
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $246 95¢ $284 +$38 08-16 03:12
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +300 $258 90¢ $268 +$10 08-15 00:49
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 No +300 $216 88¢ $266 +$50 08-04 16:20
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +300 $246 81¢ $243 -$3 08-14 20:14
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +300 $102 76¢ $227 +$125 08-12 05:32
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date No +203 $161 90¢ $183 +$23 08-09 18:38
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +1,900 $389 10¢ $180 -$208 08-20 02:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +300 $195 54¢ $160 -$34 07-27 21:52
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 Yes +1,183 $379 14¢ $160 -$219 07-28 16:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,328 $636 12¢ $153 -$483 08-20 22:03
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +300 $105 46¢ $140 +$34 07-28 00:17
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +156 $100 83¢ $129 +$30 08-22 18:07
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +158 $138 70¢ $111 -$27 08-06 02:49
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? No +300 $201 34¢ $103 -$98 08-15 16:05
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +93 $44 92¢ $86 +$42 08-08 03:43
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +129 $41 66¢ $85 +$43 08-19 15:00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +300 $210 24¢ $74 -$136 08-26 12:41
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31 Yes +700 $179 10¢ $70 -$109 08-15 02:28
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +72 $64 94¢ $67 +$3 08-04 03:29
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +400 $152 16¢ $66 -$86 07-27 23:05
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +300 $42 21¢ $63 +$21 08-14 14:57
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? No +300 $138 16¢ $48 -$90 08-20 22:47