Realized P&L
+$47
Unrealized P&L
-$58
Hit rate
86.5%
Resolved
57
Trades
6,174
lifetime
Volume
$49.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$652
29 positions
First seen
2026-02-28
last 06-30 23:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Politics
53% 89% +$69
Other
32% 68% $-22
Crypto
7%
Sports
7%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 403 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -370 $-368 100¢ $-370 $-2 06-29 14:05
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +82 $26 100¢ $82 +$57 06-08 12:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +59 $37 70¢ $41 +$4 07-01 03:38
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes -28 $-34 100¢ $-28 +$6 06-14 23:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +25 $20 99¢ $24 +$4 06-17 06:53
Rotisserie Chicken Act becomes law by June 30? Yes +49 $27 42¢ $20 $-6 06-27 21:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +109 $29 18¢ $19 $-10 06-20 01:59
Will Trump Airport become law this year? Yes +170 $96 $12 $-84 06-24 07:52
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +17 $9 57¢ $10 +$1 06-23 19:33
Haiti elections delayed again? No +30 $24 32¢ $10 $-14 06-24 08:02
Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man? No +12 $12 79¢ $9 $-2 06-16 08:37
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$1 06-22 14:59
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +7 $6 85¢ $6 $-0 06-08 07:43
Will Maluma perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +6 $3 91¢ $6 +$3 05-29 18:36
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No -7 $-4 40¢ $-3 +$1 06-12 08:55
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026? Yes -7 $-3 36¢ $-3 +$0 06-17 04:19
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -0 $-0 48¢ $-0 +$0 06-15 09:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +21 $7 $0 $-7 06-15 17:25
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026? No -0 $-0 82¢ $-0 $-0 06-19 08:21
Will Travis Scott perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +0 $-0 98¢ $0 +$0 05-29 18:03
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +0 $6 97¢ $0 $-6 06-30 17:25
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-16 12:03
Spain snap election called in 2026? Yes +0 $-0 26¢ $0 +$0 06-10 15:27
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +0 $-4 99¢ $0 +$4 06-08 12:28
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +0 $-1 76¢ $0 +$1 06-28 10:16
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $-0 28¢ $0 +$0 06-30 16:29
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5) Al Hilal Saudi Club +0 $7 $0 $-7 05-05 19:31
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +0 $1 $0 $-1 06-12 13:46
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +0 $1 $0 $-1 06-20 00:41