Overcooked-Plowman 0x337394…703716
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Realized P&L
+$47
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
86.5%
Resolved
57
Trades
6,991
lifetime
Volume
$56.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$574
24 positions
First seen
2026-02-28
last 07-21 06:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Politics
52% 89% +$69
Other
34% 68% $-22
Sports
7% — —
Crypto
6% — —
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 403 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -629 $-403 60¢ $-374 +$29 07-18 15:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +109 $30 44¢ $49 +$18 07-12 22:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +45 $27 99¢ $45 +$17 07-01 20:53
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes -28 $-34 100¢ $-28 +$6 06-14 23:01
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026? No +19 $10 80¢ $15 +$5 07-13 12:28
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $13 57¢ $15 +$2 07-02 13:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +15 $12 74¢ $11 $-0 07-17 05:32
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +17 $9 60¢ $10 +$1 07-03 10:19
Will Trump Airport become law this year? Yes +99 $86 10¢ $10 $-76 07-17 11:20
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +78 $11 11¢ $9 $-3 07-20 18:25
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026? Yes -7 $-3 46¢ $-3 $-0 06-17 04:19
Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man? No +3 $5 72¢ $2 $-3 07-16 08:01
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No +2 $1 51¢ $1 +$1 07-18 20:58
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $1 8¢ $1 $-0 07-03 10:31
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -0 $-0 40¢ $-0 +$0 06-15 09:54
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026? No -0 $-0 94¢ $-0 $-0 06-19 08:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +0 $2 56¢ $0 $-2 07-04 19:46
Spain snap election called in 2026? Yes +0 $-0 24¢ $0 +$0 06-10 15:27
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $1 57¢ $0 $-1 07-15 23:32
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +0 $-1 76¢ $0 +$1 06-28 10:16
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $-0 12¢ $0 +$0 06-30 16:29
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +0 $1 22¢ $0 $-1 07-16 11:51
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5) Al Hilal Saudi Club +0 $7 0¢ $0 $-7 05-05 19:31
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +0 $1 0¢ $0 $-1 06-20 00:41