Jumbo-Coin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$226

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

7.4%

Resolved

Trades

5,994

lifetime

Volume

$471.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$79

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 08-14 12:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

44% 15% $-193

Politics

37% 11% $-33

Tech

9% — —

Sports

8% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 253 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	24	$7.1K	5,046	5,046	+0	open	—	06-01 06:14
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	39	$4.9K	2,983	2,983	+0	open	—	04-06 05:56
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	15	$4.3K	3,891	3,891	+0	open	—	06-10 20:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	12	$4.2K	3,400	3,400	+0	open	—	08-02 05:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	12	$4.1K	3,700	3,700	+0	open	—	05-28 14:15
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	10	$3.6K	3,711	3,711	+0	open	—	06-11 15:36
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	19	$3.4K	1,876	1,876	+0	open	—	06-10 14:07
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	7	$3.3K	2,419	2,419	+0	open	—	06-10 14:36
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	13	$3.3K	3,745	3,745	+0	open	—	05-30 12:00
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	10	$3.2K	3,243	3,243	+0	open	—	06-09 20:41
will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	17	$3.0K	2,539	2,539	+0	open	—	06-10 11:06
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	9	$2.9K	3,054	2,817	+237	open	—	06-10 11:20
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	10	$2.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-13 11:44
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	12	$2.8K	2,871	2,871	+0	open	—	07-14 16:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	5	$2.8K	1,374	1,748	-374	open	—	06-06 14:33
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	4	$2.7K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	05-31 07:26
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	11	$2.6K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	06-08 15:36
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	6	$2.5K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	06-11 12:46
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	11	$2.4K	2,127	2,127	+0	open	—	06-11 02:05
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?	7	$2.4K	1,588	1,588	+0	open	—	06-03 11:32
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	14	$2.3K	2,364	2,164	+200	open	—	05-22 20:09
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	15	$2.3K	2,427	2,427	-0	open	—	08-04 14:07
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	8	$2.2K	2,161	2,161	+0	open	—	06-11 21:12
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	19	$2.2K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	05-28 20:57
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	16	$2.2K	2,797	2,797	+0	open	—	05-30 04:58
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	17	$2.2K	3,100	3,100	+0	open	—	05-30 12:02
will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	13	$2.1K	2,201	2,201	+0	open	—	06-10 15:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	5	$2.1K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	06-11 17:31
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	9	$2.1K	1,744	1,744	+0	open	—	06-06 06:22
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	9	$2.1K	1,238	1,238	+0	open	—	06-09 14:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 12:05:25	will dilution of iranian uranium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201639	Yes	SELL	18	17¢	$3	0x0d71bd…
08-14 08:03:06	will anyone say loyal or loyalty during big brother e20 20260810172930399	Yes	SELL	100	76¢	$76	0x0f69b4…
08-14 02:16:09	does a card sell for more than logans record 16492000 by the end of 2026 20260812144132445	No	SELL	111	93¢	$103	0x7d0879…
08-14 02:15:39	sweden parliamentary election liberals win seats 20260812164320900	No	SELL	39	89¢	$35	0x67c39b…
08-13 22:40:57	logan paul and tom brady sanctioned fight announced in 2026	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x5e308e…
08-13 21:51:22	sweden parliamentary election liberals win seats 20260812164320900	No	BUY	79	92¢	$73	0x78fad5…
08-13 19:06:22	does a card sell for more than logans record 16492000 by the end of 2026 20260812144132445	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x8f9fb0…
08-13 19:02:18	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	BUY	145	2¢	$3	0x54ab1c…
08-13 18:51:37	does a card sell for more than logans record 16492000 by the end of 2026 20260812144132445	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfc3105…
08-13 18:51:31	does a card sell for more than logans record 16492000 by the end of 2026 20260812144132445	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x959cae…
08-13 18:51:24	does a card sell for more than logans record 16492000 by the end of 2026 20260812144132445	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfa052b…
08-13 18:51:24	does a card sell for more than logans record 16492000 by the end of 2026 20260812144132445	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x42dadf…
08-13 18:51:16	does a card sell for more than logans record 16492000 by the end of 2026 20260812144132445	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x652d71…
08-13 18:51:16	does a card sell for more than logans record 16492000 by the end of 2026 20260812144132445	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4e07c9…
08-13 18:50:57	does a card sell for more than logans record 16492000 by the end of 2026 20260812144132445	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xfbcf8c…
08-13 18:50:57	does a card sell for more than logans record 16492000 by the end of 2026 20260812144132445	No	BUY	10	93¢	$10	0xb53f44…
08-13 18:50:57	does a card sell for more than logans record 16492000 by the end of 2026 20260812144132445	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x47001d…
08-13 18:50:57	does a card sell for more than logans record 16492000 by the end of 2026 20260812144132445	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x3b9349…
08-13 18:50:57	does a card sell for more than logans record 16492000 by the end of 2026 20260812144132445	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x0c6223…
08-13 18:50:55	does a card sell for more than logans record 16492000 by the end of 2026 20260812144132445	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x93ade3…
08-13 18:42:04	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	BUY	144	2¢	$3	0x59e447…
08-13 18:39:19	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	BUY	22	2¢	$0	0x8aa405…
08-13 17:19:57	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	SELL	165	55¢	$91	0xc4dfe8…
08-13 17:18:13	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500	Yes	SELL	80	1¢	$1	0xd15bd5…
08-13 17:17:52	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x4f103c…
08-13 17:17:45	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500	Yes	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0x90fd46…
08-13 17:17:42	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xdb960d…
08-13 17:17:31	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x36171d…
08-13 17:17:24	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0xfd9c30…
08-13 17:17:24	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xf47c78…
08-13 17:17:21	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500	Yes	SELL	80	3¢	$2	0x63701e…
08-13 17:16:25	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500	Yes	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0x58c70e…
08-13 17:16:22	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x5e5d7c…
08-13 17:16:22	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x5c8269…
08-13 17:16:19	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500	Yes	BUY	83	8¢	$7	0xaf2c75…
08-13 17:16:19	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x97778d…
08-13 17:16:19	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500	Yes	BUY	63	8¢	$5	0x7196d1…
08-13 16:24:07	sweden parliamentary election more votes to v or c 20260812170140802	V	SELL	12	54¢	$6	0x9406d8…
08-13 16:19:52	sweden parliamentary election more votes to v or c 20260812170140802	V	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0x92ef6b…
08-13 15:48:28	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 14 1786098036078	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xb052f9…
08-13 15:45:46	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0x48d172…
08-13 13:27:46	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	Yes	SELL	188	15¢	$28	0xec73fd…
08-13 13:27:03	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x4e554f…
08-13 13:25:40	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	Yes	BUY	81	21¢	$17	0x4ee47c…
08-13 13:25:34	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	Yes	BUY	117	21¢	$25	0xd527c2…
08-13 10:52:24	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x22ff8c…
08-13 10:52:22	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0xd1bd08…
08-13 10:50:52	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	BUY	222	66¢	$147	0x3220a8…
08-13 10:09:01	will wisconsin order a democratic governor primary recount by august 31 20260812123408427	Yes	SELL	57	1¢	$0	0x7f6337…
08-13 10:08:19	will wisconsin order a democratic governor primary recount by august 31 20260812123408427	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xa09cff…
08-13 00:56:09	will colorado have more than 3pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194015143	Yes	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0x0780cb…
08-13 00:55:36	will colorado have more than 3pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194015143	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x7ddafd…
08-12 23:45:46	will usc have more than 7pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194048097	No	SELL	26	29¢	$8	0x3efd8e…
08-12 22:27:57	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655	Yes	SELL	356	25¢	$89	0x1d3e40…
08-12 22:26:54	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655	Yes	SELL	44	28¢	$12	0xd90f9b…
08-12 22:26:31	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655	Yes	BUY	400	30¢	$120	0x9acbf2…
08-12 22:04:37	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 20 20260808192512604	No	BUY	26	2¢	$1	0x22a900…
08-12 19:48:39	will usc have more than 7pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194048097	No	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xdf5bea…
08-12 18:25:48	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	SELL	400	8¢	$32	0x98cea2…
08-12 18:25:13	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	BUY	130	10¢	$13	0x08a3c9…
08-12 18:25:12	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x6ad327…
08-12 18:25:07	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x2e8977…
08-12 18:25:07	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	BUY	160	10¢	$16	0x2d0736…
08-12 18:25:07	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x1320d0…
08-12 15:20:52	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	209	44¢	$92	0x0cd8d6…
08-12 15:20:16	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	191	45¢	$86	0x265a59…
08-12 15:19:22	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	400	47¢	$188	0xe9f0c3…
08-12 14:25:01	will a 6pt0 earthquake occur in the united states in august 1786383260324	No	SELL	18	75¢	$14	0xd175e4…
08-12 14:24:31	will a 6pt0 earthquake occur in the united states in august 1786383260324	No	BUY	18	75¢	$14	0x7b64ac…
08-12 10:58:33	will warsh be out as fed chair by june 30 2027 20260723173503768	Yes	SELL	104	11¢	$11	0x214ccb…
08-12 10:57:55	will warsh be out as fed chair by june 30 2027 20260723173503768	Yes	SELL	241	12¢	$30	0xbc9dd9…
08-12 10:57:33	will warsh be out as fed chair by june 30 2027 20260723173503768	Yes	BUY	345	14¢	$48	0xde7a61…
08-12 09:25:25	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x615188…
08-12 09:24:33	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x4cf9f0…
08-12 08:47:39	will the end of oak street score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260810194028626	Yes	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0x99f9ee…
08-12 05:16:03	will trump say oil gas or gasoline during remarks in new york 20260811183234689	No	SELL	51	16¢	$8	0x3ed6a6…
08-12 05:15:40	will trump say oil gas or gasoline during remarks in new york 20260811183234689	No	BUY	51	17¢	$9	0xc044ee…
08-12 04:04:42	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	400	29¢	$116	0xfe94b0…
08-12 04:04:18	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	400	30¢	$120	0xd11914…
08-12 02:08:28	will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	No	SELL	22	60¢	$13	0x3d7092…
08-12 02:07:58	will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	No	BUY	22	61¢	$14	0xf10547…
08-12 01:53:57	will trump say biden during remarks in new york 20260811183234687	No	SELL	28	16¢	$4	0x0106ed…
08-12 01:53:40	will trump say biden during remarks in new york 20260811183234687	No	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0xac3e56…
08-12 01:53:39	will trump say biden during remarks in new york 20260811183234687	No	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x7b19a8…
08-12 00:47:36	will kai or speed die to a zombie 20260811133404154	Yes	SELL	62	78¢	$48	0x216c0e…
08-12 00:46:45	will kai or speed die to a zombie 20260811133404154	Yes	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x978d1e…
08-11 23:41:12	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0xf0e2d5…
08-11 23:41:09	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	32	22¢	$7	0x05ac64…
08-11 23:41:07	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	330	23¢	$76	0xab88a6…
08-11 23:40:42	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	311	24¢	$75	0xbe4b3f…
08-11 23:40:42	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	51	24¢	$12	0x76ef30…
08-11 22:26:24	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	No	SELL	102	21¢	$21	0xbeae76…
08-11 22:14:58	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	No	BUY	102	23¢	$23	0x53d846…
08-11 18:18:40	Christopher Luxon out by September 30?	No	SELL	400	57¢	$228	0x1af034…
08-11 18:18:12	Christopher Luxon out by September 30?	No	BUY	400	58¢	$232	0x578ef5…
08-11 18:14:45	ssi public model released by august 31 2026 20260810094604189	No	SELL	13	79¢	$10	0x1772f1…
08-11 18:14:15	ssi public model released by august 31 2026 20260810094604189	No	SELL	31	80¢	$25	0x20e408…
08-11 18:12:37	ssi public model released by august 31 2026 20260810094604189	No	BUY	44	85¢	$37	0xb03ce5…
08-11 17:34:51	will the next grok model 4pt6 debut at a score of at least 1450 by december 31 2026 20260804194832574	Yes	SELL	65	83¢	$54	0xa1fead…
08-11 17:34:51	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	81¢	$13	0x261472…