Realized P&L
-$124
Unrealized P&L
+$97
Hit rate
8.0%
Resolved
141
Trades
88,489
lifetime
Volume
$32.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$130
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 18:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
75% 5% $-41
Crypto
13% 6% $-69
Politics
10% 8% $-12
Tech
1% 0% $-1
Sports
1% 0% $-1
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 3855 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +150 $2 30¢ $45 +$43 05-28 01:03
Project Helix release by May 31, 2027? Yes +100 $1 44¢ $44 +$43 06-01 01:51
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes +100 $1 $5 +$4 06-02 11:30
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30? Yes +100 $1 $4 +$3 06-03 07:48
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes +100 $1 $3 +$2 05-31 20:20
Tucker Carlson federally charged? Yes +100 $1 $3 +$2 06-08 03:57
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +8 $1 26¢ $2 +$1 05-30 13:57
Arcium FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +20 $1 10¢ $2 +$1 06-01 03:53
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? Yes +100 $1 $2 +$1 06-02 09:47
Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +100 $1 $2 +$1 06-04 01:12
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Yes +100 $1 $2 +$1 06-07 17:01
Will o1 launch a token by December 31, 2027? No +120 $2 $2 $-0 06-02 21:03
Arcium FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +6 $1 25¢ $1 +$1 06-04 00:03
Will o1 launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +127 $3 $1 $-1 06-04 01:12
Will o1 launch a token by March 31, 2027? No +120 $2 $1 $-1 06-02 21:04
Will o1 launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +120 $2 $1 $-1 06-04 01:12
Will o1 launch a token by September 30, 2027? No +120 $2 $1 $-1 06-02 21:04
Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2027? No +120 $2 $1 $-1 06-02 21:04
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? Yes +100 $1 $1 +$0 06-07 10:16
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? Yes +100 $1 $1 +$0 06-05 05:46
SAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026? Yes +100 $1 $1 +$0 06-02 09:48
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30? Yes +100 $1 $1 $-0 05-31 19:40
Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30? Yes +100 $1 $1 $-0 06-08 23:08
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes +100 $1 $1 $-0 06-03 16:10
Will Jared Kushner enter Iran by June 30? Yes +31 $0 $0 +$0 06-07 20:03
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? Yes +23 $0 $0 $-0 06-06 18:32
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? Yes +100 $1 $0 $-1 05-16 22:55