Realized P&L
-$167
Unrealized P&L
+$91
Hit rate
6.3%
Resolved
150
Trades
102,197
lifetime
Volume
$43.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$109
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-19 17:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
72% 5% $-43
Politics
13% 8% $-12
Crypto
10% 6% $-109
Sports
3% 0% $-1
Tech
1% 0% $-1
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 628 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Project Helix release by May 31, 2027? Yes +100 $1 47¢ $47 +$46 06-01 01:51
Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts? No +20 $3 51¢ $10 +$7 06-21 19:31
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +11 $2 66¢ $7 +$5 07-17 00:11
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +22 $2 33¢ $7 +$5 07-16 05:57
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? Yes +100 $1 $6 +$5 06-02 09:47
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? No +12 $1 48¢ $6 +$5 07-15 07:39
Noble FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +40 $0 15¢ $6 +$5 06-25 05:19
Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel? No +25 $1 20¢ $5 +$4 07-17 23:45
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes +100 $1 $5 +$4 06-02 11:30
Will Fuse launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +5 $1 54¢ $3 +$2 06-26 02:59
Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31? Yes +25 $0 $2 +$2 06-18 16:31
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes +100 $1 $2 +$1 05-31 20:20
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange? No +5 $0 24¢ $1 +$1 06-22 21:59
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? Yes +33 $1 $1 $-0 06-25 23:31
Will "Michael" make it into the IMDb Top 250? Yes +34 $0 $0 $-0 06-25 17:36
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? Yes +100 $1 $0 $-1 05-16 22:55