Realized P&L
-$124
Unrealized P&L
+$217
Hit rate
8.0%
Resolved
141
Trades
97,531
lifetime
Volume
$39.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$248
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-29 18:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
72% 5% $-41
Politics
12% 8% $-12
Crypto
11% 6% $-69
Sports
3% 0% $-1
Tech
1% 0% $-1
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 3060 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +150 $2 97¢ $146 +$144 05-28 01:03
Project Helix release by May 31, 2027? Yes +100 $1 41¢ $41 +$40 06-01 01:51
Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts? No +20 $3 49¢ $10 +$7 06-21 19:31
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO? No +100 $1 $6 +$5 06-29 15:09
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes +100 $1 $5 +$4 06-02 11:30
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +8 $1 55¢ $5 +$4 05-30 13:57
Noble FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +40 $0 $3 +$2 06-25 05:19
Will Fuse launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +5 $1 54¢ $3 +$2 06-26 02:59
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes +100 $1 $3 +$2 06-29 22:02
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes +100 $1 $2 +$1 05-31 20:20
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange? No +5 $0 43¢ $2 +$2 06-22 21:59
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +100 $1 $2 +$1 06-29 17:36
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? No +100 $1 $2 +$1 06-27 15:26
Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026? Yes +100 $1 $2 +$1 06-27 23:18
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes +100 $1 $2 +$1 06-27 14:29
Will any AI model reach 1540 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes +100 $1 $2 +$0 06-28 21:48
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30? Yes +100 $1 $1 +$0 06-10 18:55
Project Helix release by June 30, 2026? Yes +85 $1 $1 +$0 06-28 07:21
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? Yes +100 $1 $1 +$0 06-02 09:47
Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes +55 $1 $1 +$1 06-29 23:03
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? Yes +33 $1 $1 +$0 06-25 23:31
Will "Michael" make it into the IMDb Top 250? Yes +34 $0 $1 +$1 06-25 17:36
Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30? Yes +100 $1 $1 +$0 06-28 08:49
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30? Yes +100 $1 $1 +$0 06-28 02:16
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? Yes +100 $1 $1 $-0 06-29 16:01
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30? Yes +100 $1 $1 $-0 06-10 13:23
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes +100 $1 $1 $-0 06-28 18:01
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +100 $1 $1 $-0 06-18 17:06
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? Yes +100 $1 $1 $-0 06-27 15:29
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30? Yes +100 $1 $1 $-0 06-03 07:48