Grown-Billion 0x0da462…75edde
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$12
Unrealized P&L
+$561
Hit rate
99.2%
Resolved
4
Trades
396
lifetime
Volume
$26.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$67
Open exposure
$3.95K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 00:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
47% 100% +$11
Tech
33% — —
Politics
18% 50% +$1
Crypto
2% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -2,085 $-1,777 83¢ $-1731 +$46 06-24 14:58
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026? No +400 $252 100¢ $400 +$148 06-23 17:06
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +330 $277 100¢ $330 +$53 06-08 14:03
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +278 $81 100¢ $277 +$196 06-11 13:10
Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +234 $161 100¢ $234 +$73 06-11 10:25
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +200 $137 100¢ $200 +$62 06-15 23:07
Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No -200 $-178 90¢ $-181 $-3 06-23 16:40
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No -188 $-158 84¢ $-157 +$1 06-16 08:42
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +71 $66 99¢ $70 +$5 06-23 17:49
UK Recession in 2026? No -82 $-57 74¢ $-60 $-4 06-18 14:12
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? Yes +414 $70 12¢ $52 $-19 06-14 11:01
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic -56 $-43 90¢ $-51 $-7 06-01 21:02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +50 $26 100¢ $50 +$23 06-04 00:29
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +37 $24 100¢ $37 +$13 06-04 16:45
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +34 $31 100¢ $34 +$3 06-23 17:48
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -40 $-30 74¢ $-30 $-1 06-24 19:10
USDS depeg by December 31? No -24 $-23 94¢ $-23 +$0 06-06 20:32
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +22 $20 100¢ $22 +$2 06-11 12:39
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No -20 $-17 69¢ $-14 +$3 06-25 22:11
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes +250 $35 0¢ $0 $-35 06-23 17:17