Grown-Billion 0x0da462…75edde
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$12
Unrealized P&L
+$292
Hit rate
99.2%
Resolved
4
Trades
573
lifetime
Volume
$41.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$73
Open exposure
$6.30K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 09:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
41% 100% +$11
Tech
39% — —
Politics
12% 50% +$1
Sports
6% — —
Crypto
2% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -2,085 $-1,777 86¢ $-1804 $-27 06-24 14:58
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +2,164 $1,267 70¢ $1.5K +$259 07-12 04:43
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +2,107 $963 37¢ $780 $-184 07-08 22:59
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +735 $262 63¢ $463 +$201 07-05 11:05
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes +522 $429 88¢ $457 +$28 07-08 16:05
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes +468 $310 76¢ $354 +$44 07-09 15:26
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +391 $196 62¢ $244 +$48 07-10 13:54
Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No -200 $-178 91¢ $-182 $-4 06-23 16:40
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No -188 $-158 86¢ $-161 $-3 06-16 08:42
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No -87 $-72 90¢ $-78 $-6 07-10 21:55
UK Recession in 2026? No -82 $-57 84¢ $-69 $-12 06-18 14:12
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic -56 $-43 86¢ $-48 $-5 06-01 21:02
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +289 $37 13¢ $38 +$0 07-20 08:59
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -40 $-30 78¢ $-32 $-2 06-24 19:10
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +30 $23 86¢ $26 +$3 07-02 01:57
USDS depeg by December 31? No -24 $-23 74¢ $-18 +$5 06-06 20:32
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? Yes +414 $70 4¢ $16 $-55 06-14 11:01
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +5 $3 88¢ $4 +$1 07-09 20:02