Grown-Billion 0x0da462…75edde
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$12
Unrealized P&L
+$47
Hit rate
99.2%
Resolved
4
Trades
265
lifetime
Volume
$18.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$70
Open exposure
$637
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 16:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
53% 100% +$11
Politics
25% 50% +$1
Tech
19% — —
Crypto
4% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +330 $277 84¢ $277 +$1 06-08 14:03
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam? No +150 $80 60¢ $89 +$8 06-09 10:01
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +66 $50 78¢ $51 +$2 05-27 21:57
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? Yes +281 $48 18¢ $49 +$1 06-09 08:04
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic -56 $-43 72¢ $-40 +$3 06-01 21:02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +50 $26 75¢ $38 +$11 06-04 00:29
UK Recession in 2026? No -45 $-31 56¢ $-25 +$6 06-01 13:32
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +37 $24 64¢ $24 +$0 06-04 16:45
USDS depeg by December 31? No -24 $-23 92¢ $-22 +$1 06-06 20:32
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026? No +100 $6 20¢ $20 +$14 06-07 07:47