Impartial-Harmonize — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.36K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.3%

Resolved

Trades

10,395

lifetime

Volume

$1.56M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$150

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 08-11 03:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

42% 33% +$2,298

Politics

38% 100% +$379

Tech

17% 100% +$682

Sports

3% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 394 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	60	$37.2K	46,578	31,516	+15,062	open	—	03-12 13:31
internet access restored in iran by april 30 2026	135	$29.4K	21,490	15,860	+5,630	open	—	04-27 05:35
deepseek v4 released by april 24	33	$27.1K	14,540	14,540	+0	open	—	04-24 06:12
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	47	$24.2K	12,900	12,578	+322	open	—	03-21 18:31
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	131	$23.6K	27,683	7,442	+20,241	open	—	04-28 07:09
internet access restored in iran by march 7 2026	54	$23.4K	24,010	0	+24,010	open	—	03-07 14:05
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	182	$22.8K	47,633	1,857	+45,776	open	—	08-04 06:04
will grok 4pt20 be released on february 17 2026	46	$21.5K	16,705	8,483	+8,222	open	—	02-17 18:15
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	266	$20.6K	33,269	8,020	+25,249	open	—	05-28 05:07
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	187	$19.8K	28,128	9,160	+18,968	open	—	05-28 09:02
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	29	$19.0K	12,518	10,518	+2,000	open	—	03-27 02:07
internet access restored in iran by march 31 2026	39	$18.3K	17,939	1,315	+16,623	open	—	04-02 00:52
will uae strike iran by march 31	60	$17.5K	21,992	5,019	+16,973	open	—	03-27 01:18
will trump deport 250000 500000 people	397	$17.3K	17,614	1,676	+15,938	open	—	02-28 22:26
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	12	$16.3K	9,900	9,000	+900	open	—	05-21 17:51
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	7	$16.1K	17,100	5,520	+11,579	open	—	04-07 18:51
Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by March 31, 2026?	31	$15.8K	7,322	8,740	-1,418	open	—	02-22 22:31
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	21	$15.3K	9,732	9,732	+0	open	—	03-30 22:23
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	112	$14.8K	28,052	1,217	+26,835	open	—	07-27 19:29
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	23	$14.3K	9,187	9,187	+0	open	—	04-23 17:40
internet access restored in iran by march 14 2026	66	$14.1K	14,868	76	+14,792	open	—	03-12 13:22
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	13	$13.5K	9,609	5,509	+4,100	open	—	05-22 22:49
Iran leadership change by March 13?	11	$13.5K	6,826	6,826	+0	open	—	03-14 03:14
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	108	$13.4K	29,561	363	+29,198	open	—	07-08 02:24
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	68	$13.4K	25,367	2,562	+22,805	open	—	07-26 17:03
will iran strike israel on march 10	2	$13.0K	10,000	3,000	+7,000	open	—	03-17 18:33
bad bunny video becomes most viewed sb halftime on youtube in 1st month	35	$12.5K	9,704	5,140	+4,564	open	—	02-17 15:04
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	40	$11.9K	7,675	6,399	+1,277	open	—	04-23 18:10
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	165	$11.9K	20,508	6,241	+14,267	open	—	04-26 09:30
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	17	$11.8K	8,922	6,922	+2,000	open	—	04-08 11:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 13:46:01	will the highest score achieved by a meta model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723191934218	Yes	SELL	93	43¢	$40	0xb62fa0…
08-11 13:39:54	will the next grok model 4pt6 debut with a humanitys last exam score of 35 or higher 20260810180408166	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x430dce…
08-11 13:39:49	will the next grok model 4pt6 debut with a humanitys last exam score of 35 or higher 20260810180408166	Yes	BUY	18	93¢	$16	0x391b4d…
08-11 03:46:54	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc98f6a…
08-11 03:44:31	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480	Yes	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x930549…
08-10 17:11:51	will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190836287	Yes	BUY	1,439	53¢	$762	0x7e209a…
08-10 17:11:49	will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190836287	Yes	BUY	27	54¢	$15	0x5cc3ad…
08-10 13:58:00	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	No	BUY	24	32¢	$8	0x3dc420…
08-10 02:40:24	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	1,500	65¢	$975	0x50ebd3…
08-09 21:51:16	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x96e622…
08-09 19:18:21	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260729192434647	Yes	BUY	29	71¢	$21	0xfad61a…
08-09 19:18:04	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260729192434647	Yes	BUY	29	71¢	$21	0xcdb9ec…
08-09 19:17:33	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260729192434647	Yes	BUY	29	71¢	$21	0xf8380d…
08-09 19:17:24	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260729192434647	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x31361b…
08-09 18:35:55	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260723184439896	Yes	SELL	1,310	100¢	$1,309	0xdf5568…
08-09 18:35:06	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260723184439896	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x1650e8…
08-09 18:32:12	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260723184439896	Yes	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0xf6f34c…
08-09 18:32:10	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260723184439896	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x2ec629…
08-09 18:32:09	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260723184439896	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xdf3c49…
08-09 14:08:00	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x471402…
08-09 11:25:10	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x5f4ada…
08-09 02:36:34	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260729192434647	No	BUY	424	15¢	$63	0x06c54e…
08-09 02:32:54	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 45 or higher 20260729192434646	No	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x0bbd09…
08-09 02:32:52	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 45 or higher 20260729192434646	Yes	BUY	687	88¢	$605	0x62ffcd…
08-08 18:24:57	Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	83¢	$16	0x6d90eb…
08-08 14:23:51	Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	48	83¢	$40	0x9faabb…
08-08 01:29:31	Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xe2b713…
08-08 01:20:49	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	No	BUY	1,233	28¢	$346	0x437a80…
08-07 18:51:24	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	86	54¢	$46	0xe8d630…
08-07 18:47:48	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0xb26a17…
08-07 18:45:52	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	884	54¢	$477	0xf697fe…
08-07 17:23:25	Zoe Kravitz and Harry Styles engaged by August 31?	Yes	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0xa4c8a8…
08-07 16:34:18	will any ai model reach a chatbot arena score of at least 1540 by december 31	Yes	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0x64e679…
08-07 16:34:18	will any ai model reach a chatbot arena score of at least 1530 by december 31	No	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x202ff7…
08-07 15:32:58	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 40 or higher 20260723184439894	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x01c8e0…
08-07 14:29:18	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500	No	BUY	278	44¢	$122	0x6b9ba7…
08-07 13:57:48	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x4773a3…
08-07 13:57:39	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x9967bd…
08-07 03:06:21	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 50 or higher 20260723225144063	Yes	BUY	440	89¢	$392	0x38b7da…
08-07 02:51:27	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 35 or higher 20260723184439893	Yes	BUY	374	100¢	$373	0xf038ed…
08-07 02:51:12	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 40 or higher 20260723184439894	Yes	BUY	686	100¢	$685	0x4879fe…
08-07 02:49:54	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260723184439897	Yes	SELL	1,158	3¢	$39	0x0a5fbb…
08-07 02:49:25	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260723184439896	Yes	BUY	123	97¢	$120	0x9ad834…
08-07 02:44:42	will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723190836286	Yes	BUY	633	75¢	$472	0xd3ba08…
08-07 02:40:57	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260723184439896	Yes	BUY	1,321	97¢	$1,280	0xa5ea7d…
08-07 02:38:27	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 45 or higher 20260723184439895	Yes	BUY	464	98¢	$455	0x2d7a8f…
08-07 02:38:21	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 40 or higher 20260723184439894	Yes	BUY	335	98¢	$328	0xbd0fe7…
08-07 02:38:13	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 35 or higher 20260723184439893	Yes	BUY	563	99¢	$555	0x7124ed…
08-07 01:25:06	will the highest score achieved by a google gemini model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723192605548	Yes	BUY	123	19¢	$23	0xd84f5a…
08-07 01:25:01	will the highest score achieved by a google gemini model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723192605547	No	SELL	169	59¢	$100	0x9d45b0…
08-07 01:24:54	will the highest score achieved by a google gemini model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723192605547	No	SELL	169	59¢	$100	0x540dad…
08-07 01:24:51	will the highest score achieved by a google gemini model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723192605548	Yes	BUY	247	19¢	$47	0x99314c…
08-07 01:13:01	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260723184439897	Yes	BUY	900	13¢	$117	0xd6f628…
08-06 22:23:53	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 50 or higher 20260723225144063	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xdd41ee…
08-06 20:58:18	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	187	54¢	$101	0xd07afc…
08-06 20:14:54	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x9979fb…
08-06 20:04:05	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	63	54¢	$34	0x8bd024…
08-06 19:57:06	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xa500d8…
08-06 19:57:06	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x8e885c…
08-06 15:12:08	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260723184439897	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xf29885…
08-06 15:12:08	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260723184439897	Yes	BUY	230	16¢	$37	0xe02ab4…
08-06 15:05:24	will the highest score achieved by a google gemini model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 50 or higher 20260723192605546	Yes	BUY	273	96¢	$262	0x1759b4…
08-06 15:03:44	will the highest score achieved by a google gemini model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723192605547	No	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0xb87b37…
08-06 14:21:59	will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 70 20260618224014045	No	SELL	1,102	3¢	$31	0xc46d77…
08-06 14:21:42	will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 60 20260618224014044	No	SELL	762	3¢	$22	0x79f53d…
08-05 23:43:38	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 50 or higher 20260723225144063	No	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0xa302d7…
08-05 23:19:33	Zoe Kravitz and Harry Styles engaged by August 31?	Yes	BUY	22	83¢	$18	0x1bc954…
08-05 21:31:57	will the highest score achieved by a google gemini model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723192605547	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x3ae399…
08-05 10:34:26	Zoe Kravitz and Harry Styles engaged by August 31?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x2d87a3…
08-05 08:54:05	will the highest score achieved by a google gemini model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723192605547	No	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x221df3…
08-04 22:17:32	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480	No	SELL	232	7¢	$15	0x308a01…
08-04 20:31:57	Zoe Kravitz and Harry Styles engaged by August 31?	Yes	BUY	29	83¢	$24	0xeb6e88…
08-04 19:47:54	will the highest score achieved by a meta model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723191934218	Yes	SELL	40	47¢	$19	0x57b512…
08-04 10:52:17	will the highest score achieved by a google gemini model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723192605547	No	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0x581f38…
08-04 08:30:26	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480	No	SELL	50	7¢	$3	0xdc0821…
08-04 08:22:56	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480	No	SELL	50	7¢	$3	0x1f5d35…
08-04 08:07:21	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480	No	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x95beab…
08-04 08:07:18	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480	No	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x0f2f04…
08-04 08:07:12	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480	No	SELL	50	7¢	$3	0xc55162…
08-04 07:30:29	will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 70 20260618224014045	No	SELL	232	3¢	$6	0x74ab4c…
08-04 06:04:50	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	90	38¢	$34	0xc90777…
08-04 02:50:44	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$3	0xc25355…
08-04 00:34:48	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 50 or higher 20260723225144063	Yes	BUY	654	68¢	$448	0x5b357f…
08-03 22:56:17	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xe4b6ca…
08-03 22:56:17	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x3ea2f9…
08-03 22:56:06	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xc963ad…
08-03 22:56:06	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x96ec61…
08-03 22:42:44	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500	No	BUY	39	57¢	$22	0x13b04e…
08-03 22:41:14	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500	No	SELL	465	64¢	$297	0x3ef542…
08-03 22:40:20	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	SELL	32	50¢	$16	0x3b8d85…
08-03 22:39:54	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	No	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0xddf470…
08-03 22:39:54	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	No	BUY	71	55¢	$39	0xac5e70…
08-03 22:39:54	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	BUY	496	46¢	$230	0xa4ac28…
08-03 21:47:30	will the highest score achieved by a meta model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723191934218	Yes	SELL	17	47¢	$8	0xb71eef…
08-03 15:37:12	will the highest score achieved by a google gemini model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 50 or higher 20260723192605546	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xef843e…
08-03 10:22:39	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	No	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x756e90…
08-03 09:34:20	will any ai model reach a chatbot arena score of at least 1530 by december 31	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x462075…
08-03 08:00:38	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500	No	BUY	352	63¢	$222	0xb666cc…
08-03 04:12:20	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510	No	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0xab6c92…
08-03 04:11:51	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510	No	BUY	47	93¢	$44	0xdf43cd…