Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f54…de1c44
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$3.36K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.07K
Hit rate
95.3%
Resolved
8
Trades
10,030
lifetime
Volume
$1.51M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$151
Open exposure
$61.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 07-22 04:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
42% 33% +$2,298
Politics
39% 100% +$379
Tech
16% 100% +$682
Sports
3% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 394 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +20,909 $9,062 63¢ $13.2K +$4,111 07-20 13:03
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +14,594 $8,440 70¢ $10.3K +$1,849 07-08 02:24
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +21,232 $10,319 37¢ $7.9K $-2,464 07-20 13:56
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +7,887 $4,245 87¢ $6.9K +$2,616 07-20 17:25
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +8,792 $5,868 62¢ $5.5K $-373 07-10 13:54
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +14,599 $4,447 30¢ $4.3K $-140 07-06 11:40
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes +7,992 $2,781 38¢ $3.0K +$216 07-06 13:20
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -2,238 $-1,880 86¢ $-1935 $-56 06-10 11:29
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +2,198 $1,398 88¢ $1.9K +$536 07-07 16:59
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +14,695 $5,851 13¢ $1.9K $-3,941 07-20 04:45
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +1,752 $1,145 68¢ $1.2K +$40 07-06 11:43
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,752 $219 32¢ $567 +$348 07-10 00:48
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? No +657 $444 81¢ $532 +$88 07-02 02:35
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +670 $376 58¢ $392 +$16 07-20 11:43
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? Yes +11,504 $37 2¢ $282 +$245 07-07 03:25
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes +2,220 $530 12¢ $266 $-264 07-18 01:07
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No -334 $-249 78¢ $-262 $-14 07-20 05:13
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No +262 $182 98¢ $256 +$74 06-23 20:25
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +244 $131 79¢ $193 +$62 07-10 00:58
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +449 $81 42¢ $186 +$105 07-10 00:35
Zoe Kravitz and Harry Styles engaged by August 31? Yes +208 $87 78¢ $162 +$75 07-10 12:07
Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +148 $123 90¢ $134 +$11 07-06 12:21
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? Yes +657 $137 19¢ $125 $-12 06-30 20:09
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes +968 $116 10¢ $92 $-24 07-18 01:55
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +244 $90 21¢ $51 $-39 06-13 11:56
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? No +36 $29 82¢ $30 +$1 06-23 20:14
Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026? Yes +157 $22 15¢ $24 +$1 07-06 02:01
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027? No -25 $-22 86¢ $-22 +$0 06-23 20:15
Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026? No +9 $7 85¢ $8 +$1 07-10 01:21
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 75¢ $4 $-0 07-19 12:33