Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f54…de1c44
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$78.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.89K
Hit rate
85.4%
Resolved
1,016
Trades
15,720
lifetime
Volume
$1.94M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$124
Open exposure
$77.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 10-26 21:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 165 days
Categories
Other
46% 74% +$23,729
Politics
31% 73% +$20,604
Tech
20% 72% +$24,980
Sports
3% 78% +$7,717
Pop-Culture
0% 57% +$491
Crypto
0% 71% +$1,404
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +24,365 $11,483 62¢ $15.1K +$3,623 09-29 18:08
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +19,611 $11,318 64¢ $12.6K +$1,233 10-26 02:02
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +14,599 $8,444 80¢ $11.8K +$3,308 07-08 02:24
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +24,366 $10,644 38¢ $9.3K -$1,385 10-01 23:37
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +10,000 $7,270 74¢ $7.4K +$95 10-26 18:48
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +6,338 $6,283 99¢ $6.3K +$20 10-14 18:04
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +14,599 $4,447 20¢ $2.8K -$1,600 07-06 11:40
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? No +2,731 $759 68¢ $1.8K +$1,084 10-02 12:31
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +2,258 $1,076 77¢ $1.7K +$663 09-22 17:39
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? Yes +4,535 $1,928 32¢ $1.5K -$454 10-26 18:10
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +3,890 $1,206 36¢ $1.4K +$194 10-13 19:01
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? Yes +1,835 $1,313 66¢ $1.2K -$96 10-20 00:51
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,049 $1,023 98¢ $1.0K +$10 10-19 09:55
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? No +2,164 $266 34¢ $729 +$463 10-22 03:23
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -650 -$326 92¢ $-598 -$272 08-13 16:18
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +2,258 $894 23¢ $519 -$375 09-22 01:56
Will Lew Evans win The Bachelorette Season 22? No +464 $461 100¢ $463 +$3 06-23 16:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -469 -$318 80¢ $-377 -$59 05-04 23:10
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No -334 -$249 90¢ $-301 -$52 07-20 05:13
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No +262 $182 99¢ $260 +$78 06-23 20:25
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +7,467 $135 2¢ $116 -$20 10-25 17:02
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,299 $58 6¢ $75 +$17 10-05 23:31
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -1,000 -$170 6¢ $-65 +$105 05-17 23:10
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +9,127 $79 1¢ $50 -$28 10-13 18:26
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +2,120 $44 2¢ $36 -$8 10-08 02:31
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +18,914 $19 0¢ $28 +$9 10-08 05:23
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? Yes +262 -$345 1¢ $2 +$348 07-07 03:25
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +26 $1 3¢ $1 $0 05-03 14:14
Will Lew Evans win The Bachelorette Season 22? Yes +464 $20 0¢ $1 -$20 07-25 16:50
Will Aaron Kahng win The Bachelorette Season 22? Yes -255 -$2 0¢ $-0 +$1 04-28 21:49