Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f54…de1c44
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$3.36K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.80K
Hit rate
95.3%
Resolved
8
Trades
8,796
lifetime
Volume
$1.36M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$155
Open exposure
$12.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 07-01 06:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
43% 100% +$379
Other
41% 33% +$2,298
Tech
13% 100% +$682
Sports
3% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 206 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No +2,495 $1,761 99¢ $2.5K +$717 05-28 02:01
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -2,238 $-1,880 86¢ $-1935 $-56 06-10 11:29
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450? Yes +1,626 $966 89¢ $1.4K +$481 06-29 01:21
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? No +1,117 $817 81¢ $905 +$88 06-30 20:13
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +896 $657 90¢ $808 +$151 06-27 04:18
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +1,016 $477 65¢ $661 +$183 06-23 16:40
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? Yes +19,653 $293 3¢ $540 +$248 07-01 10:54
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +706 $458 70¢ $491 +$32 07-01 03:01
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +831 $127 59¢ $491 +$364 06-29 00:12
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +676 $190 60¢ $402 +$212 06-28 04:21
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470? Yes +342 $85 82¢ $282 +$197 06-29 01:23
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No +262 $182 97¢ $255 +$73 06-23 20:25
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +341 $153 70¢ $237 +$84 05-30 00:09
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +280 $164 84¢ $236 +$73 06-23 16:53
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No -304 $-225 76¢ $-233 $-8 06-25 10:45
Zoe Kravitz and Harry Styles engaged by August 31? Yes +207 $87 66¢ $137 +$51 06-06 10:51
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +277 $119 50¢ $137 +$18 06-27 14:23
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450? No +1,233 $312 11¢ $136 $-176 06-27 17:29
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? Yes +657 $137 19¢ $125 $-12 06-30 20:09
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +210 $69 50¢ $106 +$37 06-27 14:22
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +231 $69 41¢ $95 +$26 06-29 00:12
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +244 $90 30¢ $74 $-16 06-13 11:56
Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +50 $35 90¢ $45 +$10 06-27 04:18
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +415 $42 11¢ $44 +$2 07-01 01:47
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? No +36 $29 76¢ $27 $-2 06-23 20:14
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes +71 $26 35¢ $25 $-1 06-23 20:37
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027? No -25 $-22 86¢ $-22 +$0 06-23 20:15
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470? No -43 $-67 18¢ $-8 +$60 06-29 01:23
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? Yes +836 $41 1¢ $5 $-36 06-30 18:26
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $9 40¢ $5 $-4 06-23 17:27