Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81ef…99aaf7
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$336
Unrealized P&L
+$24
Hit rate
41.9%
Resolved
444
Trades
36,566
lifetime
Volume
$203.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$454
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-25
last 07-20 18:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 24 days
Categories
Other
67% 32% $-543
Politics
10% 50% $-1
Tech
10% 33% $-11
Crypto
8% 70% +$88
Sports
5% 73% +$130
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 1192 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -60 $-18 82¢ $-50 $-31 06-28 00:26
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms? No +32 $14 90¢ $29 +$15 06-04 06:53
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -24 $-13 99¢ $-23 $-10 06-01 21:39
Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch? No +114 $12 19¢ $21 +$9 07-20 14:01
Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +60 $7 35¢ $21 +$14 07-20 17:34
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat? No -22 $-10 78¢ $-17 $-7 05-30 11:52
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +16 $10 92¢ $15 +$5 05-31 05:44
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No -18 $-9 80¢ $-15 $-6 06-02 19:51
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +18 $10 79¢ $14 +$5 05-31 17:29
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 6,000 in 2026? No -15 $-12 93¢ $-14 $-2 06-15 23:43
Blue wave in 2026? Yes -18 $-13 76¢ $-14 $-1 06-04 21:50
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? No -87 $-23 16¢ $-14 +$9 06-26 23:49
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +18 $9 71¢ $13 +$4 07-20 18:02
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +20 $12 62¢ $13 +$1 07-19 22:09
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 6,000 in 2026? Yes +172 $9 7¢ $13 +$4 06-21 22:55
Elon Bull Run Parlay No +13 $11 97¢ $13 +$2 05-28 14:50
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +23 $13 53¢ $12 $-1 07-19 17:14
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -20 $-18 61¢ $-12 +$6 07-16 23:51
Tuyo FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes -37 $-10 32¢ $-12 $-2 05-30 12:08
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +55 $11 21¢ $11 +$1 07-20 12:42
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +120 $1 10¢ $11 +$11 07-20 14:00
Discord IPO before 2027? No +17 $10 67¢ $11 +$1 07-20 11:52
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +29 $14 40¢ $11 $-2 07-20 13:59
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +41 $12 28¢ $11 $-1 07-13 00:44
Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch? Yes +31 $14 36¢ $11 $-3 07-18 08:37
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes -32 $-9 34¢ $-11 $-2 07-07 20:35
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? No +11 $9 99¢ $11 +$2 06-15 04:29
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +20 $6 54¢ $11 +$5 07-17 23:07
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? No -12 $-11 88¢ $-11 +$0 07-04 02:33
Natural Disaster in 2026? No -12 $-10 82¢ $-10 +$0 06-17 02:00