Realized P&L
-$509
Unrealized P&L
+$19
Hit rate
50.9%
Resolved
7,007
Trades
57,321
lifetime
Volume
$328.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$0
13 positions
First seen
2026-03-25
last 08-20 11:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 190 days
Categories
Other
66% 44% -$1,380
Politics
12% 55% +$301
Tech
11% 45% -$378
Crypto
6% 49% +$19
Sports
4% 60% +$942
Pop-Culture
1% 44% -$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 467 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 05-27 17:51
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 07-30 14:54
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +0 $0 92¢ $0 +$0 06-10 01:05
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +0 $0 86¢ $0 +$0 06-03 21:48
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +0 -$20 68¢ $0 +$20 07-19 13:06
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +0 $0 82¢ $0 +$0 07-17 02:50
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 No +0 -$1 82¢ $0 +$1 07-27 15:51
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +0 -$1 11¢ $0 +$1 07-28 13:42
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +0 $1 54¢ $0 -$1 07-21 07:45
will russia capture all of chasiv yar by december 31 Yes +0 $0 26¢ $0 $0 07-28 11:53
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +0 -$1 11¢ $0 +$1 07-01 11:58
will openais valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 937 533 Yes +0 $3 6¢ $0 -$3 06-25 21:06
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797 No +0 $0 4¢ $0 $0 06-09 10:06