Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81ef…99aaf7
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$361
Unrealized P&L
+$63
Hit rate
41.0%
Resolved
439
Trades
26,808
lifetime
Volume
$148.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$525
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-25
last 06-30 12:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 24 days
Categories
Other
69% 32% $-543
Tech
10% 33% $-11
Crypto
8% 72% +$63
Politics
7% 50% $-1
Sports
5% 73% +$130
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 665 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June? No +80 $16 100¢ $80 +$64 06-01 00:27
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -60 $-18 74¢ $-45 $-27 06-28 00:26
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms? No +32 $14 86¢ $28 +$14 06-04 06:53
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June? No -25 $-23 100¢ $-25 $-3 06-08 10:50
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -24 $-13 99¢ $-23 $-10 06-01 21:39
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No -23 $-14 98¢ $-23 $-9 06-16 00:58
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat? No -22 $-10 85¢ $-19 $-9 05-30 11:52
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026? No +18 $-1 90¢ $16 +$17 06-28 23:05
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +16 $10 92¢ $15 +$5 05-31 05:44
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? No -87 $-23 17¢ $-15 +$8 06-26 23:49
Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +60 $12 24¢ $15 +$3 05-28 03:33
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 6,000 in 2026? No -15 $-12 95¢ $-14 $-2 06-15 23:43
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026? Yes +60 $9 22¢ $13 +$4 06-13 20:23
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -20 $-16 68¢ $-13 +$2 06-25 04:25
Blue wave in 2026? Yes -18 $-13 74¢ $-13 $-1 06-04 21:50
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450? Yes +15 $16 88¢ $13 $-2 06-27 08:49
Elon Bull Run Parlay No +13 $11 96¢ $13 +$2 05-28 14:50
Tuyo FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes -37 $-10 32¢ $-12 $-2 05-30 12:08
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30? No -12 $-11 100¢ $-12 $-1 05-30 08:31
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +18 $10 64¢ $12 +$2 05-31 17:29
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No -18 $-9 62¢ $-11 $-3 06-02 19:51
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No +13 $11 86¢ $11 +$0 06-30 15:52
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +25 $11 44¢ $11 $-0 05-31 14:36
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +20 $6 54¢ $11 +$5 06-15 23:55
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? No +11 $9 96¢ $11 +$2 06-15 04:29
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 Yes +56 $10 19¢ $11 +$1 06-29 04:30
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? No -12 $-11 86¢ $-10 +$0 06-27 13:25
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +41 $10 25¢ $10 +$0 06-20 01:58
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -12 $-12 81¢ $-10 +$2 06-19 15:44
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +11 $9 91¢ $10 +$1 06-14 15:33