Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 6,000 in 2026?
open
Total volume
$466
Trades
65
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$12,386
Latest YES mid
7¢
Latest NO mid
93¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-30
last 08-05 08:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+49.0¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $6
vs crowd: 51% YES on $192)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $32 | $25 | +$7 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $24 | $46 | $22 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $36 | $23 | +$13 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $6 | — | +$6 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $26 | $17 | +$9 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $0 | $38 | $38 |
| Median | 6 | $5 | $11 | $6 |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $10 | $1 | +$9 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $13 | $21 | $8 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $0 | $6 | $6 |
| unranked | 6 | $37 | — | +$37 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | +172 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 06-21 22:55 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +143 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-21 22:55 |
| Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | Yes | +83 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-24 08:08 |
| Lawful-Relationship 0xb5aa…c200 | Yes | +82 | $-3 | $5 | 2 | 06-19 19:28 |
| Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | +80 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-18 04:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | Yes | +58 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-18 04:07 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +50 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 05-30 23:09 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +40 | $3 | $3 | 8 | 06-21 22:02 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +23 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-07 19:38 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +21 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 06-11 19:09 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 08-05 08:49 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-22 21:55 |
| Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | No | +14 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-04 12:28 |
| Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $1 | 3 | 08-05 08:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b2c…c9a8 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-05 08:49 |
| Submissive-Rosemary 0x30a0…a458 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-04 12:28 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-14 05:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 08:49:12 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xcb713d… |
| 08-05 08:49:12 | (anonymous) 0x7b2c…c9a8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcb713d… |
| 08-05 08:49:12 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcb713d… |
| 08-05 08:49:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 19 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcb713d… |
| 07-14 05:37:08 | Unrealistic-Hurdler 0x2fe7…0c14 | No | SELL | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xa8d264… |
| 07-14 05:37:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xa8d264… |
| 07-13 16:51:50 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd0dd0a… |
| 07-13 16:51:50 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd0dd0a… |
| 07-13 02:25:17 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x81d276… |
| 07-13 02:25:17 | Unrealistic-Hurdler 0x2fe7…0c14 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x81d276… |
| 07-04 12:28:25 | Submissive-Rosemary 0x30a0…a458 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x73f132… |
| 07-04 12:28:25 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x73f132… |
| 07-04 12:28:25 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | No | BUY | 14 | 90¢ | $12 | 0x73f132… |
| 06-24 08:08:56 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x87dd24… |
| 06-24 08:08:56 | (anonymous) 0xc961…41d5 | Yes | SELL | 73 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x87dd24… |
| 06-24 08:08:56 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x87dd24… |
| 06-22 21:57:13 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x9b0275… |
| 06-22 21:57:13 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x9b0275… |
| 06-22 21:55:58 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe9f609… |
| 06-22 21:55:58 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xe9f609… |
| 06-21 22:55:50 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 172 | 3¢ | $5 | 0xdcaca5… |
| 06-21 22:55:50 | (anonymous) 0x095b…8a05 | Yes | SELL | 205 | 3¢ | $6 | 0xdcaca5… |
| 06-21 22:55:50 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 33 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xdcaca5… |
| 06-21 22:02:35 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x61f7a5… |
| 06-21 22:02:35 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x61f7a5… |
| 06-21 22:02:35 | (anonymous) 0x095b…8a05 | Yes | SELL | 53 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x61f7a5… |
| 06-19 19:28:50 | Flashy-Constellation 0x1075…19c1 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc78606… |
| 06-19 19:28:50 | (anonymous) 0xc961…41d5 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc78606… |
| 06-19 19:28:50 | Lawful-Relationship 0xb5aa…c200 | Yes | BUY | 97 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc78606… |
| 06-18 16:18:01 | (anonymous) 0xc961…41d5 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd63452… |
| 06-18 16:18:01 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | SELL | 46 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd63452… |
| 06-18 16:03:14 | (anonymous) 0xc961…41d5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbde022… |
| 06-18 16:03:14 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbde022… |
| 06-18 15:57:49 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd1aef4… |
| 06-18 15:57:49 | (anonymous) 0xc961…41d5 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd1aef4… |
| 06-18 04:07:14 | Left-Oleo 0xf678…a255 | Yes | SELL | 887 | 9¢ | $82 | 0x518090… |
| 06-18 04:07:14 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | SELL | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0x518090… |
| 06-18 04:07:14 | Flashy-Constellation 0x1075…19c1 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 13¢ | $9 | 0x518090… |
| 06-18 04:07:14 | Astonishing-College 0xfd04…cfbe | No | SELL | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0x518090… |
| 06-18 04:07:14 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x518090… |
| 06-18 04:07:14 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 53 | 91¢ | $48 | 0x518090… |
| 06-18 04:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | Yes | BUY | 58 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x518090… |
| 06-18 04:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x095b…8a05 | Yes | BUY | 258 | 12¢ | $31 | 0x518090… |
| 06-18 04:07:14 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x518090… |
| 06-18 04:07:14 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x518090… |
| 06-18 04:07:14 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 8¢ | $6 | 0x518090… |
| 06-18 04:07:14 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 110 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x518090… |
| 06-17 18:02:04 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | SELL | 7 | 84¢ | $6 | 0xb3ba93… |
| 06-17 18:02:04 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | BUY | 7 | 84¢ | $6 | 0xb3ba93… |
| 06-15 23:43:21 | (anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d | Yes | SELL | 15 | 18¢ | $3 | 0xcf6202… |
| 06-15 23:43:21 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 15 | 82¢ | $12 | 0xcf6202… |
| 06-12 10:03:25 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | BUY | 7 | 80¢ | $6 | 0xd37b11… |
| 06-12 10:03:25 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 7 | 80¢ | $6 | 0xd37b11… |
| 06-11 19:09:37 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 20 | 76¢ | $15 | 0x1bd54d… |
| 06-11 19:09:37 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 76¢ | $15 | 0x1bd54d… |
| 06-09 10:15:24 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x916ccd… |
| 06-09 10:15:24 | Quarterly-Humidity 0xd6fa…4f2d | No | SELL | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x916ccd… |
| 06-07 19:38:51 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 23 | 72¢ | $17 | 0xb690a8… |
| 06-07 19:38:51 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 23 | 72¢ | $17 | 0xb690a8… |
| 06-07 19:00:52 | Lawful-Relationship 0xb5aa…c200 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 29¢ | $4 | 0xbc586e… |
| 06-07 19:00:52 | Pink-Activation 0x88bb…8d2c | No | SELL | 15 | 71¢ | $10 | 0xbc586e… |
| 05-30 23:09:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 45¢ | $8 | 0x71a475… |
| 05-30 23:09:30 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | BUY | 18 | 55¢ | $10 | 0x71a475… |
| 05-30 20:12:10 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | BUY | 32 | 47¢ | $15 | 0xe128ab… |
| 05-30 20:12:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 53¢ | $17 | 0xe128ab… |