Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 6,000 in 2026?
open
Total volume
$412
Trades
39
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$12,386
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-30
last 06-19 19:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+44.4¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $6
vs crowd: 56% YES on $155)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $31 | $22 | +$9 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $16 | $46 | $30 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $32 | — | +$32 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $6 | — | +$6 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $25 | $17 | +$9 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $25 | $25 |
| Median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $7 | $21 | $14 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $6 | $6 |
| unranked | 5 | $38 | — | +$38 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x095b…8a05 | Yes | +258 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 06-18 04:07 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +110 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-18 04:07 |
| Lawful-Relationship 0xb5aa…c200 | Yes | +82 | $-3 | $5 | 2 | 06-19 19:28 |
| Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | +80 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-18 04:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xc961…41d5 | Yes | +73 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 06-19 19:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | Yes | +58 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-18 04:07 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +50 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 05-30 23:09 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +23 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-07 19:38 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +21 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 06-11 19:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 19:28:50 | (anonymous) 0xc961…41d5 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc78606… |
| 06-19 19:28:50 | Lawful-Relationship 0xb5aa…c200 | Yes | BUY | 97 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc78606… |
| 06-19 19:28:50 | Flashy-Constellation 0x1075…19c1 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc78606… |
| 06-18 16:18:01 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | SELL | 46 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd63452… |
| 06-18 16:18:01 | (anonymous) 0xc961…41d5 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd63452… |
| 06-18 16:03:14 | (anonymous) 0xc961…41d5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbde022… |
| 06-18 16:03:14 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbde022… |
| 06-18 15:57:49 | (anonymous) 0xc961…41d5 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd1aef4… |
| 06-18 15:57:49 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd1aef4… |
| 06-18 04:07:14 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 110 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x518090… |
| 06-18 04:07:14 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x518090… |
| 06-18 04:07:14 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x518090… |
| 06-18 04:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x095b…8a05 | Yes | BUY | 258 | 12¢ | $31 | 0x518090… |
| 06-18 04:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | Yes | BUY | 58 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x518090… |
| 06-18 04:07:14 | Astonishing-College 0xfd04…cfbe | No | SELL | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0x518090… |
| 06-18 04:07:14 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 8¢ | $6 | 0x518090… |
| 06-18 04:07:14 | Left-Oleo 0xf678…a255 | Yes | SELL | 887 | 9¢ | $82 | 0x518090… |
| 06-18 04:07:14 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | SELL | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0x518090… |
| 06-18 04:07:14 | Flashy-Constellation 0x1075…19c1 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 13¢ | $9 | 0x518090… |
| 06-18 04:07:14 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 53 | 91¢ | $48 | 0x518090… |
| 06-18 04:07:14 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x518090… |
| 06-17 18:02:04 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | BUY | 7 | 84¢ | $6 | 0xb3ba93… |
| 06-17 18:02:04 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | SELL | 7 | 84¢ | $6 | 0xb3ba93… |
| 06-15 23:43:21 | (anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d | Yes | SELL | 15 | 18¢ | $3 | 0xcf6202… |
| 06-15 23:43:21 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 15 | 82¢ | $12 | 0xcf6202… |
| 06-12 10:03:25 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 7 | 80¢ | $6 | 0xd37b11… |
| 06-12 10:03:25 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | BUY | 7 | 80¢ | $6 | 0xd37b11… |
| 06-11 19:09:37 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 76¢ | $15 | 0x1bd54d… |
| 06-11 19:09:37 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 20 | 76¢ | $15 | 0x1bd54d… |
| 06-09 10:15:24 | Quarterly-Humidity 0xd6fa…4f2d | No | SELL | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x916ccd… |
| 06-09 10:15:24 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x916ccd… |
| 06-07 19:38:51 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 23 | 72¢ | $17 | 0xb690a8… |
| 06-07 19:38:51 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 23 | 72¢ | $17 | 0xb690a8… |
| 06-07 19:00:52 | Pink-Activation 0x88bb…8d2c | No | SELL | 15 | 71¢ | $10 | 0xbc586e… |
| 06-07 19:00:52 | Lawful-Relationship 0xb5aa…c200 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 29¢ | $4 | 0xbc586e… |
| 05-30 23:09:30 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | BUY | 18 | 55¢ | $10 | 0x71a475… |
| 05-30 23:09:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 45¢ | $8 | 0x71a475… |
| 05-30 20:12:10 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | BUY | 32 | 47¢ | $15 | 0xe128ab… |
| 05-30 20:12:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 53¢ | $17 | 0xe128ab… |